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mango sentinel
Jan 5, 2001

by sebmojo

Axetrain posted:

I'm not knowledgeable enough about modern ship weapons to know if he's full of poo poo or not but The War Nerd wrote about this very thing back into 2009.

http://exiledonline.com/the-war-nerd-this-is-how-the-carriers-will-die/all/1/

Basically he claims surface ships don't have any viable defense against missile attacks and those CIWS guns are just there for show.

Father in law who is an incredibly smart military buff has been reading up on this as well. China's been flexing in the region because they've changed doctrine because they realized they can bombard our incredibly expensive carriers from outside retaliatory range with comparatively inexpensive missiles.

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Gumbel2Gumbel
Apr 28, 2010

Our economies are too interlinked anyway. Barring a Mad Max style resource war we'll always be friends.

TARDISman
Oct 28, 2011




Friend, thank you for the infodumps, but thank you even more for ending them with happiness. :unsmith:

logger
Jun 28, 2008

...and in what manner the Ancyent Marinere came back to his own Country.
Soiled Meat

Christ, what an rear end in a top hat!

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

Gumbel2Gumbel posted:

Despite what anyone says ship countermeasures are not good enough and you just send a ton of missiles + mines and you can sink pretty much any aircraft carrier no problem.

This is basically what keeps the Navy up at night. They're ridiculously vulnerable against other ships and only really good as bombing platforms against undeveloped nations.

That's why they've built so many submarines.
Can't sink what you can't find.

And once laser anti missile defense weapons are more polished, carriers will be much safer.

Dmitri-9
Nov 30, 2004

There's something really sexy about Scrooge McDuck. I love Uncle Scrooge.

Comrade Fakename posted:

There's a theory floating about that China's gender imbalance means that they're going to invade North Korea at some point just to burn off the excess men.

War doesn't kill soldiers as much as it used to.

Gumbel2Gumbel
Apr 28, 2010

Comrade Fakename posted:

There's a theory floating about that China's gender imbalance means that they're going to invade North Korea at some point just to burn off the excess men.

That doesn't make much sense. China doesn't want a goddamn thing to happen to North Korea because they don't want all those people flowing across the border.

Overwined
Sep 22, 2008

Wine can of their wits the wise beguile,
Make the sage frolic, and the serious smile.

Owlofcreamcheese posted:

China feels like a country America really wants to be at war with but can't ever quite figure out a good reason why they should be.

I feel the exact opposite. There's no way to deal with the insane machinations of Russia's kleptocracy. China on the other hand, while largely despotic, does what it does because it thinks it's for the good of the nation. Putin is and has been just robbing his country blind and killing those that oppose him. I'm not even going to speculate at which one is better, but the one that is easier to have diplomatic relationships with is clearly China. Most of our diplomatic breakdowns have been our own fault. China, by and large, does what it says it's going to do. We need never do.

Mustached Demon
Nov 12, 2016

Dmitri-9 posted:

War doesn't kill soldiers as much as it used to.

Does when you send in soldiers not equipped well enough or with enough air support.

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer

Gumbel2Gumbel posted:

Our economies are too interlinked anyway. Barring a Mad Max style resource war we'll always be friends.

The McDonalds rule of economics and warfare. Only broken once in Bosnia, no countries with McDonalds restaurants have ever gone to war with each other.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010

mango sentinel posted:

Father in law who is an incredibly smart military buff has been reading up on this as well. China's been flexing in the region because they've changed doctrine because they realized they can bombard our incredibly expensive carriers from outside retaliatory range with comparatively inexpensive missiles.

exactly how does that scenario not end in a nuclear exchange that results in China's complete and utter annihilation?

Gumbel2Gumbel
Apr 28, 2010

It's all just bullshit posturing, there are a bunch of sociopaths who like money and being alive in charge of most developed nations.

TyroneGoldstein
Mar 30, 2005

Mustached Demon posted:

Does when you send in soldiers not equipped well enough or with enough air support.

You guys are getting a bit out in the field with this.

China would roll NK easily. A hermit army can't really keep a logistics chain going against an industrialized state.

I mean come on...

BUG JUG
Feb 17, 2005



Krispy Kareem posted:

The McDonalds rule of economics and warfare. Only broken once in Bosnia, no countries with McDonalds restaurants have ever gone to war with each other.

Actually broken twice. Two South American nations -- I forget who now -- went to war in the late 90s and both had McDonald's then.

Harold Fjord
Jan 3, 2004

Owlofcreamcheese posted:

Mankind and womenkind are words, mankind can refer to men or women, womankind refers to women, dude and dudette are words, dude can refer to either, dudette is women only. It's the same thing but the other side of there being bikes and women's bikes and tennis and women's tennis.

Doctoress is a woman doctor. Oh no I just broke everything!

