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Who will win the SC primary?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Martin O'Malley
Willie Wilson
Baby Hitler
View Results
 
  • Locked thread
Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

Bad Caller posted:

Dividing politics on racial voting blocs is basically the easiest way for the USA to stay racially charged forever. The youth white vote swings left and dividing politics on racial lines is not good in the long run for our country. Democrats should still care about the white vote as well.

Democrats usually win around 40% or so of the white vote. Considering they don't build their rhetoric around coddling the poor white man who is just being unfairly trampled under the boot of minorities and women like the Republicans do, that's not bad. It's hardly ignoring the demographic and puts them on the same emphasis as other demographics.

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Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Tuned in to see loving Erick son of Erick standing so still that I only knew it wasn't a freeze frame because of the flag and omg I hate you all for making me see him and then hear him

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth
Does SC require you to get a minimum % to get delegates at all? If so...what is it?

C-SPAN Caller
Apr 21, 2010



Tatum Girlparts posted:

The DNC does care about the white vote, they just don't make the white vote the cornerstone of their operations like the RNC does, because they don't need to.

There's no party anymore that actually benefits the white working class which is sad since I live in a town that's basically meth city because of trade deals making jobs leave.

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
Well, those +30 margins look very reasonable now

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
I really like The Young Turks show but I'm kind of laughing at their meltdown on the air right now.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Tatum Girlparts posted:

Does SC require you to get a minimum % to get delegates at all? If so...what is it?

15%

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth

Bad Caller posted:

There's no party anymore that actually benefits the white working class which is sad since I live in a town that's basically meth city because of trade deals making jobs leave.

You can decide how genuine she was yourself but in the last debate I think Clinton did a very good job spinning a kinda lame 'but what about the whites' question into genuinely talking about coal towns dying and such and other things that are destroying poor/working class white communities.

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

I really like The Young Turks show but I'm kind of laughing at their meltdown on the air right now.

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

The Drowned Dog. posted:

Early onset dementia or Alzheimer's.(not trying to make a joke here or anything. I really think he has something going on neurologically)

Just extreme religious zealotry. It's easy to get them confused.

C-SPAN Caller
Apr 21, 2010



Gyges posted:

Democrats usually win around 40% or so of the white vote. Considering they don't build their rhetoric around coddling the poor white man who is just being unfairly trampled under the boot of minorities and women like the Republicans do, that's not bad. It's hardly ignoring the demographic and puts them on the same emphasis as other demographics.

You don't have to coddle workers but we haven't had a pro labor presidency since Carter, which in tandem with pro racial justice policies would put our country in a much more prosperous place.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Which Bernie will clear, even though it won't matter since he's not getting any delegates.

sexpig by night
Sep 8, 2011

by Azathoth
Yea Bernie just hit 19% so at least he didn't get 'literally doesn't exist'

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

The IronMonkey posted:

Hillary voters seem more interested in attacking other democrats than actually getting something done.

It'll make the Worst Thread entertaining during the general when they wonder why nobody supports their candidate.

Actually most of us (well maybe not "us," I'm not a Hillary voter) are hoping that lovely thread is gassed by that point.

C-SPAN Caller
Apr 21, 2010



Shimrra Jamaane posted:

I really like The Young Turks show but I'm kind of laughing at their meltdown on the air right now.

I already wrote off South Carolina, I'm saving my meltdown for after the Nebraska caucus.

forbidden dialectics
Jul 26, 2005





I hope you all remember this moment when President Trump gets sworn in next January :banjo:

oystertoadfish
Jun 17, 2003

Joementum posted:

Which Bernie will clear, even though it won't matter since he's not getting any delegates.

well since it's proportional, wouldn't he just need 16.68% of the vote to round up to 1/3 in the 3-delegate districts and grab one of them? and for 4+-delegate districts, any number over 15% would get you rounding up to at least one of those proportionals. or is that not how the rounding works?

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



Nostrum posted:

I hope you all remember this moment when President Trump gets sworn in next January :banjo:

If Trump wins it will be at least in part because Bernie poisoned the Hillary well even further

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
72% of voters believe that Hillary is honest and trustworthy in SC.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Kasie Hunt making a good point here about Bernie's fundraising momentum being strong, but their burn rate is also important and we don't know what that is right now.

