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Dr.Zeppelin
Dec 5, 2003

jon joe posted:

People say, Bernie is good, Bernie is pulling Hillary to the left, but :laffo: if you don't realize she'll waffle back to her pre-bernie self in the general.

democrats are stupid but one would hope they aren't stupid enough to pretend that 40+% of their base doesn't exist

i mean they've done it before but bernie doing well should theoretically knock some sense into them

theoretically

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Montasque
Jul 18, 2003

Living in a hateful world sending me straight to Heaven
FoxNews seems downright depressed over calling it this early for Clinton.

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

NNick posted:

The big issue is Hillary is basically saying 'leftism is dead'. Can a leftist really support such a position via a vote?

Plus, the fact she is losing to a 'socialist' either shows leftism is on the rise or she is a horrible candidate in the general...

Wouldn't Hilary be saying that an important name and serious recognition is more important in this particular case. Bernie, as a person separate from his stances, isn't a good candidate. An old jewish guy, from a small state doesn't have huge mass appeal.


I think people have a tendency to make broad statements about the populace when comparing views of two people who are very not equal going into a race

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

FRINGE posted:

If Hillary wasnt a selfish powermongering rear end in a top hat she would look at the projections for the general and drop out in favor of Bernie.

I mean D victories are more important than her individual desires right? :smug: :suicide:

The projections don't mean anything at this stage and everyone knows it.

Beforehand
Oct 14, 2012

NutritiousSnack posted:

Losing because the base sits home on their hands tells them the exact opposite, as seen by the rise of the far Right.

But that's not why the far right has risen. They have risen because they have the political will to (successfully and often) win primaries rightward of more establishment candidates. They aren't losing presidential elections because they've stayed home pouting; who thinks that?

Edited for clarity.

Emmideer
Oct 20, 2011

Lovely night, no?
Grimey Drawer

Dr.Zeppelin posted:

democrats are stupid but one would hope they aren't stupid enough to pretend that 40+% of their base doesn't exist

i mean they've done it before but bernie doing well should theoretically knock some sense into them

theoretically

I'm sorry but your theory doesn't hold water.

STAC Goat
Mar 12, 2008

Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

Swedgin posted:

Chris Matthews is the worst. "I don't see joy from Hillary. I want to see joy."

I hate Chris Matthews but I feel like he has value as the physical embodiment of what "low information voters" care about.

A bunch of people debate policy differences between Clinton and Sanders.
Matthews: She seems mean. He's offering free stuff. What will she give me?

Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

Montasque posted:

FoxNews seems downright depressed over calling it this early for Clinton.

Ralston seems the same.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Still a big problem for Hillary that Bernie is coming this close, especially if the entrance polls are correct that he won the Hispanic vote.

Her firewall will hold, but this reveals issues with the message her campaign is trying to sell.

Slow Graffiti
Feb 1, 2003

Born of Frustration

NNick posted:

The big issue is Hillary is basically saying 'leftism is dead'. Can a leftist really support such a position via a vote?

Plus, the fact she is losing to a 'socialist' either shows leftism is on the rise or she is a horrible candidate in the general...

Sirhan Sirhan killed leftism in 1968, and McGovern put the nail in the coffin in 1972.

NutritiousSnack
Jul 12, 2011

The Glumslinger posted:

I think people have a tendency to make broad statements about the populace when comparing views of two people who are very not equal going into a race

Hilary Clinton lost a massive lead over a no name socialist from no where. Your argument isn't one in her favor.

UV_Catastrophe
Dec 29, 2008

Of all the words of mice and men, the saddest are,

"It might have been."
Pillbug
I pray that Clinton doesn't feel so comfortable now that she begins pivoting to the center and giving up any pretense of trying to seem progressive.

Dr.Zeppelin
Dec 5, 2003

jon joe posted:

I'm sorry but your theory doesn't hold water.

wait until hillary actually stuffs bernie into a cupboard before saying it's gonna happen for sure

sharkbomb
Feb 9, 2005
This thread is very doom and gloom - I am curious to see Sanders' fundraising numbers after Nevada and South Carolina. It seems like his supporters are very easily demoralized (based on a Something Awful sample size) and ready to withdraw into the wilderness.

oystertoadfish
Jun 17, 2003

i think that the number of democratic primary voters who won't vote for hillary in the general election is significantly smaller than the number of republican primary voters who won't vote for whoever comes out of their hellhole

just like any other self-selected social group, this forum is not predictive of the future. sometimes polls are, and i think they tend to say that republican primary voters are significantly more divided than democratic primary goers

STAC Goat
Mar 12, 2008

Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

Mitt Romney posted:

Ralston seems the same.

He's probably just sad because now MSNBC will stop going to him every hour.

Emmideer
Oct 20, 2011

Lovely night, no?
Grimey Drawer

sharkbomb posted:

This thread is very doom and gloom - I am curious to see Sanders' fundraising numbers after Nevada and South Carolina. It seems like his supports are very easily demoralized (based on a Something Awful sample size) and ready to withdraw into the wilderness.

Actually we're all ready to give more money to Bernie

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/701164559923617794

I think the entrance polls were garbage.

Condiv
May 7, 2008

Sorry to undo the effort of paying a domestic abuser $10 to own this poster, but I am going to lose my dang mind if I keep seeing multiple posters who appear to be Baloogan.

With love,
a mod


UV_Catastrophe posted:

I pray that Clinton doesn't feel so comfortable now that she begins pivoting to the center and giving up any pretense of trying to seem progressive.

i hope she does, it'll make a bernie win all the more likely

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

NutritiousSnack posted:

Hilary Clinton lost a massive lead over a no name socialist from no where. Your argument isn't one in her favor.

