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Bip Roberts posted:But she surfs and is a psycho. maddow just asked her a completely sane and reasonable question on whether bernie's actually trying to win or not based on how he was only actually competitive in about five states and she dodged answering it
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Mar 2, 2016 05:15
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JosefStalinator posted:I don't care if this has been posted it must be posted again. Oh hell yes
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Mar 2, 2016 05:15
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Tulsi's been everywhere stumping for Bernie lately. I'm guessing she's aiming for a Senate seat or setting up for something even bigger later on?
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Mar 2, 2016 05:15
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:There is, mathematically, a lane for him to do that. It's obviously not going to happen, but it was not enough of a punch to make him admit that. Based on my estimate of the delegate math, he'd need to win all remaining pledged delegates by a margin of just over 6 points. That's pretty drat brutal, especially since we still have louisiana, michigan, mississippi, missouri, north carolina, missouri, florida, illinois, and ohio by march 15 - most or all of which should be dominated by clinton.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:15
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Nonsense posted:Rubio is dropping out tomorrow. Not a chance in hell (unless Cruz flat-out tells Rubio he'll be the VP, then maybe). If Cruz loses, he goes back to the Senate. If Rubio loses, his political career is over because he had to forgo running for re-election. Rubio has nothing to fall back on.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:15
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So sometimes I see people talking about Bernie taking this "all the way to the convention." I know what the convention is (in a broad way, I guess), but what does that mean? Is there actually some outlet or circumstance that allows a close race to go into a lightning round or some poo poo?
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Mar 2, 2016 05:15
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Northjayhawk posted:Not a chance in hell. If Cruz loses, he goes back to the Senate. If Rubio loses, his political career is over because he had to forgo running for re-election. Rubio has nothing to fall back on. Sounds good, the gusano is lazy pos
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:Michigan is going to be interesting. First midwestern state with a primary, but much more racially diverse than the ones we've had. Yea it feels like Michigan is gonna be big for either of them Like, it won't win the election for Sanders but it at least would be pretty much is his first super diverse state he won...
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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QuoProQuid posted:So, how many delegates is each candidate expected to have by now? Are we on track for clean Trump win or are the Republicans spiralling towards a contested convention? Trump is on track when you factor in that these states are all proportional, and later states are winner-takes-all. GOPe is only on track for a contested convention if they make the self-serving assumption that Trump will start LOSING most states when we get to winner-takes-all.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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Nanomashoes posted:What if... people go to the polls and vote for Bernie? In the remaining states where he doesn't poll high enough to prevent Hillary from snowballing to the convention? Dems don't do winner take all like the Republicans do - Hillary will continue to pick up delegates even if Sanders somehow manages to grossly outperform his polling numbers, and tonight gives her a huge head start.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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Microwaves Mom posted:IDK are they stupid enough to vote Hillary? I will happily vote for either come November
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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Neurolimal posted:Yeah, so what? Bernie is showing that there's a huge audience for fiscal leftism, so huge that a charisma-less octogenerian Vermont senator with zero ties to the Democrat Party has been able to go toe to toe with Hillary loving Clinton in a number of states. I (and I assume many others) aren't going to just back out of supporting him so we can say "woo! I won voting!" I'm not a Bernie supporter, but he's pretty charismatic. On your second point, if you choose not to vote for the eventual Democratic nominee thats fine, but so hold your peace when Donal Trump is nominating the next three Supreme Court seats. Theres real stakes, and at least on the internet it seems that the people with the least to lose are also the most gung-ho about never voting for Hillary no matter what
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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2016: Republicans fall in love, Democrats fall in line
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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Northjayhawk posted:Not a chance in hell (unless Cruz flat-out tells Rubio he'll be the VP, then maybe). If Cruz loses, he goes back to the Senate. If Rubio loses, his political career is over because he had to forgo running for re-election. Rubio has nothing to fall back on. Much like another dead-in-the-water Republican, Rubio can just endorse Trump.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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Huge respect for Tulsi Gabbard on sacrificing her position in the party to call out the toll of "humanitarian intervention".
