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Narciss posted:Maybe not 2% anymore, but all of the negatives that plagued Trump from the outset are still there. His massive unfavorables, for example: i think you tipped your hand a little bit at the end there but i appreciate what you were going for
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Feb 29, 2016 15:47
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Pillowpants posted:Just piping in that some of my pro trump coworkers are staying home tomorrow because of the David Duke comments are they? or do they just not want to be called racist for publicly supporting him
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Feb 29, 2016 15:52
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Disillusionist posted:The scene: a cabin in the Canadian wilderness, inhabited by two peasants, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio. They host two traveling guests: a giant of a man, Ser Christie, and his ward, little Jon Kasich. Thank the conservative saints for this wonderful post.
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Feb 29, 2016 15:52
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mcmagic posted:There is no way Silver still has him at 2% for the nomination. On the 538 election podcast he said he thought Betfair's 50% odds were about right.
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Feb 29, 2016 15:52
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"It is the difference in knowledge that commands respect. This is why the true test of every student lies in the humiliation of his master." - Rubio, The Prima Politica
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Feb 29, 2016 15:55
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Boosted_C5 posted:I feel like a whole new world has opened up in front of me. WOAH.
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Feb 29, 2016 15:56
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Narciss posted:Maybe not 2% anymore, but all of the negatives that plagued Trump from the outset are still there. His massive unfavorables, for example: Did you get locked in a fridge for the last two months or something?
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Feb 29, 2016 15:58
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Daduzi posted:On the 538 election podcast he said he thought Betfair's 50% odds were about right. MASSIVELY overstating things, in my opinion, although I'm only an amateur statistician. Yes, he nearly has a simple majority of the popular vote and will almost certainly have a simple majority of the delegates, but have you seen the number of endorsements he has compared to his rivals? Hint: it's very, very low.
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Feb 29, 2016 15:58
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"... and my supporters, they say, make idols of their hats. But does not the hat make certain? Does not the hat make plain? Does not the hat compel kindness from those who kneel in its shadow? I need no other God." - Trump, Deals and Dialogues
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Feb 29, 2016 15:58
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Feb 29, 2016 15:59
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Narciss posted:MASSIVELY overstating things, in my opinion, although I'm only an amateur statistician. Yes, he nearly has a simple majority of the popular vote and will almost certainly have a simple majority of the delegates, but have you seen the number of endorsements he has compared to his rivals? Hint: it's very, very low. Hes gimmick posting as pre-Trumpiphany Nate Silver
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Feb 29, 2016 16:02
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Narciss posted:Can someone explain to me why Trump's 49% support in the new poll is somehow a big deal? Last time I checked, 49% of anything isn't a majority. That means 51% of Conservatives still hate his guts and will rally behind a saner candidate as soon as the field narrows. Because it used to be 30%
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Feb 29, 2016 16:03
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squidgee posted:Of course it does - the foundation of Trump's support is racists and bigots, especially in the south, and he needs their votes on Super Tuesday. How the gently caress do people believe this? I mean I know there is a negative view of Republicans around here, but do you seriously think just because some working class whites may be racist they are also hate group members or sympathizers? There is a difference between casual racism and overt racism and there is also a difference between overt racism and outright racial hatred. Some of the most racist people in the world would still never associate themselves with KKK, neo-Nazis or anything of the like. This was a dumb move by the Donald and will only hurt his campaign unless he says something to completely reverse this narrative and fast.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:05
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breaklaw posted:This was a dumb move by the Donald and will only hurt his campaign unless he says something to completely reverse this narrative and fast. "Donald Trump sweeps Super Tuesday" reverses this narrative and fast. Then he just throws out a quick "I disavow" in his victory speech and the Trump Train rolls on. Nothing matters.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:09
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breaklaw posted:This was a dumb move by the Donald and will only hurt his campaign unless he says something to completely reverse this narrative and fast. Don't worry, The Donald has an airtight explanation for why he said what he said: quote:“I’m sitting in a house in Florida with a very bad earpiece they gave me,” he told hosts Matt Lauer and Savannah Guthrie on NBC’s “Today" show
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Feb 29, 2016 16:11
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He's already blamed the lack of disavowing on a faulty earpiece, and annoyedly asks how many time he has to disavow people before people. e: 
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Feb 29, 2016 16:13
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breaklaw posted:How the gently caress do people believe this? I mean I know there is a negative view of Republicans around here, but do you seriously think just because some working class whites may be racist they are also hate group members or sympathizers? There is a difference between casual racism and overt racism and there is also a difference between overt racism and outright racial hatred. Some of the most racist people in the world would still never associate themselves with KKK, neo-Nazis or anything of the like. I think you're confusing "Republicans" with "people who will literally tell a pollster that freeing the slaves was a bad idea." That is not the same group of people. I'm not talking about Republicans here - I'm talking about a specific (and not insubstantial) contingent of hardcore Trump supporters. That contingent of supports is somewhere between casual racists and full blown white supremacists, which is why Trump refused to disavow the KKK. Disavowing the KKK two days before Super Tuesday would risk retarding turnout among those core supporters when he needs it most. Plus, his refusal to disavow because, "I don't know David Duke, but I'll look into it," leaves enough room to allow his other, less bigoted supporters to rationalize it away. He'll just come out on Wednesday after crushing Super Tuesday and say, "I looked into the guy, and boy! He's bad! Terrible, terrible ideas!" Why else do you think he dodged an obvious political slam dunk? Because he has no idea what he's doing? Come on, get your head out of the sand. Korelle posted:"Donald Trump sweeps Super Tuesday" reverses this narrative and fast. Then he just throws out a quick "I disavow" in his victory speech and the Trump Train rolls on. This is the correct interpretation. nah thanks fucked around with this message at 16:22 on Feb 29, 2016 |
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Feb 29, 2016 16:13
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Rubio is getting...erotic https://twitter.com/ajjaffe/status/704322793660411904
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Feb 29, 2016 16:13
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Xenophon posted:Rubio is getting...erotic Is he working for voters or four voters? This is important for his chances to score
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Feb 29, 2016 16:15
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"This scandal will obviously sink Donald Trump!!" says increasingly nervous man for 10th time this year.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:16
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Rubio actually working for more than a few hours a day is going to be fantastic, the gaffes are just going to start rolling in once he gets all tuckered out and starts malfunctioning. (I know he's said a few suspect things already, but that's just the beginning!)
