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ReV VAdAUL
Oct 3, 2004

I'm WILD about
WILDMAN

Cingulate posted:

How do you know they're Black Americans? Do they get really pronounced AAVE pronunciation?

Also, the thing sounds like it's written by somebody who says "you people".

Or someone who thinks Blacks Rule.

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edrith
Apr 10, 2013
https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/792795095862870017

:unsmith: thanks dread abuela

Skanker
Mar 21, 2013

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

Holy poo poo.

I just heard the most ridiculous Trump ad ever on a national Hip Hop and R&B radio station. It was targeting African-Americans.

How do they reconcile the Hillary super predator thing with the leniency towards drug dealers thing. The two can't exist together. Either she has a hard line stance on criminals in black neighbourhoods or she thinks people in black communities have been unfairly treated.

Fitzy Fitz
May 14, 2005




Skanker posted:

How do they reconcile the Hillary super predator thing with the leniency towards drug dealers thing. The two can't exist together. Either she has a hard line stance on criminals in black neighbourhoods or she thinks people in black communities have been unfairly treated.

Ben Carson is a neurosurgeon, you see.

Harrow
Jun 30, 2012

Going by past elections where high turnout favors Democrats and early voting favors Democrats, the record-high numbers voting early in several states is pretty great news for Democrats, right?

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene


:unsmith: Having someone who is willing to straight up say "No, being gay isn't a goddamn disease to be cured, you loving barbarians" is going to be much better than "Well I certainly feel the pain of these inbred hicks and understand the whole christian persecution complex, but the federal government needs to be fair" but I'm dying to hear how this translates into Hillary saying gay kids won't get obamacare coverage anymore.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000

Harrow posted:

Going by past elections where high turnout favors Democrats and early voting favors Democrats, the record-high numbers voting early in several states is pretty great news for Democrats, right?
Personally I think the House is still in play and we're going to be pleasantly surprised Tuesday night.

Sounds to me like your television is stuck on CNN? Consider replacing it.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Harrow posted:

Going by past elections where high turnout favors Democrats and early voting favors Democrats, the record-high numbers voting early in several states is pretty great news for Democrats, right?
Several leading posters, backed by Juche thought of Marshal Kim Jong Un, disagree and instead believe it is a sign of Trump's impending victory.

I believe it is good, if no reason to sit on your rear end. If the story of 28% GOP votes going to Hillary for Pres. are true, well then Trump's stumped.

Samuel Clemens
Oct 4, 2013

I think we should call the Avengers.

Harrow posted:

Going by past elections where high turnout favors Democrats and early voting favors Democrats, the record-high numbers voting early in several states is pretty great news for Democrats, right?

Probably, although the myriad of changes since 2012 and the fact that only a small percentage of total voters participates in EV makes it difficult to reach any definite conclusions. As best as we know, Clinton is currently doing well in NV, CO, and NC, though FL and OH are still up in the air.

Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003


Kilroy posted:

Well for one there are the people who don't watch stuff like a Louis CK or a Dave Chappelle set, and don't count video games among their hobbies because it takes away from range time and handloading and otherwise preparing for the end of the world or RaHoWa or Hillary Clinton being elected President - or all of the above. So for these people yeah you can't call them racist because if they see a black person they have the discipline not to immediately shout racial slurs at them or brandish a firearm, so this makes them Not Racist.

Then you have people who know about all that, but they don't view it as a threat because it's not serious. It's just a silly white comedian or a silly black comedian or a silly video game, and it's nothing to worry about it's just harmlessly irreverent stuff. I suspect this is the majority of white people. These people are able to ignore the stuff you mention in pop culture because they don't take it seriously and are able to convince themselves it isn't aimed at them anyway, at least not directly person-to-person and again it's just harmlessly irreverent anyway.

All that changes as soon as you tell them, person-to-person, that no, that poo poo they just did or said is racist as gently caress and they need to cut it out, because they don't have a coping mechanism for why it doesn't apply to them anymore, since you are directly telling them it does really apply to them.

