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Are weekend polls just consistently skewing Clinton? Is that a thing?
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Oct 17, 2016 19:40
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Complaint Compilation posted:I am just watching some political clippages, and it struck me - We are living in an unfunny south park episode. Uh actually I think you will find that this is impossible, seeing as how South Park has never produced an unfunny episode.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:40
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Mr Hootington posted:Sorry. I meant by insane person Donald Trump not the debate moderators. I wasn't clear who would talk about it. The word patriot has been so overused and warpped it means literally nothing.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:41
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Honestly out of the candidates, Trump is probably the one who'd develop some health problem and die in his first term, he's an old fat guy who probably has a bunch of STIs. Now, Gary Johnson, there's a healthy-looking fella.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:42
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Sensible Thursday posted:Are weekend polls just consistently skewing Clinton? Is that a thing? On the weekend I'm like "yeah HRC!!" but once monday morning hits I'm all like "burn it all to the ground" Red Bones posted:Honestly out of the candidates, Trump is probably the one who'd develop some health problem and die in his first term, he's an old fat guy who probably has a bunch of STIs. Now, Gary Johnson, there's a healthy-looking fella. *sniffle*
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Oct 17, 2016 19:43
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You know, every time I heard Trump complaining about the media rigging the election or whatnot I just remember that time he promised to drop a huge press release and ended up giving a 30 minute speech about how great his new hotel is. I think that was the turning point for when the media decided "gently caress this guy".
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Oct 17, 2016 19:43
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BadOptics posted:The word patriot has been so overused and warpped it means literally nothing. It means he will respect the validity of the popular vote as the will of the majority of the populace and continue to work within the framework that the founding fathers enacted in order to bring about political change in the elections to come.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:44
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Minimalist Program posted:Uh actually I think you will find that this is impossible, seeing as how South Park has never produced an unfunny episode. The hallucinogenic cat-pee one was awesome.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:44
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OctaMurk posted:On the weekend I'm like "yeah HRC!!" but once monday morning hits I'm all like "burn it all to the ground" Different people are likely to answer the phone for pollsters on weekends.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:45
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BadOptics posted:The word patriot has been so overused and warpped it means literally nothing. It really isn't as far as I see it. It has a hell of alot more solid connotation now with militia types. Like that guy. Overpuffed nationalism to the point of violent fervor. A PATRIOT. Complaint Compilation fucked around with this message at 19:48 on Oct 17, 2016 |
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Oct 17, 2016 19:45
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Lightning Knight posted:Nevermind that the greatest (or perhaps second greatest, depending on your point of view) American President was a wheelchair bound invalid who couldn't keep it in his pants. He also saved the republic from the Great Depression and helped defeat global fascism. Health doesn't mean poo poo when she's running with a competent successor, and the type of person who cares about her health should be happy a religious straight white older man is there to take the lead if she dies.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:48
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BadOptics posted:The word patriot has been so overused and warpped it means literally nothing. i liked it when those sovereign citizens in oregon were calling themselves patriots while hating the government
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Oct 17, 2016 19:50
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  What I've been waiting to see for MONTHS
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Oct 17, 2016 19:50
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Pretty wild for that to change so fast. Even last week it was closer to 52/48ish
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Oct 17, 2016 19:52
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Happy to see Reid's seat may be safe, and we may even pick up Blunt's seat, too
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Oct 17, 2016 19:54
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FactsAreUseless posted:Roosevelt's death lead to the destruction of millions of minorities at the hands of Harry "The S Is For Slaughter" Truman. I'm voting for Trump. Do they count as a minority if you kill them in a country where they are the majority? Are white people actually a world wide minority?
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Oct 17, 2016 19:55
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They seem to be really overestimating the Dem's chances of winning Nevada. I'm guessing it is some combo of a huge outlier poll (D+8 when the average was R+1) and giving weight to Hillary's national trend? PA and NH Senate polls are also all over the place and I will not stop Arzying about either of them until they stay consistently good or election day; whichever comes first.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:55
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And this is why the GOP's threats to hold out on Supreme Court nominee's is likely going to fail before it starts, because regardless of their support/removal of support from Trump, their party is hitched to a spacewreck that is currently burning up on reentry.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:56
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Eugene V. Dabs posted:Happy to see Reid's seat may be safe, and we may even pick up Blunt's seat, too God I hope. I am so glad that the DNC is kicking some money out here. I've gotten so many stupid mailers about how Jason Kander doesn't do his job and Roy Blunt is a stand up guy. God is the election over yet? comingafteryouall posted:Do they count as a minority if you kill them in a country where they are the majority? Given the number of people in India and the number of people in China, I'm willing to play the odds and say that yes, White people are a minority world wide.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:56
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Eugene V. Dabs posted:Happy to see Reid's seat may be safe, and we may even pick up Blunt's seat, too It's a potential 7 seat shift in play now. if this stays like this It makes you wonder how much of an impact it will have on the house. It will still be red almost assuredly but it'd be nice for a friendlier congress in general.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:56
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:They seem to be really overestimating the Dem's chances of winning Nevada. I'm guessing it is some combo of a huge outlier poll (D+8 when the average was R+1) and giving weight to Hillary's national trend? Polls only has Dems squeaking NV, too. So no, it's not just Hillary's numbers that are driving it up.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:57
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I'm late, but man, that Obama news about him working with Holder to end gerrymandering is great. Gerrymandering ending has been one of my dream "if Democrats win" things since the primaries, and that it's already a major goal is incredibly heartening. Now to catch up on the rest of the thread and see if there's any major things in the last ten pages.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:58
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Eugene V. Dabs posted:Happy to see Reid's seat may be safe, and we may even pick up Blunt's seat, too As a lifelong Marylander it's nice and of course expected that Van Hollen win, but it's still hard picturing a Senate where Mikulski is not reppin' me.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:58
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Eugene V. Dabs posted:Polls only has Dems squeaking NV, too. So no, it's not just Hillary's numbers that are driving it up. Yeah, but there haven't been a ton of polls recently and one of the 3 most recent ones seems like a huge outlier (Cortez +8; when all of the rest have been Heck +1 or 2 or Cortez +1), so I hope we get some more polls of NV-Sen soon. Because that poll is either a huge outlier that is making NV lean Dem or it could be a harbinger.
