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Chadzok
Apr 25, 2002

Chadzok posted:

Everyone I know in actually reality that is buying bitcoins is doing it with the express intention of making money, ‘not wanting to miss out’ as the price rises. I have never, ever had a discussion about anyone using it for any other reason (except drugs). All the bitcoin stories in pop media are about price, none of them about what you are meant to do with them besides make money.

Ham Sandy, you must love in an echo chamber because this is the actual state of things. What that means for adoption or the price or Ponzi or whatever, that’s another level of discussion. But seriously dude you have got to accept this basic observation about reality.

The latest chalk mark on my as-yet-unresponded-to comment (I understand Ham, there’s a lot for you to do here. You’re doing god’s work) is this gem from the frontpage of Australia’s premier news site, Sydney Morning Herald.

http://www.smh.com.au/small-busines...116-gzn9jb.html

This is what the media and the common man thinks is the only important point about bitcoin worth discussing - “on-this-trajectory-it-wont-be-long-before-one-bitcoin-is-worth-1-million-a-pop.”

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divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

Blade Runner posted:

You haven't actually defended your point, you've literally said "well that's just, like, your opinion, man. People love Buttcoin in Venezuela."

Also, this is actually completely made-up bullshit. It's a lie Bitcoiners keep repeating. I wrote it up for the book:

quote:

But Bitcoin saved Venezuela!

Periodically, there will be a rash of news stories claiming that Bitcoin has become popular in some country suffering economic problems, such as Venezuela, India or Argentina – because the word “Bitcoin” makes a headline catchy, even if there’s nothing to the story. This transmutes into claims that Bitcoin will definitely take over the world, any day now. Or advocates will respond to scepticism “but Venezuela!”

These claims always fall apart on closer examination. Venezuela is a typical example: all the coverage traces back to a story in Libertarian magazine Reason, fiercely advocating Bitcoin as a way to avert the spectres of socialism and regulation.41 One of their interviewees had been arrested for stealing electricity to mine bitcoins, which the author describes as a “government crackdown” on “freedom” because “bitcoin mining is arguably the best possible use of electricity in Venezuela”.

A story in The Guardian in the wake of the Reason story appears to be where the rest of the press picked it up. It speaks of some Venezuelans relying on Bitcoin for “basic necessities,” and was based on interviews with a Bitcoin exchange owner, one of his employees and two of his customers.42 The author had previously written of Argentina and bitcoin.43

These two questionably-founded stories were echoed and elaborated upon by the rest of the press, including – among many others – the Washington Post claiming that Bitcoin mining is “big business” in Venezuela,44 the New York Times that Bitcoin has “gained prominence” because of Venezuela45 or BBC News repeating claims from a Bitcoin boosterism blog46 – all of this being factoids repeated in a media game of “telephone.”

The Venezuelan volume on LocalBitcoins (a site for arranging person-to-person Bitcoin trades) at the time was on the order of 200-300 BTC per week,47 which isn’t nothing, but is negligible in the context of a whole country, and has tracked fairly closely with LocalBitcoins usage in other countries.

Also, here's a long time bitcoiner on the price:

https://twitter.com/prestonjbyrne/status/931334856642097152

Also, the main purpose of smart contracts is to lose millions of dollars in the click of a button.

Also, I've still so far (there's at least a couple more months in this) made £4200 more, in actual real world ActualMoney in my bank account, from Bitcoin than Hammy ever has.

gary oldmans diary
Sep 26, 2005

Drone_Fragger posted:

I literally think Ham Sandwiches might be mentally ill:

HS: "Bitcoin has loads of advantages to use it, thats why the price keeps going up and people are using it day to day"
People: "Okay. Give me some advantages"
HS: "Well it's an emerging tech, so we don't actually know the advantages, we'll just have to wait and find out".

:thinking emoji:
you dont understand. when you ask what advantages that puts burden of proof on you and maybe you should do your own research! *flails*

FulsomFrank
Sep 11, 2005

Hard on for love

QuarkJets posted:

-- Costs about $30 in real money per transaction, subsidized largely by the network printing new coins for every block so that you only have to pay ~$8 instead

I've never heard this one before. Is this a calculation of all the estimated electricity costs that went into the entire process from start to finish?

mojo1701a
Oct 9, 2008

Oh, yeah. Loud and clear. Emphasis on LOUD!
~ David Lee Roth

Comfy Fleece Sweater posted:

It STORES value you idiot

If we all agree on the price then that’s how much it’s worth

Calm down, duder. If you can't explain it to me, how are you going to explain it to the average person?