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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honestly surprised he won CO today. didnt seem like a favorable contest for him
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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I'd forgotten how much fatter Christie used to be
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Mar 2, 2016 05:16
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michigan is going to be a battleground state because michigan is full of morons who love their guns
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Mar 2, 2016 05:17
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axeil posted:it's a desire to get people to stop being delusional and realize the race is over because bernie needs to win pretty much every remaining state by double digits just to make it close and that's not going to happen. he ran a good campaign, and he succeeded in pushing clinton to the left, which was his goal all along. You don't need to be crazy to support a candidate you actually like. Bernie's odds of winning are infinismall. I hope he keeps going just to show how many votes someone with his drawbacks can get just from appealing to fiscal leftism.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:17
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He's still really fat
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Mar 2, 2016 05:17
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Shageletic posted:2016: Republicans fall in love, Democrats fall in line The Democrats fell in love with Clinton, while the GOP voters are heeding the establishment's call for a brokered convention.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Dr. Gitmo Moneyson posted:What's the chance Hillary picks Bernie as running mate? She'd have to adopt his policies for him to even consider it She'll never do that
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Imo fat status: Fat girls: cool and cute Fat boys: gross and lame
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Joementum posted:Guessing MSNBC's analysts are looking at different data than I am, which is entirely possible, because with most of Cambridge and Worcester and Amherst out, I don't get the call. absentee ballots, maybe
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Joementum posted:Huge respect for Tulsi Gabbard on sacrificing her position in the party to call out the toll of "humanitarian intervention". Likewise, I'm a huge cynic but I think she's really speaking from personal and moral experience here instead of just playing the political game. Oil of Paris posted:honestly surprised he won CO today. didnt seem like a favorable contest for him Sanders is Colorado liberalism incarnate.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Northjayhawk posted:Not a chance in hell (unless Cruz flat-out tells Rubio he'll be the VP, then maybe). If Cruz loses, he goes back to the Senate. If Rubio loses, his political career is over because he had to forgo running for re-election. Rubio has nothing to fall back on. I think he could still technically run for reelection but he's said he doesn't want to because he hates it so that would be kind of hard to walk back
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Firebert posted:Oh hell yes Did we find Gil's family and hometown?
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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please no one drop out please
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Drumpfer Tuesday
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Captain Magic posted:So sometimes I see people talking about Bernie taking this "all the way to the convention." In a 2-person race its symbolic, because someone will obviously have a majority. If you have a strong 3 or 4-way race like in the GOP, it can actually mean something because then you have the possibility of no one having a majority of delegates on the first ballot. That is the stuff that the dreams of political nerds are made of. We've been hoping for a contested convention for decades, and this is the first time (on the GOP side only, sorry Bernie) that it could realistically happen in a long time.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:18
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Captain Magic posted:So sometimes I see people talking about Bernie taking this "all the way to the convention." it's basically a prayer that emailgate will disqualify her and bernie will run away with the election as a result.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:19
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Last thing before I'm done for the night David Brooks, "Trump is stoppable."
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Mar 2, 2016 05:19
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Captain Magic posted:So sometimes I see people talking about Bernie taking this "all the way to the convention." The idea is if for instance it looks like a loss he stays in to keep Hillary from doing the I'm going to swing hard right for the general
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Mar 2, 2016 05:19
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Concerned Citizen posted:Based on my estimate of the delegate math, he'd need to win all remaining pledged delegates by a margin of just over 6 points. That's pretty drat brutal, especially since we still have louisiana, michigan, mississippi, missouri, north carolina, missouri, florida, illinois, and ohio by march 15 - most or all of which should be dominated by clinton. Like I said, not very likely! EugeneJ posted:She'd have to adopt his policies for him to even consider it I don't think you understand how this works.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:19
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Dr. Gitmo Moneyson posted:What's the chance Hillary picks Bernie as running mate? Very high, because an old guy from Vermont would be a great way to balance her ticket.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:19
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Montasque posted:The GOP are going to spend the next two weeks carpet bombing Trump in an attempt to hand the nomination to a guy who won Minnesota. I don't think so. There was a all out 48 hour blitz called [bad analogy but whatever] against Trump with a serious issue and every single media network going all out. He got attacked as hard as you can attack a candidate and all it did was lower his margins of victory. I don't believe it did anything in OK and, at least there, the polling was just wrong. Virginia was Rubio's absolute best shot and even with the deck stacked as hard as they could he couldn't do it. Rubio lost to Cruz almost everywhere. He got one 2nd, and one 1st. That's it. [Alaska not withstanding] If they rally behind Rubio I will be loving shocked, because I think its pretty clear at this point he has no traction in the republican party.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:19
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Brannock posted:I'd forgotten how much fatter Christie used to be You tell people Christie got a lap band after 2012 and they'll say "It must not have took" until you show them the before and afters.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:19
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I don't think enough of a deal is being made of Tom Delay coming out and saying they are going to ratfuck Trump.
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Mar 2, 2016 05:20
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Congrats to rubs for getting a state
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Mar 2, 2016 05:20
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A Neurotic Jew posted:it's basically a prayer that emailgate will disqualify her and bernie will run away with the election as a result. as a corollary: there is zero possibility of this happening
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Mar 2, 2016 05:20
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