No, thats kind of my point. Hilary winning becuase she has significant advantages going in, doesn't mean that leftism is dead. It means that it is a powerful motivator, but could easily succeed with the right person attached to it

Mean Baby
May 28, 2005

Slow Graffiti posted:

Sirhan Sirhan killed leftism in 1968, and McGovern put the nail in the coffin in 1972.

You're an idiot.

Nanomashoes
Aug 18, 2012

According to /pol/, the casino bosses (jews) rigged this for hillary. Thoughts?

TyrantWD
Nov 6, 2010
Ignore my doomerism, I don't think better things are possible

NutritiousSnack posted:

Losing because the base sits home on their hands tells them the exact opposite, as seen by the rise of the far Right.

No one is going to look at Republicans controlling all three branches and attribute their loss to not being far enough to the left.

Swedgin
Aug 22, 2006

by exmarx

STAC Goat posted:

He's probably just sad because now MSNBC will stop going to him every hour.

yeah, he's spent the last month beating the "Clinton Nevada camp is terrified" drum and I think he was really hoping for a Bernie win to make him look like he called the shift away from her early

Emmideer
Oct 20, 2011

Lovely night, no?
Grimey Drawer

Nanomashoes posted:

According to /pol/, the casino bosses (jews) rigged this for hillary. Thoughts?

4chan is worse than reddit

ntan1
Apr 29, 2009

sempai noticed me

Joementum posted:

Still a big problem for Hillary that Bernie is coming this close, especially if the entrance polls are correct that he won the Hispanic vote.

Her firewall will hold, but this reveals issues with the message her campaign is trying to sell.

That's not necessarily the case for a general election. Remember that so far she has been tailoring her messages as part of the democratic primary toward the center.

Ogmius815
Aug 25, 2005
centrism is a hell of a drug

Jewel Repetition posted:

The projections don't mean anything at this stage and everyone except BernieBros know it.

fifty

The Glumslinger
Sep 24, 2008

Coach Nagy, you want me to throw to WHAT side of the field?


Hair Elf

jon joe posted:

4chan is worse than reddit

So is MSNBC because they were just saying the same thing on air, and talking about how the caucus makes people less likely to vote out of line

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

The Saurus posted:

I'm the guy who gets all his news from the neoliberal MSM so think that bernie and donald are polar opposites with no crossover whatsoever.

No, you're the guy who's a massive racist shithead who thinks all muslims are rapists.

Dr.Zeppelin
Dec 5, 2003

Nanomashoes posted:

According to /pol/, the casino bosses (jews) rigged this for hillary. Thoughts?

trump supporters hating on casino moguls makes perfect sense

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
the narrative will be "the fact bernie is so close means that he is winning" until SC.

agreed, it's :perfect: that progressive / liberal voters are finally showing up and finally doing something. it's just that in tyool 2016, there aren't enough of them to get bernie into office. if enough of them maintain their political stances into adulthood (remember many of these liberal / progressive voters are basically kids, who can change their mind more freely than your average old person) then we can see real changes at some point.

people will look back at 2016 and state that this is when the change started happening, but not as the year that progressivism suddenly triumphed over everything and everyone

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

sharkbomb posted:

This thread is very doom and gloom - I am curious to see Sanders' fundraising numbers after Nevada and South Carolina. It seems like his supporters are very easily demoralized (based on a Something Awful sample size) and ready to withdraw into the wilderness.

I'm definitely easily demoralized but I can't donate and am voting for him no matter what so it doesn't make a difference.

Mokelumne Trekka
Nov 22, 2015

Soon.

sharkbomb posted:

This thread is very doom and gloom - I am curious to see Sanders' fundraising numbers after Nevada and South Carolina. It seems like his supporters are very easily demoralized (based on a Something Awful sample size) and ready to withdraw into the wilderness.

No doom and gloom here to those who read the numbers. Hillary has been strongly ahead of Bernie nationally, this hasn't changed. Bernie has momentum but not enough. He doesn't have enough of the minority vote or older folks.

unlimited shrimp
Aug 30, 2008

VanillaGorilla posted:

I suspect you're just talking to a wall, here. Most of the people stridently preaching ideological purity are, strangely enough, the kind of people with the least to lose under the coming of the Trumpenreich. It's easy to screech about the "long view" and accelerationism when you're swinging above a safety net of privilege.
There's nothing strange about it, and there's no reason to take the short view over the long view. It's a value judgment either way.

President Hillary Clinton is far more heinous, and a far more disturbing statement about the state of democracy in America, than President Trump.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

The Glumslinger posted:

No, thats kind of my point. Hilary winning becuase she has significant advantages going in, doesn't mean that leftism is dead. It means that it is a powerful motivator, but could easily succeed with the right person attached to it

It's pretty clear we'd be having a different conversation today if it was Warren instead of Bernie, much as I'm glad Warren seems to be happier to work in the Senate.

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler

entrance polls are hot garbage because the whole point of a caucus is that people will actively try to change your mind

Emmideer
Oct 20, 2011

Lovely night, no?
Grimey Drawer

The Glumslinger posted:

So is MSNBC because they were just saying the same thing on air, and talking about how the caucus makes people less likely to vote out of line

You misunderstand, my opinion had nothing to do with the content.

big black turnout
Jan 13, 2009



Fallen Rib

Nanomashoes posted:

According to /pol/, the casino bosses (jews) rigged this for hillary. Thoughts?

Wouldn't the Jews rig things for the Jew?

Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

Yup. If I recall it was just one set of entrance polls that had the latino vote like that too.

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Shark Sandwich
Sep 6, 2010

by R. Guyovich
So Nevada is good opening act and all but aren't the exit polls from the headliner supposed to drop around now?

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