I'm mostly interesting in whether he's part of the convention.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

Nostrum posted:

I hope you all remember this moment when President Trump gets sworn in next January :banjo:

Not with this kind of minority turnout for Hillary.

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Nostrum posted:

I hope you all remember this moment when President Trump gets sworn in next January :banjo:

Hillary's going to run again in 2020 isn't she

Gramma Progress sure likes losing

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Joementum posted:

Which Bernie will clear, even though it won't matter since he's not getting any delegates.

Well, he'll get a few.

Jhanez
Feb 27, 2007

IRONKNUCKLE PERMABANNED! READ HERE

triple sulk posted:

If Trump wins it will be at least in part because Bernie poisoned the Hillary well even further

This is an interesting and nuanced position that definitely makes sense.

forbidden dialectics
Jul 26, 2005





triple sulk posted:

If Trump wins it will be at least in part because Bernie poisoned the Hillary well even further

Yep the Republicans definitely will go easier on her than Sanders!

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

oystertoadfish posted:

well since it's proportional, wouldn't he just need 16.68% of the vote to round up to 1/3 in the 3-delegate districts and grab one of them? and for 4+-delegate districts, any number over 15% would get you rounding up to at least one of those proportionals. or is that not how the rounding works?

Good point. I had thought this worked like the GOP rules, but you're right, so he'll pick up a few delegates tonight.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.

EugeneJ posted:

Hillary's going to run again in 2020 isn't she

Gramma Progress sure likes losing

Well the standing President does usually run for re-election after their first term so probably.

GrimGypsy
Mar 27, 2007

e;fb

GrimGypsy has issued a correction as of 01:41 on Feb 28, 2016

Pinterest Mom
Jun 9, 2009

As ever, Green Papers is running real-time delegate estimates by CD.

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



lmfao 96% to 3% for black voters over 65

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

Well the standing President does usually run for re-election after their first term so probably.

She's not going to win

And the DNC is going to blame "that goddamn socialist" for her loss instead of criticizing themselves or Hillary

mannerup
Jan 11, 2004

♬ I Know You're Dying Trying To Figure Me Out♬

♬My Name's On The Tip Of Your Tongue Keep Running Your Mouth♬

♬You Want The Recipe But Can't Handle My Sound My Sound My Sound♬

♬No Matter What You Do Im Gonna Get It Without Ya♬

♬ I Know You Ain't Used To A Female Alpha♬

Alfred P. Pseudonym
May 29, 2006

And when you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss goes 8-8

Black voters over 65 went 96% for Hillary
:eyepop:

C-SPAN Caller
Apr 21, 2010



triple sulk posted:

If Trump wins it will be at least in part because Bernie poisoned the Hillary well even further

Hillary and the DNC did all that work for him.

Sir Tonk
Apr 18, 2006
Young Orc


Huh, that seems ok.



Oh

Despera
Jun 6, 2011

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

Well the standing President does usually run for re-election after their first term so probably.

As long as she doesn't invade Vietnam

FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

Joementum posted:

Another point is that this is very good news for the African American community. Hillary and the media are rightly going to believe that she owes them a debt for putting her campaign back on track and politicians do work to pay back those debts. Also means that she'll keep putting the racial reforms she's been talking about as a key part of her campaign and agenda.

drat, now you got me all hopeful again.

Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

Joementum posted:

Kasie Hunt making a good point here about Bernie's fundraising momentum being strong, but their burn rate is also important and we don't know what that is right now.

I'm mostly interesting in whether he's part of the convention.

His burn rate is high, there was a good article on it the other day. He spent a lot in NH, NV and SC to "get in the game". Spent like $34m in Jan and raised $20m. You can see it in how low is super tuesday spending is.

Alfred P. Pseudonym
May 29, 2006

And when you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss goes 8-8

Mitt Romney posted:

His burn rate is high, there was a good article on it the other day. He spent a lot in NH, NV and SC to "get in the game". Spent like $34m in Jan and raised $20m. You can see it in how low is super tuesday spending is.

I'm seeing Bernie ads every other commercial break in Oklahoma.

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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Annoying that O'Malley and Wilson are grouped as "other" in the returns. I want to see if Willie's beating Martin!

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