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Well, at least the last day of OA gave my election-ravaged pile a healthy return. Rebuilding is slow, but Trumpkin money is plentiful.
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Jan 20, 2017 16:39
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OAquinas posted:Well, at least the last day of OA gave my election-ravaged pile a healthy return. Rebuilding is slow, but Trumpkin money is plentiful. yah today was a good day for my predictit account. still down but in striking range of being whole again.
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Jan 20, 2017 18:27
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Hillary pardon no was surprisingly resilient to price increase up to 11:30 EST.
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Jan 20, 2017 18:39
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https://www.predictit.org/Market/2885/How-many-tweets-will-Donald-Trump-post-from-noon-Jan-18-to-noon-Jan-25 is this free money now that his @POTUS account is active? Total on @realdonaldtrump is 23 since noon on the 18th bawfuls has issued a correction as of 20:25 on Jan 20, 2017 |
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Jan 20, 2017 20:23
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OAquinas posted:Rebuilding is slow, but Trumpkin money is plentiful.
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Jan 20, 2017 20:26
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bawfuls posted:https://www.predictit.org/Market/2885/How-many-tweets-will-Donald-Trump-post-from-noon-Jan-18-to-noon-Jan-25 Definitely not. Completely unclear where he will be tweeting from now on.
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Jan 20, 2017 20:28
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Also lol @ Clinton Pardon still trading at 3-4c.
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Jan 20, 2017 20:29
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Vox Nihili posted:Definitely not. Completely unclear where he will be tweeting from now on. https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/822521968465416192
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Jan 20, 2017 20:29
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Tillerson by January 31 could be some good money. Is the Senate in session next week?
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Jan 20, 2017 20:31
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Elephanthead posted:Tillerson by January 31 could be some good money. Is the Senate in session next week?
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Jan 20, 2017 20:33
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Trump Inaug ratings beating Obama '09 still trading in low 80s (for NO) if you want to get in on that.
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Jan 20, 2017 20:42
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Another wrinkle on the twitter front, the secret service has taken Trump's android phone, which was the only device through which he tweeted. Now he has whatever super-secure phone they gave him. Unclear whether the new device will be allowed to connect to the old twitter account or not.
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Jan 20, 2017 21:03
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Elephanthead posted:Tillerson by January 31 could be some good money. Is the Senate in session next week? It's an open question whether they'll get him confirmed in time. Senate is only convening Monday and Tuesday I think, but could also do the 30th or the 31st. I don't think any Republicans have the balls to block Tillerson either, fwiw. My position in that market is $500 of neg risk but I make the most if Tillerson is confirmed by the 31st.
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Jan 20, 2017 23:56
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The No's just paid out for the inaug ratings. Doubling cash never felt so sweet.
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Jan 22, 2017 15:25
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OAquinas posted:The No's just paid out for the inaug ratings. Doubling cash never felt so sweet. Still waiting to get paid out on the Hillary Pardon.
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Jan 23, 2017 02:29
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Elephanthead posted:Tillerson by January 31 could be some good money. Is the Senate in session next week? Holy poo poo this market has been a gold mine. Playing the swings is somehow soooo much easier since the election. Just bumped my pile to 150% what it was yesterday. ...still a ways off from being whole, but at this rate it won't be too long.
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Jan 25, 2017 02:13
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Having 5k stuck in the closed pardon markets sucks. I think trump fired the dude who is supposed to update the official list.
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Jan 25, 2017 18:21
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One rando in the comments claimed that the list is only released twice a year, and I know I shouldn't believe baseless claims made by commenters but some intractable sliver of me now thinks that the money's going to be locked up there until december.
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Jan 25, 2017 20:27
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Ditocoaf posted:One rando in the comments claimed that the list is only released twice a year, and I know I shouldn't believe baseless claims made by commenters but some intractable sliver of me now thinks that the money's going to be locked up there until december. loving hell
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Jan 25, 2017 20:40
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Ditocoaf posted:One rando in the comments claimed that the list is only released twice a year, and I know I shouldn't believe baseless claims made by commenters but some intractable sliver of me now thinks that the money's going to be locked up there until december. drat it PI, I might need that $1,500 soon to stock up on dried goods and ammunition!
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Jan 25, 2017 20:50
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Automated response and a closed ticket with no time estimate or real information.
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Jan 25, 2017 21:14
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Emphasis on 'baseless claim' and 'rando commenter'. If I believed anything a single person in the PI comments section mentioned once casually, I'd be bleeding from the ears.
