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maxed out on the VA market at 77 per share yesterday. 
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Feb 25, 2016 21:17
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Adar posted:I'm betting Trump in Texas up to 40% or so on the theory that there should be some really good flipping opportunities once he starts crushing out east. It's down to 28 and I'm mad i didnt wait longer before doing the same.
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Feb 25, 2016 21:32
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Peachstapler posted:Debate events tonight may cause some instability so keep an eye on it. I'm slightly tempted to try and offload prior to the debate, stream, and try to capitalize on any fluctuation and get back in at a lower rate if Trump says something incredibly stupid unfortunately I'm afraid that even with a stellar performance by Rubio the vast majority of Trump supporters won't be swayed away. At this point the only thing that I'd imagine would derail Trump would be a return to his pre-leader "block all muslims from coming into the country" statements
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Feb 25, 2016 21:33
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IM DAY DAY IRL posted:I'm slightly tempted to try and offload prior to the debate, stream, and try to capitalize on any fluctuation and get back in at a lower rate if Trump says something incredibly stupid
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Feb 25, 2016 21:47
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Post ur Super Tuesday markets GO 
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Feb 25, 2016 21:48
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 Plus two bucks in Cruz for TX YES at .57.
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Feb 25, 2016 22:10
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Feb 25, 2016 22:12
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Feb 25, 2016 22:17
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FWIW, my Texas tea leaves: Texas has one of the better early vote periods of any primary. As of yesterday, 667k had voted, just by eyeballing the county counts, a far greater amount on the R side. 2012 was really late so not a good comparison. Compared to 2008, D turnout is way, way, way down. R turnout is way up, more than 200% up. This along with it being an open primary should benefit Trump, if higher turnout is better for Trump. Also, since such a large amount of votes have already been cast, any late movement by Rubio or effect from TV spending(primarily Rubio, so far) or the debate will be downplayed a bit. As a smaller side note, there was a week of voting with Jeb Bush still in the race, also. I think Cruz is more likely to win but Trump has a really good chance. Really skeptical Rubio can do well in Texas. Trump is hovering around 28-30 on predictit in Texas, I think that is a decent buy.
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Feb 25, 2016 23:05
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 You don't gently caress around eh? I've only got COCAUCUS16.DEM Clinton YES and TXPRMRY16.GOP Cruz YES. Waiting for my SCPRMRY16.GOP.2ND Rubio YES to pay out.
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Feb 25, 2016 23:49
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What do you guys think about Trump's chances in Oklahoma?
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Feb 25, 2016 23:52
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So I'm looking at the republican VP market, and I'm seeing Fiorina being a gold mine. She made a pretty good effort to cozy up to Trump during the early primary, and I could see him doing an egotistic "business people who get things done" ticket rather than the conventional wisdom of token minority to shore up swing states. Of course this goes up in flames if there's a rat loving but I don't see it being plausible.
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Feb 25, 2016 23:54
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I think basically all the Trump markets are overvalued now. But I'm not going to place a bet on them, because Never Bet Against Trump.
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Feb 26, 2016 00:01
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Concerned Citizen posted:I think basically all the Trump markets are overvalued now. But I'm not going to place a bet on them, because Never Bet Against Trump. This. The returns right now are really tiny, but if I had millions to toss around I'd definitely go in on them.
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Feb 26, 2016 00:09
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FourLeaf posted:What do you guys think about Trump's chances in Oklahoma? He's still a good buy. I've lived there for a while and they won't break with Texas. Oklahoma is about as racist rear end in a top hat as it gets. I'd be buying anything below 85 if nothing more lucrative is around.
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Feb 26, 2016 02:23
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deathbysnusnu posted:He's still a good buy. I've lived there for a while and they won't break with Texas. Oklahoma is about as racist rear end in a top hat as it gets. I'd be buying anything below 85 if nothing more lucrative is around. If they won't break with Texas, doesn't that mean Cruz is their insane man?
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Feb 26, 2016 02:24
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As in break in the same direction. Poor wording.
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Feb 26, 2016 02:45
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If someone asked me to name one state that would be most likely to vote along with Texas on any given Thing, it would be Oklahoma.
