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Don't fret burnouts you guy might be losing by 50 points but he still got more votes in SC that Jeb! had in 3 states
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Feb 28, 2016 03:50
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Goetta posted:It is probably not good I think Well maybe if all those Bernie Bros actually got off their rear end and showed up turnout wouldn't be so low!
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Feb 28, 2016 03:50
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Concerned Citizen posted:Bernie is currently doing worse than Alvin Greene in 2010. DeMint started the recession.
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Feb 28, 2016 03:51
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:Well maybe if all those Bernie Bros actually got off their rear end and showed up turnout wouldn't be so low! It's Hillary's fault Bernie supporters didn't show up.
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Feb 28, 2016 03:53
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And here come the attacks on Clinton in Sanders' speech. Surely he's learned he can't make any more ground attacking Clinton.
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Feb 28, 2016 03:54
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This looks like good news for Hillary in the general!
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Feb 28, 2016 03:55
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nate retweeted this https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/618774217857835010
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Feb 28, 2016 03:55
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Concerned Citizen posted:Bernie is currently doing worse than Alvin Greene in 2010. Because Greene was a veteran and had a less controversial record than Bernie Sanders.
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Feb 28, 2016 03:55
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Mitt Romney posted:I meant in Sanders speech. He typically attacks her a lot.  He's probably positioning himself as the best to take on the GOP in November, angling for the pragmatic/realist vote. Mitt Romney posted:And here come the attacks on Clinton in Sanders' speech. Surely he's learned he can't make any more ground attacking Clinton. oh!
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Feb 28, 2016 03:56
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DAD LOST MY IPOD posted:Speaking of, I really want to get data on minority turnout for the GE. I think that without Obama on the ticket we won't reach 2008/2012 levels, but given that Obama is going to be politically active for the next 6-8 presidential elections this one might provide a new baseline for what we can expect. Higher than 2004, lower than 2008 probably. the nonwhite % of the vote has been increasing pretty consistently since 1992, with no dramatic change in slope for the obama elections  as far as turnout you can see a jump in black turnout in 08 but if 12% of the population increases its turnout by 4% that doesn't make a huge impression compared to the 20+ year trend of the voting public getting less and less white by a few % between every presidential election. note the midterm turnout drop  here's a companion graph with the 2012 numbers and some older presidential races - also with asians  i think it's not unreasonable to suggest that black turnout could drop below white turnout (although obama will be campaigning hard this year unless his approval ratings crater), but it's also not unreasonable to suggest that it won't, considering the increase from 2008 to 2012 came as a surprise to most. and with trump as a nominee i just have to think that hispanic turnout will increase. call it a hunch edit: on the other hand, while people love to say that republicans are turnout-bots who never don't show up, i think they had some morale problems in the last two elections. and since most whites are republicans, a drop in republican turnout will show up in that white turnout line. if trump energizes them to a degree that mccain and romney couldn't, that trend could reverse itself. or perhaps he just moves the demoralization from one side of the republican coalition to the other. we shall see but while you might be right that minority turnout will decrease, i think the underlying demographic changes in america will result in a continuation of the 20 year trend where the white % of the presidential vote decreases by 2-3% every time oystertoadfish has issued a correction as of 04:05 on Feb 28, 2016 |
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Feb 28, 2016 04:00
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Yoshifan823 posted:Think of it as the Hummer of streaming services. But... How does that even work? When I think 'hummer,' I think of that yellow shitheap from Better Call Saul
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Feb 28, 2016 04:04
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My Imaginary GF posted:But... Yea you got it
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Feb 28, 2016 04:05
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My Imaginary GF posted:But... You know who's a bigger mark than people who listen to RWM radio? Audiophiles This is aside from the baseline expectation of paying 2,000%+ markup on cables. Good money in the market if you have a heat gun and can order parts from radio shack tho
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Feb 28, 2016 04:09
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Yoshifan823 posted:Yeah, but what percentage of America wouldn't? It's really lovely to say, but the most politically expedient thing for her to do is to not be divorced. Yeah sadly. We live in a hosed up world.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:10
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Oh right there's a primary tonight I wonder how Bernie di-
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Feb 28, 2016 04:11
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The GOP is excited! What can I say? We're excited !Its time to start winning again!
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Feb 28, 2016 04:15
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Tatum Girlparts posted:Yea you got it But... why.... What, can I get a shitastic mic and an old phonograph/wax cylinder player, hook the mic up to the internet, and offer a "lossless stream of authentic sound quality played individually for you, sound which will be slightly different each time so that each time you play a song it'll be like hearing it for the first time" and aparently bernouts will pay me monthly for this?
