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The JEB in Winter one is good too. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quoPqs3xccE
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Feb 19, 2016 17:45
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Radish posted:The JEB in Winter one is good too. That's a lovely analogy. Jeb! is Prince John.
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Feb 19, 2016 17:50
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blue squares posted:If I found Samantha Bee really really annoying on TDS (and not in a "women aren't funny" way) would I also dislike her new show? I didn't like her at all on TDS but I enjoyed her bit with refugees. I haven't watched anything else but that was good.
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Feb 19, 2016 17:52
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So at what point do we begin to question the efficacy of the NBC/WSJ/Marist polling? I mean, after tomorrow probably and I know they have Nate Silver's endorsement, but the last two polls they've put out are large outliers. They just released a SC GOP poll which shows Trump +5, of the other 7 polls taken post-debate the next lowest Trump lead is two showing him at +12... A national Fox News poll taken post-debate has Trump back at +17 (in contrast to the NBC/WSJ poll showing Cruz at +2). There's a goon in this thread who has some splaining to do
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Feb 19, 2016 17:53
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blue squares posted:If I found Samantha Bee really really annoying on TDS (and not in a "women aren't funny" way) would I also dislike her new show? You probably wouldn't like her talking about the news of the week but her interviews are really good
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Feb 19, 2016 17:55
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Boon posted:So at what point do we begin to question the efficacy of the NBC/WSJ/Marist polling? After the votes have been cast. Anything else is just guesswork.
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Feb 19, 2016 17:56
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Boon posted:So at what point do we begin to question the efficacy of the NBC/WSJ/Marist polling? I mean, after tomorrow probably and I know they have Nate Silver's endorsement, but the last two polls they've put out are large outliers. They just released a SC GOP poll which shows Trump +5, of the other 7 polls taken post-debate the next lowest Trump lead is two showing him at +12... They overestimated Trump in Iowa by 10%. Underestimated Trump in NH by 4%.
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Feb 19, 2016 17:57
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Radish posted:The JEB in Winter one is good too. wish werner herzog narrated the voiceover part. ah well, can't have everything we want
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Feb 19, 2016 17:58
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Radish posted:The JEB in Winter one is good too. i came here to post this too, by the way, it's pro click as heck
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Feb 19, 2016 17:58
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:That's a lovely analogy. Jeb! is Prince John. He's the Sheriff. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUDntpV_HdQ
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Feb 19, 2016 17:59
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Mitt Romney posted:They overestimated Trump in Iowa by 10%. Underestimated Trump in NH by 4%. So wildly swinging based on the small sample size... Is there anyone who is tracking and providing feedback on which pollsters are hitting closest currently?
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Feb 19, 2016 17:59
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If you've ever wanted to watch a live video of Antonin Scalia's corpse, now you can. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PaMezboB4Qg
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Feb 19, 2016 18:04
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Joementum posted:If you've ever wanted to watch a live video of Antonin Scalia's corpse, now you can. Is there a designated stick eye poker to authenticate his demise? They are aware the head must be interred apart from the body?
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Feb 19, 2016 18:07
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I'm nervous he's gonna pop out of that coffin any minute and be like "oh it was just bad gas lol! Now to consider that for-sure upcoming challenge to Texas abortion restriction bullshit, ha ha!"
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Feb 19, 2016 18:11
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Mitt Romney posted:They overestimated Trump in Iowa by 10%. Underestimated Trump in NH by 4%. The problem here is guessing how many people who approve of Trump will vote. It's going to be _really_ weird, because his base is the people who don't vote so much. In Iowa and especially New Hampshire (small state effect) it actually should have tracked well with the polls - which follows the above results - in NH, EVERYONE participates in the primaries. The next few states should show how it works in the 'real world'. I'm expecting him to significantly underperform. He shouldn't have the Evangelical multiplier - the GOTV buses they run. I am willing to call this a prediction, but more in the 'this is my theoretical evaluation' way rather than any absolute confidence in it - anyone see any holes in my reasoning?
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Feb 19, 2016 18:11
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Wonder what percentage are there to mourn and what percentage are there to make sure he really is dead.
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Feb 19, 2016 18:12
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Stanos posted:I would really be fascinated to know what dirt he has or what compromising photos he's locked up with a dead man's hand somewhere because it's the only way I can mentally rationalize someone being consistently wrong for decades and still having the job he does. It's pure nepotism. His father, Irving Kristol, was maybe the most important intellectual in the history of the neoconservative movement. His mother, Gertrude Himmelfarb aka Bea Kristol, was one of the more influential conservative historians of the mid-20th century. The pair of them were the ultimate power couple in conservative publishing and intellectual circles. His last name has paid his freight at every step of his life. The shocking thing isn't actually the fact that he still gets work, because beyond a certain level a person like him simply isn't allowed to fail. He personifies elite interests and protecting him from his own incompetence and stupidity is a core ruling class principal--if they abandoned him, it'd be like abandoning their own shitheel kids. The really shocking thing is that he was actually so consistently incorrect and intellectually dishonest that the NYT opinion page actually canned his dumb rear end. Imagine how awful you have to be to get fired by a bunch of guys who consider Thomas Friedman their flagship contributor. His replacement was Ross. Goddamn. Douthat. Imagine being so lowdown and terrible that they replaced you with Douthat.
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Feb 19, 2016 18:17
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Warcabbit posted:I am willing to call this a prediction, but more in the 'this is my theoretical evaluation' way rather than any absolute confidence in it - anyone see any holes in my reasoning? TRUMP
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Feb 19, 2016 18:18
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EvanSchenck posted:Imagine how awful you have to be to get fired by a bunch of guys who consider Thomas Friedman their flagship contributor. Speaking of 'ol Tom, this was a pretty Friedmanesque moment. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/17/opinion/who-are-we.html quote:I’d take Sanders more seriously if he would stop bleating about breaking up the big banks and instead breathed life into what really matters for jobs: nurturing more entrepreneurs and starter-uppers. I never hear Sanders talk about where employees come from. They come from employers — risk-takers, people ready to take a second mortgage to start a business. If you want more employees, you need more employers, not just government stimulus.