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Jan 25, 2017 21:22
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Ditocoaf posted:Emphasis on 'baseless claim' and 'rando commenter'. If I believed anything a single person in the PI comments section mentioned once casually, I'd be bleeding from the ears. The pardon markets finally paid out. Maybe the complaining helped!
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Jan 25, 2017 23:43
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If you want someplace to park your pardon spoils popular vote has not closed and should any day (Sorry I bought up most of the 97 cent winners suckers.) This is a done deal I don't see any risk other then time value opportunity.
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Jan 26, 2017 16:07
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Elephanthead posted:If you want someplace to park your pardon spoils popular vote has not closed and should any day (Sorry I bought up most of the 97 cent winners suckers.) This is a done deal I don't see any risk other then time value opportunity. May not expire until July, which is the final, final FEC report. There may be a "final" report issued shortly, but I don't think that is guaranteed.
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Jan 26, 2017 16:57
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Easy flip if you want to gently caress with people: https://www.predictit.org/Market/2732/Who-will-be-White-House-press-secretary-on-Jan-31%2c-2017
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Jan 26, 2017 17:58
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The Tillerson # of yeas market has been fun. Lots of Trumplodytes were expecting 60+ yeas at the start.
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Jan 28, 2017 01:35
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Vox Nihili posted:The Tillerson # of yeas market has been fun. Lots of Trumplodytes were expecting 60+ yeas at the start. Honestly I figured it was possible - Rex has plenty of fans. Maybe not 50-50 possible, but possible. But that was before possible executive order lifting sanctions.
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Jan 28, 2017 01:54
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Jan 29, 2017 22:58
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Tillerson down to 15 cents now. i bought a bunch of Rubio nos for 47 cents last week when the confirmation vote was scheduled for Wednesday. Thanks Republican news sites for publicizing Mondays closure vote.
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Jan 30, 2017 17:59
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Gorsuch or Hardiman?
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Jan 30, 2017 18:45
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Vox Nihili posted:Gorsuch or Hardiman? Who does Bannon want? Trump sister is a Gorsuch woman.
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Jan 30, 2017 22:24
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Elephanthead posted:Who does Bannon want? Trump sister is a Gorsuch woman. Trump's sister is the Hardiman supporter.
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Jan 30, 2017 23:05
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don't believe me, vox?
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Feb 1, 2017 02:33
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Abel Wingnut posted:don't believe me, vox? On what now?
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Feb 1, 2017 21:59
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special shoutout to HUFFLEPUFF who made a few of us a lot of money with the Tom Shannon tip in Secretary of State boy howdy, that was big
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Feb 1, 2017 22:04
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this one is going well
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Feb 2, 2017 22:55
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Arkane posted:special shoutout to HUFFLEPUFF who made a few of us a lot of money with the Tom Shannon tip in Secretary of State Can you give more details? This sounds juicy
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Feb 2, 2017 23:31
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Rex-Goliath posted:Can you give more details? This sounds juicy Basically, a long time ago everyone was betting in Secretary of State on one of two outcomes: 1) Tillerson is confirmed 2) Tillerson is not confirmed in time, and either John Kerry stays on as a placeholder SecState or Deputy SecState Anthony Blinken takes Acting. Those people did no research, because if they did they'd see that every single time there has ever been an acting SecState, it has been the Undersecretary for Political Affairs - Thomas Shannon, in this case. The highest ranking career foreign service position/non-political appointee. I asked that Shannon be added, and when he was I quietly bought up thousands of shares at 1-5c apiece. I actually missed out on most of the 1-2c shares, but got a bunch at 4c. Even after that it took the market weeks to realize that Shann was the Mann. I think that was probably a once-in-a-lifetime hit, because all the factors aligned: slightly obtuse process that made it not clear that Shannon was the answer. A lot of noise from the insanity in the SecState market (It was always Dana). And the thought that Tillerson would be confirmed easily. Even then, right down to the wire, if it hadn't been for that executive order on immigration, they might have held the vote a few hours earlier and it'd be for naught. So, good times!
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Feb 3, 2017 03:46
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Bikini Quilt posted:So is PredictIt basically dead once the primaries are over? After that is it just betting on the actual election? Everything else seems like poll betting or international stuff that I imagine is a lot harder to make money off of. funny post, in hindsight
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Feb 3, 2017 20:07
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