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I sold out of Missouri when it was $.52
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Mar 11, 2016 03:29
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I hope no one took trump for speaking time. It's looking real close.
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Mar 11, 2016 03:32
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:I sold out of Missouri when it was $.52 I'm all in, holding till the end (Well, not the end, but until it's clear on voting day). If it goes Trump then I'm BACK IN THE GAME!!! If it doesn't then I'm fuckin' out. I'm OUT!
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Mar 11, 2016 03:33
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a cop posted:I hope no one took trump for speaking time. It's looking real close. Edit: Erm. Well, I think Trump is ahead. Dammit Rubio stop talking! BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 04:39 on Mar 11, 2016 |
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Mar 11, 2016 04:05
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a cop posted:I hope no one took trump for speaking time. It's looking real close. I did! Yeah, it's not looking great so far. This had to be the debate where he decided to give some succinct answers.
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Mar 11, 2016 04:05
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a cop posted:I hope no one took trump for speaking time. It's looking real close.
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Mar 11, 2016 04:30
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Trump gonna win, my tiny, bad bet is paying off!!
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Mar 11, 2016 04:33
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Vox Nihili posted:Trump gonna win, my tiny, bad bet is paying off!! Six minute lead now. Trump! BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 04:58 on Mar 11, 2016 |
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Mar 11, 2016 04:39
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I'm real close to saying gently caress it and just betting everything against Trump to get blown out next Tuesday. I don't mind going down with that ship.
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Mar 11, 2016 04:52
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Arkane posted:I'm real close to saying gently caress it and just betting everything against Trump to get blown out next Tuesday. An understandable position.
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Mar 11, 2016 04:53
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Still, racists gonna vote for Trump in droves in MO. Sweet, juicy, 50% gains.
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Mar 11, 2016 05:00
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Gallup Forced To Destroy Defective Sample Group That Failed To Accurately Forecast Michigan Primary http://www.theonion.com/article/gal...fault:1:Default Just thought this might help soften the blow for those of us who died.
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Mar 11, 2016 05:07
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Rubio NO in Florida is down in the low eighties. Apparently he's doing well at the debate?
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Mar 11, 2016 05:08
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platzapS posted:Rubio NO in Florida is down in the low eighties. Apparently he's doing well at the debate? He did pretty good, yeah. I don't think it's enough to overcome the 30% of crazy floridians who are staunchly in Trump's camp no matter what, but yeah.
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Mar 11, 2016 05:09
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zen death robot posted:cruz by 2% dude You're probably right. But god dammit. I want to win it all back!!!!
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Mar 11, 2016 05:14
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Here are the final speaking times: Trump: 26:44 Cruz: 22:27 Rubio: 21:28 Kasich: 18:50
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Mar 11, 2016 05:14
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Arkane posted:I'm real close to saying gently caress it and just betting everything against Trump to get blown out next Tuesday. He's gonna win Florida.
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Mar 11, 2016 05:15
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Vox Nihili posted:Here are the final speaking times: Whew. Grats, y'all.
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Mar 11, 2016 05:16
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I'm thinking about buying Huckabee for VP (4c) and flipping after he endorses Trump. Don't know when that will be, but he's basically pro-Trump already and his daughter works for his campaign. Would it be a good bet to flip Carson for VP tomorrow after the endorsement? It already rose to 11c so I don't know if it'll go much further. Edit: Maybe Huck is a bad bet: http://www.buzzfeed.com/mckaycoppins/huckabee-hearts-trump#.neQmdZ1mo quote:Since dropping out, Huckabee hasn’t officially endorsed Trump, but that’s mainly because doing so would complicate his efforts to get a new contract at Fox News, according to two sources familiar with the situation. BrutalistMcDonalds has issued a correction as of 05:25 on Mar 11, 2016 |
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Mar 11, 2016 05:21
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Omi-Polari posted:Edit: Maybe Huck is a bad bet: http://www.buzzfeed.com/mckaycoppins/huckabee-hearts-trump#.neQmdZ1mo
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Mar 11, 2016 05:35
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What are the arguments against betting $850 on Trump NO in Washington DC? No clear alternative?
