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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is:
This poll is closed.
Labour 907 49.92%
Theresa May Team (Conservative) 48 2.64%
Liberal Democrats 31 1.71%
UKIP 13 0.72%
Plaid Cymru 25 1.38%
Green 22 1.21%
Scottish Socialist Party 12 0.66%
Scottish Conservative Party 1 0.06%
Scottish National Party 59 3.25%
Some Kind of Irish Unionist 4 0.22%
Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian 3 0.17%
Some Kind of Irish Nationalist 36 1.98%
Misc. Far Left Trots 35 1.93%
Misc. Far Right Fash 8 0.44%
Monster Raving Loony 49 2.70%
Space Navies Party 39 2.15%
Independent / Single Issue 2 0.11%
Can't Vote 188 10.35%
Won't Vote 8 0.44%
Spoiled Ballot 15 0.83%
Pissflaps 312 17.17%
Total: 1817 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
thehappyprince
Apr 4, 2006

Alastair Cock

Regarde Aduck posted:

Are the yougov polls the only polls where him winning is even a possibility?

survation has it by 1-2% and ipsos mori had labour ahead before weightings

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TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

axeil posted:

Pardon my ignorance, but why is everyone freaking out about the front page headlines in tabloids? Doesn't everyone know they're garbage right-wing trash? It just seems odd, the reaction during the American election last year when Fox News did something dumb was "Fox News is dumb, anyone still watching it at this point is unreachable."

Is that not the case in the UK? Do people actually take the tabloids seriously?

Remind me again who's the US president?

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

axeil posted:

Pardon my ignorance, but why is everyone freaking out about the front page headlines in tabloids? Doesn't everyone know they're garbage right-wing trash? It just seems odd, the reaction during the American election last year when Fox News did something dumb was "Fox News is dumb, anyone still watching it at this point is unreachable."

Is that not the case in the UK? Do people actually take the tabloids seriously?

given who won, that's pretty rich

e: drat it, rat

a neurotic ai
Mar 22, 2012

DesperateDan posted:

no inbuilt boiling device, no place in this comrade's army

Don't get me wrong I would still rather drive around in a late-war Panzer (I know I know, to the gulag :commissar:). Much more spacious and comfortable. It's just that all that new tech made it so unreliable and expensive that it lost to the t-34 in terms of shear efficiency. :v:

Cat Machine
Jun 18, 2008

axeil posted:

Pardon my ignorance, but why is everyone freaking out about the front page headlines in tabloids? Doesn't everyone know they're garbage right-wing trash? It just seems odd, the reaction during the American election last year when Fox News did something dumb was "Fox News is dumb, anyone still watching it at this point is unreachable."

Is that not the case in the UK? Do people actually take the tabloids seriously?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It%27s_The_Sun_Wot_Won_It

Flatscan
Mar 27, 2001

Outlaw Journalist

axeil posted:

Do people actually take the tabloids seriously?

Stupid people. There are a lot of them.

Extreme0
Feb 28, 2013

I dance to the sweet tune of your failure so I'm never gonna stop fucking with you.

Continue to get confused and frustrated with me as I dance to your anger.

As I expect nothing more from ya you stupid runt!


axeil posted:

Pardon my ignorance, but why is everyone freaking out about the front page headlines in tabloids? Doesn't everyone know they're garbage right-wing trash? It just seems odd, the reaction during the American election last year when Fox News did something dumb was "Fox News is dumb, anyone still watching it at this point is unreachable."

Is that not the case in the UK? Do people actually take the tabloids seriously?

The sub-human brits love swallowing Murdoch's spunk. So yes.

Spuckuk
Aug 11, 2009

Being a bastard works




Thats a belter of an advert, very clever.

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops

axeil posted:

Pardon my ignorance, but why is everyone freaking out about the front page headlines in tabloids? Doesn't everyone know they're garbage right-wing trash? It just seems odd, the reaction during the American election last year when Fox News did something dumb was "Fox News is dumb, anyone still watching it at this point is unreachable."

Is that not the case in the UK? Do people actually take the tabloids seriously?

