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I've heard of some aussie leaks stating that Trump's ready to bomb Iran in a month. Grain of salt or  Also Egypt just assassinated one of the leaders of Ethiopia's Renaissance dam project. Karma soon.
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Jul 29, 2018 08:16
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Link on the Egypt-Ethiopia thing?
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Jul 29, 2018 11:31
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Sinteres posted:https://twitter.com/salamamoussa/status/1022795927541739520 This is what you get for keeping Republicans in your administration. loving disgraceful.
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Jul 29, 2018 11:49
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Spacewolf posted:Link on the Egypt-Ethiopia thing? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4iRpwxeXyg That Egypt ordered it is speculation, but from that report it seems pretty certain that he was professionally assassinated. Saladman fucked around with this message at 12:05 on Jul 29, 2018 |
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Jul 29, 2018 12:03
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Even Morsi was caught discussing the possibility of using the military options to destroy that dam (though he said he'd prefer a diplomatic approach), so it being a potential problem for Egypt (or at least a convenient opportunity to make more demands for water rights) is a pretty widely held view.
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Jul 29, 2018 13:38
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Yeah, but hard to see how assassinating this guy when the dam is already set and nearly finished doesn’t seem like it will really help their goal, and if it’s proven to be them, then it might make Ethiopia openly antagonistic. I mean Egypt is definitely a good suspect but there are plenty of other reasonable suspects as well. It’s not like “who bombed Syria’s nuclear reactor, Israel or Israel?”
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Jul 29, 2018 14:54
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I mean Eritrea could be feeling nostalgic and this is how Afwerki says he misses the old days? gently caress it. Makes about as much rational sense as anything else to happen in the last decade.
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Jul 29, 2018 16:28
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CaspianReport did a video on the dam a while back https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G_8X8tbjqjg
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Jul 29, 2018 17:19
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Orange Devil posted:This is what you get for keeping Republicans in your administration. loving disgraceful. Boy obama not enforcing The red line sure did help syria nip this nasty civil war. Or the Sec of state continuing republican doctrine of stealing iraqi oil. Syrian civil war tailspun under a centrist dem.
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Jul 29, 2018 19:50
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Radio Prune posted:CaspianReport did a video on the dam a while back Fascinating, thanks
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Jul 29, 2018 20:50
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VHLrcI3fdDI
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Jul 29, 2018 22:58
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What is most likely to happen to the SDF if Turkey leaves Syria, will it get the KRG treatment post-independence vote or will Assad allow them some form of autonomy?
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Jul 30, 2018 01:46
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Turkey is leaving Syria on about the same schedule that America is leaving Afghanistan, so that schenario is hardly imminent. SDF is going to come into some kind of accomodation with Assad because they've got about zero other alternatives for avoiding a two-front war situation. Incidentally because America is getting out of Socialist Kurdistan, just as soon they figure out the most profitable way of betraying the PYD.
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Jul 30, 2018 02:14
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lollontee posted:Turkey is leaving Syria on about the same schedule that America is leaving Afghanistan, so that schenario is hardly imminent. SDF is going to come into some kind of accomodation with Assad because they've got about zero other alternatives for avoiding a two-front war situation. Incidentally because America is getting out of Socialist Kurdistan, just as soon they figure out the most profitable way of betraying the PYD. Erdogan is known for being somewhat fickle, what are the chances that he'll cut a deal with Assad to gently caress over SDF?
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Jul 30, 2018 02:34
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Once the regime has displaced its opponents from Syria proper, it will offer the PYD a bunch of glorified nothing, and in exchange the PYD will be expected to turn over administration of rojava peacefully to the Syrian government, disarm, and allow Syrian troops to move back into all major population centers. If they resist, they will be denounced as terrorists while simultaneously being targeted by a campaign of targeted assassinations and kidnappings. I expect they'll be happy to parade around their glorified nothing. There's some Kurds in Qamishli that are going to flee before that happens though, given how the regime has gone after everyone else who rose up in 2011-12.
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Jul 30, 2018 02:53
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Doc Neutral posted:Erdogan is known for being somewhat fickle, what are the chances that he'll cut a deal with Assad to gently caress over SDF? who the gently caress knows but after all this bloodshed sponsored by turkey, I doubt assad would be very keen on it
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Jul 30, 2018 03:01
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doesn't erdogan seriously loathe assad? i recall that being received wisdom a while ago
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Jul 30, 2018 03:09
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I dunno know about that with Assad wanting to tighten his grip on the country to avoid future rebellions and Turkey hating anything kurd, I don't see any positive developments in the near future or maybe I'm just being cynical here.
