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FourLeaf
Dec 2, 2011

Accretionist posted:

Don't joke. The Paris Agreement could push Rime's suicide back by weeks

Rime is one of the worst posters in this thread. All he does is post about how hopeless everything is but if someone else does the same and dares to mention a non-Western country, he instantly arrives to accuse them off jerking off to brown people dying. It's impossible for him to understand that there are non-rich, non-white people posting in this thread. Indeed, some of us are painfully aware the West isn't going to get off scot-free. In his mind we are all part of the 1% cackling over NYT articles about thousands of South Asians dying in heat waves or some poo poo and he's the hero asserting his moral superiority because he doesn't care anymore.

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Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
Me, I live in a third world country that's gonna get hosed in the rear end.

2m sea level rise is enough to make 70% of the province my family has lived in for generations uninhabitable.

Rime
Nov 2, 2011

by Games Forum
Yeah man, I'm just a rich as poo poo white retard who's sitting here :jerkbag: it over all you fools and your climate optimism while I play russian roulette on the regular. Fo' Sho'.

Burt Buckle
Sep 1, 2011

Conspiratiorist posted:

Me, I live in a third world country that's gonna get hosed in the rear end.

2m sea level rise is enough to make 70% of the province my family has lived in for generations uninhabitable.

You should move to America. Or maybe Canada.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Potato Salad posted:

by not just letting the status quo continue with gradual energy/GDP decoupling

this is not a thing, economic activity is energy expenditure

BattleMoose
Jun 16, 2010

StabbinHobo posted:

this is not a thing, economic activity is energy expenditure

It is a thing in; in so far as different countries have a different rate of CO2e per GDP. More energy efficient countries need less CO2e per GDP.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_ratio_of_GDP_to_carbon_dioxide_emissions

As an example, Switzerland gets 4 times the economic value per unit of CO2 than does the USA.

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


StabbinHobo posted:

this is not a thing, economic activity is energy expenditure

https://thinkprogress.org/u-s-economic-growth-decouples-from-both-energy-and-electricity-use-16ae78732e59

It's ThinkProgress, so take it with a grain of salt. However, in the two minutes I'm spending phone posting this, its enough to point to a trend.

There is EPA / DoE literature on CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and GDP I can find tomorrow. Economic activity will always consume energy, but we (caveats: industrialized, developed nation) haven't appreciably increased energy consumption to grow our GDP in this decade. That GDP growth requires energy growth is something of an assumption.

On the flip side, those nations that best adhere to the Paris Accord are dead Warsaw states whose compliance stems from post-Soviet collapse and literally closing their factories. Additionally, developing nations don't have the benefit of existing infrastructure, market velocity, and capital that is the gateway to powering a growing slice of industry and homes with with renewables.

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
Switching to a service economy that doesn't consume as much energy per GDP is fine and dandy when you've got a country elsewhere in the world taking care of the energy intensive resource extraction and manufacturing to meet your consumption demands.

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?
Yeah, I'd actually be very interested in seeing evidence that we aren't simply exporting our energy demand and emissions elsewhere.

Rastor
Jun 2, 2001

Potato Salad posted:

I think I'm just going to straight-up read and participate in this thread as though it was only about climate science docs, questions, and answers. You loving political dropouts deserve this poo poo, and when you and I are facing severe consequences in the coming decades, I'm fine holding my head a little loving higher for having tried in vain, helpless political activism.

poo poo, half of you are probably under 30 and have every loving reason to be way more involved in tackling ACC on every front as hard as you fruitlessly can manage. On actuarial tables, I'm dead in 2040. I frankly could just throw in a useless vote or not vote at all in elections and FYGM outta here when southeast asia goes feral. I see usefulness in doing good, so instead I'm canvassing for Ossoff, I've canvassed for Hillary, I've canvassed for Bernie for the majority of my adult life. I'm attending local govt functions and talking climate science wherever possible. I have my house representative's cell number.

Go just think about yourself 30 years from now. You're spending way more than you used to for cooling/heating, public water is a problem unless you've moved to or already live in the great lakes or the cascades, and while scrolling through an article about money being scraped together for a 30% increase in night vision goggles and machine gun nests on the border wall, you're thinking back to a couple near-miss elections in the past where the guy you didn't vote against took the RCP 8.5 status quo that even our wildest nightmares presently don't think will transpire and buttfucked it by not just letting the status quo continue with gradual energy/GDP decoupling but general inaction overall, but also making huge investments in more coal, more oil, more gas, more peat, more more more.