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Feb 26, 2016 03:01
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Texas is relatively diverse with large cities, a home town candidate, and a large Hispanic population. I'd say Cruz takes as long as he doesn't poo poo the bed especially given the early vote advantage. Oklahoma is basically Utah minus the Mormons, education, and charm. Also they hate Texas basically because football. The politics there are almost entirely hating the other. Donald plays perfectly into its proud history of sharia law bans, Muslims banned from gun stores, and homophobia.
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Feb 26, 2016 03:13
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while everyone is tuned to the debate, new poll with hillary up 5 in MA. 50/50 on the market right now.
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Feb 26, 2016 03:20
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Man, how did I miss Sandoval being added to the Supreme Court Nominee list? I could have locked in some nice profit on that.
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Feb 26, 2016 03:36
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Gyges posted:Man, how did I miss Sandoval being added to the Supreme Court Nominee list? I could have locked in some nice profit on that. I put in an order at 50c on No and someone actually bought 50 yes. Flipped 30 min later
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Feb 26, 2016 03:48
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What would be nice is if contracts with shitloads of options defaulted to being expanded all the way instead of you having to click to expand. Are that many people really in a rush to get to the ever so helpful comments?
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Feb 26, 2016 04:17
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The debates going poorly for the donald, might be a good chance to scoop up the last cheap Trump RNOM.YES shares.
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Feb 26, 2016 04:24
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JosefStalinator posted:The debates going poorly for the donald, might be a good chance to scoop up the last cheap Trump RNOM.YES shares. Yeah, Trump's bleeding to Rubio (a little bit) so if you don't think the debate matters...
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Feb 26, 2016 04:47
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Did they bring up that guy's name who was in the predictit debate question?
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Feb 26, 2016 04:48
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a cop posted:Did they bring up that guy's name who was in the predictit debate question? Nope. Some dude max bet YES, too. PredictIt be crazy.
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Feb 26, 2016 04:54
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pathetic little tramp posted:Nope. Some dude max bet YES, too. PredictIt be crazy. Hell yeah. Buy no strat works out.
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Feb 26, 2016 04:56
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i didn't get back in time to sell some of my debate shares. i wound up betting against trump. i am fortune's fool! Here's hoping to making it up on Super Tuesday...
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Feb 26, 2016 05:00
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My roommate made $190 on the Trump talk time market. I'm very jealous.
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Feb 26, 2016 05:08
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After that performance I'm no longer sure if Trump will get Oklahoma or Minnesota. Definitely not Texas.
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Feb 26, 2016 05:51
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doubled down on trump in VA by snatching up another 200 Rubio NOs. it blows my mind that both Rubio and Cruz (mostly Rubio) allow Trump to dictate the conversation so much.
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Feb 26, 2016 06:27
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Any thoughts on Puerto Rico? New market is up: https://www.predictit.org/Market/1918/Who-will-win-the-Puerto-Rico-Republican-primary
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Feb 26, 2016 06:35
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Aliquid posted:Any thoughts on Puerto Rico? New market is up: It is the only primary that Rubio is currently leading.
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Feb 26, 2016 07:12
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Rubio is a Cuban who feels PR should go bankrupt. I think he's inflated.
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Feb 26, 2016 07:22
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Trump won the debate by far, the only thing that stuck seems to be trump burning Cruz on the Hillary beating thing.
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Feb 26, 2016 07:24
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Vox Nihili posted:It is the only primary that Rubio is currently leading. I don’t know why. I don’t think there’s been any polling done. When in doubt, bet on Trump. It’s served me well so far.
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Feb 26, 2016 07:24
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Aliquid posted:Rubio is a Cuban who feels PR should go bankrupt. I think he's inflated. Given the other choices, he's probably the best of the lot for them. Unless they suddenly catch the boundless enthusiasm of Carson.
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Feb 26, 2016 13:58
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Gyges posted:Given the other choices, he's probably the best of the lot for them. Unless they suddenly catch the boundless enthusiasm of Carson. I wouldn’t put it past Carson to fly down there.
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Feb 26, 2016 14:06
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Platystemon posted:I wouldn’t put it past Carson to fly down there. Good news for Carson gambles, you can buy over 1 thousand shares for just a penny each.
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Feb 26, 2016 14:39
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