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer

BUG JUG posted:

Actually broken twice. Two South American nations -- I forget who now -- went to war in the late 90s and both had McDonald's then.

Okay. We'll rename it the Hardee's rule.

Gumbel2Gumbel
Apr 28, 2010

Nevvy Z posted:

Doctoress is a woman doctor. Oh no I just broke everything!

Uh women can't be doctors, just look at their brainpan.

TyroneGoldstein
Mar 30, 2005
Oh hey, phrenology..

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

Krispy Kareem posted:

Okay. We'll rename it the Hardee's rule.

Does this include or exclude Carl's jr.s?

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer

Gyges posted:

Does this include or exclude Carl's jr.s?

Includes. But Red Burritos locations are excluded due to instability in Latin America.

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

TyroneGoldstein posted:

You guys are getting a bit out in the field with this.

China would roll NK easily. A hermit army can't really keep a logistics chain going against an industrialized state.

I mean come on...

Well, there has been serious saber rattling with India for several months over their Himalayan border. So if you're looking for a serious Chinese war in the near future, bet on that.

SurgicalOntologist
Jun 17, 2004

Gumbel2Gumbel posted:

Our economies are too interlinked anyway.
--July 1914

MickeyFinn
May 8, 2007
Biggie Smalls and Junior Mafia some mark ass bitches
Reading this story in WaPo about people in West Virginia who desperately want health care was disheartening. There are several people in the story more-or-less begging Washington to fix their total lack of access to healthcare but who also voted for Trump. The worst part is that voting for Donald Trump isn't such a bad play (from the point of view of the desperate people) if he weren't a Republican. From their point of view, I could see Trump becoming actually interested in fixing healthcare for West Virginia if it could some how appeal to his vanity. He clearly knows nothing and cares not one wit about it, but if getting people access to healthcare got him the approval he so desperately needs, it is possible (although not likely in my view) that he could support single payer or some other fix.

But he is aligned with the Republican party. Expecting Republicans, a party that does not (on the whole) believe that government should be involved in healthcare, to fix it rather than destroy it is totally divorced from reality. It is more likely that a clone of Andrew Jackson comes back and starts revisiting all his namesake's more horrible crimes against humanity on the people of West Virginia than Trump and the Republican congress actually fixes their healthcare. This has been obvious since Obamacare passed and yet there are still people out there desperate for help who cannot see the way to getting it. That is both sad and frustrating.

MickeyFinn fucked around with this message at 01:58 on Jul 23, 2017

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Charlz Guybon posted:

And once laser anti missile defense weapons are more polished, carriers will be much safer.

"Once we figure out how to harden the wood, our ships will be better protected from the enemy's cannons."

"Now that the enemy has rifled shells, we'll put armor plating on our hulls."

"Now that the enemy has armor-piercing shells, we'll make better armor and put it at an angle."

"Because of torpedoes from these new-fangled non-lovely submarines, we're putting torpedo belts on all our ships."

"Now that torpedoes detonate *under* our ships instead of needing to contact the hull directly, we're spending countless millions on adding an ASW capability to our fleets."

"Now that the enemy has planes that can drop bombs onto our decks, we'll put anti-aircraft guns on our ships."

"The enemy built more planes than our anti-aircraft gunners can track manually, so we'll develop radar guidance for them."

And on and on and on...

It's always cheaper to counteract a new and expensive defensive measure. If a laser point defense system can shoot down 50 missiles, you shoot 100, and you still come out ahead in money spent vs. materiel lost.

bird cooch
Jan 19, 2007

mango sentinel posted:

Father in law who is an incredibly smart military buff has been reading up on this as well. China's been flexing in the region because they've changed doctrine because they realized they can bombard our incredibly expensive carriers from outside retaliatory range with comparatively inexpensive missiles.

Other than the fact that this was literally in a Tom Clancy movie....

The thing with this is you can only that trick once. And only in the case that the carrier doesn't have an armed escort up (always does) because next time, there will be aircraft with over the horizon missles leading the way. (And there normally is.)

Also; there's no such thing as outside of retaliatory range.

bird cooch fucked around with this message at 01:33 on Jul 23, 2017

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010

BIG HEADLINE posted:



It's always cheaper to counteract a new and expensive defensive measure. If a laser point defense system can shoot down 50 missiles, you shoot 100, and you still come out ahead in money spent vs. materiel lost.

Lasers don't even use ammunition. How is spamming lasers not way cheaper than missiles that coat a million dollar each and are one use weapons?

SubG
Aug 19, 2004

It's a hard world for little things.
Immediately prior to WWI it was popular to cite The Great Illusion by Norman Angell to explain why there would be no war:

The Great Illusion, Norman Angell posted:

The elaborate financial interdependence of the modern world has grown up in spite of ourselves. Men are fundamentally just as disposed as they were at any time to take wealth that does not belong to them. But their relative interest in the matter has changed.

