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PoopShipDestroyer
Jan 13, 2006

I think he's ready for a chair

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

This poll is either fake or old as hell.

I just found it - something tells me whoever gave Trump that poll left out this other bit:

quote:

The majority of voters, 51 percent, did not approve of Trump's job in office. But his approval rating in the Dec. 1-3 survey is the highest since a Sept. 29-Oct. 1 poll in which he was also at 45 percent. He has not been higher than 45 percent since early July. He then dipped in August in the wake of his reaction to violence in Charlottesville, Va.

Three-in-five voters saw Trump as reckless and 54 percent said he is sexist. Another 47 percent of respondents said he is racist, but 39 percent said he is not.

edit:

Worth noting it is (unsurprisingly) a huge outlier (its the dot on the dotted line)

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SeANMcBAY
Jun 28, 2006

Look on the bright side.



RiggenBlaque posted:

What poll is that? I can't even find it

You’d think he’d give himself something higher for his fake Facebook dad poll.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

This poll is either fake or old as hell.

nope, seems legit: https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000160-2864-d9e9-a365-ef7f68650000

difference may be asking "somewhat" approve as an option: his support is very weak and half is "somewhat" while the overwhelming majority of disapproval is "strong"

delfin
Dec 5, 2003

SNATTER'S ALIVE?!?!

saintonan posted:

No, it's really not good for you or anyone else, even in small doses. It's perfectly fine to avoid that poo poo like the plague.

My take on that is based on my late father, who was a moderate conservative for most of his life but started to rattle off talking points from Facebook walls, email chains, conspiracy theories and such increasingly often as he got older. He and I used to argue issues of the day regularly, and he'd bring up things that made it obvious where he got his news from. (Sometimes it was small giveaways, like how no one other than the conservative press has given a poo poo about Al Sharpton in the last fifteen years but suddenly he was in our conversations three times a week as One of Obama's Main Advisors, or how George Soros runs the world. Sometimes it was full-blown wack-a-loon conspiracy theories like how Isn't It Strange How Everyone Who Angers The Clintons Ends Up Dead? Yeah, Dad, it sure is. Maybe switch from RT over to the Game Show Network today?)

I'm going to run into people like this on a regular basis. If I can debunk bullshit quickly, accurately and thoroughly, it puts doubt in their mind that my going off to research it and bringing it up three days later doesn't. Going in prepared by knowing what the latest conspiracy theory that's all the rage in Breitbartian circles is helps quite a bit in deprogramming.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

HootTheOwl posted:

I actually posted that when before I knew about the story of the yearbook addendum. So now it's official.

nah

i'd give him maybe a 30-40% shot before the story and that hasn't meaningfully budged

it's not going to encourage very many people to go vote that wouldn't have before, and it's not going to make statistical anybody stay home that wouldn't have before

in a close race that's still bad but you're being a dumb pessimist

TheKingofSprings
Oct 9, 2012

Vladimir Putin posted:

New jobs report shows a very strong economy. Say what you will, I’m happy about that.

I unironically hope it craters so the knives finally come out for the average person re: Trump

Burning_Monk
Jan 11, 2005
Mad, Bad, and Dangerous to know

RiggenBlaque posted:

What poll is that? I can't even find it

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2017/politico-morning-consult-poll/

TGLT
Aug 14, 2009

RiggenBlaque posted:

What poll is that? I can't even find it

Here's Politico's page for it. They're not even on 538's big pollster ranking, so take it for what you will.

Bhaal
Jul 13, 2001
I ain't going down alone
Dr. Infant, MD

Bhaal fucked around with this message at 19:03 on Dec 8, 2017

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

RuanGacho posted:

There was a story the other day that 40% of the US's wealth is now owned by the top 1%. gently caress your "employment" and your "economy" our brothers and sisters are still suffering.

I don't disagree but a strong economy still means there's more to redistribute :v:

Rinkles
Oct 24, 2010

What I'm getting at is...
Do you feel the same way?

