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namaste faggots posted:look you stupid loving innumerate gender studies majors, trump has no loving chance so shut uppppp 538 had it at 80/20 chance of Clinton victory a month ago vs. 60/40 today. What are they going to have it at next month, or on Nov. 7? It's pretty drat close to meaningless at this point. Especially if some poo poo happens (like Clinton gets indicted).
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Jul 22, 2016 00:45
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Clinton's not getting indicted.
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Jul 22, 2016 00:49
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Trapick posted:Especially if some poo poo happens (like Clinton gets indicted). Do people actually think this still has a chance of happening lmao
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Jul 22, 2016 00:50
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i'm not saying silver is infallible. he's a pretty poo poo journalist and his blog is dumb as hell.
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Jul 22, 2016 00:51
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Trapick posted:538 had it at 80/20 chance of Clinton victory a month ago vs. 60/40 today. What are they going to have it at next month, or on Nov. 7? It's pretty drat close to meaningless at this point. Especially if some poo poo happens (like Clinton gets indicted). this is what happens when you raise a generation of kids on promoting their self esteem instead of making them fail at hard subjects like math everyone
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Jul 22, 2016 00:52
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Trapick posted:538 had it at 80/20 chance of Clinton victory a month ago vs. 60/40 today. What are they going to have it at next month, or on Nov. 7? It's pretty drat close to meaningless at this point. Especially if some poo poo happens (like Clinton gets indicted). Clinton is officially not getting indicted. Brexit comparisons are meaningless because Brexit didn't have an electoral college. Democrats currently have a built in advantage in electoral college votes and can lose a number of swing states while still winning the election with safe blue states.  Four years ago Obama proved that you can lose white male voters by a significant margin and still win the election, and lmao if you think Trump is improving on Romney's numbers with minorities or women. Trump is fighting a poorly organized uphill battle against a very well-oiled political machine that will feature Clinton's chief rival for the nomination and a popular incumbent president both campaigning hard for her. We shouldn't start panicking that Trump is going to win the election, repeal NAFTA, annex Canada, and then not defend the arctic just yet.
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Jul 22, 2016 00:53
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The Butcher posted:I warned both you guys and the Americans months ago So where can I get in on that action?
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Jul 22, 2016 01:02
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quote:
http://m.scmp.com/news/world/united...PSocialNewsfeed lmao what a cuck Busted for smuggling ice wine
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Jul 22, 2016 01:19
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Trapick posted:538 had it at 80/20 chance of Clinton victory a month ago vs. 60/40 today. What are they going to have it at next month, or on Nov. 7? It's pretty drat close to meaningless at this point. Especially if some poo poo happens (like Clinton gets indicted). A successful terrorist attack on home turf between now and the election would pretty much seal the deal for Trump. Excelsiortothemax posted:So where can I get in on that action? The site I did it on closed betting on that one but typically sports gambling websites do specials for big political events, just google em. I placed that one before Trump got the nomination, so the odds will be much tighter at this point. There are prediction markets as well if that's more your speed. Fun to get a bit of skin in the game for this kinda poo poo. If I win I'm buying myself a nice bottle of scotch to drink while watching the world burn. The Butcher fucked around with this message at 02:42 on Jul 22, 2016 |
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Jul 22, 2016 02:28
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namaste faggots posted:http://m.scmp.com/news/world/united...PSocialNewsfeed That is the wussiest thing to smuggle ever. Sauternes is better anyway, gently caress icewine. EDIT: Actually all botrytized wines are better than icewines, and many of them are a good deal cheaper. PT6A fucked around with this message at 02:45 on Jul 22, 2016 |
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Jul 22, 2016 02:41
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namaste faggots posted:http://m.scmp.com/news/world/united...PSocialNewsfeed Uh, this is mainland China we're talking about here. Far more likely a local official was missed at bribe time and/or needed some pallets of ice wine for the next Communist party. Bit like civil forfeiture in the States where a government official can claim the wet green tea leaves they found in your garbage was  and seize your house.OTOH the dude hung out with Harper so maybe they'll put him in with the Falun Gong prisoners and live harvest his organs. edit: The blog is called "Hongcouver".  I guess a racial slur from my student days has been rehabilitated?
