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Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

maybe its just the insane partisanship right before a ridiculous election, but america seems like its in a cold civil war

cold civil war

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Derpies
Mar 11, 2014

by sebmojo

Higgy posted:

I'm done looking at polls and am just gonna chill and be drunk all weekend. I had to un-shake my wife last night because her news feed is full of horse racin' poo poo.

I had to stop myself from using thread language.

"Honey stop arzying i didn't marry no drat milkdrunk day crew milkshake"

POTY

Elephanthead
Sep 11, 2008


Toilet Rascal

Drunkboxer posted:

he's not a democrat

We should elect only independents

Dogstoyevsky
Oct 9, 2012

If there is no Dog, everything is permitted


I never thought I'd say this, but you know what? After this cycle, I kind of do*.

* Although obviously not as actual President.

Fidel Castronaut
Dec 25, 2004

Houston, we're Havana problem.

Alter Ego posted:

Part of me feels like this hypothesis is the left-wing equivalent of the "SILENT MAJORITY FOR TRUMP" theory, but given that women are making up a bigger part of the electorate this year and the enormous gender gap, I feel like there might be some truth to it.

Totally anecdotal but my Ohioan super evangelical future mother-in-law is voting McMuffin because she cannot stand by Trump's rhetoric. Had an argument with future father-in-law about it. She has a master's degree so she doesn't quite fit the demo of the typical evangelical but I doubt she's alone in that sentiment. Maybe the difference is that she's actually willing to tell her husband that she isn't voting Trump.

We'll see.

Rynn
Jul 23, 2003

Regarding gerrymandering, I had read something once saying that it will eventually work against Republicans in the future because of changing demographics. Is there any truth to that?

Dogstoyevsky
Oct 9, 2012

If there is no Dog, everything is permitted
https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/794586038178037760

Wherein Josh Marshall is revealed as not a C-SPAM poster.

mormonpartyboat
Jan 14, 2015

by Reene
bernie porn

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
My Dear Lexus,
It has been a long time since I had an opportunity of writing to you, and I gladly avail myself of the present opportunity. I am not certain that I will have a chance of sending this but I will write a few lines any how and try and get it off to let you know that I am among the living.

We will remain in this vicinity, I expect for some time to recruit our horses. Our horses are sadly worsted. We found plenty to eat and to feed our horses on in Mo but hardly even had time to feed or eat as we traveled almost insesantly night and day. We could get any amount of bacon of the very best kind at 10 cts and every thing else in proportion.


As ever your devoted and loving Husband, J.C. Mavrick.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Drunkboxer posted:

he's not a democrat

Had to double check this to be sure and yeah, he switched back to independent after the primaries.

MaxNV
Jan 3, 2011


Dogstoyevsky posted:

https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/794586038178037760

Wherein Josh Marshall is revealed as not a C-SPAM poster.

We truly are on the cutting edge

TwinsensRevenge
Aug 13, 2013


blessed to have bernie porn fill my poll hole

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Rynn posted:

Regarding gerrymandering, I had read something once saying that it will eventually work against Republicans in the future because of changing demographics. Is there any truth to that?

It makes them vulnerable to waves. Huge turnout in cities that are gerrymandered into 5 Republican districts could cause havoc top to bottom as suddenly +5 R becomes +1 D, meaning you lose all 5 whereas in a nongerrymandered situation you lose one or two tops

It's still always better to gerrymander yourself as many seats as possible as soon as you possibly can because a legislative supermajority can be used to prevent wave elections

iospace
Jan 19, 2038


Dogstoyevsky posted:



I never thought I'd say this, but you know what? After this cycle, I kind of do*.

* Although obviously not as actual President.

W, with the exception of Saddam, never struck me as someone who hated people. His policies were poo poo, no doubt, but he never felt malicious like :mitt: did.

1994 Toyota Celica
Sep 11, 2008

by Nyc_Tattoo

Dogstoyevsky posted:

https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/794586038178037760

Wherein Josh Marshall is revealed as not a C-SPAM poster.

doubly so when his highlighting does not also encompass EPIC-MRA

derra
Dec 29, 2012

Alter Ego posted:

Is there anyone on the Dem bench in NJ that can win? Besides Cory Booker.