STAC Goat posted:

Except that they were operating in bad faith yesterday and already Moore supporters. The notion that the victim and her allies hosed up because they gave people who wanted to disbelief them a flimsy excuse to do so weeks into a situation where they were clearly already disbelieving them is just so ... argh!

It's something that'll sway some people half heartedly paying attention to the scandal. You're talking like you believe everyone's a well informed actor, voting in bad faith if a narrative permits it, when propaganda is so pernicious because of the banality of why it's effective.

TheScott2K
Oct 26, 2003

I'm just saying, there's a nonzero chance Trump has a really toad penis.

TheKingofSprings posted:

I unironically hope it craters so the knives finally come out for the average person re: Trump

They've been out, it's just the average person seems to think that their smartphone making it so they can monetize the fact that they own a car is what help looks like.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


the economy is buoying trump's numbers. if the numbers weren't so good he'd be in the 20s even with his insane cult.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 10, 2007

Obscure to all except those well-versed in Yuuzhan Vong lore.
Just from the past 2 days:

Reuters: 37% approval
IBD/TIPP: 36%
Gallup: 37%
Pew: 34%
CBS News: 36%
Quinipiac: 36%
Rasmussen: 42% (lol bullshit)

So yeah, he ain't at 45 loving percent

CuddleCryptid
Jan 11, 2013

Things could be going better

Of course he is at 45%. He asked himself and his wife whether he is the best president, and every poll has some error involved.

Vladimir Putin
Mar 17, 2007

by R. Guyovich

TheKingofSprings posted:

I unironically hope it craters so the knives finally come out for the average person re: Trump

Honestly it’s pretty much peak for our current environment. You’re not going to get any more good factory jobs that require only high school education. And 4.1 % unemployment is exceedingly low. If it dips below 4% and into the 3% range everyone is going to lose their poo poo. I mean when was the last time that happened, during a war where there’s a vast manpower shortage.

My point being that this is probably peak economic strength given all circumstances. It probably can’t get all that much better.

Hastings
Dec 30, 2008

GreyjoyBastard posted:


fake edit:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.CON.PRVT.PC.KD?locations=US

outside of the recession per capita household consumption has been going up since 1970

as I recall wages are also generally-up, just, you know, way way less for the lower quintiles and way more for the top

Many millenials joined the job market during the recession, and research is showing this will doom them to making less money over the course of their lifetimes. They will also have have lower wages despite more experience from all those internships. So yeah, more people are "employed" on paper but the job outlook is pretty awful. The GOP is slowly but surely going to decimate the health sector, largely one of the few bastions left for actual career type positions. We have lots of gigs, fast food and retail, but our economy is still functioning as if we are chasing after short term highs...actual long term growth and success indicators like customer trust and employee value are gone.

Reik
Mar 8, 2004

Somebody saw the Pew results.

TheScott2K
Oct 26, 2003

I'm just saying, there's a nonzero chance Trump has a really toad penis.

Vladimir Putin posted:

Honestly it’s pretty much peak for our current environment. You’re not going to get any more good factory jobs that require only high school education. And 4.1 % unemployment is exceedingly low. If it dips below 4% and into the 3% range everyone is going to lose their poo poo. I mean when was the last time that happened, during a war where there’s a vast manpower shortage.

My point being that this is probably peak economic strength given all circumstances. It probably can’t get all that much better.

And yet...

Push El Burrito
May 9, 2006

Soiled Meat
So Cards Against Humanity bought a bunch of land on the border in order to delay the wall. If you bought into it you get multiple letters with little things they've done. Today I got this.



These guys are good dudes.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


Hastings posted:

Many millenials joined the job market during the recession, and research is showing this will doom them to making less money over the course of their lifetimes. They will also have have lower wages despite more experience from all those internships. So yeah, more people are "employed" on paper but the job outlook is pretty awful. The GOP is slowly but surely going to decimate the health sector, largely one of the few bastions left for actual career type positions. We have lots of gigs, fast food and retail, but our economy is still functioning as if we are chasing after short term highs...actual long term growth and success indicators like customer trust and employee value are gone.

it's always funny when people go folks get more conservative when they get older! well you can't gently caress you got mine when you don't even got mine.