Hexigrammus fucked around with this message at 03:48 on Jul 22, 2016 |
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Jul 22, 2016 03:45
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Hexigrammus posted:the next Communist party that's gonna be my next nickname
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Jul 22, 2016 03:58
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Hexigrammus posted:OTOH the dude hung out with Harper so maybe they'll put him in with the Falun Gong prisoners and live harvest his organs. Odd aside, but there was a woman at Bloor and Lansdowne today, collecting signatures for a petition to end organ harvesting in China. I wasn't aware that was policy. Also, I'm unsure how much Canada has to say on the subject.
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Jul 22, 2016 04:06
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Hexigrammus posted:edit: The blog is called "Hongcouver". Read: http://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/1947202/if-name-hongcouver-blog-racist-what-about-vanchina Ian Young posted:PS: I have recently considered changing the blog’s name to the VanChina Monologues, but I doubt this would get past my editor. 
The Butcher fucked around with this message at 05:33 on Jul 22, 2016 |
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Jul 22, 2016 05:31
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namaste faggots posted:this is what happens when you raise a generation of kids on promoting their self esteem instead of making them fail at hard subjects like math everyone
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Jul 22, 2016 07:19
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I was thinking today how great it would be to live in the v4g 1n4 area code. That's my shitpost for the day, welp, cya.
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Jul 22, 2016 07:22
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Trapick posted:But too many roads lead to Trump. Two roads diverged in a yellow wood, And sorry I could not travel both And be one traveler, long I stood And looked down one as far as I could To where it bent in the undergrowth; ... I shall be telling this with a sigh Somewhere ages and ages hence: Two roads diverged in a wood, and I— I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference. 
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Jul 22, 2016 07:25
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Meat Recital posted:I was thinking today how great it would be to live in the v4g 1n4 area code. That's my shitpost for the day, welp, cya. No it's not, you'd be in Delta.
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Jul 22, 2016 07:27
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Meat Recital posted:I was thinking today how great it would be to live in the v4g 1n4 area code. That's my shitpost for the day, welp, cya. Tilbury Island looks like a lovely place to live, so not great, conversational area code notwithstanding
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Jul 22, 2016 07:28
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less than three posted:No it's not, you'd be in Delta. Being from Delta is my biggest shame
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Jul 22, 2016 07:33
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At least it has good tandoori
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Jul 22, 2016 08:14
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Not that loving garbage from vijs I loving hate that place
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Jul 22, 2016 08:15
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vyelkin posted:Democrats currently have a built in advantage in electoral college votes and can lose a number of swing states while still winning the election with safe blue states. Trapick posted:My math is fine, thanks. I'll start paying attentions to Silver's continually-updating forecasts the minute he starts accepting bets against them (at odds tied to the current forecast). Nov. 8th is >3 months away; saying that Clinton has a 60.2% of winning doesn't mean a whole lot. A hundred different global or domestic events could seriously shift things one way or the other. Do I think it's going to be Clinton? Absolutely. But too many roads lead to Trump.  This is the 2012 election, with a +5% swing to the GOP (a further .7% swing or so would flip Colorado). e: Also, when bringing up Brexit, it's important to note the U.S. is not nearly as white as the U.K. SoggyBobcat fucked around with this message at 08:22 on Jul 22, 2016 |
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Jul 22, 2016 08:19
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namaste faggots posted:this is what happens when you raise a generation of kids on promoting their self esteem instead of making them fail at hard subjects like math everyone Really blows my mind how few people actually understand probabilities
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Jul 22, 2016 10:35
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namaste faggots posted:http://m.scmp.com/news/world/united...PSocialNewsfeed and here I thought an ethnic han would understand just how loving POPULAR that poo poo is in asia my 2nd year in korea I brought my co-teachers, principal and vice-principal little bottles of ice wine and holy poo poo you'd thought I had given them holy water, I got so much leeway from them after that
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Jul 22, 2016 14:32
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Respect for public servants indeed. Six months for this breach to make its way from "senior officials" to the Minister. Foote is not very good at her job.quote:A dysfunctional compensation system that's withholding paycheques from federal workers has also been breaching their privacy, CBC News has learned.