In very primitive conditions robbery is a moderately profitable enterprise. Where the rewards of labor are small and uncertain, and where all wealth is portable, the size of a man’s wealth depends a good deal on the size of his club and the agility with which he wields it. But to the man whose wealth so largely depends upon his credit, dishonesty has become as precarious and profitless as honest toil was in more primitive times. The instincts of the City man may at bottom be just as predatory as those of the robber baron, but taking property by force has been rendered impossible by the force of commercial events.

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

bird cooch posted:

Other than the fact that this was literally in a Tom Clancy movie....

The thing with this is you can only that trick once. And only in the case that the carrier doesn't have an armed escort up (always does) because next time, there will be aircraft with over the horizon missles leading the way. (And there normally is.)

Aren't we talking about anti-ship ballistic missiles with ranges of over a thousand miles here? The idea is that you can't really kill the things shooting at you, because they're far away and you probably don't know where they are until the missiles are already on their way. If you can't defend against the missile itself then there's really nothing you can do. It doesn't really matter if you blow the launchers up after the carrier is dead, because the launchers are just trucks.

mango sentinel
Jan 5, 2001

by sebmojo

A big flaming stink posted:

exactly how does that scenario not end in a nuclear exchange that results in China's complete and utter annihilation?
US has no first strike policy?

bird cooch posted:

Other than the fact that this was literally in a Tom Clancy movie....

The thing with this is you can only that trick once. And only in the case that the carrier doesn't have an armed escort up (always does) because next time, there will be aircraft with over the horizon missles leading the way. (And there normally is.)
China is specifically designing missiles to bypass current countermeasures.

awesmoe
Nov 30, 2005

Pillbug
Aah, but have you considered teh Philippine response?

Psawhn
Jan 15, 2011

I'm not interested in looking for this. But what are the odds that Trump starts going on about the "digital catapults" that he railed against last time?

BUT HER EMALS!

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



SubG posted:

Immediately prior to WWI it was popular to cite The Great Illusion by Norman Angell to explain why there would be no war:

Ah yes, as we all know, nobody ever bands together with more dudes to achieve more thorough and successful plundering of larger amounts of wealth.

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer
Isn't China developing a ballistic anti-carrier missile that is fooled by smoke screens?

Post 9-11 User
Apr 14, 2010

enraged_camel posted:

Man, I've been reading the responses to the voter fraud commission stuff. They are fantastic.


http://www.jbondy.com does not lead to Lemon Party or Goatse. :sad:

Edit:

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/888841724759597057

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/888895687865380864

Space Gopher
Jul 31, 2006

BLITHERING IDIOT AND HARDCORE DURIAN APOLOGIST. LET ME TELL YOU WHY THIS SHIT DON'T STINK EVEN THOUGH WE ALL KNOW IT DOES BECAUSE I'M SUPER CULTURED.

Charlz Guybon posted:

Lasers don't even use ammunition. How is spamming lasers not way cheaper than missiles that coat a million dollar each and are one use weapons?

If you have enough lasers on your billion-dollar boat to engage five missiles before they hit you, and your enemy fires ten missiles costing a million dollars each at the same time, you're pretty much boned on both the "lost your boat" and "lost a lot more money in that exchange" standpoints.

Ralepozozaxe
Sep 6, 2010

A Veritable Smorgasbord!
I'm getting a little tired of people saying Trump would do the right thing if they just appealed to his vanity, and it's only the republicans who are keeping him from doing so.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

I know this thread gets a little weird and off topic on the weekends but "hypothetical inevitable China war" has been a real whopper of a dumb derail.

MickeyFinn
May 8, 2007
Biggie Smalls and Junior Mafia some mark ass bitches

Ralepozozaxe posted:

I'm getting a little tired of people saying Trump would do the right thing if they just appealed to his vanity, and it's only the republicans who are keeping him from doing so.

I'm going to nip this in the bud and say I'm not arguing that even a little bit. I'm saying desperate people could look at Trump and think it. I'll edit my original post to be more clear so we don't have to go down this rabbit hole of an argument no one is making.

MickeyFinn fucked around with this message at 01:58 on Jul 23, 2017

skylined!
Apr 6, 2012

THE DEM DEFENDER HAS LOGGED ON
china is weaponizing the wild hog

texas is doomed

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Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

A big flaming stink posted:

exactly how does that scenario not end in a nuclear exchange that results in China's complete and utter annihilation?

Simple: if the US launches its nukes at China, Russia would happily use that opportunity to nuke the US and Europe.

You see, the thing about worldwide nuclear annihilation is that a single nuke launched by anyone at anyone can trigger it. That's what makes nukes so dangerous in the hands of rogue states such as North Korea.

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