Party Plane Jones
Jul 1, 2007

by Reene
Fun Shoe
1https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/938998332352995328
2https://twitter.com/willsommer/status/938858192444055554
3https://twitter.com/jbouie/status/939123285530431488
4https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/939189108198510592
5https://twitter.com/NPR/status/939189080285253632
6https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/939190862592045057
7https://twitter.com/ryanjreilly/status/938822374740414464
8https://twitter.com/harrysiegel/status/939117371624710145
9https://twitter.com/davidsirota/status/939194114389823489
10https://twitter.com/yashar/status/939191054741528576
11https://twitter.com/Mikel_Jollett/status/939191349428994048
12https://twitter.com/owillis/status/938959354082054144
13https://twitter.com/FT/status/939190358872862720
14https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/939189861608775680
15https://twitter.com/KateAronoff/status/938618399827079168
16https://twitter.com/thedailybeast/status/939033751996088320
17https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/938943551509094400
18https://twitter.com/ashleyfeinberg/status/938906943674036225
19https://twitter.com/medievalpoc/status/939178390799740928
20https://twitter.com/andrewperezdc/status/938944499132268546
21https://twitter.com/funder/status/939164509293424642
22https://twitter.com/FederalistPitch/status/939164375977484288
23https://twitter.com/BrianKarem/status/939191129479811072
https://i.imgur.com/VxL1F7J.gifv

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Groovelord Neato posted:

the economy is buoying trump's numbers. if the numbers weren't so good he'd be in the 20s even with his insane cult.

I think if he presides over an economic collapse they'll drop like that, but I think that its more he's so visibly incompetent that the people who would usually be swayed to support the president because of the economy have realized to some degree it's not him at all and are not just going "eh he seems like he's doing a good job." If the economy was middling and he wasn't improving it I think he'd still be at the same level. But an economic collapse that could be credibly blamed on him would drop him into the 20s, I think.

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

A D turns into a B so easily. You just got greedy.

Zoph
Sep 12, 2005

The thing that bugs me the most about the yearbook comment news is that I know one person who is the Dunning-Kruger Effect Made Flesh, and they are *dead certain* the yearbook note is a forgery. They're unlikely to realize that the note itself is legit and will still gloat like a motherfucker about it regardless.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/939194326369882115

looks like whoever leaked this email to CNN misread it, and it is not that interesting - because it came after the documents were public, not before

reitetsu
Sep 27, 2009

Should you find yourself here one day... In accordance with your crimes, you can rest assured I will give you the treatment you deserve.

This sounds like a good idea?

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead
Ken Popehat Lawsplainer: Donald Trump Jr and Attorney-Client Privilege

quote:

So was the conversation by Trump Jr. and Trump Sr. privileged, because there was a lawyer in the room, or their lawyers were on the call?

No, not necessarily. Just having a lawyer in the room, or on a call, doesn't make a communication privileged. The communication is only privileged if it's for the purpose of obtaining legal advice — if it's communicating things to the lawyer so the lawyer can give legal advice, or it's the lawyer communicating that legal advice. For instance, having a company's general counsel in the room or on the phone during a meeting about business issues doesn't make the meeting privileged, unless the purpose was to get the general counsel's advice.

You see this issue come up all the time in the modern era with email. Just cc'ing your attorney on an email to a non-attorney does not make the email privileged. The email's only privileged if it's to get legal advice — to tell the lawyer something they need to know to give advice, for instance.

So if Sr. and Jr. were just talking, and weren't conveying information for the purpose of getting legal advice from the lawyers who were on the call or in the room, the conversation would not be privileged. On the other hand, if they were exchanging information so that their respective lawyers could give them legal advice about what the lawyers heard, it could be. Jr. didn't really give enough information to judge.

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

morcant posted:

This sounds like a good idea?

Good or bad it’s going to be ugly.

stone cold
Feb 15, 2014

Push El Burrito posted:

So Cards Against Humanity bought a bunch of land on the border in order to delay the wall. If you bought into it you get multiple letters with little things they've done. Today I got this.



