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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is: This poll is closed. |
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| Labour |
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907 | 49.92% |
| Theresa May Team (Conservative) |
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48 | 2.64% |
| Liberal Democrats |
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31 | 1.71% |
| UKIP |
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13 | 0.72% |
| Plaid Cymru |
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25 | 1.38% |
| Green |
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22 | 1.21% |
| Scottish Socialist Party |
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12 | 0.66% |
| Scottish Conservative Party |
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1 | 0.06% |
| Scottish National Party |
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59 | 3.25% |
| Some Kind of Irish Unionist |
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4 | 0.22% |
| Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian |
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3 | 0.17% |
| Some Kind of Irish Nationalist |
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36 | 1.98% |
| Misc. Far Left Trots |
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35 | 1.93% |
| Misc. Far Right Fash |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Monster Raving Loony |
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49 | 2.70% |
| Space Navies Party |
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39 | 2.15% |
| Independent / Single Issue |
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2 | 0.11% |
| Can't Vote |
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188 | 10.35% |
| Won't Vote |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Spoiled Ballot |
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15 | 0.83% |
| Pissflaps |
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312 | 17.17% |
| Total: | 1817 votes | ||
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N..nnnoooooooooooooooooooo 69. Sixty nine. Six and a nine. 96 but the other way around. Not as funny as 1488.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:22
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Pissflaps posted:Wow who is tom burke
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Jun 3, 2017 21:23
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Pissflaps posted:Wow aw gently caress
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Jun 3, 2017 21:23
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Pissflaps posted:Wow People are replying saying they can't see that figure.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:23
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I really wish student unions had a coordinated response to high voter registration (and credibility in general) because shock wins in Sheff Hallam, Cornwall and the home county uni towns aren't going to add up to a majorityRaeg posted:People are replying saying they can't see that figure. brexit was 63% if that helps
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Jun 3, 2017 21:24
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It seems all of the polls going towards Labours favour assume an unprecedented turn out of 18-24 year olds. So we are going to get hosed by the tories unless you round up ever <25 you know and drag them by the ear to the polling booth.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:24
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Regarde Aduck posted:N..nnnoooooooooooooooooooo https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/871100214450548736
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Jun 3, 2017 21:25
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Spangly A posted:I really wish student unions had a coordinated response to high voter registration (and credibility in general) because shock wins in Sheff Hallam, Cornwall and the home county uni towns aren't going to add up to a majority student unions and everone else involved in student politics deserve dissolving in a vat of acid
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Jun 3, 2017 21:25
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deletebeepbeepbeep posted:It seems all of the polls going towards Labours favour assume an unprecedented turn out of 18-24 year olds. I mean, its not an assumption but
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Jun 3, 2017 21:26
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deletebeepbeepbeep posted:It seems all of the polls going towards Labours favour assume an unprecedented turn out of 18-24 year olds. i think most that still have a 5 point split or so have 18-24 being at pre-Blair levels
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Jun 3, 2017 21:26
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Mercy
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Jun 3, 2017 21:26
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Spangly A posted:I really wish student unions had a coordinated response to high voter registration (and credibility in general) because shock wins in Sheff Hallam, Cornwall and the home county uni towns aren't going to add up to a majority Sadly students are more interested in pointlessly squabbling over wank.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:26
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Pissflaps posted:Wow https://twitter.com/Ian_M_Scott/status/871098169391755269
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Jun 3, 2017 21:26
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deletebeepbeepbeep posted:It seems all of the polls going towards Labours favour assume an unprecedented turn out of 18-24 year olds. Presumably they have a reason for doing this though, like the youth vote saying they will turn out in unprecedented numbers. I mean obviously it's a big assumption, but given the hatred of socialism by old people getting the youth vote out was always going to be the only way Labour could make ground.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:27
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Poor Tom Burke https://twitter.com/_tom_burke_/status/871100607964250113
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Jun 3, 2017 21:27
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Outside shot: Venezuela goon have you any information on el hefe? I keep asking in the Venezuela thread but no one knows.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:28
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jabby posted:Presumably they have a reason for doing this though, like the youth vote saying they will turn out in unprecedented numbers. They're going to march the polling station singing hallelujah the version from shrek, carrying each other on their shoulders.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:28