Basically this. Also just look at how the media has covered alllivesmatter as a legitimate counter opinion to blacklivesmatter. BLM is mainly concerned with black people not being killed for no reason and the only way to report on that is to act like they are making some sort of attack on the police and that white people who are offended by that are totally legitimate in their opinion. Additionally look at the disparity in reporting of the Trump supporter that murdered two police officers or the white couple that killed people in Las Vegas then draped a Tea Party flag over the bodies after leaving the Bundy ranch. None of that was reported as "white culture" leading to violent extremism but if those people were black there would be no shortage of serious white people making statements about how black culture is to blame or if they were muslim why aren't Islamic leaders denouncing this? Implying racism actually still affects minorities REALLY offends most white people (even a lot of Democrats so it's not just a Republican thing) since they don't want to admit they have structural advantages which means they didn't earn what they have at the expense of others. Culturally bumping against this gets a lot of push back on many levels including politicians and the media both mainstream and social.

Eggplant Squire fucked around with this message at 14:11 on Nov 3, 2016

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Samuel Clemens posted:

Probably, although the myriad of changes since 2012 and the fact that only a small percentage of total voters participates in EV makes it difficult to reach any definite conclusion. As best as we know, Clinton is currently doing well in NV, CO, and NC, though FL and OH are still up in the air.
I get the feeling we may narrowly lose Ohio, but we will know that Satan, Loki, or SOMEONE is looking out for us if they narrowly get Ohio.................... and narrowly lose Texas.

Built 4 Cuban Linux
Jul 15, 2007

i own america

Potato Salad posted:

its a loving tracking poll

Do you understand what a tracking poll is? Why should that matter? It's just a normal poll with sample taken over a sliding window of a few days.

Chelb
Oct 24, 2010

I'm gonna show SA-kun my shitposting!
Nevada's looking like it might be a lock for hillary

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/794154915081940993
also, for fun:
https://twitter.com/jshkatz/status/793553664724140032

Samuel Clemens
Oct 4, 2013

I think we should call the Avengers.

Nessus posted:

I get the feeling we may narrowly lose Ohio, but we will know that Satan, Loki, or SOMEONE is looking out for us if they narrowly get Ohio.................... and narrowly lose Texas.

Not gonna lie, I'd be okay with a scenario where Clinton loses OH and FL and still wins the election. The tears from all the old white men who realise that they no longer decide elections would be glorious.

reitetsu
Sep 27, 2009

Should you find yourself here one day... In accordance with your crimes, you can rest assured I will give you the treatment you deserve.

Things like this makes my heart lift a bit even as I fight the corner of my brain that's going to be Arzying nonstop til Wednesday. :unsmith:

gently caress conversion therapy and anyone who advocates for it.

AriadneThread
Feb 17, 2011

The Devil sounds like smoke and honey. We cannot move. It is too beautiful.


FAUXTON posted:

:unsmith: Having someone who is willing to straight up say "No, being gay isn't a goddamn disease to be cured, you loving barbarians" is going to be much better than "Well I certainly feel the pain of these inbred hicks and understand the whole christian persecution complex, but the federal government needs to be fair" but I'm dying to hear how this translates into Hillary saying gay kids won't get obamacare coverage anymore.

"hillary refuses therapy for gays, condemning them to hell"

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Samuel Clemens posted:

Not gonna lie, I'd be okay with a scenario where Clinton loses OH and FL and still wins the election. The tears from all the old white men who realise that they no longer decide elections would be glorious.