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Feb 28, 2016 04:16
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My Imaginary GF posted:But... http://www.lessloss.com/dfpc-series-p-213.html And there's a thousand more companies like this, and there's room in the market for them. If you want money, bilk audiophiles edit - can't believe I didn't include tube amps http://www.cnet.com/news/even-at-4000-this-tube-amplifier-is-a-remarkable-value/
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Feb 28, 2016 04:19
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My Imaginary GF posted:But... Not you. But they'll give Jay z some money.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:19
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why why is this a thing? That sounds so loving stupid. Just get a loving hearing aid instead of wasting so much cash on poo poo you can't tell the difference between, like Clinton and Sanders.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:21
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Epic High Five posted:If you want money, bilk audiophiles This is Bernie's plan for when millenials run out of allowance and financial aid money.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:22
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painstakingly formatted final (?) results from here http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/SC-D with a sanders % column added (calculated) and also the black % of the total (not just democratic primary voters, which can't be known) population per district from here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1L0xEuvQ0wrFnZ2qhU4PnGOFQXrf2w0eMnYod4QFkJhY/edit#gid=1711853669 pre:Pop Vt Qual Vt Del Pop Vt Alloc Del Pop Vt Alloc Del Sand % Black % CD1 54,408 54,122 5 35,430 3.273 3 18,692 1.727 2 34.53678726 18 CD2 51,145 50,912 5 35,353 3.472 3 15,559 1.528 2 30.56057511 23 CD3 33,646 33,393 3 23,732 2.132 2 9,661 0.868 1 28.93121313 18 CD4 38,315 38,169 4 24,968 2.617 3 13,201 1.383 1 34.58565852 19 CD5 47,339 47,078 5 35,965 3.82 4 11,113 1.18 1 23.60550576 27 CD6 86,146 85,619 8 71,525 6.683 7 14,094 1.317 1 16.46129948 56 CD7 50,853 50,602 5 38,791 3.833 4 11,811 1.167 1 23.34097467 29 PLEO 361,852 359,895 7 265,764 5.169 5 94,131 1.831 2 26.15512858 At-Lrg 361,852 359,895 11 265,764 8.123 8 94,131 2.877 3 26.15512858 Total 53 39 14 Delegates edit: district map for reference  here are some graphs i hope they help 
oystertoadfish has issued a correction as of 04:34 on Feb 28, 2016 |
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Feb 28, 2016 04:24
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Hillary is going to be the nominee.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:36
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this guy figured out how to break down the demographic barrier.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:42
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Concerned Citizen posted:Hillary is going to be the nominee. Yes, that's what everyone has known for years now.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:43
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Concerned Citizen posted:Hillary is going to be the nominee. That's all she will ever be 
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Feb 28, 2016 04:45
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Concerned Citizen posted:Hillary is going to be the nominee. Bold prediction.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:45
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Concerned Citizen posted:Hillary is going to be the nominee. Remember that year the Patriots went undefeated but still lost the Super Bowl
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Feb 28, 2016 04:46
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TRUMP.PRES | ~(CLINTON.D & TRUMP.R) = TRUMP.PRES | ~CLINTON.D | ~TRUMP.R One of each= CLINTON.D No @ 0.15 TRUMP.R No @ 0.25 TRUMP.PRES Yes @ 0.40 Total contract price: 0.80
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Feb 28, 2016 04:47
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EugeneJ posted:Remember that year the Patriots went undefeated but still lost the Super Bowl Every night I wake up screaming because of it. Also I hate you.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:49
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EugeneJ posted:Remember that year the Patriots went undefeated but still lost the Super Bowl Bernie can throw the ball, but the Democrats have to catch it.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:52
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Not sure if this has been posted here yet, but here's an article on Bernie's attempts at reaching the black vote in SC: https://www.yahoo.com/politics/how-hillary-clinton-won-the-battle-for-the-black-205650975.htmlquote:“One of my experiences that I think I won’t forget for a long time is a call that I got from the Sanders campaign. This person that called asked me was I voting for Sen. Sanders. I said no. I was voting for Secretary Clinton. The phone went silent for a little bit,” Scott recounted. “You could hear this person struggling to come up with what they’re going to say next. … They call that a real pregnant pause, nine months’ worth of pregnant pause. And he finally came back and he says to me, ‘You know, Senator Sanders is for welfare.’” 
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Feb 28, 2016 04:53
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Joementum posted:Bernie can throw the ball, but the Democrats have to catch it. No that's the other game. Oh god why
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Feb 28, 2016 04:53
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HorseRenoir posted:Not sure if this has been posted here yet, but here's an article on Bernie's attempts at reaching the black vote in SC: https://www.yahoo.com/politics/how-hillary-clinton-won-the-battle-for-the-black-205650975.html so good
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Feb 28, 2016 04:56
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HorseRenoir posted:Not sure if this has been posted here yet, but here's an article on Bernie's attempts at reaching the black vote in SC: https://www.yahoo.com/politics/how-hillary-clinton-won-the-battle-for-the-black-205650975.html lmao
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Feb 28, 2016 04:57
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HorseRenoir posted:Not sure if this has been posted here yet, but here's an article on Bernie's attempts at reaching the black vote in SC: https://www.yahoo.com/politics/how-hillary-clinton-won-the-battle-for-the-black-205650975.html lol to this and lol to the picture in the article, it totally looks like she's giving the heil Hitler salute.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:59
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HorseRenoir posted:Not sure if this has been posted here yet, but here's an article on Bernie's attempts at reaching the black vote in SC: https://www.yahoo.com/politics/how-hillary-clinton-won-the-battle-for-the-black-205650975.html No, they just don't know him, that's all! And they're anti-semitic. And they just want the free stuff Hillary has promised them that Bernie hasn't. What Clinton is promising them that Bernie isn't is naturally never elaborated on.
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Feb 28, 2016 04:59
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HorseRenoir posted:Not sure if this has been posted here yet, but here's an article on Bernie's attempts at reaching the black vote in SC: https://www.yahoo.com/politics/how-hillary-clinton-won-the-battle-for-the-black-205650975.html Holy poo poo
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Feb 28, 2016 05:00
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Maybe recruiting on reddit for phonebankers isn't the best of ideas....
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Feb 28, 2016 05:02
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Amused to Death posted:lol to this and lol to the picture in the article, it totally looks like she's giving the heil Hitler salute. 
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Feb 28, 2016 05:03
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