I don't disagree that it's a store of value. What I'm having trouble understanding is how it's better than, say, the US dollar (or the loonies in my pocket right now) as a medium of exchange.

Manic Technophile
Nov 13, 2017

by FactsAreUseless

mojo1701a posted:

Calm down, duder. If you can't explain it to me, how are you going to explain it to the average person?

I don't disagree that it's a store of value. What I'm having trouble understanding is how it's better than, say, the US dollar (or the loonies in my pocket right now) as a medium of exchange.
It's not better than the dollar. If it were it would have a bigger market cap than USD. Bitcoin is tiny by comparison. I think people give it a pass there because it's new and could improve or plug into other software, extending its use.

CassandraZara
Oct 21, 2012

by Nyc_Tattoo

FulsomFrank posted:

I've never heard this one before. Is this a calculation of all the estimated electricity costs that went into the entire process from start to finish?

I believe it is based on the average total hash rate for a transaction period (a known quantity), how much electricity it costs to produce that many hashes (an estimate, and I would guess that they use a low estimate for this, but it varies depending on the process, for instance a Javascript Bitcoin miner is less efficient than an ASIC), and an estimate for how much that electricity costs (I almost always see 10c per kwh, my own residential rate is 14c though).

https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/ywbbpm/bitcoin-mining-electricity-consumption-ethereum-energy-climate-change

Comfy Fleece Sweater
Apr 2, 2013

You see, but you do not observe.

mojo1701a posted:

Calm down, duder. If you can't explain it to me, how are you going to explain it to the average person?

I don't disagree that it's a store of value. What I'm having trouble understanding is how it's better than, say, the US dollar (or the loonies in my pocket right now) as a medium of exchange.

I will NOT calm down, you’ve awakened the bitcoin beast!!!

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

FulsomFrank posted:

I've never heard this one before. Is this a calculation of all the estimated electricity costs that went into the entire process from start to finish?

it's pretty simple and retrospectively obvious.

electricity/hardware/building/etc costs will always approximate what the miner can sell the resulting BTC for - because the whole history of economics shows people spending up to $99.99 to make $100, and if they spend $101 to make $100 too much they go broke.

the miner is paid in block reward and and transaction fees.

this money is not imaginary dollars, it's real dollars (or yuan), paid for the electricity/etc and coming from people buying the BTC.

the entire thing has a net negative expected return across all participants. this is one of the key objections in jstolfi's famed SEC response, btw, as to why a Bitcoin ETF is a poo poo idea.

now if bitcoin actually had an economy, you could say "well economic value is generated at these flows of coins for services etc" and that'd be one thing. but bitcoin doesn't have an economy, except a few drug dealers. so all that's left is a complicated scheme to funnel money from suckers to new miners and old hodlers, with scammers taking a cut along the way.

it is hypothetically possible that some time in the astounding future!! there will be something that could be called a cryptocurrency economy. there has been no sign of it in the past eight years, and many reasons to think it's not a happener. but sure, it's not philosophically impossible,,

divabot fucked around with this message at 17:12 on Nov 17, 2017

mojo1701a
Oct 9, 2008

Oh, yeah. Loud and clear. Emphasis on LOUD!
~ David Lee Roth

Manic Technophile posted:

It's not better than the dollar. If it were it would have a bigger market cap than USD. Bitcoin is tiny by comparison. I think people give it a pass there because it's new and could improve or plug into other software, extending its use.

Yeah, I can see that. I'm actually interested to see where it goes, just out of curiosity.

I just always found the overlap with libertarian beliefs hilarious.


Comfy Fleece Sweater posted:

I will NOT calm down, you’ve awakened the bitcoin beast!!!

I'm sorry! I'm sorry! How many Chinese miners must I sacrifice to appease it?

CassandraZara
Oct 21, 2012

by Nyc_Tattoo

divabot posted:

electricity/hardware/building/etc costs will always approximate what the miner can sell the resulting BTC for - because the whole history of economics shows people spending up to $99.99 to make $100, and if they spend $101 to make $100 too much they go broke.

mmm, I don't like that explanation nearly as much as mine, because there exist reasons to mine at a loss (money laundering, stealing electricity)

edit: it also suggests that Visa's fees are as high as they are because they need to be to remain solvent, and not because of the profit they make

CassandraZara fucked around with this message at 17:38 on Nov 17, 2017

Fried Watermelon
Dec 29, 2008


Ham Sandwiches posted:

Oh dude, you don't like being called out on your garbage behavior to strangers on the internet who disagree with you?

