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When I woke up this morning, there were 230,000 shares outstanding in the Bernie endorsement market, and it was priced at 89 cents. With the official endorsement in and the market effectively over, the number of outstanding shares is now at 234,000 lol. That means the Bern Outs largely did not sell their positions, they rode it to the bitter, bitter end.
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Jul 12, 2016 16:33
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Arkane posted:When I woke up this morning, there were 230,000 shares outstanding in the Bernie endorsement market, and it was priced at 89 cents. Couldn't have happened to more deserving assholes. Really, though, since that was probably the last money they had after losing almost everything else, why not risk it all?
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Jul 12, 2016 16:34
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I don't want to put salt on the wound, but that poo poo was hilarious. The endorsement rally was happening and shares were still at 92c.
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Jul 12, 2016 19:44
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Arkane posted:When I woke up this morning, there were 230,000 shares outstanding in the Bernie endorsement market, and it was priced at 89 cents. Sorry for asking a very dumb question, but how can you tell they didn't sell? How many shares would there have been if they had sold?
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Jul 12, 2016 19:49
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FourLeaf posted:Sorry for asking a very dumb question, but how can you tell they didn't sell? How many shares would there have been if they had sold? 'Outstanding shares' is how many active 'contracts' there are. They can be destroyed by two betters selling on both sides of the market, say in this case 'yes' selling at .95 with a corresponding 'no' selling at .05. The dollar that was used to initially create the contract is then used to settle both parties. If everyone had cleared out of the market there would have been zero outstanding shares.
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Jul 12, 2016 20:00
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However, I don't see how it's proof there were an asston of Bernies. Plenty of people would decline to sell yes at .97, .98, or .99 because they knew it would resolve to 1.0 so there would be no way to kill those outstanding shares, correct?
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Jul 12, 2016 20:06
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Lutha Mahtin posted:So there's a "chart" tab on the main page of linked markets. Mind. Blown. This is really cool.
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Jul 12, 2016 20:12
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Michael Scott posted:However, I don't see how it's proof there were an asston of Bernies. Plenty of people would decline to sell yes at .97, .98, or .99 because they knew it would resolve to 1.0 so there would be no way to kill those outstanding shares, correct? Correct. Both parties have to agree on a price.
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Jul 12, 2016 20:14
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You can tell which side is refusing to sell by seeing how many offers there are on either side, right?
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Jul 12, 2016 20:31
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Yo: https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/752955749953921026?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw https://twitter.com/frankthorp/status/752958582769881089
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Jul 12, 2016 21:12
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BUT WAIT!!! https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/752959585254866944
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Jul 12, 2016 21:18
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 https://twitter.com/CNBCnow/status/752967275297275904
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Jul 12, 2016 21:49
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Gingrich is bottle rocketing but still under .50
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Jul 12, 2016 21:51
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lol if u bet on believing you can read trump's mind though
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Jul 12, 2016 21:56
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Hmm, yes. Fox wouldn't want to tarnish their sterling reputation.
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Jul 12, 2016 22:18
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Gyges posted:Hmm, yes. Fox wouldn't want to tarnish their sterling reputation. They play decent lip service to it. If you're an active declared candidate they generally won't have you as a talking head. (Publicly considering a run, however, is A-OK to stay on board) This is the strongest Pro-Newt wormsign yet.
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Jul 13, 2016 01:34
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Necc0 posted:Gingrich is bottle rocketing but still under .50 I bought 1000 shares back at 15c and sold at 20c just prior to the rush. So bitter right now.
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Jul 13, 2016 02:35
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Hey necco I'm holding onto these dws.no shares even though they're down to 8c now. Is that spite or pragmatism? I honestly can't tell.
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Jul 13, 2016 09:03
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I don't think you give a drat about D-team workings so I'm gonna go with pragmatism. I can't read your heart's true feelings though ~~~
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Jul 13, 2016 16:10
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Is anyone buying Pence Yes at 55-60? I've got a rough NO position (thought he would peak at like 15...) but it seems like it's him so I'm considering biting the bullet and selling NOs. But on the other hand, that's the same as buying YES and I'm not sure I'd buy YES at 58. Edit: If Clinton picks Perez or Brown I'll be happy though. Much bigger position in DVP, and sold a chunk of my Perez shares in the high 20s the other day so I'm already in the black there. Unless Clinton picks Warren or Castro. Kaine will be a wash.
