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Instant Sunrise
Apr 12, 2007


The manger babies don't have feelings. You said it yourself.

Young Freud posted:

Hank Hill would vote Clinton just because of Trump's love of eating shoe leather. That would be worse than a weak handshake.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=amKyA2PrSu4

Hank would ticket split and vote for hillary reluctantly.

Peggy would vote for Hillary because it's time a woman was president.

Dale wouldn't vote because crooked hillary is rigging the election anyway. Also that's how the government can track you, look it up on infowars dot com.

Bill would fall in with the alt-right and go full #MAGA and just embarrass himself. He'd snap out of it and be real embarrassed and end up writing in Ann Richards.

Boomhauer would vote, but never tell anybody who he voted for because that dang ol ballot supposed to be secret man.

Luanne would vote for Gloria La Riva.

Lucky would vote for trump because he's gonna make america great again.

Kahn would vote for whoever Ted Wassanasong is voting for.

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M_Gargantua
Oct 16, 2006

STOMP'N ON INTO THE POWERLINES

Exciting Lemon
How does wikileaks have any sort of warchest to bankroll the sort of legal muscle you'd need to enforce their ridiculous NDA anyway? There must be a ton of clauses in it that a US attorney could get stricken.

Quorum
Sep 24, 2014

REMIND ME AGAIN HOW THE LITTLE HORSE-SHAPED ONES MOVE?

Phone posted:

Wow, that was uh... A Thing. He kept up his sign the NDA schtick for two hours at 4am? Ughhhhhh

And then poked the guy in the face with a stuffed giraffe. :psyduck:

Furnaceface
Oct 21, 2004




Phone posted:

Wow, that was uh... A Thing. He kept up his sign the NDA schtick for two hours at 4am? Ughhhhhh

He is a narcissistic sociopath.

Dr.Zeppelin
Dec 5, 2003

has anyone posted this high-energy bio of mike cernovich yet

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/10/31/trolls-for-trump

this quote in particular seems like it explains pretty much everything about him except for why his eyes are so close together

quote:

After law school, his wife became a successful attorney in Silicon Valley. But Cernovich was not admitted to the California bar until nine years after getting his law degree. In the meantime, he says, he got by with “freelance legal research” and “appellate stuff.” Cernovich’s wife earned millions of dollars in stock from an I.P.O.; he told me that he received “seven figures” in the divorce settlement. This seems to have been, and might still be, his primary source of funds. (He insists that book sales provide his main income.)

GalacticAcid
Apr 8, 2013

NEW YORK VALUES

Dr.Zeppelin posted:

has anyone posted this high-energy bio of mike cernovich yet

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/10/31/trolls-for-trump

this quote in particular seems like it explains pretty much everything about him except for why his eyes are so close together

:lol: this owns

Tricky Ed
Aug 18, 2010

It is important to avoid confusion. This is the one that's okay to lick.



I've been waiting for, essentially, this Trump video to drop since he accepted the nomination.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tz6e0c3ZOlw

Unfortunately even that Snidely Whiplash level of elitism probably wouldn't lose his base, but it'd be fun.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Well, that's distrubing.

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008


You don't. But Wikileaks doesn't print everything that they receive, either, so it's not like that's a solved problem.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

porfiria posted:

I feel like the whole field kicker/whatever other example you want to present is in some ways misleading, and maybe points to the limitations of assigning probabilities to stuff like this. Barring either massive systematic polling error or some kind of truly apocalyptic scandal, it seems like Trump's chances of winning are basically 0. Like if you run an Earth simulation 100 times from today Trump wins in 8 of them? That's not really what the probability is saying right? It's more like a confidence thing and the outcome is pretty much unchangeable now, it's just (slightly?) unknowable--are those two different things? They seem like they are.

Edit: Like Sam Wang's 99% at PEC seems a bit more philosophically correct at this point.