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Feb 29, 2016 16:16
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Korelle posted:"Donald Trump sweeps Super Tuesday" reverses this narrative and fast. Then he just throws out a quick "I disavow" in his victory speech and the Trump Train rolls on. Much like the wall - this isn't something that will go away for Trump. At least with the wall, he can tie the issue to illegal immigration, and claim the ban on Muslims is necessary to protect the country from terrorists. Claiming you need to do your research on David Duke and the KKK is not something that is going to fall away. Of course its' not going to hurt his chances of winning the nomination, but for someone who almost has it locked up, he needed to be thinking about the general election and this isn't something that can easily be rationalized away.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:17
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/704324162639290368 He's powering through depression right now, well on the way to acceptance.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:17
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Also using the KKK against Trump in the general just gets countered with 
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Feb 29, 2016 16:18
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squidgee posted:I think you're confusing "Republicans" with "people who will literally tell a pollster that freeing the slaves was a bad idea." That is not the same group of people. I'm not talking about Republicans here - I'm talking about a specific (and not insubstantial) contingent of hardcore Trump supporters. Those people would have gone out and voted him either way. There isn't a candidate nipping at his heels for the white supremacist vote.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:20
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Schnorkles posted:"This scandal will obviously sink Donald Trump!!" says increasingly nervous man for 10th time this year. I truly loved reading every post debate crescendo where all the insiders ended up screaming "This is fuckin it folks, he's dead for sure!"
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Feb 29, 2016 16:20
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http://nypost.com/2016/02/28/hillary-could-lose-to-trump-in-democratic-new-york/
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Feb 29, 2016 16:21
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the kkk issue is going to disappear (unless Rubio gets even more delusional) after ST. there's just no "there" there. it might be used quietly through surrogates to drive minority turnout during the GE but if you think Hillary is going to run a national ad on it or accuse trump to his face you have no idea how political races work
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Feb 29, 2016 16:22
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Homeless Friend posted:I truly loved reading every post debate crescendo where all the insiders ended up screaming "This is fuckin it folks, he's dead for sure!" It's funny that they don't realize that they are the ones the voters hate, and that they're actively doing the opposite of what they're told
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Feb 29, 2016 16:22
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Why can't Trump find a decent sound guy 
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Feb 29, 2016 16:22
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Xenophon posted:Rubio is getting...erotic rubio reverting to his old ways to win some votes
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Feb 29, 2016 16:23
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TyrantWD posted:Those people would have gone out and voted him either way. There isn't a candidate nipping at his heels for the white supremacist vote. You say this as though turnout isn't the deciding factor in most elections. Trump's concern isn't that they might vote for another candidate - it's that they won't turn out and vote for anyone. Hence his refusal to disavow the KKK two days before Super Tuesday.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:23
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Donald Trump posted:http://nypost.com/2016/02/28/hillary-could-lose-to-trump-in-democratic-new-york/ That's the worst article I ve ever seen.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:23
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Hillary's more likely to win Texas than Trump is to win New York.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:24
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euphronius posted:That's the worst article I ve ever seen. It's the Post, what do you expect.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:24
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Xenophon posted:Rubio is getting...erotic https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=izGwDsrQ1eQ
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Feb 29, 2016 16:24
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squidgee posted:You say this as though turnout isn't the deciding factor in most elections. He also has to depress Hillarys turnout. Even if Trump gets em to the polls the Dems have more voters.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:24
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euphronius posted:That's the worst article I ve ever seen. the "trump victory" polls assume Bloomberg runs and splits the democratic vote, which he won't do if Hillary wins
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Feb 29, 2016 16:25
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Although I think trump has strong cross over appeal to "Reagan democrats" if hey even exist anymore.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:25
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Pfft, that hand is way too big.
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Feb 29, 2016 16:26
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