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Fried Chicken
Jan 9, 2011

Don't fry me, I'm no chicken!
Dick Lugar did 6 terms in the senate. But he voted to allow Obama's judicial picks to proceed, and got shredded for it in the primary, losing to Richard Mourdock (whose eventual comments about rape cost him the election to Joe Donnelly)

"How do I avoid a primary" is the number one question for senators right now, and as the Lugar example shows just because they aren't at risk this election (with ballot access closing) that doesn't mean a thing - Lugar voted for Sotomayor 3 years before his primary and was still hammered for it.


Of course the fun thin to imagine is that the Dems lose the general and retake the Senate. In which case, since the Senate is seated Jan 3rd and the President Jan 20th, they could in theory fill the spot before President Cruz appoints Roy Moore to the seat.

I'd expect that if that's the case the Republicans will do something to preclude that though, just like how they are moving to prevent the Dems from being able to filibuster an ACA repeal, the budget, and a tax bill next session.

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DACK FAYDEN
Feb 25, 2013

Bear Witness

Geoff Peterson posted:

I'm at a loss as to how you can tie replacing batteries to Thomas' silence. Surely, if Scalia were keeping him charged, he'd be more verbose?
Can't replace the man's batteries in public! I didn't read any racism into what he said, but apparently my interpretation and yours are mutually exclusive?

PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer
There's nothing stopping the GOP from just never confirming a Democratically nominated justice. Even if Hillary wins the election, they could just settle in for four years of 4-4 and try to wait out RBG.


I mention this because it seems like in the recent past, every time you realize "There's nothing stopping the GOP from X," X is exactly what happens.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

PostNouveau posted:

There's nothing stopping the GOP from just never confirming a Democratically nominated justice. Even if Hillary wins the election, they could just settle in for four years of 4-4 and try to wait out RBG.


I mention this because it seems like in the recent past, every time you realize "There's nothing stopping the GOP from X," X is exactly what happens.

I mean, nothing other than losing control of the Senate, which will happen if Hillary wins.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Who cares if there's a precedent though? The process was plainly laid out by the founding fathers and Obama blew Romney up so it's not like the people aren't speaking here

Fried Chicken
Jan 9, 2011

Don't fry me, I'm no chicken!
Nice little article about the economy of the 90s, and how the trade deficit, monetary policy, asset bubbles and full employment are all related.

Given the economic situation we are in and some of the monetary policy proposals being put out (and trade deals) probably worth reading to get some understanding for what we face. If the existent system is going to keep trucking, it needs to achieve full employment - that will shift power back towards the workers somewhat, and wages and wealth accumulation among the workers will boost, and inequality can start to drop. But we've actively fought full employment since the 70s, and the present situation is the result. So now we are seeing a lot of unrest manifesting in different ways, but it ultimately comes down to the demand for a return for the security and voice that came from full employment.

if people are interested I have more on this flagged that I could post, most of them are articles by Jeff Spross, Ryan Cooper, and a few others

Jokerpilled Drudge
Jan 27, 2010

by Pragmatica

Geoff Peterson posted:

I'm at a loss as to how you can tie replacing batteries to Thomas' silence. Surely, if Scalia were keeping him charged, he'd be more verbose?

please come off it. I mean cultivating outrage is cool and all but you could at least find a good reason

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES
There's a lot more to Thomas than his race, Geoff. For example, his bad reputation.

Gunshow Poophole
Sep 14, 2008

OMBUDSMAN
POSTERS LOCAL 42069




Clapping Larry

Fried Chicken posted:

Nice little article about the economy of the 90s, and how the trade deficit, monetary policy, asset bubbles and full employment are all related.

Given the economic situation we are in and some of the monetary policy proposals being put out (and trade deals) probably worth reading to get some understanding for what we face. If the existent system is going to keep trucking, it needs to achieve full employment - that will shift power back towards the workers somewhat, and wages and wealth accumulation among the workers will boost, and inequality can start to drop. But we've actively fought full employment since the 70s, and the present situation is the result. So now we are seeing a lot of unrest manifesting in different ways, but it ultimately comes down to the demand for a return for the security and voice that came from full employment.

if people are interested I have more on this flagged that I could post, most of them are articles by Jeff Spross, Ryan Cooper, and a few others

Yes please.

We should bring back the general economic thread. It's been years and years (I know be the change I want to see etc) and it was really handy even for my professional life when it existed. The economic crisis thread has been a good substitute this last month but I used to really dig the rss+ vibe that thread had

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

No, it is racist to pretend that Thomas was Scalia's monkey, Geoff is right. We could just as easily call Scalia Thomas's monkey. When we see a white guy and a black guy in general agreement, why must we say the black guy is the one following the white guy's lead?