Really, instead of trying to find analogies like field goal misses and the like, we should be focusing on what the chance of Trump winning really is. It's the statistical chance that everything we know is wrong. It's not an event that rests on some place kicker holding the ball wrong, or the field being wet. It's more like being struck by lightning or being hit by a meteorite.

Of course, given the way it works, there's an equal chance that the polls are just as wrong in the other direction. Hillary is about as likely to get 538 electoral college votes as Trump is to win.

Mulva
Sep 13, 2011
It's about time for my once per decade ban for being a consistently terrible poster.

Rated PG-34 posted:

Welp, that's lame that wikileaks has gone downhill. I've always thought that Assange was probably a bit of a shady guy, but I didn't think that precluded wikileaks from doing their job. Given that they were once labeled "enemy of the state", maybe it's due to some active undermining by establishment forces.

Nah, everyone else that made up the original wikileaks left because he was an rear end in a top hat, and everyone he got to pick up the slack is more interested in him than any particular ideological mission of truth. Nothing particularly complicated about it.

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.
Sorry guys. It was a joke based on the lovely football game that I wasn't really forced to watch, but like it was on TV and I didn't feel like trying to find anything else on.

Admiral Ray
May 17, 2014

Proud Musk and Dogecoin fanboy

Dexo posted:

Sorry guys. It was a joke based on the lovely football game that I wasn't really forced to watch, but like it was on TV and I didn't feel like trying to find anything else on.

Nah, it's good. It gets the people going.

Besides, most people will only remember every 29 yard miss they see because they're so significant. Like this election.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000
Okay if you don't think that Cardinals-Hawks games was loving great then you don't understand football, or sports.

Heck Yes! Loam!
Nov 15, 2004

a rich, friable soil containing a relatively equal mixture of sand and silt and a somewhat smaller proportion of clay.

Kilroy posted:

Okay if you don't think that Cardinals-Hawks games was loving great then you don't understand football, or sports.

Or we just don't give a poo poo.

Svanja
Sep 19, 2009

Dexo posted:

Sorry guys. It was a joke based on the lovely football game that I wasn't really forced to watch, but like it was on TV and I didn't feel like trying to find anything else on.

I was forced to watch since my husband grabbed the remote after my show finished. I couldn't believe that ending and I felt so bad for those kickers.

So I was excited I understood your joke. 🤓

Boon
Jun 21, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Kilroy posted:

Okay if you don't think that Cardinals-Hawks games was loving great then you don't understand football, or sports.

First: gently caress the NFC West.

Second: The first half of the Vikings-Eagles was the best 30 minutes of football today.

That is all.

Assepoester
Jul 18, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
Melman v2

Rated PG-34 posted:

Why all the hate for wikileaks? Assuming their leaks are credible, aren't they just doing their jobs? Sure, the alternative of voting for Hillary is more or less voting for an orange clown, but that's not the fault of wikileaks.
https://twitter.com/Snowden/status/758759203037151232


Roland Jones posted:

Assange is a rapist and an rear end in a top hat, they're being highly selective with what they leak and refuse to leak stuff that makes Trump, Republicans, or Russia look bad, they're apparently actively working with Russia now, and some of their things may outright be doctored. Basically, they suck as much as you'd expect an organization that claims to be pro-transparency but makes its members sign NDAs forbidding them from saying certain things about it to suck, i.e. A lot.

Edit: Oh, and their Twitter account is openly anti-Semitic, as a bonus.
Reminder:

http://reason.com/archives/2010/12/14/the-assange-employees/print
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2010/12/wikileaks_may_employ_an_antise.html
http://gawker.com/5773533/julian-assange-my-enemies-are-all-jews-and-sissies
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2011/mar/01/julian-assange-jewish-conspiracy-comments
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2011/03/is_julian_assange_an_anti-semi.html
https://www.greenleft.org.au/content/principles-should-determine-preferences

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Phone posted:

Wow, that was uh... A Thing. He kept up his sign the NDA schtick for two hours at 4am? Ughhhhhh

In an ironic twist of fate, WikiLeaks turns out to employ Enhanced Interrogation Techniques

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Instant Sunrise posted:

Hank would ticket split and vote for hillary reluctantly.