Do you not understand why people are concerned with your mental health?

You keep mentioning random events and scenarios, like iPhones being larger, YOSPOS, and sysadmins. When you mention these and attribute these to people who call you mentally unwell WHO HAVE NEVER SAID OR MENTIONED THEM (please point out where I say I'm a sysadmin or show me a post I've made on YOSPOS, I only mentioned the phones after YOU brought them up). This makes you look mentally unwell, it's not garbage behaviour to point this out to people, how would you be able to fix your health if no one pointed it out?

Please get therapy, not everyone is a large phone hating sysadmin from YOSPOS.

vortmax
Sep 24, 2008

In meteorology, vorticity often refers to a measurement of the spin of horizontally flowing air about a vertical axis.

CassandraZara posted:

mmm, I don't like that explanation nearly as much as mine, because there exist reasons to mine at a loss (money laundering, stealing electricity)

edit: it also suggests that Visa's fees are as high as they are because they need to be to remain solvent, and not because of the profit they make

I don't get this idea that credit card fees are high. I use Square for my store, and I pay 2.75% per transaction. Considering about half my income is via card payments, it's well worth the fee to be able to accept Visa, Master Card, AmEx, & Discover credit and debit cards. (And I know the fee won't change from day to day because of network clogging.)

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

CassandraZara posted:

mmm, I don't like that explanation nearly as much as mine, because there exist reasons to mine at a loss (money laundering, stealing electricity)

edit: it also suggests that Visa's fees are as high as they are because they need to be to remain solvent, and not because of the profit they make

The competitive pressure on Visa re: fees is not other card companies (it's a pretty cosy oligopoly) but other ways to pay. With Bitcoin mining, it's a market in resource wastage, because that's what PoW is designed to be.

Uranium 235
Oct 12, 2004

divabot posted:

everyone who's exposed on bitcoin is exposed to tether. the notional "price" of bitcoin is strongly affected by the price on bitfinex, even when the "price" you're using doesn't include bitfinex in its weighted average.


coinbase are still adding users so fast they don't have to give a poo poo if your stuff doesn't work in their automated system
i think i've said this to you before but i'm not exposed to bitcoin 99.9% of the time. i only buy it for quick trades and then i sell back into cash

Uranium 235
Oct 12, 2004

QuarkJets posted:

indeed; you were the one trying to extend of bitcoin being a ponzi scheme to commodities, but clearly commodities aren't like bitcoin at all
bitcoin is a commodity

jonathan
Jul 3, 2005

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

divabot posted:

it's pretty simple and retrospectively obvious.

electricity/hardware/building/etc costs will always approximate what the miner can sell the resulting BTC for - because the whole history of economics shows people spending up to $99.99 to make $100, and if they spend $101 to make $100 too much they go broke.

the miner is paid in block reward and and transaction fees.

this money is not imaginary dollars, it's real dollars (or yuan), paid for the electricity/etc and coming from people buying the BTC.

the entire thing has a net negative expected return across all participants. this is one of the key objections in jstolfi's famed SEC response, btw, as to why a Bitcoin ETF is a poo poo idea.

now if bitcoin actually had an economy, you could say "well economic value is generated at these flows of coins for services etc" and that'd be one thing. but bitcoin doesn't have an economy, except a few drug dealers. so all that's left is a complicated scheme to funnel money from suckers to new miners and old hodlers, with scammers taking a cut along the way.

it is hypothetically possible that some time in the astounding future!! there will be something that could be called a cryptocurrency economy. there has been no sign of it in the past eight years, and many reasons to think it's not a happener. but sure, it's not philosophically impossible,,

You're a good poster and I like the way you post.

Uranium 235
Oct 12, 2004

did you guys mention that using bitcoin to pay for something reveals your entire balance of bitcoins to the seller? you'd have to tumble your bitcoins and maintain multiple wallets to obfuscate your balance

if any crypto is ever used for daily transactions, i doubt it will be bitcoin

COMRADES
Apr 3, 2017

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
A useful way to identify ~bourgie~

Uranium 235
Oct 12, 2004

klafbang posted:

Hey Bitcoin thread. Here's a story.

