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Not sure what the source of this is: https://twitter.com/dennislennox/status/704797506685833216 But that would be good news for Cruz I think?
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Mar 2, 2016 00:17
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If Donald Trump has support of 50% of the republican party in even his worse state, the civil war is so totally happening. 
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Mar 2, 2016 00:18
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Venom Snake posted:The Dems get more votes but less representation. It would absolutely be in the democratic parties interest to have proportional representation. I agree with that but I was referring to the ability to vote for more than one political party without penalty. evilweasel posted:citizen referendums don't need a party, just an interest group that supports it I understand but what interest group would support it?
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Mar 2, 2016 00:18
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lol at Trumps chance in the general getting smaller by the second.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:18
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Prof. Lurker posted:At least 6 in 10 Republicans support the Muslim ban according to ABC news people = poo poo
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Mar 2, 2016 00:18
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pathetic little tramp posted:Not sure what the source of this is: Trump has been beating Cruz with evangelicals and exit polling suggest he's doing well with them tonight, but this is probably a good number for Cruz. Also Arkansas had the governor and such get behind Rubio, him getting a distant third there is p. bad.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:19
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Gore couldn't even win Tennessee so yeah that boded well for his campaign. The Dems finally learned that if they're gonna run a completely uncharismatic candidate they better be a real absolute fucker, but it took them a long time to get there.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:19
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pathetic little tramp posted:Not sure what the source of this is: god drat protestants
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Mar 2, 2016 00:19
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Regardless of how tonight goes, I think Trump hosed up with the David Duke thing, despite what many of you seem to think. He didn't anticipate the media completely ignoring his refutation 2 days prior, nor that the media would bring out the knives in a way completely unlike anything previous, or that the GOPe would finally get off their rear end.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:20
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Venom Snake posted:lol at Trumps chance in the general getting smaller by the second. To be fair, there's a bit of distance between "dissatisfied" and "hell no, I'm never gonna vote for the guy". I suspect a fair number of those folks are going to fall in line once the general gets going.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:20
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pathetic little tramp posted:Not sure what the source of this is: Trump leads Cruz in evangelical support, so no.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:20
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Schnorkles posted:Trump has been beating Cruz with evangelicals and exit polling suggest he's doing well with them tonight, but this is probably a good number for him. The Arkansas endorsements are kinda split between Rubio and Cruz with Rubio getting the high elected officials and Cruz getting a bunch of legislators.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:21
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Shakugan posted:Regardless of how tonight goes, I think Trump hosed up with the David Duke thing, despite what many of you seem to think. He didn't anticipate the media completely ignoring his refutation 2 days prior, nor that the media would bring out the knives in a way completely unlike anything previous, or that the GOPe would finally get off their rear end. I don't think it effected him today -- I think it effects him the general.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:21
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Venom Snake posted:lol at Trumps chance in the general getting smaller by the second. They'll vote for him anyways
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Mar 2, 2016 00:21
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Lord of Pie posted:Gore couldn't even win Tennessee so yeah that boded well for his campaign. A big problem was Gore running away as fast as he could from Bill Clinton even though Clinton was super well regarded by the country at the time
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Mar 2, 2016 00:21
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Shakugan posted:Regardless of how tonight goes, I think Trump hosed up with the David Duke thing, despite what many of you seem to think. He didn't anticipate the media completely ignoring his refutation 2 days prior, nor that the media would bring out the knives in a way completely unlike anything previous, or that the GOPe would finally get off their rear end. Yeah, it was a full blown attack on Trump by everyone for the past 48 hours.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:21
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https://twitter.com/meganmurp/status/704808332868108288
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Mar 2, 2016 00:21
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Mitt Romney posted:Yeah, it was a full blown attack on Trump by everyone for the past 48 hours. And if he emerges dominant, things are going to go completely bonkers.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:22
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DaveWoo posted:Yikes. Curious to see what the Dem numbers for Hillary look like in comparison. New Hampshire had 62/37 on "satisfied if Clinton wins the nomination", Iowa and Nevada didn't ask, and who cares about South Carolina.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:23
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Trump lost control of his media narrative control right before ST, it'll be interesting to see if it happened close enough to not hurt him. Using the Sessions endorsement as a smoke screen failed horribly, nobody gave two shits about that