Let's all agree that Scalia was bad and Thomas is bad. There's no reason to make Thomas both bad and also somehow less capable intellectually than Scalia.

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

Edit: Whoops, double post.

Hellblazer 187 concurs with the the post above.

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Hellblazer187 posted:

We could just as easily call Scalia Thomas's monkey.

Scalia is the one with the angry, wordy opinions. Thomas is the one who grunt concurrence. It's an incorrect characterization, but it's not simple racism.

Kro-Bar
Jul 24, 2004
USPOL May

Accretionist posted:

There's a lot more to Thomas than his race, Geoff. For example, his bad reputation.

He's no angel.

Northjayhawk
Mar 8, 2008

by exmarx

Hellblazer187 posted:

why must we say the black guy is the one following the white guy's lead?

Especially given that Thomas is more extreme and out there than Scalia. At least Scalia believed in stare decisis and was not eager to overturn ancient hundred-year-old decisions. Thomas doesn't give a gently caress, if he believes that a prior decision was wrongly decided, regardless of how old it is or how much precedent was built on top of it, thats the end of the analysis for him. Thomas would have the court blow up enormous settled areas of the law and start over from scratch.

ohgodwhat
Aug 6, 2005

Hellblazer187 posted:

No, it is racist to pretend that Thomas was Scalia's monkey, Geoff is right. We could just as easily call Scalia Thomas's monkey. When we see a white guy and a black guy in general agreement, why must we say the black guy is the one following the white guy's lead?

Let's all agree that Scalia was bad and Thomas is bad. There's no reason to make Thomas both bad and also somehow less capable intellectually than Scalia.

It was a joke. The joke doesn't work if the puppet is the dead one. If Thomas had died instead, the joke could have been reversed.


I hope this helps.

Grey Fox
Jan 5, 2004

quote:

Kentucky men would have to visit a doctor twice and have signed permission from their wives before obtaining a prescription for Viagra or other such drugs for erectile dysfunction, according to a bill filed by a state legislator Thursday.

...

HB 396 also specifies that only married men may obtain the drug and requires "a man to make a sworn statement with his hand on a Bible that he will only use a prescription for a drug for erectile dysfunction when having sexual relations with his current spouse."

"This is about family values," Marzian said.

But she acknowledged the bill is a pointed response to several anti-abortion measures in the current legislative session, including Senate Bill 4, which requires a woman seeking an abortion to get counseling 24 hours in advance of the procedure from a health professional. The counseling must be in person or via live telecommunications.
A nice protest bill on its own, but she has other plans after this.

quote:

Marzian said she also plans to file a bill requiring potential gun buyers to obtain counseling 24 hours in advance from victims of gun violence before the purchase.
:drat:

http://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2016/02/12/want-viagra-not-without-note-wife/80294772/

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

ohgodwhat posted:

It was a joke. The joke doesn't work if the puppet is the dead one. If Thomas had died instead, the joke could have been reversed.


I hope this helps.

Calling it a joke is a cop out. The fact that someone would think that joke shows racist tendencies.

It's a joke that's been going on for 20 years, and hasn't ever been reversed. If Thomas had died nobody would have made any such joke, and you know it.

So no, that post didn't help at all.

Hellblazer187
Oct 12, 2003

Northjayhawk posted:

Especially given that Thomas is more extreme and out there than Scalia. At least Scalia believed in stare decisis and was not eager to overturn ancient hundred-year-old decisions. Thomas doesn't give a gently caress, if he believes that a prior decision was wrongly decided, regardless of how old it is or how much precedent was built on top of it, thats the end of the analysis for him. Thomas would have the court blow up enormous settled areas of the law and start over from scratch.

I actually agree with that.

ohgodwhat
Aug 6, 2005

Hellblazer187 posted:

Calling it a joke is a cop out. The fact that someone would think that joke shows racist tendencies.

It's a joke that's been going on for 20 years, and hasn't ever been reversed. If Thomas had died nobody would have made any such joke, and you know it.

So no, that post didn't help at all.

You don't have to have racist tendencies to think that's a joke. Just because Thomas is black doesn't make every insult about race.

sit on my Facebook
Jun 20, 2007

ASS GAS OR GRASS
No One Rides for FREE
In the Trumplord Holy Land
The way the republicans are talking about Obama replacing Scalia is fuckin maddening. George Will was just on Fox News Sunday and said that if Harry Reid was still majority leader he would have "ignored Senate precedent" to remove the filibuster and allow Obama to "get away with" appointing a replacement, like he's perniciously sneaking some poo poo past them instead of, you know, executing his constitutional duties as president. It's obvious naked partisanship at its worst, and they can't even come up with a legitimate sounding reason why he shouldn't be allowed to do it. Rubio was on right before that and literally said "he can appoint someone if he wants to but the Senate isn't going to confirm it, period." No explanation required or offered.

