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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is: This poll is closed. |
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| Labour |
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907 | 49.92% |
| Theresa May Team (Conservative) |
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48 | 2.64% |
| Liberal Democrats |
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31 | 1.71% |
| UKIP |
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13 | 0.72% |
| Plaid Cymru |
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25 | 1.38% |
| Green |
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22 | 1.21% |
| Scottish Socialist Party |
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12 | 0.66% |
| Scottish Conservative Party |
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1 | 0.06% |
| Scottish National Party |
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59 | 3.25% |
| Some Kind of Irish Unionist |
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4 | 0.22% |
| Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian |
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3 | 0.17% |
| Some Kind of Irish Nationalist |
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36 | 1.98% |
| Misc. Far Left Trots |
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35 | 1.93% |
| Misc. Far Right Fash |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Monster Raving Loony |
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49 | 2.70% |
| Space Navies Party |
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39 | 2.15% |
| Independent / Single Issue |
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2 | 0.11% |
| Can't Vote |
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188 | 10.35% |
| Won't Vote |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Spoiled Ballot |
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15 | 0.83% |
| Pissflaps |
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312 | 17.17% |
| Total: | 1817 votes | ||
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orange sky posted:So do I see many more videos/articles/songs praising corbyn and telling may to gently caress off because I live in a bubble or will this entire demographic group vote Labour and the rest will 100% not? I mean I know I have a bubble but I don't really find much even if I search for it. The Tories don't have all that stuff because they don't need them.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:49
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Lord of the Llamas posted:I think a lot of pollsters are going to feel silly tomorrow. Survation will feel the silliest. jabby posted:Except YouGov! Either their (recently tweaked) poll is right, or their (experimental) model is right! Funny how that works out. What did I tell you about their model?
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Jun 8, 2017 00:49
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oxford_town posted:I fear this just makes the shy Tories double down on their voting intentions. If telling people that voting tory is bad makes them vote tory then I'm not sure that there's much you can do.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:50
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Labour aren't going to win. The youth turnout won't be enough to make a difference and the old are too stubborn. Honestly we have had this poo poo discussed so many times and we know the only answer left is not playing clean. Of course the problem what is that no one is willing to dirty their hands.Regarde Aduck posted:I so hope May fucks Scotland up so hard. You can sleep in the bed you've made.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:50
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Prince John posted:Have you been doing the phone bank stuff then? How's it been? I've chickened out of doing that as I'm not terribly comfortable on the phone and I have a poo poo voice that I need to counteract with the rest of me to make a reasonable impression. I think I've probably done a bit of literally everything at this point, but, yeah, phone banking's been good, especially when it's hot. I've only been sworn at once, remarkably. Most people who don't like me just say they're not interested and hang up. The worst conversations are the half-hour rambling ones with people who might swing but are old, crazy, or both.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:50
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ElNarez posted:whatever happens tomorrow please don't take it as a repudiation of populist leftist politics We won't... the PLP however.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:51
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thehappyprince posted:they should all just use the nate silver 'well i did give him a 5% chance so i did actually call it right' method Eh, 538 had Trump at 25-30% when others had him at 1%.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:52
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Pissflaps posted:Survation will feel the silliest. You have no evidence for this.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:53
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Nate Silver has absolutely nothing useful to say about this general election.Lord of the Llamas posted:You have no evidence for this. Call it a hunch.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:53
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Prince John posted:Heh, huzzah! Perhaps my local party were just using it as a motivating tactic Say what you will about mandatory voting but at the very least I bet it makes campaigns a lot easier to run
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Jun 8, 2017 00:54
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Yeah, the confidence difference between Nate and every other statistician was significant enough that "shook Nate" was a meme is USPOL for months leading up to the election.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:54
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Pissflaps posted:Nate Silver has absolutely nothing useful to say about this general election. Neither have the British pollsters. It's a tie!
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Jun 8, 2017 00:54
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Pissflaps posted:Nate Silver has absolutely nothing useful to say about this general election. He thinks it's an uncertain outcome with a wide range of possibilities. You're convinced of a massive Tory majority.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:55
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the tragedy of this election is the public only had 6 weeks to see the real jeremy corbyn tbh
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Jun 8, 2017 00:56
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Lord of the Llamas posted:He thinks it's an uncertain outcome with a wide range of possibilities. You're convinced of a massive Tory majority. Well yes, exactly.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:57
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thehappyprince posted:the tragedy of this election is the public only had 6 weeks to see the real jeremy corbyn tbh I don't think my heart could have taken a 2 year style American campaign.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:57
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Lord of the Llamas posted:He thinks it's an uncertain outcome with a wide range of possibilities. You're convinced of a massive Tory majority. joke's on him the outcome will in fact be certain once it has already happened  he'll look like an idiot then that's for sure take that statistics
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Jun 8, 2017 00:58
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Pissflaps posted:Survation will feel the silliest. I noticed you've revised up your guess at Labour's vote share. Would that be because of Corbyn engaging those non-voters and young people, or do you think he's taking voters from the Tories?