Every tenth of a degree will matter to you when you are fourteen years into the apocalypse, old, and suffering in a way you haven't imagined you can suffer on an hourly basis.


For those who want political solutions this thread is really lovely. Here are some non-lovely threads:

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3800657

https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3808020


Get out there, take some action, it may even have a net better effect on the environment than committing suicide.

Venomous
Nov 7, 2011





Burt Buckle posted:

You should move to America. Or maybe Canada.

I am amazed by the levels of white Western privilege that made you think this was an acceptable suggestion, even ironically

'So your homeland's in danger of being wiped out by climate change? Abandon your roots and come to either of these capitalist shitholes where you'll be marginalised and discriminated against, especially after the poo poo hits the fan!'

loving hell this thread

got any sevens
Feb 9, 2013

by Cyrano4747
Also trump would kick you out anyway, even if you'd been here 40 years

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

Shoe do do do do do do do
Shoe do do do do do do yeah
Shoe do do do do do do do
Shoe do do do do do do yeah

Paradoxish posted:

Yeah, I'd actually be very interested in seeing evidence that we aren't simply exporting our energy demand and emissions elsewhere.

This was a decent account of how such a decoupling might be measured.

BattleMoose
Jun 16, 2010

Venomous posted:

I am amazed by the levels of white Western privilege that made you think this was an acceptable suggestion, even ironically

'So your homeland's in danger of being wiped out by climate change? Abandon your roots and come to either of these capitalist shitholes where you'll be marginalised and discriminated against, especially after the poo poo hits the fan!'

loving hell this thread

Its pragmatic advice for effectively everyone in the third world. Take it or leave it. Also, I recommend new Zealand.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

BattleMoose posted:

It is a thing in; in so far as different countries have a different rate of CO2e per GDP. More energy efficient countries need less CO2e per GDP.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_ratio_of_GDP_to_carbon_dioxide_emissions

As an example, Switzerland gets 4 times the economic value per unit of CO2 than does the USA.

this whole worldview of nation states competing for gdp statistics is the root of the problem. its one planet. all of these numbers are just shuffling around the hot potato.

Potato Salad posted:

There is EPA / DoE literature on CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and GDP I can find tomorrow. Economic activity will always consume energy, but we (caveats: industrialized, developed nation) haven't appreciably increased energy consumption to grow our GDP in this decade. That GDP growth requires energy growth is something of an assumption.
its not though its really just stating the obvious. only in economist la-la land can you try to microscope your way to small subtle differences that are well within rounding errors to try and tease out a contrarian claim against the obvious r=1 correlation.

Paradoxish posted:

Yeah, I'd actually be very interested in seeing evidence that we aren't simply exporting our energy demand and emissions elsewhere.

Conspiratiorist posted:

Switching to a service economy that doesn't consume as much energy per GDP is fine and dandy when you've got a country elsewhere in the world taking care of the energy intensive resource extraction and manufacturing to meet your consumption demands.
exactly

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

If an economy reduced the carbon intensity of electricity generation or transportation, that is carbon/growth decoupling. Likewise, energy efficiency is another example of real-world energy use/growth decoupling that we have empirical evidence exists.

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
True, but there is only one carbon budget and it doesn't care about how efficient your emissions are.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

BattleMoose posted:

Its pragmatic advice for effectively everyone in the third world. Take it or leave it. Also, I recommend new Zealand.

It's quite possible that Sri Lankan agricultural GDP will rise significantly in a warmer world. :colbert:

It'll be because cash crops are easier to grow and staple crops are harder. Also, Jaffna will vanish beneath the waves rather promptly, because northern Tamils haven't had enough trouble in their lives recently.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Mozi posted:

True, but there is only one carbon budget and it doesn't care about how efficient your emissions are.

But efficiency determines how much economic activity you can have within that budget.

A ton of co2 equivalents goes a lot farther with efficiency than with waste. Switching economic activity from emissions from capital development and emissions from fuel to just emissions from capital development is the exact kind of decoupling we need to accelerate.