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Feb 19, 2016 18:30
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eviltastic posted:Speaking of 'ol Tom, this was a pretty Friedmanesque moment. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/17/opinion/who-are-we.html la guillotine is too good for him
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Feb 19, 2016 18:33
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Boon posted:So wildly swinging based on the small sample size... The most accurate poll is going to be an average of all of them. So try PPP. 
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Feb 19, 2016 18:40
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Joementum posted:If you've ever wanted to watch a live video of Antonin Scalia's corpse, now you can. Closed casket. That proves it, the lich is lose.
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Feb 19, 2016 18:45
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Nocartax posted:I wonder at what point the campaigns flinch and start dropping out. Once we get past SC and NV, you can get campaigns that prioritize states to try and get leverage. Kaisch can say he does well in large population blue states of which we've had basically none. Rubio has Florida. Cruz has Texas. Once these three stay in what's to say Jeb doesn't join the kitten pile? We are on Rubio's 7th or 8th "big chance". This one is being billed as "make or break!"...except "make" here is defined as coming in 3rd. Jeb is basically still in to spite Rubio for his "betrayal" if you believe the "insiders". I don't lend that much credence given how wrong they have been, but "petty, spiteful, incompetent" is basically the Bush family motto. Carson is running a money scam, he's in as long as there is cash. Kaisch is bet on leaving after Nevada. Not enough support to keep him going Trump and Cruz are running tight campaigns and winning, no reason for them to drop anytime soon Things are going to settle out fast here. A little appreciated fact of the race is that after the first 3 contests, things really speed up. Iowa, NH, SC, you have the long lead up to build your organization, visit every county, go to every local fish fry, etc. It is an easier learning curve, lets the less organized, under funded campaigns make up for those shortcomings with time and margin for error. But one you get past those opening contests its on. No time to build and network, you need to move in, set up shop, and mobilize fast. We are going to see a sharp winnowing here real soon when campaigns that have been coasting run up against the need to accelerate.
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Feb 19, 2016 18:48
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I made a thread for tomorrow's events: http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3765064
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Feb 19, 2016 18:49
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:la guillotine is too good for him The beauty of la guillotine is that she is generous in her affections.
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Feb 19, 2016 18:58
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https://twitter.com/nielslesniewski/status/700681082639884289
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Feb 19, 2016 19:00
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Joementum posted:If you've ever wanted to watch a live video of Antonin Scalia's corpse, now you can. Btw, for any of you who have irate family members/co workers/facebook friends about Obama not being at the funeral, he was asked not to come by the Scalia family
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Feb 19, 2016 19:04
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Joementum posted:If you've ever wanted to watch a live video of Antonin Scalia's corpse, now you can. Who are the four standing around the casket? Also more people on their cell phones than I expected.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:06
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Fried Chicken posted:Btw, for any of you who have irate family members/co workers/facebook friends about Obama not being at the funeral, he was asked not to come by the Scalia family Is asking the high ranking officials not to come to another one's funeral something that typically happens?
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Feb 19, 2016 19:06
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Fried Chicken posted:Btw, for any of you who have irate family members/co workers/facebook friends about Obama not being at the funeral, he was asked not to come by the Scalia family Wow. I mean I get they don't like his politics but he's the loving President.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:06
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Fried Chicken posted:Btw, for any of you who have irate family members/co workers/facebook friends about Obama not being at the funeral, he was asked not to come by the Scalia family Asking the president of the US not to attend the funeral of one of the heads of another branch of the government...classy.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:06
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eviltastic posted:Speaking of 'ol Tom, this was a pretty Friedmanesque moment. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/17/opinion/who-are-we.html Obviously mocking Friedman is well-traveled ground, but good lord the man just can't help himself. Employees come from... employers? They spring forth fully-formed from entrepreneurial foreheads like modern-day Athenas? Mixing up the "job creators" rhetoric there a bit, Tom...
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Feb 19, 2016 19:06
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Syjefroi posted:Who are the four standing around the casket? I think I read they are law clerks that get rotated every half hour. And yeah, my favorite was the guy that just walked by the casket texting, never looked up once.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:07
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nicequote:Affluenza teen Ethan Couch—who was previously detained in beautiful, sunny Puerto Vallarta before being sent off to juvie in Texas—got some bad news this morning. A Texas judge has ruled to move the 18-year-old’s case to adult court, meaning he could face actual jail time for his role in the drunk-driving accident that killed four people.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:07
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On Terra Firma posted:Wow. I mean I get they don't like his politics but he's the loving President. Probably a security issue. Anywhere the president goes the security gets crazy.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:07
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Interesting choice of video to use as the intro here by Fox. https://twitter.com/foxandfriends/status/700642808978223105
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Feb 19, 2016 19:08
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Did... did he really like applesauce or something?
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Feb 19, 2016 19:10
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:nice This guy's parents are so terrible I'm starting to buy his defense.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:10
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:Probably a security issue. Anywhere the president goes the security gets crazy. Nah, knowing their relative they are all probably just huge pieces of poo poo.
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Feb 19, 2016 19:11
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Raskolnikov38 posted:Did... did he really like applesauce or something? https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2015/06/25/scalia-on-king-ruling-pure-applesauce/ there's also broccoli in that photo - http://www.politico.com/blogs/politico44/2012/03/scalia-wonders-about-a-broccoli-mandate-118823
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Feb 19, 2016 19:12
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