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Oct 17, 2016 19:59
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Sensible Thursday posted:Are weekend polls just consistently skewing Clinton? Is that a thing? Clinton is leading by an average of +7 with polling continuing to lean her way. CNN/ORC state polls were all taken last week with some pre-debate.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:00
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Was there any more substantial evidence or analysis regarding Assange having been grooming kids and that being why his internet access was shut down?
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Oct 17, 2016 20:00
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ND judge rejected the charges against Amy Goodman.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:01
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:They seem to be really overestimating the Dem's chances of winning Nevada. I'm guessing it is some combo of a huge outlier poll (D+8 when the average was R+1) and giving weight to Hillary's national trend? If 2012 is anything to go by, Nevada goes much more blue than it polls.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:01
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greatn posted:Was there any more substantial evidence or analysis regarding Assange having been grooming kids and that being why his internet access was shut down? Nothing concrete. Some suspicion that it happened at the same time as the RT news bank accounts being frozen. FlamingLiberal posted:ND judge rejected the charges against Amy Goodman. He knows it won't stick, probably, and he's not going to run a case against the 1st Amendment.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:02
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CommieGIR posted:And this is why the GOP's threats to hold out on Supreme Court nominee's is likely going to fail before it starts, because regardless of their support/removal of support from Trump, their party is hitched to a spacewreck that is currently burning up on reentry. I hope Hillary nominates the youngest, most liberal justice ever. gently caress these guys so hard, this is now just childish.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:02
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WampaLord posted:You can just say South Park episode. Speaking of shows almost universally hated/watched by goons, Family Guy had an unusually topical cutaway gag last night, Peter and Trump on the Access Hollywood bus. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDAinHgaViI I can't remember Family Guy ever having something this current in an episode, though I guess it doesn't take much to slightly edit the cutaway setup and swap in a non-animated bit.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:04
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When Hillary wins I want her inauguration speech to just be five minutes of her doing her best Sideshow Bob style laugh as she slowly tears apart a stuffed toy red elephant on top of the podium
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Oct 17, 2016 20:04
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703 posted:I hope Hillary nominates the youngest, most liberal justice ever. gently caress these guys so hard, this is now just childish. Apparently that was Joseph Story in 1812 at age 32. Are we ready for a Millenial justice?
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Oct 17, 2016 20:05
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:They seem to be really overestimating the Dem's chances of winning Nevada. I'm guessing it is some combo of a huge outlier poll (D+8 when the average was R+1) and giving weight to Hillary's national trend? Nevada typically polls better for Republicans in presidential years than it ends up being because one of the biggest voting blocks in NV are Latino/Hispanics who are notoriously difficult to poll and ESPECIALLY so in NV where they largely work in shift work. HRC has a way better field operation than Trump in NV. In the Senate race, Heck isn't well liked or well supported by state Republicans and the race has turned pretty negative. It likely floats on turnout and top of the ticket. It's prolly going to be a pick up. The last four polls of NV Senate: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/nv/nevada_senate_heck_vs_cortez_masto-5982.html PA and NH will prolly also come down to turnout and margin at the top of the ticket, but McGinty and Hasan are likely going to win.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:05
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Spiffster posted:It's a potential 7 seat shift in play now. if this stays like this It makes you wonder how much of an impact it will have on the house. It will still be red almost assuredly but it'd be nice for a friendlier congress in general. Yeah I think a small R majority is actually better (for future races) than a small D majority in the house. Ryan being beholden to the freedom caucus - or alternatively forming a majority coalition with the Dems and moderate republicans - would play well in 2018 and 2020, IMO
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Oct 17, 2016 20:05
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aBagorn posted:Yeah I think a small R majority is actually better (for future races) than a small D majority in the house. That sounds like a recipe for horrific and destructive legislation.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:06
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Oh hey who wants MORE POLLS https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/788093114078593024?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Oct 17, 2016 20:06
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Mahoning posted:So was Obama's. And we all know he's not eligible. No caesarian sections and/or no Alexander Hamiltons. 
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Oct 17, 2016 20:07
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Bernie looks ahead Good read
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Oct 17, 2016 20:07
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DaveWoo posted:Oh hey who wants MORE POLLS Ohio continues to be awful. Trump is done without Florida though and HRC has had a narrow lead there in every single poll in the last week and a half.
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Oct 17, 2016 20:08
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