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Jul 13, 2016 16:57
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SurgicalOntologist posted:Is anyone buying Pence Yes at 55-60? I've got a rough NO position (thought he would peak at like 15...) but it seems like it's him so I'm considering biting the bullet and selling NOs. But on the other hand, that's the same as buying YES and I'm not sure I'd buy YES at 58. I keep thinking the market is running out of time for me to do another massive buy/sell on swings this week, but it's happened twice a day every day, so who knows. My big money winning positions in RVP are Newt, Pence, Flynn/Christie, in that order, but will probably change 10 more times today Only Kaine nets me anything real on the D side - anyone else I'm just a bit down over there
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Jul 13, 2016 17:11
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Fox and Newt just ended their contract yesterday, citing suddenly caring about employing a potential VP pick. At around the same time Trump made it clear the pick would be announced on Friday. Which means that  is the most likely to be picked. Remembering that things are still left up to Trump's "good brain" to finalize things, so anything could still happen.
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Jul 13, 2016 17:18
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Trump is meeting with Pence, Gingrich, and Christie in Indiana to tell them he has picked Rick Scott.
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Jul 13, 2016 17:46
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Necc0 posted:I don't think you give a drat about D-team workings so I'm gonna go with pragmatism. Haha sorry man, drunk posted last night about my eight hundo loss there.
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Jul 13, 2016 17:56
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EngineerSean posted:Haha sorry man, drunk posted last night about my eight hundo loss there. loving Huffington Post
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Jul 13, 2016 20:13
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EngineerSean posted:Haha sorry man, drunk posted last night about my eight hundo loss there. 
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Jul 13, 2016 20:13
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I feel better about my babby $100, you'll make back that 8 in no time flat bud.
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Jul 13, 2016 20:38
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I'm actually even this week because i made money betting on polls. I also max bet rvpwoman.no and that looks like it's gonna pay off. Edit: also really hoping it's Gingrich or Christie EngineerSean has issued a correction as of 21:08 on Jul 13, 2016 |
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Jul 13, 2016 21:03
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fundraising #s coming in a week from today (I think the 20th?) - the Johnson market still seems way out of whack: https://www.predictit.org/Market/2239/What-will-Gary-Johnson's-monthly-fundraising-be-for-June 73/77c bid/ask for >$1M... He raised $350K last month
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Jul 13, 2016 21:22
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pathetic little tramp posted:Trump is meeting with Pence, Gingrich, and Christie in Indiana to tell them he has picked Rick Scott. one time baby one time
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Jul 13, 2016 22:06
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Yeah, there was a story yesterday(?) about DWS basically getting to sit and stew until November as a sop to Obama, but her actual DNC-related responsibilities are farmed out to a Clinton lackey--with several repeated statements to the effect of that the heat was off her to be removed or to step down. So, yeah. I still have some shares that will recoup my losses if a miracle happens, but I exited out of that market.
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Jul 13, 2016 23:14
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It's Trump-Pence. I'll make a few dollars getting in at $0.87
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Jul 14, 2016 17:39
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I'll make more dollars getting in at 0.13 and waiting for Trump's ego to make him change his mind at the last minute to prove the media wrong, what we in the biz call the Vince Russo Gambit.
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Jul 14, 2016 17:42
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I actually chose to get out at .92 because Trump is insane. Nothing matters.
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Jul 14, 2016 17:54
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I stopped paying attention for like 18 hours, anyone know why PEREZ.DVP16 is down?
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Jul 14, 2016 18:35
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I bought like 100 shares of gingrich for VP @ 5 cents because I assume there is a high chance that Trump is trolling national republicans. The market is up to 11 cents a share now. Clearly I wasn't the only one who thought that.
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Jul 14, 2016 19:41
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You and me both. Tomorrow is going to be fun.
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Jul 14, 2016 20:19
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You haven't sold them yet?
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Jul 14, 2016 20:21
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Johnson 8% NO for 7/31 is at 66 at the moment. Unless he gets another pair of 10s during the RNC and DNC this market is done.
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Jul 14, 2016 21:15
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Michael Scott posted:You haven't sold them yet? I sold them at 18 and then rebought them at ten. Lotta mini swings.
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Jul 14, 2016 22:47
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