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Jul 22, 2016 15:51
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vyelkin posted:Trump is fighting a poorly organized uphill battle against a very well-oiled political machine that will feature Clinton's chief rival for the nomination and a popular incumbent president both campaigning hard for her. I agree it's unlikely that Trump will win, I just would feel much more comfortable if some moderately bright mid-level bureaucrats are working on some contingency plans now. I mean, the absolutely worst thing that could come from creating plans is that some government workers did some useful training. But if Trump is elected, having something already down on paper would make a big difference for the government's response.
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Jul 22, 2016 16:08
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Break off diplomatic relations with the USA if Trump wins, imo
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Jul 22, 2016 16:11
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CLAM DOWN posted:Break off  I think being a little worried is a valid response. But its not worth building a bunker over. Half he poo poo he claims he would do would never get passed in the political system even if he did somehow win.
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Jul 22, 2016 16:27
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Furnaceface posted:
Why did Bugs Bunny also cut off Canada's territories?
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Jul 22, 2016 18:16
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namaste faggots posted:Not that loving garbage from vijs I usually enjoy your gimmick but today you crossed a line.
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Jul 22, 2016 18:43
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infernal machines posted:Odd aside, but there was a woman at Bloor and Lansdowne today, collecting signatures for a petition to end organ harvesting in China. Yeah, to me it sounded like the usual accusations of cannibalism leveled by one group at another they want to paint as "primitives". And then some archaeologist goes and digs up a cache of human bones with butcher cuts on them. Don't know anything about the group publishing the report but some of the evidence seems solid - scientific papers on how to properly stop a beating heart and heparinize it before cutting it out, and the patents for the brain stem injury inducing machine are a bit . There's also a voice recording floating around of a investigator posing as a potential patient discussing live vs dead transplant organs and being assured she would only be getting the very best quality live organs. That and the 680 page report are guaranteed to ruin your day.  We probably have as much to say about this as we do about the U.S. executing mentally handicapped people or randomly shooting melanin endowed citizens. We should probably make sure though that anyone who likes standing around in parks listening to their breathing is classified as a political refugee so they can get the hell out of mainland China.
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Jul 22, 2016 19:09
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Health Services posted:I agree it's unlikely that Trump will win, I just would feel much more comfortable if some moderately bright mid-level bureaucrats are working on some contingency plans now. I mean, the absolutely worst thing that could come from creating plans is that some government workers did some useful training. But if Trump is elected, having something already down on paper would make a big difference for the government's response. You'd probably feel much more comfortable if the democrats didn't pick the absolute worst possible choice to run. If they would of picked the guy who mops the floor at the DNC we'd probably be looking at a Mondale level rear end kicking of Trump.
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Jul 22, 2016 19:16
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Hexigrammus posted:And then some archaeologist goes and digs up a cache of human bones with butcher cuts on them. Well, this is horrifying. Thank you.
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Jul 22, 2016 19:20
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namaste faggots posted:Not that loving garbage from vijs There's some off-shoot in Victoria people were raving about that just does take-out lunch stuff but with all the sauces and everything direct from vijs. It tasted fully mall food-court quality in a lovely little cardboard box with a plastic fork and lunch-for-one portions for like $17.
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Jul 22, 2016 19:24
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Hey V6TA I'm in Calgary in two weeks, is Charcut as good as it sounds?
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Jul 22, 2016 19:33
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MA-Horus posted:Hey V6TA I'm in Calgary in two weeks, is Charcut as good as it sounds? Gaucho Brazilian Barbecue is a phenomenal place to eat.
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Jul 22, 2016 19:42
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Here's how a calgarian cooks steak: 1) burn the gently caress out of it 2) lol
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Jul 22, 2016 19:50
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SoggyBobcat posted:Not just the Electoral College: the Democrats have won the popular vote in five of the last six elections. The Republicans have been facing a huge uphill battle in presidential elections for over twenty years now. The problem here is that unexpected events could shift the race in ways that are difficult to predict. A major terrorist attack, an assassination, etc. No electoral model could possibly have predicted that RFK would be murdered just prior to the end of the primary but it happened and the political ramifications of that single event are still felt today. The conventional picture says Trump will lose, what is puzzling is that people are apparently unaware that the intervening months may change this situation in ways that the model can't predict. People who are claiming to be good at maths are somehow mistaking a low probability event for an impossibility.
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Jul 22, 2016 19:54
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namaste faggots posted:Here's how a calgarian cooks steak: 3) ketchup
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Jul 22, 2016 19:56
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