I'm one of those theoretical people who traded before and during the fiscal crisis. I'd inherited some money and decided that bank interest is for chumps, and the index funds my bank set me up with sucked. I day-traded quite a bit for fun and profit. In the high six digits per year up to the crisis (not balance, unfortunately), but nothing close to professional.

I read in the news a crash was coming. Several times. The market was overheating. More and more people put the crash at the fall or the end of the year. While I had only traded for two years, I made money. More and more (as the bubble grew it is obvious afterwards). A monkey can do that in a bull market, and by drat, I'm smarter than a monkey. At least a very dumb monkey (and ugly). I felt like a wold-class investor because I made more than the lovely bank accounts or the index funds.

While I knew and believed a crash was coming, I didn't cash out. I was making money, and the crash was still a month or two away, so it would be stupid not to ride it for another couple of weeks.

Then it came. Slowly at first. Relatively, that is. I was a bit down an some stocks but overall decently up. I lost 5-10% in a day. I didn't cash out, because the market would turn - my experience told me, after a crash there'd be a rebound, so I'd wait for that and then cash out - and anyway, I was still up overall. I lost 15% the day after. After having lost over 50% in a week or two (I was heavily exposed to the banking sector), I gave up waiting for the rebound and just left my investments for a good handful of years. At any time, I could have cashed out and limited my losses. But on the other hand, then I wouldn't have gotten the rebound.

But I am sure it is different this time around. Bitcoin is a completely new thing and doesn't operate the same as the fiscal crisis. Or the tech bubble. Or literally every fricking bubble before it, going back to the tulips. If Bitcoin keeps increasing as it has the past year, a single butt will be more than the GDP of the entire world in around two decades, and even Sir Mix-a-lot will tell you that's a lot of butt. But keep telling you that this time around it is different, and be careful not to read fiscal magazines from the mid 2000s where fiscal gurus explain how it is actually completely sustainable to lend money and refinance loans for people who cannot afford to pay them back, because the arguments may sound too familiar.

Yes, you can ride it up. But sometime it will stop. And you don't know when. When the drop comes, you will not be able to tell it from the dips and rebounds. You can win if you "hodl" onto your real money during the entire drop (E: by real money, I mean USD or EUR or whatever, I don't ironically mean Bitcoin). But that goes entirely against the strategy you use now to earn using the bull market. It's super-easy to predict a crisis after it happened. It's easy to see all the signs 5 years later. But when you're in the middle of it, you have to switch strategy from what has made you money to doing the exact opposite, and there will be nothing telling you any clearer than people telling you "it will crash soon."

You can limit the inevitable loss by only betting money you are willing to lose almost in full. That's fine, nobody is against that. But don't think that betting on Bitcoin because is a viable investment strategy for a substantial amount because we're in a bull market right now and the crash will only come "after the next split" or "when we hit $10000".
thanks for sharing your perspective and experience. that's definitely something to be careful of but my strategy doesn't require me to buy and hold--i specifically avoid that. for my strategy, similar setups for potential trades will present themselves in a bear market or a bull market, there will just be fewer of them in a bear. the downside to trading crypto vs stocks is that using margin is a lot riskier in crypto (see the gdax flash crash from june) and i refuse to use it, which means i won't be able to go short. that reduces the potential profitable trades i can make in a bear market.

if we end up in an extended downtrend i'm probably going to move capital to trade stocks.

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

jonathan posted:

You're a good poster and I like the way you post.

:preen:

after all I literally wrote a book about this poo poo intended for normal humans to be able to understand. it's still too technical (both in computers and economics), but hopefully the funny scammer stories got the point across

jonathan
Jul 3, 2005

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Here's my dumb bitcoin story which is more just a rambling humble brag while I procrastinate clearing the driveway of snow.

So I'm a manchild of unfinished projects. I've sold 2 unfinished racecars at large losses. Currently have an unfinished renovation in my main house, and fancy myself a property investor because I have multiple houses, yet have no tenant in the second house which I pay a second mortgage on. I have heavy equipment disassembled in storage not making money. I recently decided I wanted to play video games (VR Racing sims actually, to keep my reflexes and muscle memory sharp for my unfinished offroad endurance racing hobby that I haven't followed through with). I've followed bitcoin drama since I first heard of it some 5 or 6 years ago. Since I have an unused gaming rig collecting dust, I decided to start mining with nicehash. Why ? Well for starters, I'd like to learn a new hobby. Secondly I'd like to start consolidating unattended hobbies into a few attended hobbies. And C, I've been looking at the bigger picture of mining rigs and their wasted heat output. I spend a lot of money on heat. It's currently -17 and I probably pay around $500 per month in the winter on energy costs not including fuel.