She won't lose FL precisely because it has less old white men than it used to.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Samuel Clemens posted:

Not gonna lie, I'd be okay with a scenario where Clinton loses OH and FL and still wins the election. The tears from all the old white men who realise that they no longer decide elections would be glorious.
I would prefer instead for us to also take Ohio and Florida but I understand what you mean

Agrajag
Jan 21, 2006

gat dang thats hot

AriadneThread posted:

"hillary refuses therapy for gays, condemning them to hell"

good, hell is probably more fun any way.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000

Radish posted:

Basically this. Also just look at how the media has covered alllivesmatter as a legitimate counter opinion to blacklivesmatter. BLM is mainly concerned with black people not being killed for no reason and the only way to report on that is to act like they are making some sort of attack on the police and that white people who are offended by that are totally legitimate in their opinion. Additionally look at the disparity in reporting of the Trump supporter that murdered two police officers or the white couple that killed a people in Las Vegas then draped a Tea Party flag over the bodies after leaving the Bundy ranch. None of that was reported as "white culture" leading to violent extremism but if those people were black there would be no shortage of serious white people making statements about how black culture is to blame or if they were muslim why aren't Islamic leaders denouncing this? Implying racism actually still affects minorities REALLY offends most white people (even a lot of Democrats so it's not just a Republican thing) since they don't want to admit they have structural advantages which means they didn't earn what they have at the expense of others. Culturally bumping against this gets a lot of push back on many levels including politicians and the media both mainstream and social.
Who is covering All Lives Matter as a legitimate thing? I don't doubt it for a second I just avoid mainstream news generally so I hadn't noticed. Is it like, you get literal white supremacists from ALM on CNN and poo poo? I have a pretty poor opinion of the national media but that would surprise me.

At any rate another thing you touch on is that the media is incapable of just dismissing disingenuous, wrong arguments. As in, not giving them airtime.

(Unless they are made by a leftist, in which case they're not going on, disingenuous or otherwise.)

Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003



Good stuff. This is another "debate" where there is only one legitimate side (torture is bad and lgbt people don't have a sickness) and everyone on the other shouldn't be coddled because it's not PC to imply they are just wrong.

Chelb
Oct 24, 2010

I'm gonna show SA-kun my shitposting!
note: Nevada's an incredibly important state for Trump. Hillary can sorta kinda afford to lose it if she wins New Hampshire; trump can't.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster
New NYT/CBS National Poll.

quote:

Clinton +3 (Was +9 last time)

Does the FBI email story make you more or less likely to vote for Hillary?

More: 5%
Less: 32%
No Difference: 62%

Dem: 11/8/82
Rep: 1/57/41
Ind: 3/35/62

Is your mind made up?

Yes: 92%
No, may change: 8%

Voter Enthusiasm: Are you very enthusiastic and motivated to vote?

18-34: Yes - 31% No - 68%
35+: Yes - 54% No - 38%

Men: Yes - 50%
Women: Yes - 48%

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

Voter Enthusiasm: Are you very enthusiastic and motivated to vote?

18-34: Yes - 31% No - 68%

This poo poo right here needs to be quoted at mcmagic every time he argues Bernie would be doing better.

Samuel Clemens
Oct 4, 2013

I think we should call the Avengers.

WampaLord posted:

She won't lose FL precisely because it has less old white men than it used to.

Yeah, probably, but if she did it would be because white voters came out in droves. The fact that their efforts would be in vain is rather comforting.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



The second question shows that the 1st question is mostly irrelevant. It's so late in the cycle and early voting started way before that non-story even came out

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



I'm the 11% who were fired up by Comey to go vote for Hillary.

Also possibly the 1% of Republicans who were. Those people seem like they must be interesting.

Agrajag
Jan 21, 2006

gat dang thats hot

Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:

New NYT/CBS National Poll.


quote:

18-34: Yes - 31% No - 68%


gently caress first/second year poli sci idiots. Ideological purity is unrealistic, grow the gently caress up.

Leon Trotsky 2012
Aug 27, 2009

YOU CAN TRUST ME!*


*Israeli Government-affiliated poster

WampaLord posted:

This poo poo right here needs to be quoted at mcmagic every time he argues Bernie would be doing better.