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Jun 8, 2017 00:59
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Remember Nate Silver projected the Tories to get 270 something seats in 2015
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Jun 8, 2017 00:59
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freebooter posted:Say what you will about mandatory voting but at the very least I bet it makes campaigns a lot easier to run Yeah, that's a huge number of man hours not needed for 'get out the vote' efforts on the day. Seems like it might have many of the same downsides as compulsory voter ID if it were enforced with fines, in that those least likely to vote (minorities, homeless, the poor etc.) would be disproportionately affected by it. No fines mean it would be ignored however. Wonder how it works in practice in Oz. Anyway, night all. See you on the other side...
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Jun 8, 2017 01:00
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Prince John posted:Yeah, that's a huge number of man hours not needed for 'get out the vote' efforts on the day. They have the Democracy Sausage, so in that respect, I am for it.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:01
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jabby posted:I noticed you've revised up your guess at Labour's vote share. Would that be because of Corbyn engaging those non-voters and young people, or do you think he's taking voters from the Tories? No. Its the collapse of UKIP. Not all those votes will go Tory, just most.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:01
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Pissflaps posted:No. Its the collapse of UKIP. Not all those votes will go Tory, just most. It certainly took you a while to cotton on to the collapse of UKIP.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:02
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If this ends up being very close, it will be amusing to me how closely it will have mirrored the 2016 election in Australia: an arrogant Tory incumbent calling an early election to smash the opposition, the chattering classes hailing it as a political masterstroke, and then the surprise result on election night when your comfortable majority drops to a razor-thin gap and you find yourself giving a hectoring, belligerent lecture from the podium which Twitter wags then set to the Curb Your Enthusiasm theme.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:03
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Raeg posted:I don't think my heart could have taken a 2 year style American campaign. your heart would soar like corbz' approval ratings
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Jun 8, 2017 01:03
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jabby posted:It certainly took you a while to cotton on to the collapse of UKIP. Have you a guess of your own to share?
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Jun 8, 2017 01:03
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This one's funquote:Westminster voting intention: CON: 38.5% LAB: 41.3% LDEM: 6% UKIP: 3% (Qriously / 04 - 07 Jun) (It's probably 100% bullshit)
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Jun 8, 2017 01:05
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Just had a small chat with my mum about the election and at one point just to see her reaction, I said how would you feel If I went and vote Tory. The words of "I will loving disown you." have never made me happier to hear. I'm glad to be her son.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:07
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Arguing on Facebook with someone who won't vote Labour because he says Seumas Milne's a Stalinist. I can't wait for this loving election to be over (except for the 5 years of Tory darkness which come immediately afterwards)
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Jun 8, 2017 01:07
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TheRat posted:This one's fun Stop this nonsense please.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:07
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Julio Cruz posted:Arguing on Facebook with someone who won't vote Labour because he says Seumas Milne's a Stalinist. Is that someone your friend or family? Disown them.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:08
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Extreme0 posted:Is that someone you're friend or family? Disown them. He's just a random, I got drawn into a mutual friend's argument, because I'm a moron.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:09
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TheRat posted:This one's fun They claim to have access to 80% of smartphone users 
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Jun 8, 2017 01:09
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forkboy84 posted:Stop this nonsense please. Down with this sick filth.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:09
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Prince John posted:Yeah, that's a huge number of man hours not needed for 'get out the vote' efforts on the day. I can see homeless not voting, but in practice we don't have anything like minorities/poor/youth not voting. Turnout is always 90%+. I was talking to a coworker in the UK about it and she said, "yeah, I suppose you'd just vote rather than get the fine." Which had never really occurred to me: since you know voting is compulsory, and everybody votes, it's just the done thing. The idea of not voting is weird. I imagine for most people it's thought of more as an unavoidable errand than a civic duty, but whatever works. (Also having an elected upper house and preferential voting means that your vote matters way more than in the UK, where the majority of the population is effectively disenfranchised by their local demographics.)
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Jun 8, 2017 01:09
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Julio Cruz posted:He's just a random, I got drawn into a mutual friend's argument, because I'm a moron. Tell your friend to disown them.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:10
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Lord of the Llamas posted:They claim to have access to 80% of smartphone users It's like that bit in the batman film except Morgan Freeman is standing in front of a wall of screens seeing if people react favourably to Jeremy Corbyn memes
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Jun 8, 2017 01:17
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Just for clarity. How is security when it comes to polling stations?
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Jun 8, 2017 01:19
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Extreme0 posted:Just for clarity. How is security when it comes to polling stations? The old lady who gives you your ballot keeps a cricket bat wrapped with barbed wire behind the desk.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:20
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I dunno how you all have so many Tory friends. Just scrolling through and my Facebook is a wall of Labour with the occasional hopeful Green growing in the cracks. Maybe the Tories are all shy. I have one friend who professes to be a Tory and I think owns a poster of Thatcher but he's like a post-post-ironic habitually contrary oval office and I doubt if he'll even bother voting.
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Jun 8, 2017 01:23
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