Ok so this wasted heat. Can I think of this dumb gaming machine as essentially a 300 watt electric heater that also has an ability to break even on profits at a minimum short term, and also have a slim chance of speculative gains in the future ? Seems like I might be able to.

Possible heat uses:

-Keep my detached workshop warm. Workshop is around 600 square feet and insulated. I don't need to keep it warm, just above freezing so my chemicals and batteries don't slush up.
Should break even on this as I currently use a small space heater.

-Keep pickup warm inside. When I get called to the work yard in the winter it takes drat near the entire commute before the cab inside my pickup is warm. I run an extension cord to the block heater already. I could easily tie it into the rig and just have it run in the pickup.

-Keep Work truck warm. Now this gets a little bit more profitable. I don't pay for fuel. The truck runs 16 hours a day. It also stays plugged in when not being used. And as a bonus, I have a 2000 watt professional grade inverter wired into the battery bank. A 300 watt draw on a 450 kilowatt turbo diesel is gently caress all. I go through 70 gallons of fuel a day. I am not sure on bandwidth required though. My cell plan has 6gb per month of data and the mining rig wouldn't have internet access while im away from the work yard.

From my lovely truck driver understanding of economics, the major coins like bitcoin, ethereum and even monero are next to impossible to break even at a hobbyist level. Nicehash mines altcoins and works for the most profitable ones. It then pays out in bitcoin which isn't exactly stable but atleast I can turn it into real money without too much trouble. Since this is nothing more than a dumb hobby, I feel like high risk is a more interesting way to waste time and money. So what I plan on doing is trading bitcoin for low value coins that seem to have some reason behind them. Currently the only one I've been able to find is SIAcoin, which has a real service behind it. Distributed low latency storage hosting. Do I believe in the product ? gently caress no, but it's the least worst speculative option in my opinion. At the moment I'm mining for nicehash at about 30%, and mining directly for SIAcoin with the remaining 70%.

At current market, I'm offsetting my power bill by about $70 per month. However since I plan on dumping everything into high risk "penny stock" equivalents, I'm probably making 0 dollars, but creating heat with a $1500 space heater.

jonathan
Jul 3, 2005

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

divabot posted:

:preen:

after all I literally wrote a book about this poo poo intended for normal humans to be able to understand. it's still too technical (both in computers and economics), but hopefully the funny scammer stories got the point across

Do you have a link to the book ? Maybe I can use this mining rig to download the book. An actual useful venture.

CassandraZara
Oct 21, 2012

by Nyc_Tattoo

divabot posted:

The competitive pressure on Visa re: fees is not other card companies (it's a pretty cosy oligopoly) but other ways to pay. With Bitcoin mining, it's a market in resource wastage, because that's what PoW is designed to be.

I don't know why you think that makes your original explanation correct.

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

Chadzok posted:

The latest chalk mark on my as-yet-unresponded-to comment (I understand Ham, there’s a lot for you to do here. You’re doing god’s work) is this gem from the frontpage of Australia’s premier news site, Sydney Morning Herald.

http://www.smh.com.au/small-busines...116-gzn9jb.html

This is what the media and the common man thinks is the only important point about bitcoin worth discussing - “on-this-trajectory-it-wont-be-long-before-one-bitcoin-is-worth-1-million-a-pop.”

Ah yes, Ham Sandwiches has to respond to all dumb media reporting worldwide, as a guy that posts in the cryptocurrency thread in GBS?? :confused:

I agree it's a silly article, I personally wouldn't expect that it will be worth 1 million a coin.