Can we goonrush these assholes' congressional e-mails or something? Seriously.

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Yeah all I see is you engaging in race baiting.

Boon
Jun 21, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Epic High Five posted:

Who cares if there's a precedent though? The process was plainly laid out by the founding fathers and Obama blew Romney up so it's not like the people aren't speaking here

Frankly, I think it's best to just assume that the 'right' thing for the GOP to do is to block this nomination because it's in their best interest to do so. Their is no clause to stipulate when they need to fulfill their obligation and any talk of precedent is just bullshit equivocating over culture and norms which are always subject to change. Were the situation reversed I'd be screaming for the Dems to do the same.

That said, it's up to the Democrats to use this issue to turn out the votes they need to topple the GOP senate majority and ensure Clinton/Sanders enter the presidency.

OAquinas
Jan 27, 2008

Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

Boon posted:


That said, it's up to the Democrats to use this issue to turn out the votes they need to topple the GOP senate majority and ensure Clinton/Sanders enter the presidency.

Ah, so we just have to trust DWS to not screw this up then.

PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer
Why isn't Howard Dean in charge of the DNC anymore? I seem to remember things going real well when he was running the show.

fishmech
Jul 16, 2006

by VideoGames
Salad Prong

PostNouveau posted:

Why isn't Howard Dean in charge of the DNC anymore? I seem to remember things going real well when he was running the show.

When he was in charge, a ton of the Democrats in congress were barely less conservative than their Republican counterparts, which is why they'd been able to win. They were kinda OK for avoiding filibusters, but terribly unreliable for supporting progressive stuff.

Aves Maria!
Jul 26, 2008

Maybe I'll drown

OAquinas posted:

Ah, so we just have to trust DWS to not screw this up then.

Prepare for Democrats to somehow lose Senate seats.

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

PostNouveau posted:

Why isn't Howard Dean in charge of the DNC anymore? I seem to remember things going real well when he was running the show.

Getting enough Democrats to run for and win seats everywhere required them to run people that weren't hewing close to the party platform at all (and in a sense happens every time a party as big-tent as the ones you get in a two-party system gets into a dominating position: the rifts within the party start becoming more latent)

smg77
Apr 27, 2007

Lotka Volterra posted:

Prepare for Democrats to somehow lose Senate seats.

Anybody who has been a Democrat for more than a couple election cycles is prepared for it. :smith:

Rexicon1
Oct 9, 2007

A Shameful Path Led You Here

smg77 posted:

Anybody who has been a Democrat for more than a couple election cycles is prepared for it. :smith:

The loving worst political party in the history of the world.

Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

Rexicon1 posted:

The loving worst political party in the history of the world.

Most modern countries have been moving more towards conservatism the last 30-40 years. Even when liberals get elected as blowback it doesn't last that long or they don't control things.

Mc Do Well
Aug 2, 2008

by FactsAreUseless
It's time to break the liberal/conservative frame with some Bookchin Anarchism. We should be redrawing maps and rewriting the Constitution.

Tender Bender
Sep 17, 2004

I really can't believe that no one is going to challenge republicans on the notion that it's bad for a president to do things in an election year. It's not like this is December 2016, why is it just accepted as a given that it would be anything but normal for Obama to continue being president in the fourth year of his term?

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Rexicon1 posted:

The loving worst political party in the history of the world.

No, not really.

Wicked Them Beats
Apr 1, 2007

Moralists don't really *have* beliefs. Sometimes they stumble on one, like on a child's toy left on the carpet. The toy must be put away immediately. And the child reprimanded.

Tender Bender posted:

I really can't believe that no one is going to challenge republicans on the notion that it's bad for a president to do things in an election year. It's not like this is December 2016, why is it just accepted as a given that it would be anything but normal for Obama to continue being president in the fourth year of his term?

A whole bunch of people are going to challenge them, including a large number of sitting Senators, multiple Presidential candidates, and the President himself. Won't affect the Fox News narrative any, though.

blue squares
Sep 28, 2007

Mitt Romney posted:

Most modern countries have been moving more towards conservatism the last 30-40 years. Even when liberals get elected as blowback it doesn't last that long or they don't control things.

Unfortunately liberalism requires people to actually think about things, while conservatism appeals to the simple-minded who like one-sentence answers to every problem.