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Mar 11, 2016 05:57
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People really think that the same state that had Ferguson and the Mizzou circus isn't going to go for Trump? lol
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Mar 11, 2016 06:02
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Arkane posted:What are the arguments against betting $850 on Trump NO in Washington DC? No clear alternative? dc's establishment central
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Mar 11, 2016 06:04
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Arkane posted:What are the arguments against betting $850 on Trump NO in Washington DC? No clear alternative? I have a $750 bet against him there, and yeah, the only concern is a four-way split that he somehow ekes a win out of out. The closest thing we have so far are the results from Arlington, VA, and Trump hardly received any support there (sub-20% iirc).
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Mar 11, 2016 06:05
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i do think trump yes in dc will go up after tonight so it may be best to hold off and buy trump no later. i also wonder how many of the establishment republicans live in arlington and nova vs live in dc. i imagine the r's in dc are by and large rich, and i'm not sure which way they lean in general
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Mar 11, 2016 06:15
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Abel Wingnut posted:i do think trump yes in dc will go up after tonight so it may be best to hold off and buy trump no later. i also wonder how many of the establishment republicans live in arlington and nova vs live in dc. i imagine the r's in dc are by and large rich, and i'm not sure which way they lean in general In 2012 Romney scored 70% of the support available in DC. Ron Paul was second with 12%. Gingrich (the closest thing to Trump???) received 11%. In 2008, McCain won with 67.6% support. Huckabee was second with 16%.
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Mar 11, 2016 06:22
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I wouldn't expect Trump to win DC, but I wouldn't ... underestimate him, either. It's basically a crapshoot. (Betting no on Cruz might be safer, because he's just outright anti-government.) There's anecdotal evidence that Trump has support in the city, but it's quiet and they don't like to talk openly about it. Another thing is that I don't think DC Republicans are so much this stereotype of rich, cocktail party Republicans. They exist, for sure, but it's largely more overworked office bureaucrats who hate their jobs. At least that's my experience with DC people I've known.
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Mar 11, 2016 06:31
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Don't underestimate Trump in DC - he won their straw poll last week http://dcgop.com/donald-trump-wins-district-of-columbia-gop-straw-poll/
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Mar 11, 2016 06:38
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Just checking in to add my name to the people who got killed by the Michigan Democratic primary. RIP, much of my PredictIt balance! I bailed on about 30% of what I had in there - I was not going to be able to access the site from about 9:15 pm to 11:15 pm, and decided that was about what I was willing to risk when it still looked like the outstanding cities might give Hillary the win. Oh well - it's been fun, and I still have a couple hundred dollars in there to continue having fun with.
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Mar 11, 2016 06:51
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Baconomics posted:Don't underestimate Trump in DC - he won their straw poll last week I'd argue that who the gently caress shows up for a straw poll 10 days before the primary, but then who the gently caress shows up for the DC convention? The territories get to pretend like they count in the primaries, but if you live in DC you're 24/7 reminded that you don't count for poo poo when it comes to federal elections.
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Mar 11, 2016 06:55
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Trump better hope he doesn't win, then he can attack the winner of being a Washington insider.
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Mar 11, 2016 07:26
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Arkane posted:I'm real close to saying gently caress it and just betting everything against Trump to get blown out next Tuesday. As soon as you can figure out how Cruz wins Illinois / NC...
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Mar 11, 2016 07:35
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Adar posted:As soon as you can figure out how Cruz wins Illinois / NC... Might as well see if telling people Trump is totally dropping out works.
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Mar 11, 2016 07:38
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Max out on hillary in missouri if you like money
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Mar 11, 2016 15:55
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what makes you say that?
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Mar 11, 2016 17:03
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I'm going to let my pre-Michigan bets ride until after DC convention and I'll let the results dictate whether or not I cash out. Like many of you I ignored that straw poll and went with Trump NO. Ride together, die together.
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Mar 11, 2016 17:07
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If people would just believe Cruz can win in DC I'll be sitting pretty tomorrow. I just need a few cents cheaper NO to ensure I make money on the who knows gamble of DC.
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Mar 11, 2016 17:57
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RNC's master plan of strategic voting to make Cruz the nominee is hitting the presses. BUY BUY BUY Trump!
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Mar 11, 2016 18:12
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Abel Wingnut posted:what makes you say that? Its plausible Hillary loses Missouri but 50/50 odds (and actually, bernie no is at 45 right now) is absurd. I'd take that bet any and everyday.
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Mar 11, 2016 18:27
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Big ole TRUMPMO spike.
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Mar 11, 2016 18:59
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