Peggy would vote for Hillary because it's time a woman was president.

Dale wouldn't vote because crooked hillary is rigging the election anyway. Also that's how the government can track you, look it up on infowars dot com.

Bill would fall in with the alt-right and go full #MAGA and just embarrass himself. He'd snap out of it and be real embarrassed and end up writing in Ann Richards.

Boomhauer would vote, but never tell anybody who he voted for because that dang ol ballot supposed to be secret man.

Luanne would vote for Gloria La Riva.

Lucky would vote for trump because he's gonna make america great again.

Kahn would vote for whoever Ted Wassanasong is voting for.

Is King of the Hill a conservative show? If it is it might be the only good conservative show that's ever existed.

boner confessor
Apr 25, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Fojar38 posted:

Is King of the Hill a conservative show? If it is it might be the only good conservative show that's ever existed.

its a show that sympathetically portrays conservative, suburban america without glorifying it or refusing to poke fun at it

Casimir Radon
Aug 2, 2008


Fojar38 posted:

Is King of the Hill a conservative show? If it is it might be the only good conservative show that's ever existed.
No, not really. They're just written realistically.

Loel
Jun 4, 2012

"For the Emperor."

There was a terrible noise.
There was a terrible silence.



Instant Sunrise posted:

Hank would ticket split and vote for hillary reluctantly.

Peggy would vote for Hillary because it's time a woman was president.

Dale wouldn't vote because crooked hillary is rigging the election anyway. Also that's how the government can track you, look it up on infowars dot com.

Bill would fall in with the alt-right and go full #MAGA and just embarrass himself. He'd snap out of it and be real embarrassed and end up writing in Ann Richards.

Boomhauer would vote, but never tell anybody who he voted for because that dang ol ballot supposed to be secret man.

Luanne would vote for Gloria La Riva.

Lucky would vote for trump because he's gonna make america great again.

Kahn would vote for whoever Ted Wassanasong is voting for.

https://www.reddit.com/r/KingOfTheHill/comments/4v5n2u/a_response_to_would_hank_vote_for_trump/

quote:

Hank: "Yep."
Bill: "Yup."
Boomhauer: "Mmmhmm."
Dale (Wearing a "Make America Great Again" hat): "Gentlemen, I would like to cordially invite you to my post-Election, post-Apocalypse barbecue in November. I call it the Post-Electolypse." (Dale hands paper invitations to the others.)
Hank: "Okay Dale, I'll bite. What are you up to this time?"
Dale: "Me? Nothing. Donald Trump? EVERYTHING. He's gonna win this election in a landslide, and my vote will be but a drop in the coming storm."
Bill: "What does that have to do with the end of the world? He keeps saying he's gonna make America great again."
Dale: "Only to the fat, balding, untrained eye. But to the keen observer, it's obvious that Trump is planning to take America down from the inside. He's already taken down the Republican party and network TV. Now, he's after bigger game."
Hank: "Ugh. 'Make America Great Again'? America is already great. She doesn't need jackasses like Donald Trump dressing her up and parading her around like she's, well... I guess there's no polite way to say this... a marketing gimmick."
Dale: "You just don't get his strategy, Hank. He's a master manipulator, playing chess in seven dimensions. Most politicians only play chess in four dimensions, five at most. I've run simulations of every possible outcome of this election in my mind, and do you know how many he's won? Most of them."
Bill: "But wait a second. If Donald Trump is such a master at manipulating people, why don't I want to vote for him? I'm just the kind of easy mark politicians are looking for. I mean, you know how easily persuaded I am."
Dale: "Pfft. You wish, Bill."
Bill: "Oh. Okay."
Dale: "Trump's looking for strong alpha males, the type who can take leadership in the smouldering ruins of our former civilization. You know what alpha males call other, lesser males? 'Cucks', short for 'cuck-OLDs'. Definition: A husband whose wife cheats on him. (Chuckle) Now THAT'S a label that stings like no other."
(Hank, Bill and Boomhauer shift uncomfortably.)
Hank: (Nervously trying to change the subject) "So, uh, Bill, what have you been up to lately? Shave any interesting, uh, heads?"
Bill: "I've been following the Clinton campaign. I think it's high time we had a lady president. I mean, it is 2015..."
Hank: "It's 2016, Bill. It's been 2016 for months now."
Bill: "(Pauses while staring into space.) I missed my own birthday."
Hank: "I don't know how I feel about a woman president. I mean, a president needs to have a certain amount of upper-body strength. If Air Force One crashes, who's going to heroically pull the pilot out of the burning wreckage?"
Dale: "Hillary couldn't even keep Bill under control. How d'you expect her to run a country?"
Bill: "Y'know, I'd never cheat on a woman like Hillary. I'd like to think that under that tough exterior, she's probably warm, and soft, and..."
Hank: "Bill, you can't pick a president based on how, uh, handsome they are. Elections aren't supposed to be about popularity, or 'strategies', or who can come up with the best insult. I mean, sure, Ronnie Reagan got in a few jabs at the Democrats, but when push came to shove, he was a president EVERYONE could depend on. It used to be that a man could vote based on the candidate's character and their stances on the issues. But these days, everything's so gat dang crazy, I just don't know anymore."
(Pause)
Boomhauer: "Itellyouwhatman, dangol' 1776, themfoundingfathersgotthatdangol' WeThePeoplewiththemdangol' checksandbalances, man. Thempoliticians'llcomeandgo, man, longaswegotthedangol' ConstitutionandtheBillofRights, that'swhatAmerica'sallabout, man. It'slikethatdangol' BenFranklinsaid, 'Wegotadangol'republicifyoucankeepit', man."
Hank: "(Sigh) Boomhauer, as usual, you always know just what to say."

hexenmexen
May 15, 2016

by exmarx
A lot of the reason that wikileaks gets so much attention from the Maga-ites is Hillary's failure to come off as an honest candidate.

If the leaks were happening in isolation they wouldn't be resonating with people. Not that they are resonating with the average person. But politically minded internet users see them as futher proof that "Shill" has skeletons in her closet.

The fbi reports, plus the Debbie Washerman Schultz stuff alone are enough to fuel conspiracies.

It'd be an interesting test to see how many people, in this thread in particular, supported the anti bush chelsea manning leaks.

ErIog
Jul 11, 2001

:nsacloud:

hexenmexen posted:

A lot of the reason that wikileaks gets so much attention from the Maga-ites is Hillary's failure to come off as an honest candidate.

If the leaks were happening in isolation they wouldn't be resonating with people. Not that they are resonating with the average person. But politically minded internet users see them as futher proof that "Shill" has skeletons in her closet.

I think there's also a very heavy sexist element to these attacks on Hillary's trustworthiness. It just seems too coincidental that the first major party female presidential candidate is also widely seen as duplicitous despite little evidence showing her actually being more duplicitous than other politicians that have better trustworthiness/favorability ratings.

Romney flip-flopped on all sorts of issues and would have his statements frequently walked back by campaign staff. He was provably lying to the American electorate over and over again, but for some reason he wasn't considered duplicitous.

All of this stuff feels like it goes back to standard early 90's sexism. Hillary was involved in politics at a high level, and so everybody piled on with their hot takes about how she's totally Lady Macbeth or whatever. Then the GOP goes digging around the Rose Law Firm like it should have any bearing on Bill Clinton and basically it just felt like the entire right wing was punishing for bothering to have a professional life of her own despite being a wife/mother.