The papers have the kind of power the broadcast media in the US does, if I understand the US right. If nothing else, they set the debate; if the Sun and Mail lead with "JIHADI REFUGEES STEALING BIKES", the BBC and ITV will go with "Are refugees joining ISIS to steal bikes?".

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

spectralent posted:

The papers have the kind of power the broadcast media in the US does, if I understand the US right. If nothing else, they set the debate; if the Sun and Mail lead with "JIHADI REFUGEES STEALING BIKES", the BBC and ITV will go with "Are refugees joining ISIS to steal bikes?".

Thanks for your replies everyone. That's frustrating as hell.

spectralent
Oct 1, 2014

Me and the boys poppin' down to the shops

Ocrassus posted:

Don't get me wrong I would still rather drive around in a late-war Panzer (I know I know, to the gulag :commissar:). Much more spacious and comfortable. It's just that all that new tech made it so unreliable and expensive that it lost to the t-34 in terms of shear efficiency. :v:

Nah. The big cats were incredibly unreliable, and often ergonomically terrible. And remember, for all the "you'd be safer in a panther!" stuff... You really wouldn't. There's only side where a battalion's taking thirty casualties a day from marauding P-47s while on march, or getting rolling bombardments of heavy artillery as a massive wave of enemy soldiers keeps rolling up the line in the late war period and it's sure as hell not the allies.

Spuckuk
Aug 11, 2009

Being a bastard works



axeil posted:

Thanks for your replies everyone. That's frustrating as hell.

There's a reason we invented binge drinking culture.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

So what happens when May doesnt grt her majority, or loses seats. Obviously the faith in the government will capitulate. So will we see a second election if there is a no confidence

coffeetable
Feb 5, 2006

TELL ME AGAIN HOW GREAT BRITAIN WOULD BE IF IT WAS RULED BY THE MERCILESS JACKBOOT OF PRINCE CHARLES

YES I DO TALK TO PLANTS ACTUALLY
:siren: corbyn's going to lose and may will be returned with an increased majority :siren:

stock up on nytol and make sure you're well asleep before 10pm

Blasmeister
Jan 15, 2012




2Time TRP Sack Race Champion

I feel like the public are probably a bit sick of voting for things at this point, so I dunno how awkward the balance of power situation would have to be to call for another one right away.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

coffeetable posted:

:siren: corbyn's going to lose and may will be returned with an increased majority :siren:

stock up on heroin and the dankest skunk u got and make sure you're well asleep before 10pm
Fixed

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

:siren: oval office ALERT :siren:

https://twitter.com/Lord_Sugar/status/872486388897382400

E:

Lol alert

https://twitter.com/haveigotnews/status/872487065035747328

EvilHawk
Sep 15, 2009

LIVARPOOL!

Klopp's 13pts clear thanks to video ref

LeoMarr posted:

So what happens when May doesnt grt her majority, or loses seats. Obviously the faith in the government will capitulate. So will we see a second election if there is a no confidence

Because I don't want to suffer from the hope I'm looking at the most interesting outcomes:

1) Tories fall to around 300 seats, Labour on around 260-270, SNP in the 60 range. This will give Labour enough for a minority government with support from the SNP.

2) Tories get around 310-320 seats, Labour drop below 260. This will probably result in a Tory minority government. May called this election to give her a mandate to lead Brexit negotiations so this would be a big blow (though a somewhat positive result). I'm not sure how she would stay on in this scenario, nor how the government would be able to push ahead with their plans without massive support from the right wing of the Labour party. Her leadership would be challenged and a second election would be likely if the Lib Dems won't support them.

3) Tory majority, burn down the country.

Loving Africa Chaps
Dec 3, 2007


We had not left it yet, but when I would wake in the night, I would lie, listening, homesick for it already.

What's the ukMT approved list of Tory twitter accounts to check if it is going to be a hung parliament?