These guys are good dudes.

i mean,

no

like this is a cool publicity stunt but

quote:

Several people that I went to school with have posted a Baltimore Sun article from 2012 about the success of Cards Against Humanity, a popular indie party game created by a Goucher alum.

That is my rapist.

Having his face pop up on my news feed unexpectedly in any context has the capacity to ruin my day. Seeing him praised in the press is giving me a panic attack.

He should not be held as a good example of the excellence that Goucher grads have, can and will continue to achieve.

publishko
Feb 16, 2014

evilweasel posted:

https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/939194326369882115

looks like whoever leaked this email to CNN misread it, and it is not that interesting - because it came after the documents were public, not before

amazing how CNN fucks up pretty much every scoop they manage to get

Rinkles
Oct 24, 2010

What I'm getting at is...
Do you feel the same way?

evilweasel posted:

https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/939194326369882115

looks like whoever leaked this email to CNN misread it, and it is not that interesting - because it came after the documents were public, not before

CNN is once again crap at journalism.

DACK FAYDEN
Feb 25, 2013

Bear Witness

Push El Burrito posted:

So Cards Against Humanity bought a bunch of land on the border in order to delay the wall. If you bought into it you get multiple letters with little things they've done. Today I got this.



These guys are good dudes.
So are they not actually spending the money on a giant trebuchet? Because I was kind of looking forward to seeing pictures of a giant trebuchet.

axeil
Feb 14, 2006

evilweasel posted:

https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/939194326369882115

looks like whoever leaked this email to CNN misread it, and it is not that interesting - because it came after the documents were public, not before

Who cares?

The right wing media doesn't give a poo poo about objective reality. If a story hurts them we should run with it even if the date is off.

edit: I realize I have become what we seek to destroy...but I don't think I care any more. They have to lose. They have to. I don't care how it's done.

STAC Goat
Mar 12, 2008

Watching you sleep.

Butt first, let's
check the feeds.

Rinkles posted:

It's something that'll sway some people half heartedly paying attention to the scandal. You're talking like you believe everyone's a well informed actor, voting in bad faith if a narrative permits it, when propaganda is so pernicious because of the banality of why it's effective.

And you're talking like there's a significant presence of voters who are not only sincerely undecided on this matter but also are going to be swayed by a Fox News headline but somehow weren't swayed by the other Fox News headlines. It makes no sense to me. Fox News was calling it a forgery yesterday. They're calling it a forgery today. If the argument is that good faith uninformed viewers don't read the nuance of a story and will just believe the headlines than why are today's forgery headlines more powerful than yesterdays?

If this were a REAL media narrative I might be more sympathetic to this take, but its not. Its a story making its way around the same places that have spent weeks claiming it was a forgery and Moore was innocent. So who is being exposed to this who wasn't exposed to that and why is this more powerful than the story where "the victim's mother confessed she was told to say it by the Washington Post!"?

Nucleic Acids
Apr 10, 2007

evilweasel posted:

https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/939194326369882115

looks like whoever leaked this email to CNN misread it, and it is not that interesting - because it came after the documents were public, not before

So, how often has CNN hosed up like this? Because every time it happens it just adds fuel to the fire.

Push El Burrito
May 9, 2006

Soiled Meat

stone cold posted:

i mean,

no

like this is a cool publicity stunt but

Well cool I didn't know about that.

It really is true that everyone you ever think is good is actually awful.

Pollyanna
Mar 5, 2005

Milk's on them.


evilweasel posted:

https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/939194326369882115

looks like whoever leaked this email to CNN misread it, and it is not that interesting - because it came after the documents were public, not before

aw, lame

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

evilweasel posted:

https://twitter.com/AaronBlake/status/939194326369882115

looks like whoever leaked this email to CNN misread it, and it is not that interesting - because it came after the documents were public, not before

Goddammit

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stone cold
Feb 15, 2014

Push El Burrito posted:

Well cool I didn't know about that.

It really is true that everyone you ever think is good is actually awful.

a good rule of thumb is to never think men esp. in power are good

because they will always let you down without fail

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