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Kilroy posted:oh cool are we posting maps here's mine: This map is utter fantasy, right? Is there any chance at all that Clinton gets Texas or Arizona?
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Nov 6, 2016 13:29
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RVProfootballer posted:Hah Texas but not Ohio seems questionable Latino turnout though. It's not outrageous. There has been more Latino early vote in some Latino-heavy TX counties than there were votes cast there altogether in 2012. Speaking of Ohio https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/795239560485765121 There hasn't been a single public poll showing Clinton up in a while. The outlier door swings both ways, though.
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Nov 6, 2016 13:28
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If HRC wins the vote and then defectors in the EC don't give it to her...that would make for interesting times in the country
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Nov 6, 2016 13:30
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Isn't it just that one dude out in Washington saying he won't vote the way he's supposed to?
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Nov 6, 2016 13:46
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RVProfootballer posted:Hah Texas but not Ohio seems questionable
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Nov 6, 2016 13:47
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Kilroy posted:oh cool are we posting maps here's mine: When does HRC get Texas but not Ohio or New Hampshire?
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Nov 6, 2016 13:49
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Gunder posted:This map is utter fantasy, right? Is there any chance at all that Clinton gets Texas or Arizona? Marginal chance for AZ, Texas would be a shocker. Can't see her winning AZ, TX, or GA without also winning Ohio or NH, though.
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Nov 6, 2016 13:49
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Radish posted:Isn't it just that one dude out in Washington saying he won't vote the way he's supposed to? *defects from the EC anyway - doesn't get killed FOR SOME REASON*
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Nov 6, 2016 13:49
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This is my favourite chart this election: https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/794754941067939840 and this is my favourite comment (from the NV analyst crunching the NV numbers and calling it for Hillary): https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/794756727803478016
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Nov 6, 2016 13:51
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Party Plane Jones posted:When does HRC get Texas but not Ohio or New Hampshire?
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Nov 6, 2016 13:55
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Grouchio posted:Turns out I'm getting a WRP Federal Job Interview at my school (under the students with disabilities program)... What is this exactly and why is it bad that it starts after Election Day?
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Nov 6, 2016 13:57
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Kilroy posted:too many white people in ohio I think people giving up hope on Ohio are premature. My map is yours, except give her Ohio and NH, definitely give Trump Texas, and AZ and Georgia are probably Trump but I want to believe.
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Nov 6, 2016 13:58
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RVProfootballer posted:AZ and Georgia are probably Trump but I want to believe. I'm from Georgia and I'm almost positive it'll vote Trump, but those couple of polls from a few days ago showing a 2-pt race prompted me to come up with my favorite map, my "Georgia saves the World" wank:  DISCLAIMER THIS WILL NOT ACTUALLY HAPPEN THIS IS MY MASTURBATORY FANTASY OK THANK YOU
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Nov 6, 2016 14:01
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HannibalBarca posted:I'm from Georgia and I'm almost positive it'll vote Trump, but those couple of polls from a few days ago showing a 2-pt race prompted me to come up with my favorite map, my "Georgia saves the World" wank:
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Nov 6, 2016 14:03
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So, one thing to remember about Paul Ryan is that he's got competition, I believe - a Trump supporter running against him on the Independent-Trump party. Depending on how things go, he could very well lose, given that Trump's middle-fingering him so hard.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:04
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Kilroy posted:if you want to cum harder than you thought possible give trump one of the EVs in Maine as well no then we're risking that Bernout in Washington scuttling the whole thing.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:05
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Kilroy posted:oh cool are we posting maps here's mine: Ohio will go blue way before Georgia.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:07
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Kilroy posted:too many white people in ohio
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Nov 6, 2016 14:16
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Gunder posted:This map is utter fantasy, right? Is there any chance at all that Clinton gets Texas or Arizona? I doubt Clinton wins Texas. Latino turnout is surging but not high enough to overwhelm the white republican vote, and I don't expect white turnout to be suppressed in any meaningful level on election day. What I'm expecting - and this is just an educated guess really - is for Texas to swing Trump by about 5 points or so. Compared to 2012, in which Romney won Texas by 16 points, that's still hilarious.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:17
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greatn posted:Wasn't Rush on board with Trump pretty early? Inspector Gesicht posted:I believe he was hedging his bets with Cruz before he called a basketball hoop a "basketball ring". Yeah he was doing the "Ted Cruz is a True Conservative, however Donald Trump is new and exciting kind of candidate who is going to shake things up!" It's been awesome having to watch these folks carry Trump's water and I can't wait to here what Rush says on his show the day after the election.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:19
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of course if i'm proven wrong i will weep with joy
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Nov 6, 2016 14:20
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UFOTofuTacoCat posted:It's been awesome having to watch these folks carry Trump's water and I can't wait to here what Rush says on his show the day after the election. Rush, Hannity, and the entire conservative media complex (along with the conservative political leadership, for that matter) are gonna memory-hole this entire election. This time next year, they'll be talking like Hillary ran unopposed (through some nefarious mechanism for which she should be impeached).