What? NJ is a blue state. Christie was elected because of Corzine (which is why I'm hesitant to say Christie has destroyed the GOP here for a generation, look at the poo poo Corzine pulled), and was reelected because he struck a deal with the democrats. They put up a token candidate and didn't support her at all in exchange for getting most of their legislative priorities through Christie. D's are already campaigning for governor now. They'll win.

Utz
Aug 1, 2008

by vyelkin

Higgy posted:

I'm done looking at polls and am just gonna chill and be drunk all weekend. I had to un-shake my wife last night because her news feed is full of horse racin' poo poo.

I had to stop myself from using thread language.

"Honey stop arzying i didn't marry no drat milkdrunk day crew milkshake"

ha, i know

i've used thread language when talking before, and people usually get quiet and sneak looks at each other

like, is this guy ok? should we do something?

arzyin sperglords

sullat
Jan 9, 2012

Rynn posted:

Regarding gerrymandering, I had read something once saying that it will eventually work against Republicans in the future because of changing demographics. Is there any truth to that?

Not really, since although demographics aren't set in stone, neither are district maps. As long as they can keep ahead of the changes, they can keep their advantage.

mormonpartyboat
Jan 14, 2015

by Reene
bernie sanders' americum dream

HUGE PUBES A PLUS
Apr 30, 2005

a fleshy snood posted:

scott walker is the dumbest motherfucker alive. this simple idiot's amoeboid brain cannot physically distinguish flavours beyond 'ham'

https://twitter.com/GovWalker/status/563721488684306433?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Scott Walker married his wife, Tonette, on Reagan's birthday and every year they celebrate his birthday/wedding anniversary with a special dinner of Reagan's favorite foods, including macaroni and cheese and jelly beans.

Firebert
Aug 16, 2004

I can't wait to watch Brian and Rachel on election night getting drunk on camera and making GBS threads on Trump surrogates and shills

corn in the bible
Jun 5, 2004

Oh no oh god it's all true!

Epic High Five posted:

There's also historical precedent of otherwise extremely reliably conservative women crossing the aisle to vote against a huge pig. It happened in Texas fairly recently

this kind of thing sounds like making excuses

more like dICK
Feb 15, 2010

This is inevitable.

iospace posted:

W, with the exception of Saddam, never struck me as someone who hated people. His policies were poo poo, no doubt, but he never felt malicious like :mitt: did.

W heard voices in his head telling him to murder Arabs, so he did. .

mormonpartyboat
Jan 14, 2015

by Reene

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

Scott Walker married his wife, Tonette, on Reagan's birthday and every year they celebrate his birthday/wedding anniversary with a special dinner of Reagan's favorite foods, including macaroni and cheese and jelly beans.

do they melt the jelly beans in with the cheese in prep or do they add the jelly beans at the end to get that gooey melty texture

Calm
Apr 7, 2006

Beef-Stew posted:

Watching these assholes melt down is going to be the greatest gift of all on Tuesday. I feel like their echo chamber might be even better than the one Romneyphiles were stuck in 2012, making the tear harvest all the sweeter.

Like a fine wine or an extra stout ale, the longer it brews, the more exquisite the taste when finally exposed to the outside world.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

Scott Walker married his wife, Tonette, on Reagan's birthday and every year they celebrate his birthday/wedding anniversary with a special dinner of Reagan's favorite foods, including macaroni and cheese and jelly beans.
I don't usually like to scoff at "white people ugh" since I'm white and it comes across as "I'm not a bad one"

but that's the whitest goddamn thing I've ever read.

The Whole Internet
May 26, 2010

by FactsAreUseless

I've had it to here with the big banks!

*unzips pants*

Philthy
Jan 28, 2003

Pillbug

new kind of cat posted:

The gently caress is with idiot and goddamned ham sandwiches aka the worst sandwich?

Believe it or not, this was a push for his election that he knew how to save money. He even had "brown bag" money drives.