NewForumSoftware
Oct 8, 2016

by Lowtax
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005


The existence of a much disputed theory about feedback mechanisms in resource use efficiency doesn't actually respond to all the mechanisms of carbon decoupling.

Even if Jevons is correct, that doesn't preclude decoupling through switching to non-carbon fuels for example. And it completely ignores the potential for regulatory restraints on resource consumption.

If we set a carbon budget, effiency can help us have more economic activity under that budget, even if Jevons is correct.

BattleMoose
Jun 16, 2010

GreyjoyBastard posted:

It's quite possible that Sri Lankan agricultural GDP will rise significantly in a warmer world. :colbert:

It'll be because cash crops are easier to grow and staple crops are harder. Also, Jaffna will vanish beneath the waves rather promptly, because northern Tamils haven't had enough trouble in their lives recently.

Its up to everyone to make the best decisions they can for themselves.

Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

BattleMoose posted:

Its up to everyone to make the best decisions they can for themselves.

So you're saying it's hopeless?

Rime
Nov 2, 2011

by Games Forum
Coal India wins tax-cut boost

quote:

State-run Coal India Ltd, saddled with millions of tonnes of unsold coal, is expected to be the biggest beneficiary of a controversial government decision to more than halve the local sales tax on the fuel after a jump in local supplies.

The world's third-largest greenhouse gas emitting country said last Friday it would lower the duty on domestic coal from July 1 and impose a new 18 percent tax on solar cells and modules as part of a broader tax overhaul.

quote:

"The government is mining so much coal, they would like that be used," Jindal Steel Chief Executive Ravi Uppal told Reuters, adding that it was only fair that thermal power companies were being given some relief when renewable companies were enjoying numerous government incentives.

:allears:

Stockholm Syndrome
Mar 30, 2010

BattleMoose posted:

Its pragmatic advice for effectively everyone in the third world. Take it or leave it. Also, I recommend new Zealand.

Lol, guess how fast America & Canada would become 3rd world countries (well, the USA already kind of is) if everyone from those countries affected by climate change would just pack their bags and move there? It's not sustainable, you know. The countries would fall apart faster than you can say "carbon emission".

BattleMoose
Jun 16, 2010

Stockholm Syndrome posted:

Lol, guess how fast America & Canada would become 3rd world countries (well, the USA already kind of is) if everyone from those countries affected by climate change would just pack their bags and move there? It's not sustainable, you know. The countries would fall apart faster than you can say "carbon emission".

You clearly have no idea of how insanely difficult it is to emigrate to these countries. And it is getting continuously more difficult.

Burt Buckle
Sep 1, 2011

Venomous posted:

I am amazed by the levels of white Western privilege that made you think this was an acceptable suggestion, even ironically

'So your homeland's in danger of being wiped out by climate change? Abandon your roots and come to either of these capitalist shitholes where you'll be marginalised and discriminated against, especially after the poo poo hits the fan!'

loving hell this thread

I was just joking man.

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
Goon autism in this thread. Sarcasm is hard on the internet, but come on.

syscall girl
Nov 7, 2009

by FactsAreUseless
Fun Shoe

Conspiratiorist posted:

Goon autism in this thread. Sarcasm is hard on the internet, but come on.

Someone patented a thing called the sarcmarc and expected to be paid good money for it.

And that man's name was Louis Kyanka. At family reunions lowtax takes to drinking pretty hard when they start saying, "why can't you be like cousin Louis?"

Venomous
Nov 7, 2011





Burt Buckle posted:

I was just joking man.

nice joke

anyway, throwing my hat in with the doomsayers because there's no such thing as ethical consumption under capitalism and there never will be

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless
The best part about everyone saying "GEEZ, take your MEDS brokebrained LOSER" is the incredibly obvious projection that accompanies it

Rime posted:

TBH, the denialism on here regarding how bad things may or may not go for the West in the face of climate change probably offends me more than straight up climate denialism. I'd rather read Arkane, at least he didn't rely solely on magical thinking for his arguments against reality.

I'm not sure why this raises my ire such. Is it because the posters are essentially saying "billions will die elsewhere, but *we* will be just fine!", without realizing how loving stupid that sounds? It's certainly vastly ignorant of current events: a special kind of exceptionalism which assumes Western civilization can exist in a vacuum absent all other life on earth.