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Nov 6, 2016 14:22
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ZobarStyl posted:Susceptibility to white nationalism increases if you have never had a meaningful interaction with a minority
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Nov 6, 2016 14:25
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I'm pretty happy with this possible map, which I call the Half Satan. e: and here's the Alternate Half Satan, maybe more realistic. Gives Clinton NC instead of GA, and a Nebraska electoral vote. 
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Nov 6, 2016 14:28
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What's more important when it comes to Texas, imo, is for Dems to hold on to that increasing hispanic turnout and dem support and capitalize on it in future elections. If the hispanic vote exceeds 50% this year then that could set a good baseline to work from. of course that implies a Texas Democratic GOTV initiative that isn't a writhing garbage fire
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Nov 6, 2016 14:29
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Queering Wheel posted:I'm pretty happy with this possible map, which I call the Half Satan. NC really isn't in doubt, so go Full Satan imo. If you think she wins AZ and more, throw em in there with NC!
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Nov 6, 2016 14:32
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https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/795138608638332928 BEEEERRRRNNNNOOOOUUUUTSSSSS
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Nov 6, 2016 14:34
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RVProfootballer posted:NC really isn't in doubt, so go Full Satan imo. If you think she wins AZ and more, throw em in there with NC! Clinton wins 333 EV, electors vote her for vice president as well, Clinton gets 666 EV and Vice President Mike Pence.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:34
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Gunder posted:This map is utter fantasy, right? Is there any chance at all that Clinton gets Texas or Arizona? Theoretically yes, if there was some NV style undervaluing of the number of Latino voters that would come out in Texas.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:35
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 my mom just called me this morning worried about me canvassing and that she doesn't want me going to any 'bad areas' for the 'black or Appalachian vote' and that she and my dad both want for me to be safe and to ask the canvassing office to not send me to those places (as if I haven't already canvassed professionally before).The racist Democrat in action, ladies and gentlemen. 
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Nov 6, 2016 14:36
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Teriyaki Koinku posted:The racist Democrat in action, ladies and gentlemen. Appalachian isn't a race.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:37
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Cingulate posted:Are there some numbers on this?
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Nov 6, 2016 14:38
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HannibalBarca posted:Appalachian isn't a race. My mom is uneducated and bigoted. 
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Nov 6, 2016 14:39
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HannibalBarca posted:https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/795138608638332928
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Nov 6, 2016 14:39
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Teriyaki Koinku posted:
text her back a picture of you hanging out with five black dudes
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Nov 6, 2016 14:40
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Endorph posted:text her back a picture of you hanging out with five black dudes It's weird since my mom is from an uneducated working class Dearborn Michigan background and so while she's not hateful in her bigotry like a Deplorable would be, it's still an unthinking casual racism she got from her dad growing up. Like when I was planning on going to Taiwan, she was happy for me that I might date a Chinese girl so she might have a 'chink' baby someday or I should try to dress as cool as one of my black coworkers.  It pivots randomly from positivity to fearful racism I guess?
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Nov 6, 2016 14:45
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ZobarStyl posted:I'm sorry, I don't have any hard data, but I really want to plot vote percentage for Trump vs. % minority by state after the election. This very election is a proxy referendum on white nationalism. I'm not sure it holds for Europe on a nation level.
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Nov 6, 2016 14:47
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Teriyaki Koinku posted:Like when I was planning on going to Taiwan, she was happy for me that I might date a Chinese girl so she might have a 'chink' baby someday that sounds pretty hateful and deplorable tbh
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Nov 6, 2016 14:47
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Endorph posted:that sounds pretty hateful and deplorable tbh
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Nov 6, 2016 14:48
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Endorph posted:that sounds pretty hateful and deplorable tbh I fight with her a lot on it and try to point out that, yes what she's saying is actually racist and ridiculous or I laugh it off but to no avail. 
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Nov 6, 2016 14:49
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