He got caught spending tens of thousands taking people out to steak houses on the taxpayers dime.

http://host.madison.com/ct/news/opi...bbfc7b2b96.html

iospace
Jan 19, 2038


Firebert posted:

I can't wait to watch Brian and Rachel on election night getting drunk on camera and making GBS threads on Trump surrogates and shills

I can't wait for Rachel to unload on to the GOP like she did in 2012.

euphronius
Feb 18, 2009

The Whole Internet posted:

Their forecast relies upon young voter turnout magically ramping up from 12% during early voting to 18% on election day. And 30-44 year voters ramping up from 18% in early voting to 24% on election day.

Clinton is likely not outperforming Obama's 2008 early vote, and seems to be under it by some amount, so she will need to outperform his 2008 election day. That's a tall order.

Like in regular life, young people are not important in this election

I'm sorry

Communist Bear
Oct 7, 2008

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

maybe its just the insane partisanship right before a ridiculous election, but america seems like its in a cold civil war

I read the NYT article too.

Rynn
Jul 23, 2003

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

https://twitter.com/GovWalker/status/563721488684306433?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Scott Walker married his wife, Tonette, on Reagan's birthday and every year they celebrate his birthday/wedding anniversary with a special dinner of Reagan's favorite foods, including macaroni and cheese and jelly beans.

Macaroni and cheese and jelly beans? They should both wear diapers too to complete the "Reagan or Toddler?" experience.

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

https://twitter.com/GovWalker/status/563721488684306433?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Scott Walker married his wife, Tonette, on Reagan's birthday and every year they celebrate his birthday/wedding anniversary with a special dinner of Reagan's favorite foods, including macaroni and cheese and jelly beans.

she looks haunted

sullat
Jan 9, 2012

Wikkheiser posted:

I don't usually like to scoff at "white people ugh" since I'm white and it comes across as "I'm not a bad one"

but that's the whitest goddamn thing I've ever read.

Although only a white person would do that, I would hardly call it the "whitest". It's more "the dumbest cargo cult in town" type of thing.

prefect
Sep 11, 2001

No one, Woodhouse.
No one.




Dead Man’s Band

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

https://twitter.com/GovWalker/status/563721488684306433?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Scott Walker married his wife, Tonette, on Reagan's birthday and every year they celebrate his birthday/wedding anniversary with a special dinner of Reagan's favorite foods, including macaroni and cheese and jelly beans.

I just disliked him before. Now I hate him so hard that I can feel my right eyebrow twitching.

mango sentinel
Jan 5, 2001

by sebmojo

Rynn posted:

Regarding gerrymandering, I had read something once saying that it will eventually work against Republicans in the future because of changing demographics. Is there any truth to that?

The strategy requires them to craft R districts with a safe, but small margin and create fewer deeeeep D districts. As demos change (and Rs shed moderates) those safe R districts may become less safe and more competitive.

This is academic because this still isn't as good for D's as proper districting, and while Rs are in power they can continue to shuffle district lines to minimize that shift for longer.

Hackan Slash
May 31, 2007
Hit it until it's not a problem anymore

Rynn posted:

Regarding gerrymandering, I had read something once saying that it will eventually work against Republicans in the future because of changing demographics. Is there any truth to that?

The general idea behind gerrymandering is to concentrate the opposition votes in as small an area as possible while having narrower wins elsewhere. E.g you lose a district 10-90 but win a bunch 55-45.

Depending on how demographics change it's much most likely to flip the close wins into losses.

GobiasIndustries
Dec 14, 2007

Lipstick Apathy

Wikkheiser posted:

I don't usually like to scoff at "white people ugh" since I'm white and it comes across as "I'm not a bad one"

but that's the whitest goddamn thing I've ever read.

I think eating loving ham & cheese sandwiches for lunch almost every day for 26 years is about as white as it gets.

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


WMain00 posted:

I read the NYT article too.

was "cold civil war" in that article cus ive had it stuck in my head for a couple of hours and im not sure if i just stole it from that

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Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



corn in the bible posted:

this kind of thing sounds like making excuses

I literally just reported to you something that actually happened in the exact state that people are eyeing with the idea that it may swing on GOP women flipping sides. How is that making excuses? Clayton Williams refused to shake Ann Richards' hand and Texas women rebelled against him and he lost. Trump bragged about raping women and every male GOP chucklefuck said it was awesome

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