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Jose posted:student unions and everone else involved in student politics deserve dissolving in a vat of acid imagine if they'd bothered to do anything about a general election and coordianted to win at least one "away" seat unexpectedly they could live off that for years
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Jun 3, 2017 21:28
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Pochoclo posted:Can you imagine what it's like to be the guy that has to moderate Sun / Mail comments? It's pretty much just 1. Make sure nobody has gotten past the worshippers 2. Make sure right wing comments outweigh left wing comments. I've seen comments on "moderated" articles calling for internment camps or talking about a globalist conspiracy theory.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:30
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The polls in this election are all pretty experimental and it remains to be seen which (if any) of the methods are actually accurate.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:31
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Can turnout difference in 18-25 year olds really explain the 11 point difference in the polls? What % of eligible voters are 18-25? I'm guessing there's much more to the difference than just youth turnout
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Jun 3, 2017 21:33
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Pochoclo posted:Can you imagine what it's like to be the guy that has to moderate Sun / Mail comments? my brother knew/knows someone who works for the mail online and unsurprisingly everyone hates their job
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Jun 3, 2017 21:34
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CoolCab posted:I'm cynical as gently caress, 350. I said 100 seat majority when she called it though, so at least I'm marginally less cynical now. Put your money where your mouth is then... quote:So here we go - forget vote share, that's for internal wrangling afterwards and arguments about FPTP, the important thing is who ends up running the country and how much they're going to have to fight their own backbenchers afterwards.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:34
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it's also worth remembering that another 20% of 18-25 turnout is not going to swing the election on its own, nor does knowing that it could be higher really help get useable information out of any models that still looks like a labour win. It's p much massive russia hack or bust, but it's that faint glimmering possibility
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Jun 3, 2017 21:34
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Jose posted:student unions and everone else involved in student politics deserve dissolving in a vat of acid
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Jun 3, 2017 21:34
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jBrereton posted:it's the left realising that the right were having a lot of fun, as it turns out, and slowly becoming them, hth. yeah it's definitely as simple as animal farm, thank you
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Jun 3, 2017 21:35
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R. Guyovich posted:yeah it's definitely as simple as animal farm, thank you is this when you defend murder and genocide?
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Jun 3, 2017 21:36
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Yougov have gone boring on us https://twitter.com/NCPoliticsUK/status/871102412123197440
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Jun 3, 2017 21:36
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Pissflaps posted:Yougov have gone boring on us That is depressing and also surprising :/
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Jun 3, 2017 21:38
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dispatch_async posted:Can turnout difference in 18-25 year olds really explain the 11 point difference in the polls? What % of eligible voters are 18-25? It;s the largest cohort and also the one with the lowest turnout, and as has been mentioned before all the way up to fourtysomethngs skew to Labour but with lower turnout than the tory-skewing higher age groups. I'd guess weighting them differently plus difference in the selection of your sample could easily account for that sort of spread.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:38
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Pissflaps posted:Yougov have gone boring on us #LibDemFightback though.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:39
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forkboy84 posted:And then also do that on every other website. Excuse me but the Guardian BTL comments are quite the salt mine these days
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Jun 3, 2017 21:40
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https://twitter.com/MattSingh_/status/871103537098444801
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Jun 3, 2017 21:40
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Well that was a waste of time.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:42
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I've crunched the numbers and from a complex aggregation method I can confidently say that there is probably going to be an election.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:43
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a tale of two bernies https://twitter.com/imajsaclaimant/status/870673557273141248
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Jun 3, 2017 21:43
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Tories are going to win, Labour will get more votes than in 2015 and still come away with less MPs and this won't be taken as a lesson that this dumb country desperately needs electoral reform.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:44
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So the takeaway message is "We're literally just guessing!"
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Jun 3, 2017 21:44
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How come polling intention polls don't include the SNP by the way?
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Jun 3, 2017 21:45
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| # ? May 14, 2024 14:49 |
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Lol between a 1 and 12 point lead, truth is probably somewhere in the middle along with a 50+ tory majority. gently caress this countries terrible electorate.
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Jun 3, 2017 21:45
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