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Mar 2, 2016 00:23
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Schnorkles posted:And if he emerges dominant, things are going to go completely bonkers. If he survives the David Duke attack, then for any future attacks from the media he can just point to the time when the media blatantly fabricated a narrative to try to damage Trump
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Mar 2, 2016 00:23
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And this number was 15% for NH Dems.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:24
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Schnorkles posted:And if he emerges dominant, things are going to go completely bonkers. things are already going completely bonkers, friend
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Mar 2, 2016 00:24
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Does this even mean anything? To me it just reinforces people's commitment to Trump as a form of protest, unless those polled mean the whole Republican party, Trump included.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:24
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Epic High Five posted:Trump lost control of his media narrative control right before ST, it'll be interesting to see if it happened close enough to not hurt him. CNN wasn't airing his Friday press conference denunciation of Duke until about 45 minutes ago
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Mar 2, 2016 00:25
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By the way, the delegate selection rules in the OP aren't 100% accurate, but they are very nearly accurate and summarized well. Don't be surprised if they include the wrong form of rounding rules and are off by a delegate or two. If you want the exact math and rules, Josh just posted links to all of them http://twitter.com/FHQ
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Mar 2, 2016 00:25
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Sheng-ji Yang posted:things are already going completely bonkers, friend I get the feeling we are in early days. Trump actually emerging in a position where he, by all rights, is an overwhelming favorite for the nomination is going to cause serious poo poo to happen. The 48 hour full blitz was to try and avoid that.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:26
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Louisgod posted:Does this even mean anything? To me it just reinforces people's commitment to Trump as a form of protest, unless those polled mean the whole Republican party, Trump included. Cruz was the "frustrated conservative" candidate before it was cool, so I imagine that stat just means "gently caress Rubio"
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Mar 2, 2016 00:26
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Almost time to go caucus here in MN; think I'll do the right thing and go eat at Five Guys first. Trip report when I return, assuming I don't have to fight a battle royale to settle a tie vote and die honorably.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:27
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CubsWoo posted:CNN wasn't airing his Friday press conference denunciation of Duke until about 45 minutes ago The fact that he denounced him at a press conference doesn't change the fact that he later refused to, and in fact denied all knowledge of a guy he bitched about when he left the reform party and whose dad was in the Klan. It was an enormous gaffe, Trump's going to just wait it out if he's got any sense, driving hard on the "but a few days ago I said something completely different!" would be a bad idea
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Mar 2, 2016 00:27
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Seems like late deciders once again broke heavily for people who are not Donald Trump.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:28
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Mo_Steel posted:Almost time to go caucus here in MN; think I'll do the right thing and go eat at Five Guys first. That's Rubio's favorite too. Also the restaurant.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:28
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Mo_Steel posted:Almost time to go caucus here in MN; think I'll do the right thing and go eat at Five Guys first. gotta get that juicy lucy bro...
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Mar 2, 2016 00:29
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Louisgod posted:That's Rubio's favorite too. Also the restaurant. I love how much meat I get there for my dollar. 
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Mar 2, 2016 00:29
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I still believe my original suspicion which is that Trump didn't hear who they were talking about and his pride didn't let him walk back on it when he understood I don't think he was playing twelve dimensional chess or actually going on with the intention of wavering on the loving KKK, I think he just did a dumb thing and his Teflon temporarily failed In the long term after he pulls through it'll hurt the press tho
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Mar 2, 2016 00:30
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I'd think trying to tie Trump to the KKK might have worked; except that Trump took on the goddamn pope and still won. All slinging mud at Trump does is make his supporters support him harder.
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Mar 2, 2016 00:31
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 https://twitter.com/RachelWPTZ/status/704799516768215040
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Mar 2, 2016 00:31
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5 Guys owns, they take care of their people too from what I've heard Sometimes after a ridiculously brutal leg day I'll go there and crush a large fry and triple burger and it owns and horrifies the employees, who apparently have not experienced true joy
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Mar 2, 2016 00:31
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Apparently every exit poll in VA was taken in the northern quarter of the state
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Mar 2, 2016 00:31
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Lol Georgia's gonna go blue in November at this rate
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Mar 2, 2016 00:32
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