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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is: This poll is closed. |
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| Labour |
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907 | 49.92% |
| Theresa May Team (Conservative) |
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48 | 2.64% |
| Liberal Democrats |
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31 | 1.71% |
| UKIP |
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13 | 0.72% |
| Plaid Cymru |
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25 | 1.38% |
| Green |
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22 | 1.21% |
| Scottish Socialist Party |
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12 | 0.66% |
| Scottish Conservative Party |
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1 | 0.06% |
| Scottish National Party |
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59 | 3.25% |
| Some Kind of Irish Unionist |
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4 | 0.22% |
| Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian |
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3 | 0.17% |
| Some Kind of Irish Nationalist |
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36 | 1.98% |
| Misc. Far Left Trots |
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35 | 1.93% |
| Misc. Far Right Fash |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Monster Raving Loony |
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49 | 2.70% |
| Space Navies Party |
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39 | 2.15% |
| Independent / Single Issue |
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2 | 0.11% |
| Can't Vote |
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188 | 10.35% |
| Won't Vote |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Spoiled Ballot |
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15 | 0.83% |
| Pissflaps |
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312 | 17.17% |
| Total: | 1817 votes | ||
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MrL_JaKiri posted:Going back a few days (I've been away) but who was the guy who thought that Wargames was pro-nuclear weapons again It's a pro MAD film that supports the concept of rational actors unambiguously declaring their intention to follow up any strike with an immediate retaliation, preventing the escalations that WOPR plays out in the story.
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Jun 5, 2017 21:55
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Baron Corbyn posted:he'll do the latter easily, but he could be gaining 5-10 points on what Ed got and still lose seats. YouGov's miracle seat estimator seems to think there's a >95% chance of Labour gaining seats. They are either gonna be heroes or a laughing stock come Friday.
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Jun 5, 2017 21:55
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jabby posted:YouGov's miracle seat estimator seems to think there's a >95% chance of Labour gaining seats. What do you think they'll be?
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Jun 5, 2017 21:55
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Pissflaps posted:Again, we'll find out on Friday how effective following a 'me-too' Brexit platform has been. Given the Lib Dems are running on a near exclusive Pro EU platform and had the press calling them the "Real opposition" I don't think we have to wait. They're dying on their arse and will be lucky to keep the 9MP's they've got.
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Jun 5, 2017 21:56
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Your reminder that hope is a lie, Torys will gain everything dispite everything. Vote, labor. Don't drink to much in Friday!
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Jun 5, 2017 21:56
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i can't wait until after the election when we can fire up our magical interdimensional looking glasses calibrated on specific campaign choices and compare the vote and seat counts totals to determine precisely what did or did not have a positive or negative effect on the labour vote or maybe we'll just reckon a bunch of reckons real hard at each other endlessly and forever, I hear that worked out real well for determining how to improve the democratic party vote in the past after nov 2016 and I'm sure that will be an enjoyable experience
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Jun 5, 2017 21:56
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Pissflaps posted:It's a pro MAD film that supports the concept of rational actors unambiguously declaring their intention to follow up any strike with an immediate retaliation, preventing the escalations that WOPR plays out in the story. Not sure about that, Pissflaps I mean I watched it only a couple of months ago
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Jun 5, 2017 21:58
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Angepain posted:i can't wait until after the election when we can fire up our magical interdimensional looking glasses calibrated on specific campaign choices and compare the vote and seat counts totals to determine precisely what did or did not have a positive or negative effect on the labour vote I reckon that, in the face of the worst Tory election campaign in living memory, there is absolutely no excuse for Labour losing this election. MrL_JaKiri posted:Not sure about that, Pissflaps Sounds like some bits went over your head. Watch it again.
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Jun 5, 2017 21:58
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Look, this all is super simple so I don't know why I hve to repeat it: Corbyn is going to win because Pissflaps thinks he won't.
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Jun 5, 2017 21:59
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I'm trying so hard not to feel hope. Bloody YouGov is not helping. I have friends whos continued living existence rides on this election. I wish i could give this 40‰ tory voters just a hint of loving empathy.
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Jun 5, 2017 21:59
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Pissflaps posted:Uh oh they let her on the telly Look at this absolute poo poo. An interview with no questions. She doesn't have the PR chops to turn this around and take control (which is bad) but they literally invited her on to play some memory game
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Jun 5, 2017 21:59
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Pissflaps posted:Sounds like some bits went over your head. Watch it again. It is Matthew Broderick's finest film but I think that's a bit soon
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Jun 5, 2017 22:01
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Cerebral Bore posted:Look, this all is super simple so I don't know why I hve to repeat it: Corbyn is going to win because Pissflaps thinks he won't. Bullshit, name me three votes he got wrong in the past two years.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:01
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Oberleutnant posted:I'm having to think about this right now as my gf wants me to move to Barcelona with her in the autumn, and on the one hand it would be amazing, but on the other hand the only Spanish I know is how to tell her I love her. Half considering taking an OU course in IT while working shity jobs for a couple years and just basically starting over, but it's a scary prospect. Get on Duolingo, it's v good. Plus they have a flirting section where all the comments are 'what the hell' so at least you can make her laugh double nine posted:https://twitter.com/unisontweets/status/871802585585418241 Someone tweet them and tell them to put some +s on those crime numbers because at a glance they look like reductions In fact tell them to make it 'change for X crimes' so it's not so wordy and you can actually fit the stats on screen on mobile baka kaba fucked around with this message at 22:12 on Jun 5, 2017 |
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Jun 5, 2017 22:02
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double nine posted:https://twitter.com/unisontweets/status/871802585585418241  Nice.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:08
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Pissflaps posted:What do you think they'll be? I've no idea. But then what exactly would I base my opinion on?