With how many investigations into her poo poo there have been, how little has actually been found, and how little the electorate seems to care that there's no evidence for their concerns about her trustworthiness.. it just feels like in 50 years we'll be looking back at Hillary's career and saying, "Wow, man, things really were crazy sexist back then..."

hexenmexen posted:

It'd be an interesting test to see how many people, in this thread in particular, supported the anti bush chelsea manning leaks.

It's not about supporting or not supporting the broad concept of leaks and their target. Chelsea Manning was a whistleblower. Manning felt strongly enough about wrongdoing being committed by the US government that she broke the law to bring information to the American people. This information was then scrutinized and it turned out to be substantial.

This isn't that situation. This is Russian hackers gill-netting political officials, releasing everything, and then nudging "journalists," to write up slanted coverage based on willful misunderstandings of the contents of the e-mails.

You can tell this is their M.O. when RT is tweeting their poo poo out 20 minutes before it's even posted to Wikileaks and they try to use the NYT First Draft Newsletter as evidence the NYT is sending stories to be edited by their subjects. Their methods, lack of any substantial findings, and their rank incompetence have given up the game.

ErIog fucked around with this message at 07:36 on Oct 24, 2016

HorseRenoir
Dec 25, 2011



Pillbug

hexenmexen posted:

A lot of the reason that wikileaks gets so much attention from the Maga-ites is Hillary's failure to come off as an honest candidate.

If the leaks were happening in isolation they wouldn't be resonating with people. Not that they are resonating with the average person. But politically minded internet users see them as futher proof that "Shill" has skeletons in her closet.

The fbi reports, plus the Debbie Washerman Schultz stuff alone are enough to fuel conspiracies.

It'd be an interesting test to see how many people, in this thread in particular, supported the anti bush chelsea manning leaks.

Hillary's "failure" to come off as an honest candidate is mostly just people are desperately looking for a scandal to tie her to and will take any scraps they can get to prove how "corrupt" she is. The truth is that society is conditioned to inherently distrust ambitious women and that Hillary gets much higher scrutiny than any of her male counterparts because of it.

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.

hexenmexen posted:

A lot of the reason that wikileaks gets so much attention from the Maga-ites is Hillary's failure to come off as an honest candidate.

If the leaks were happening in isolation they wouldn't be resonating with people. Not that they are resonating with the average person. But politically minded internet users see them as futher proof that "Shill" has skeletons in her closet.

The fbi reports, plus the Debbie Washerman Schultz stuff alone are enough to fuel conspiracies.

It'd be an interesting test to see how many people, in this thread in particular, supported the anti bush chelsea manning leaks.

People here probably don't care so much about these leaks in a vaccumn. The Chelsea Manning leaks were actually a something. Like there was actual information and wrong doing.

Nothing in these Clinton leaks have been of any worth. But Wikileaks/Assange is acting like they are unveiling massive corruption in the american political system.

And even then if it wasn't so blatantly obvious that Assange is directly attempting to influence an election. Most people here wouldn't actually do anything other than laugh, but since this has been such a blatant one sided political attack people probably are a bit more touchy about it.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006


I don't really want to give Reddit anything but Dale going on about cucks saved this fan-script.

FCKGW
May 21, 2006

Gyges posted:

Isn't Orange County beginning to succumb to the evils of demographic change and moving towards Democratic majority overall?

Yes. I'll repost what I said in the cali thread

It's getting there.



North And south Orange county and pretty different demographics wise. Probably 5-10 more years of the Latino and Asian population expanding and OC goes blue.

Inland Empire Republican numbers have continued to trend down the past 3 years as well (they went Obama in 08 and 12).

Baku
Aug 20, 2005

by Fluffdaddy

hexenmexen posted:

It'd be an interesting test to see how many people, in this thread in particular, supported the anti bush chelsea manning leaks.