I mean, tell yourself whatever lies you want so you can sleep at night, I guess. :shrug:

These are the kinds of folks that think we can bomb the Middle East into dust and never suffer any blowback. They're not deep thinkers. Those climate refugees will just sorta disappear as the dirty American ~*labor aristocracy*~ continues to live a prosperous, amazing life!

Potato Salad posted:

in before "nice meltdown" and you continue to be a functionality apathetic sack of meat on this problem

Stop pretending like you will ever do or have ever done anything that matters to the climate. The only thing you contribute to this thread is the result of your unbelievably strong cognitive dissonance. Please take your own advice and only post about climate data or whatever, your constant browbeating about how joining the US Socialist Party (hahah, sorry, I had to laugh even as I type this) is going to solve climate change is tiresome as gently caress.

call to action fucked around with this message at 14:28 on May 26, 2017

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless
"NO! My life is important. I will be remembered. My kids will have a good life. I believe in my country. Every problem is fixable, no matter how bad it is or how long we let it fester. We are good people, and our God (technology) wouldn't let us die!" - the denialists in this thread, screaming into the void

Wakko
Jun 9, 2002
Faboo!

call to action posted:

"NO! My life is important. I will be remembered. My kids will have a good life. I believe in my country. Every problem is fixable, no matter how bad it is or how long we let it fester. We are good people, and our God (technology) wouldn't let us die!" - the denialists in this thread, screaming into the void

Yeah? But I mean these are the essential myths that americans are taught from birth so good luck arguing with most of the thread's entire upbringing my dude.

Burt Buckle
Sep 1, 2011

Venomous posted:

Anyway, throwing my hat in with the doomsayers because there's no such thing as ethical consumption under capitalism and there never will be

Then start a revolution to overthrow the system. drat, this isn't that hard people.

Star Man
Jun 1, 2008

There's a star maaaaaan
Over the rainbow
So if we do nothing, then we're just a bunch of inept whiners that will never amount to anything. If we try to do something, it won't matter anyway because it's too late and the system has made it impossible to do anything and it all needed to be done whatever long time ago.

This is some fuckin Arjuna and Krishna poo poo.

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


Star Man posted:

So if we do nothing, then we're just a bunch of inept whiners that will never amount to anything. If we try to do something, it won't matter anyway because it's too late and the system has made it impossible to do anything and it all needed to be done whatever long time ago.

This is some fuckin Arjuna and Krishna poo poo.

I mean, that's kinda the dilemma of a man stranded in the Atlantic after his boat sank: "If I stop treading water, that's no better than suicide, but I'm gonna loving die regardless."

The metaphor kinda falls apart at the end. Death is binary; however, there may end up being a world of difference between +5C and +10C.

AR6 cannot come soon enough. More paleo models are adjusting for the inclusion of Greenland ice pack melt, and it'll be interesting to see if the 3.1mm/year figure someone brought up earlier holds muster.

Potato Salad fucked around with this message at 23:16 on May 26, 2017

Shifty Nipples
Apr 8, 2007

The meaning of life is to procreate and do things that feel good but none of it really matters.


Who would have guessed?

Star Man
Jun 1, 2008

There's a star maaaaaan
Over the rainbow

Shifty Nipples posted:

The meaning of life is to procreate and do things that feel good but none of it really matters.


Who would have guessed?

Why thank you, Camut.

TildeATH
Oct 21, 2010

by Lowtax

Star Man posted:

So if we do nothing, then we're just a bunch of inept whiners that will never amount to anything. If we try to do something, it won't matter anyway because it's too late and the system has made it impossible to do anything and it all needed to be done whatever long time ago.

This is some fuckin Arjuna and Krishna poo poo.

There's some ethical value in, you know, being correct and not delusional. In the long run, the cynical, hard-edged response will serve our descendants more than pussyfooting magical thinking.

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Star Man
Jun 1, 2008

There's a star maaaaaan
Over the rainbow

TildeATH posted:

There's some ethical value in, you know, being correct and not delusional. In the long run, the cynical, hard-edged response will serve our descendants more than pussyfooting magical thinking.

Then what's an example of a useful cynical, hard-edged response? Is it armed revolution? Is it population control through violence so that whatever the maximum threshold of a sustainable population is can be met? Is it radical change of how we live so that humanity and any other life can get through the impending environmental crisis?

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