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Loving Africa Chaps posted:

What's the ukMT approved list of Tory twitter accounts to check if it is going to be a hung parliament?

https://twitter.com/dpjhodges

Doccykins
Feb 21, 2006
The Tories will win a majority of 35 or more, anything else is misplaced hope

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

:allears:

https://twitter.com/Joey7Barton/status/872465209583120384

Raeg
Jul 7, 2008

The top 1% of ducks have control of 99.9% of the bread.
I predict a Tory majority of 12 because... seems about right

CottonWolf
Jul 20, 2012

Good ideas generator

Extreme0 posted:

Dosen't matter since PR isn't a thing so no matter how many votes he gets in total. If most constituencies go Tory. Labour is hosed.

That's not how MRP works. Simply put, they model the assocations between (in this case) voting intention and demographic factors, then they back compute the seat proportions by correcting for the numbers of each demographic group in the seat. Bigger sample size should just make the correlational estimates more robust.

They're not publishing their full methodology/regression equation ect, so it's difficult to see exactly whether what they're doing is reasonable from a modelling perspective (have they got a constituency level effect modelled for example), but MRP doesn't suffer from the fact that we don't have PR. They have constituency level estimates.

Regarde Aduck
Oct 19, 2012

c l o u d k i t t e n
Grimey Drawer

axeil posted:

Is that not the case in the UK? Do people actually take the tabloids seriously?

Yes.

communism bitch
Apr 24, 2009

Noice

Tha_Joker_GAmer
Aug 16, 2006
dehumanize yourself and face to get hosed by cambridge analytica

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Liu posted:

dehumanize yourself and face to get hosed by cambridge analytica

That'd be difficult - we're not the kind of idiot right-wing billionaires they like to scam.

Well, maybe kapparomeo.

Gorn Myson
Aug 8, 2007






Decided to vote Tory tomorrow as I am terrified of everything and I require a mother figure to guide me through lifes ups and downs.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Gorn Myson posted:

Decided to vote Tory tomorrow as I am terrified of everything and I require a mother figure to guide me through lifes ups and downs.

Yeah, Diane Abbott stepping down threw me through a loop too.

Spuckuk
Aug 11, 2009

Being a bastard works



Gorn Myson posted:

Decided to vote Tory tomorrow as I am terrified of everything and I require a mother figure to guide me through lifes ups and downs.

I hear the gulags are lovely this time of year.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Corbyn is trying to close the Watford gap (hurrrrrrrrrrrr)

https://twitter.com/tompeck/status/872495280742182912w

https://twitter.com/JasonFarrellSky/status/872494426060447744

dispatch_async
Nov 28, 2014

Imagine having the time to have played through 20 generations of one family in The Sims 2. Imagine making the original two members of that family Neil Buchanan and Cat Deeley. Imagine complaining to Maxis there was no technological progression. You've successfully imagined my life
That final Labour campaign video is up on YouTube as well for those who missed it earlier
(Warning: may contain dangerous levels of Hope).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SeuH7FG9mSA

Spuckuk
Aug 11, 2009

Being a bastard works




communism bitch
Apr 24, 2009
Yikes what an rear end in a top hat: "your value as a human being is equivalent to how much you are paid".

"He said that, by definition, teachers are not worth much because they aren't paid much.” "

He also likes collecting model trains and machine guns.

Lol.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

TheRat posted:

Corbyn is trying to close the Watford gap (hurrrrrrrrrrrr)


https://twitter.com/JasonFarrellSky/status/872494426060447744

going for the racist vote after all eh?

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

mercer is the bloke who obsessively hoards piss to have it analysed

WhiskeyWhiskers
Oct 14, 2013


"هذا ليس عادلاً."
"هذا ليس عادلاً على الإطلاق."
"كان هناك وقت الآن."
(السياق الخفي: للقراءة)
You know what's hosed? I can't read the number 88 without thinking about fascists.

Jose posted:

going for the racist vote after all eh?

e:Guess I'm not the only one.

Loving Africa Chaps
Dec 3, 2007


We had not left it yet, but when I would wake in the night, I would lie, listening, homesick for it already.

dispatch_async posted:

That final Labour campaign video is up on YouTube as well for those who missed it earlier
(Warning: may contain dangerous levels of Hope).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SeuH7FG9mSA

I hate that song so much I only made it 10 seconds in

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TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

This is good

https://twitter.com/jonbradyphoto/status/872493947771396096/photo/1

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