The difference for me is less in the content itself - I have no doubt that Clinton may be guilty of war crimes or something, a possibility I leave open for any other US President or Sec State as well - and more to do with the source. Julian Assange is a bigot, a propagandist pretending to be objective, probably a sexual predator, and almost definitely in bed with Russia, none of which is true of Manning (AFAIK). That all makes it difficult for me to find him sympathetic or credible.

vaginadeathgrip
Jun 18, 2003

all them bitches can't handle my sassy ass mouth

Dr.Zeppelin posted:

has anyone posted this high-energy bio of mike cernovich yet

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/10/31/trolls-for-trump

this quote in particular seems like it explains pretty much everything about him except for why his eyes are so close together

I have not heard of this person, but now I wish he was covered in bees.

FCKGW
May 21, 2006

Fojar38 posted:

Is King of the Hill a conservative show? If it is it might be the only good conservative show that's ever existed.

There was an episode where Hank went to a GW Bush rally. When Hank shook his hand he had a weak handshake. Hank was then conflicted for the entire episode whether he could, in good conscience, vote for a man with a weak handshake.

That's as political as they get.

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

FCKGW posted:

There was an episode where Hank went to a GW Bush rally. When Hank shook his hand he had a weak handshake. Hank was then conflicted for the entire episode whether he could, in good conscience, vote for a man with a weak handshake.

That's as political as they get.

Meh. The whole show has a strong message of "rural-suburban conservative life is complex and nuanced and in general they are good people with a closed background whose ideas about the world are well-meaning but not always right." It's not apolitical so much as it's trying to paint it's subjects as dynamic people and not political cartoons. I never really enjoyed the show but I think it's a pretty good show. I don't think you have to agree with the show, but I think the show does fairly well at portraying what it sets out to do.

bobjr
Oct 16, 2012

Roose is loose.
🐓🐓🐓✊🪧

Most people tend to dislike Peggy than any political aspect of the show anyway.

SocketWrench
Jul 8, 2012

by Fritz the Horse

Jygallax posted:

We need to think of a snappy name for the V-Shaped region of extreme trump support from Idaho to Louisiana and up again to West Virginia.

It's a pussy and Trump grabbed it

ascii genitals
Aug 19, 2000



Gyges posted:

Really, instead of trying to find analogies like field goal misses and the like, we should be focusing on what the chance of Trump winning really is. It's the statistical chance that everything we know is wrong. It's not an event that rests on some place kicker holding the ball wrong, or the field being wet. It's more like being struck by lightning or being hit by a meteorite.

Of course, given the way it works, there's an equal chance that the polls are just as wrong in the other direction. Hillary is about as likely to get 538 electoral college votes as Trump is to win.

I've had plenty of 1% probability things occur to me playing poker, much less 15%. This election going to Trump would not be like getting hit by lightning--I get what you're saying, but the chance is the chance.

Baku
Aug 20, 2005

by Fluffdaddy
I kinda like King of the Hill because it mostly strikes the right balance between mocking or condemning and acquitting its characters. Media about rural or small-town American life rarely gets this right, and usually ends up either glorifying rural whites or depicting them as broken and monstrous, both of which are dehumanizing and unrealistic.

canepazzo
May 29, 2006



Uhm, the USC poll must be broken.

Clinton 45.1
Trump 43.8

Islam is the Lite Rock FM
Jul 27, 2007

by exmarx
If it weren't wikileaks it'd be something else the right would latch onto to justify their hatred of Hillary. Ben Ghazi still creeps up as another mole hill turned bullshit mountain.

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Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer
I think most of the "Trump could win" at this point would require Republicans to be so thoroughly successful at voter suppression that it looks like midterm turnout, which is unrealistic, or blatantly illegal poo poo that's getting in the realm of Tom Clancy garbage. There's no scenario where Trump wins this election on the basis of everyone voting in a fair election and Trump gets more votes. He just doesn't have that kind of support.

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