Ham Sandwiches fucked around with this message at 19:52 on Nov 17, 2017

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

divabot posted:

now if bitcoin actually had an economy, you could say "well economic value is generated at these flows of coins for services etc" and that'd be one thing. but bitcoin doesn't have an economy, except a few drug dealers. so all that's left is a complicated scheme to funnel money from suckers to new miners and old hodlers, with scammers taking a cut along the way.

it is hypothetically possible that some time in the astounding future!! there will be something that could be called a cryptocurrency economy. there has been no sign of it in the past eight years, and many reasons to think it's not a happener. but sure, it's not philosophically impossible,,

I like the drug dealers claim as more and more financial institutions consider / are in the process of messing with cryptocurrencies. However, let's focus on the main part here: divabot casually slides in "I may be totally wrong and in the future cryptocurrencies may become legitimate, but they haven't yet!!"

Which is a total repudiation of the premise for the book he wrote. That's a very interesting U turn here divabot.

So you're saying that if in the astounding future, there's an established cryptocurrency economy (by the way, people took massive offense to me implying that there's such a thing in the previous thread), then the r/buttcoiners and rationalwiki crew weren't wrong to ridicule cryptocurrencies for years? How does that work?

gary oldmans diary
Sep 26, 2005

Ham Sandwiches posted:

I like the drug dealers claim as more and more financial institutions consider / are in the process of messing with cryptocurrencies. However, let's focus on the main part here: divabot casually slides in "I may be totally wrong and in the future cryptocurrencies may become legitimate, but they haven't yet!!"

Which is a total repudiation of the premise for the book he wrote. That's a very interesting U turn here divabot.

So you're saying that if in the astounding future, there's an established cryptocurrency economy (by the way, people took massive offense to me implying that there's such a thing in the previous thread), then the r/buttcoiners and rationalwiki crew weren't wrong to ridicule cryptocurrencies for years? How does that work?
people who dont need medication to think clearly are capable of allowing for the possibility that they are wrong without it crashing their worldview. thats how that works

Ham Sandwiches
Jul 7, 2000

divabot posted:

Also, this is actually completely made-up bullshit. It's a lie Bitcoiners keep repeating. I wrote it up for the book:

Also, I've still so far (there's at least a couple more months in this) made £4200 more, in actual real world ActualMoney in my bank account, from Bitcoin than Hammy ever has.

This is a pretty fascinating slice of your book. So you basically do 0 research on Venezuela other than look up the transactions on one exchange, take a sample from late 2016 (when the reason article was written) and decide that's representative for whatever was happening now, and declare it a non issue :smug:

There have been quite a few fairly recent articles written about Venezuela and bitcoins in a variety of publications, so that seems to undercut your claim that "These claims always fall apart on closer examination. Venezuela is a typical example: all the coverage traces back to a story in Libertarian magazine Reason, fiercely advocating Bitcoin as a way to avert the spectres of socialism and regulation"

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/09/big-in-venezuela/534177/#article-comments

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/30/venezuela-is-one-of-the-worlds-most-dangerous-places-to-mine-bitcoin.html
"Thousands of Venezuelans have turned to secretly mining the digital currency"

I guess with that method, there's nothing to see here, it's been disproven ;)

Zimbabwe, Venezuela, and even India during the devaluation, are examples of unstable political and economic situations where people have found uses for cryptocurrencies. Trying to handwave it away on scale or because reason.com reported seems like a very, very insufficient analysis.

gary oldmans diary
Sep 26, 2005

Ham Sandwiches posted:

This is a pretty fascinating slice of your book. So you basically do 0 research on Venezuela other than look up the transactions on one exchange, take a sample from late 2016 (when the reason article was written) and decide that's representative for whatever was happening now, and declare it a non issue :smug:

There have been quite a few fairly recent articles written about Venezuela and bitcoins in a variety of publications, so that seems to undercut your claim that "These claims always fall apart on closer examination. Venezuela is a typical example: all the coverage traces back to a story in Libertarian magazine Reason, fiercely advocating Bitcoin as a way to avert the spectres of socialism and regulation"

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/09/big-in-venezuela/534177/#article-comments

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/30/venezuela-is-one-of-the-worlds-most-dangerous-places-to-mine-bitcoin.html
"Thousands of Venezuelans have turned to secretly mining the digital currency"

I guess with that method, there's nothing to see here, it's been disproven ;)

Zimbabwe, Venezuela, and even India during the devaluation, are examples of unstable political and economic situations where people have found uses for cryptocurrencies. Trying to handwave it away on scale or because reason.com reported seems like a very, very insufficient analysis.
actually you havent read his book :rolleyes:

you can see the dates in your article urls. his book was published july 24th 2017. do you even know how books work?