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Jun 5, 2017 22:08
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jabby posted:I've no idea. But then what exactly would I base my opinion on? Are you saying you have no opinion?
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Jun 5, 2017 22:10
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Pissflaps posted:Are you saying you have no opinion? Are you angry about gimmick infringement?
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Jun 5, 2017 22:12
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jabby posted:I've no idea. But then what exactly would I base my opinion on? You can't post here if you don't have or won't share your opinion mate
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Jun 5, 2017 22:13
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Gonzo McFee posted:Are you angry about gimmick infringement? I don't understand. I have many opinions, and I have shared lots of them with this thread.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:13
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Now got Thurs off work. Is there US style get people out to vote schemes in this country? Feel like I want to be haranguing people into the booth. Young people anyway.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:15
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Pissflaps posted:Are you saying you have no opinion? I don't know how accurate the extremely complicated polling model is going to be. I'm not sure how anyone would.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:16
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baka kaba posted:Get on Duolingo, it's v good. Plus they have a flirting section where all the comments are 'what the hell' so at least you can make her laugh
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Jun 5, 2017 22:17
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Mr. Flunchy posted:Now got Thurs off work. Is there US style get people out to vote schemes in this country? Feel like I want to be haranguing people into the booth. Young people anyway. Walk around local student accommodation hotspots with a snare drum round your neck and get those mounging scrunts out of their hangover coma.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:17
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Mr. Flunchy posted:Now got Thurs off work. Is there US style get people out to vote schemes in this country? Feel like I want to be haranguing people into the booth. Young people anyway. yeah http://www.labour.org.uk/w/polling-day-volunteers-qs
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Jun 5, 2017 22:18
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jabby posted:I don't know how accurate the extremely complicated polling model is going to be. I'm not sure how anyone would. It's my opinion that their extremely complicated polling model is steaming horseshit and their 95% chance of Labour gaining seats is a bollocks,
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Jun 5, 2017 22:19
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Is the UK election similar to the US one insofar as only the swing seats end up mattering? Im guessing there's more of those...
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Jun 5, 2017 22:19
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Mr. Flunchy posted:Now got Thurs off work. Is there US style get people out to vote schemes in this country? Feel like I want to be haranguing people into the booth. Young people anyway. http://www.labour.org.uk/w/polling-day-volunteers-qs e:f,b
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Jun 5, 2017 22:21
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Pissflaps posted:It's my opinion that their extremely complicated polling model is steaming horseshit and their 95% chance of Labour gaining seats is a bollocks, You're really bothered that Corbyn's doing better than Ed Miliband, aren't you?
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Jun 5, 2017 22:22
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Gonzo McFee posted:You're really bothered that Corbyn's doing better than Ed Miliband, aren't you? Well he was a major part of the Milifandom.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:23
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Gonzo McFee posted:You're really bothered that Corbyn's doing better than Ed Miliband, aren't you? I'm bothered that the Tories are going to win another election.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:24
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Election day child catching
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Jun 5, 2017 22:24
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Pissflaps posted:I'm bothered that the Tories are going to win another election. Then you should be probably raging at FPTP rather than Corbyn who has done more for the Labour party's viability than anybody you suggested.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:25
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Pissflaps posted:It's my opinion that their extremely complicated polling model is steaming horseshit and their 95% chance of Labour gaining seats is a bollocks, But can you draw a crowd? Also, it's still hilarious that up until a few weeks ago your favourite straw-man was Corbyn supporters not believing the polling companies. Which are now steaming horseshit and bollocks.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:25
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Gonzo McFee posted:Then you should be probably raging at FPTP rather than Corbyn who has done more for the Labour party's viability than anybody you suggested. Out of interest, does Corbyn support PR? jabby posted:Also, it's still hilarious that up until a few weeks ago your favourite straw-man was Corbyn supporters not believing the polling companies. Which are now steaming horseshit and bollocks. The YouGov model is steaming horseshit, not their polls.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:27
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Pissflaps posted:The YouGov model is steaming horseshit, not their polls. Can you give a technical explanation for this?
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Jun 5, 2017 22:29
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Pissflaps posted:The YouGov model is steaming horseshit, not their polls. Why?
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Jun 5, 2017 22:29
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Fans posted:
  Seconding DuoLingo as worth a shout.  https://twitter.com/shitduosays/status/651063220149579777
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Jun 5, 2017 22:31
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jabby posted:Why? TheRat posted:Can you give a technical explanation for this? Because polling is based on taking a sample of the public, asking them some questions. then applying appropriate weightings to reach a conclusion about the opinions of the population as a whole, whereas their model is: quote:A new election model based on Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification analysis, which will update every day between now and June the 8th. This is something we publicly tested during last year’s EU campaign and it always had “Leave” ahead. It's not a poll. It's a model.
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Jun 5, 2017 22:33
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Pissflaps posted:Out of interest, does Corbyn support PR? There are calls within the Labour party to do it. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/proportional-representation-electoral-reform-pr-labour-manifesto-jeremy-corbyn-a7715786.html I imagine it'd be more likely than not that Corbyn would back the more democratic option than not. TheRat posted:Can you give a technical explanation for this? It's new, untested and as such more likely to fail. He's taking a safe gamble that it'll be wrong. And if it's right he gets to point out how he's happy
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Jun 5, 2017 22:33
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