I think the logical response that he would make would be that Bernie would motivate those younger voters more and wouldn't be down that low.

wearing a lampshade
Mar 6, 2013

I thought this may be of interest to this thread:
My friend wrote an interesting thing on the rise of Donald Trump from a non-partisan perspective.

quote:

If you've had the misfortune of getting into some kind of "deep" (inebriated) conversation with me over the past couple of years, you've likely heard me babbling on about some weird thing called "affect". While most of the work I've been doing in school over the past year has focused on aesthetics in music and visual art, I've recently written a piece on how affect pertains to politics, and can be used to understand the growing popularity of Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential elections. In trying to make this piece more accessible in its readership and provide a simpler explanation of affect theory, I've avoided using a lot of academic jargon, and brought Ronald Reagan, Rob Ford, and Homer Simpson into the mix as case studies.

Check it out:

http://caughtgettingcaughtinthemotion.tumblr.com/post/152664170618/a-trumped-up-feeling-affect-and-postmodern-power

Gnarly Bae Jepsen
Jul 12, 2007

Manic Pixie Dick Girl

Chelb posted:

Nevada's looking like it might be a lock for hillary

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/794154915081940993

If this is he case, why does 538 have Nevada 50/50? Also, why is Florida red? Urge to arzy rising...

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

Agrajag posted:

gently caress first/second year poli sci idiots.

lol nobody does that

Chelb
Oct 24, 2010

I'm gonna show SA-kun my shitposting!

Militree posted:

If this is he case, why does 538 have Nevada 50/50? Also, why is Florida red? Urge to arzy rising...



538 isnt adjusting its model on early voting, is why.

comingafteryouall
Aug 2, 2011


Has 60+% of NV really voted? That number seems insane to me. I wish PA had early voting :smith:

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Militree posted:

If this is he case, why does 538 have Nevada 50/50? Also, why is Florida red? Urge to arzy rising...


He shook

Crow Jane
Oct 18, 2012

nothin' wrong with a lady drinkin' alone in her room
So, umm, is there a reason that the @potus Twitter metadata is in Cyrillic today? Checked to see if Obama had anything to say about the Cubs (he did, and invited them to the White House), and was a little taken aback by that

Chelb
Oct 24, 2010

I'm gonna show SA-kun my shitposting!

comingafteryouall posted:

Has 60+% of NV really voted? That number seems insane to me. I wish PA had early voting :smith:

as far as i know nevada is sort of special in how many people early vote there. might be wrong on that tho

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Chelb posted:

as far as i know nevada is sort of special in how many people early vote there. might be wrong on that tho
Probably all the casino work and poo poo making people keep odd hours, so why not?

Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003


Kilroy posted:

Who is covering All Lives Matter as a legitimate thing? I don't doubt it for a second I just avoid mainstream news generally so I hadn't noticed. Is it like, you get literal white supremacists from ALM on CNN and poo poo? I have a pretty poor opinion of the national media but that would surprise me.

At any rate another thing you touch on is that the media is incapable of just dismissing disingenuous, wrong arguments. As in, not giving them airtime.

(Unless they are made by a leftist, in which case they're not going on, disingenuous or otherwise.)

I may be confusing active media support with CNN panels and such like this one:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/vi..._and_crime.html
where the headline is implying the BLM activist is rejecting statistics and turning the panel into a shouting match so that's possibly my bad. I can't easily find pundit stuff from 2015 when ALM was more popular.

Whitelivesmatter was the movement that was explicitly white supremacist with nazi leaders. ALM, as a phrase, initially was more popular than BLM since it sounded inclusive but has recently had push back in the last year so it's not as easy to just say it and claim you care about everyone. There was a lot of initial push for it that has died down a lot thankfully.

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mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

WampaLord posted:

This poo poo right here needs to be quoted at mcmagic every time he argues Bernie would be doing better.

How does that prove Bernie wouldn't be doing better?

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