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

jonathan posted:

Do you have a link to the book ? Maybe I can use this mining rig to download the book. An actual useful venture.

https://davidgerard.co.uk/blockchain/book/

gary oldmans diary posted:

actually you havent read his book :rolleyes:

you can see the dates in your article urls. his book was published july 24th 2017. do you even know how books work?

These stories are also BS. The "thousands" claim in the CNBC story is based on speaking to two local electricity thieves who said so, and a guy in Spain. Ham Sandwiches is as bad at reading text elsewhere as text here.

CassandraZara posted:

I don't know why you think that makes your original explanation correct.

because it is. What's wrong with it?

by the 1st December I expect to be about £6000 ahead of actual cash money profits from bitcoin compared to Ham Sandwiches.

kolby
Oct 29, 2004

Ham Sandwiches posted:

Let me know when millions of people start using your cum for transactions on exchanges worldwide

can you let me know too? it's for a project i'm doing

Stefan Prodan
Jan 7, 2002

I deeply respect you as a human being... Some day I'm gonna make you *Mrs* Buck Turgidson!


Grimey Drawer
Of interest to this thread:

https://lendedu.com/blog/investing-in-bitcoin

One particular lol:

7. At what price per Bitcoin would you be willing to sell all of your Bitcoin investment?

On average, respondents reported that they would be willing to sell all of their Bitcoin investment at $196,165.79 per Bitcoin. At the time of the survey completion, the price per Bitcoin was $6,490.

Surprise Giraffe
Apr 30, 2007
1 Lunar Road
Moon crater
The Moon

Stefan Prodan posted:

Of interest to this thread:

https://lendedu.com/blog/investing-in-bitcoin

One particular lol:

7. At what price per Bitcoin would you be willing to sell all of your Bitcoin investment?

On average, respondents reported that they would be willing to sell all of their Bitcoin investment at $196,165.79 per Bitcoin. At the time of the survey completion, the price per Bitcoin was $6,490.

The people behind that site look skeevy as gently caress at first glance

Stefan Prodan
Jan 7, 2002

I deeply respect you as a human being... Some day I'm gonna make you *Mrs* Buck Turgidson!


Grimey Drawer
Haha yeah well everything connected to finance is a scam in one way or the other so it fits

CassandraZara
Oct 21, 2012

by Nyc_Tattoo

divabot posted:

because it is. What's wrong with it?

Because people have reasons to mine at a loss! God I hope your book is full of this "because I said so" reasoning.

extra stout
Feb 24, 2005

ISILDUR's ERR
taking off my expensive fur coat i explain to a woman at the bar "i invested heavily into bitcoin- and early"

then you could buy me a drink, she says, surely?

i stutter for minutes, explaining i know a guy who accepts bit bucks at a bar, but it's about three hours from here and the law only allows alcohol to be served for another seventy minutes

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008

Uranium 235 posted:

bitcoin is a commodity

Most people buying apples aren't speculating on apple prices and hoping to turn a quick profit, they're just buying apples. But most people buying bitcoin are just speculating on bitcoin prices. That's the most widely advertised and most common use case for bitcoins: selling them to the next person as a way of becoming rich quick

So maybe saying that bitcoin definitely isn't a ponzi scheme because it's just a commodity doesn't make as much sense as you'd think. And indeed, many ponzi schemes actually do involve some sort of commodity being "sold" in order to draw in new investors, so the whole idea is just pure bunk

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008

CassandraZara posted:

Because people have reasons to mine at a loss! God I hope your book is full of this "because I said so" reasoning.

It's a reasonable approximation. Mining at a loss just means that the real cost per transaction is higher, and therefore funnier, so it's all good

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

CassandraZara posted:

Because people have reasons to mine at a loss!

... yeah, and that's going to be the minority case (e.g. pumping Bitcoin Cash), unless they get overconfident in a way that they're gonna go broke. I described how mining is designed, you made an incorrect comparison to Visa. What was your substantive point?

CassandraZara posted:

God I hope your book is full of this "because I said so" reasoning.

Lotta citations, if you want to engage actual points, or make one some time maybe.

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Drone_Fragger
May 9, 2007


Look, bitcoiners rely on such things as "heard it on the internet", "another bitcoin user told me this as gospel" and "well obviously this is the case", rather than such pointless and blatantly untruely source material such as "sourced evidence" "cited other works by experts" and of course, the most heinous of all fake news, "reading the dates on timestamps".

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