Geoff Peterson
Jan 1, 2012

by exmarx

Nevvy Z posted:

Stop crying racism over an overblown interpretation of an idle internet comment.

Enkmar posted:

please come off it. I mean cultivating outrage is cool and all but you could at least find a good reason


This is USPOL. On the rare occasions that it's not consumed by the eternal slapfight, this is the thread where we make fun of Republicans for referencing bullshit memes with racial background. The thread where we mock Republicans for repeating lies ad nauseum until they and their base truly believe that food stamps are going to pay for lobster dinner for the thug in the Cadillac. The thread where we scoff at the "Black On Black Violence"/"What about Chicago?" responses to police assassinations and Dylan Roof. I'd assumed that we did so because we recognize the inherent poison of those tactics-not that we recognized the inherent poison of Republicans utilizing those tactics.

ohgodwhat posted:

It was a joke. The joke doesn't work if the puppet is the dead one. If Thomas had died instead, the joke could have been reversed.


I hope this helps.

Right? And why do Democrats get all in a tizzy about people making chimp jokes about Obama? Look at all of these political cartoons that showed Bush as a chimp. It's a doublestandard!

Why choose Thomas? I mean, we've all heard of Scalito before, right? Seems like he'd be a much easier target for that joke.

DACK FAYDEN posted:

Can't replace the man's batteries in public! I didn't read any racism into what he said, but apparently my interpretation and yours are mutually exclusive?

They're not mutually exclusive-I'm just well aware of the view on parts of the left that Thomas is Scalia's lackey (see: posts in both SCOTUSthread and Dead Pool), so I find that a far more plain meaning of the joke than whatever humor exists in the benign meaning of replacing batteries.

Crowsbeak posted:

Yeah all I see is you engaging in race baiting.

You uncritically accepted a myth you've seen repeatedly about someone you dislike. It happens to all of us. The question is what you do afterwards. You can assess what led you to be incorrect, incorporating the new learning into your viewpoints and being on guard for similar situations in the future.... or you can tone police the person who corrected you.

Either way is fine-but I'll be content continuing to correct the record and pointing out that a lie stripping agency from the black justice to double the influence of the white one should raise eyebrows.


For actual content-who are the most awkward people that Obama could put up as a potential justice? Klobuchar and Warren have both been mentioned a few times and are from pretty safe seats... you'd think senators would be uncomfortable sitting on their nominations and then having to continue to work with them for the next couple decades. Hillary would be even less likely of course, but would the GOP agree to put her on the bench for a perceived advantage in November?

Northjayhawk
Mar 8, 2008

by exmarx
Interesting tidbit just came out, I guess they felt free to talk about it after Scalia's death. During the first vacancy earlier in Obama's term, one of Obama's legal advisors happened to be chatting with Scalia, when Scalia asked him to relay an unusual request back to Obama.

He point-blank suggested that Obama nominate Kagan, because he knew Obama was never going to nominate someone "of his legal orient", so he at least wanted Obama to nominate "someone smart". Obama instead nominated Sotomayor, but then after a 2nd vacancy he nominated Kagan.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Remember that this is on top of that supposed 'anti-terror' division they have which is basically what they would deploy in the event of protests such as the Occupy movement or BLM.

Wicked Them Beats
Apr 1, 2007

Moralists don't really *have* beliefs. Sometimes they stumble on one, like on a child's toy left on the carpet. The toy must be put away immediately. And the child reprimanded.

Geoff Peterson posted:

For actual content-who are the most awkward people that Obama could put up as a potential justice? Klobuchar and Warren have both been mentioned a few times and are from pretty safe seats... you'd think senators would be uncomfortable sitting on their nominations and then having to continue to work with them for the next couple decades. Hillary would be even less likely of course, but would the GOP agree to put her on the bench for a perceived advantage in November?

Well two of those people are pushing 70, so are bad choices for that reason alone. And the GOP would sooner put Satan himself on the court before they'd agree to Hillary Clinton.

The most awkward for the Republicans will be lower court justices that they already confirmed with no complaint. So that's what Obama will probably do.

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Northjayhawk
Mar 8, 2008

by exmarx

Litany Unheard posted:

Well two of those people are pushing 70, so are bad choices for that reason alone. And the GOP would sooner put Satan himself on the court before they'd agree to Hillary Clinton.

The most awkward for the Republicans will be lower court justices that they already confirmed with no complaint. So that's what Obama will probably do.

I agree with this, with the caveat that it may be an older judge who would like the honor of a nomination, knowing he won't get there. A younger judge like Srinivasan would normally be a good candidate, except this time around he'd go through hell with no chance at a nomination, and when it came time for a real nomination, he wouldn't want to be tainted with a failed nomination.

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