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Jul 30, 2018 03:17
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Turkey was unquestionably one of the Assad regime's largest opponents. Turkish MIT has a very active assassination program in Syria until at least 2016, and Turkey smuggled a fair bit of weapons and support to turkish-aligned rebel groups
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Jul 30, 2018 03:43
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Cat Army 
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Doc Neutral posted:What is most likely to happen to the SDF if Turkey leaves Syria, will it get the KRG treatment post-independence vote or will Assad allow them some form of autonomy? "Peace in our time" followed by a shadow border conflict fought over landcontrol between assadists and turks. Think of a ukraine style "ceasefire" where there are still potshots and violations daily, but the main strean audience believes peace is upheld. Turks are not just going to walk back accross the border, especially with elements proclaiming Mosul as a new region of turkey
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Jul 30, 2018 04:42
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iraqis are really loving this up still https://twitter.com/Bilesa_Shaweys/status/1023671951380893697
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Jul 30, 2018 05:15
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HorrificExistence posted:iraqis are really loving this up still Youd think assad would have taught people that machine gunning protestors might have repercussions.
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Jul 30, 2018 06:32
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LeoMarr posted:Youd think assad would have taught people that machine gunning protestors might have repercussions. it worked for him, eventually
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Jul 30, 2018 08:16
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So based on LiveUAMap it looks like the Daesh pocket in Golan has collapsed and been recaptured by the SAA, leaving ISIS with a couple patches of barren wasteland with no permanent inhabitants, plus a couple towns on the left bank of the Euphrates next to the Iraq border. It was kind of surprising to me how quickly the Golan pocket was crushed. I guess the SAA isn't overextended and the remaining Daesh fighters must be the JV team and/or conscripted children. Also lol at all the LiveUAmap comments "Israel is making GBS threads itself with the mighty SAA back on its border, SAA coming for you next!!". What universe do those people live in?
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Jul 30, 2018 16:23
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Saladman posted:What universe do those people live in?
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Jul 30, 2018 16:34
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Egypt: not just oppressive toward its own citizens: https://twitter.com/nikiblack/status/1023946513704280064 Sometimes I wonder if posting about other countries online is reducing my ability to travel in the future, and this fuels that paranoia. Dr Kool-AIDS fucked around with this message at 16:50 on Jul 30, 2018 |
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Jul 30, 2018 16:48
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Sinteres posted:Egypt: not just oppressive toward its own citizens: Reading the article, apparently it could have been worse quote:Mona was originally sentenced to 11 years in prison, but her sentence was reduced to eight years after her lawyer presented evidence that a 2006 surgery removing a blood clot from her brain impaired her ability to control anger. loving hell.
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Jul 30, 2018 17:54
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The Independent published an interview with Seymour Hersh, which they then deleted (apparently published online early in error) which has some pretty choice quotes:quote:Hersh tells me: “I don’t necessarily buy the story that Bin Laden was responsible for 9/11. We really don’t have an ending to the story. I’ve known people in the [intelligence] community. We don’t know anything empirical about who did what”. He continues: “The guy was living in a cave. He really didn’t know much English. He was pretty bright and he had a lot of hatred for the US. We respond by attacking the Taliban. Eighteen years later… How’s it going guys?” quote:Hersh tells me that this is “as close to a just war” because Assad is fighting to prevent an Islamist takeover and the imposition of Sharia law. quote:It is important to point out that Hersh is not a conspiracy theorist.
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Jul 30, 2018 18:07
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HorrificExistence posted:it worked for him, eventually Insofar that he is not dead yet. Causing a massive civil war, then very slowly winning is not really working, that's more like making it to the finishing line long after the race is over
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Jul 30, 2018 18:50
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Ikasuhito posted:Reading the article, apparently it could have been worse That's the dumbest thing, and will hurt Egypt far more than her viral video could have done in the first place. I don't understand how countries like Egypt and Turkey can't see that arresting tourists and other random foreigners is not a great idea for an economy substantially based on tourism. But yeah I definitely would not make any public posts on Facebook about any of those countries. VVV: Yeah, in Egypt I would not worry as a Euro-US citizen for that reason — jfc poor Lebanon — , but in Turkey I'm a little bit more wary. Not enough to not go at all, but... definitely enough to make me think twice whenever I buy tickets, and it has to include a reason to besides just vacation. For just tourism, I'd definitely pick somewhere else over Turkey. Although if I'm going for some other reason, I'll extend because drat Turkey is lovely and has so much to offer. (NB: genuine thought, not an Erdogan suckup comment in case he hax my SA account.) Saladman fucked around with this message at 20:25 on Jul 30, 2018 |
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Jul 30, 2018 19:26
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Saladman posted:That's the dumbest thing, and will hurt Egypt far more than her viral video could have done in the first place. I don't understand how countries like Egypt and Turkey can't see that arresting tourists and other random foreigners is not a great idea for an economy substantially based on tourism. It's about domestic politics imo. They get to grandstand as protectors of their country against dirtbag foreigners who want to attack it, and even if they aren't a real democracy, populism still has its place. It's bad for the country as a whole, but if the leaders can get a short term spike, maybe they don't care. The hope is also presumably that it'll be a bigger issue at home than abroad, and maybe someone from a country weak enough to have its leader kidnapped seems like a safe target. Pretty decent chance she'll get some sort of clemency after the hype dies down imo. Dr Kool-AIDS fucked around with this message at 19:58 on Jul 30, 2018 |
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Jul 30, 2018 19:56
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The value of the rial hit some new benchmark in badness setting off another round of protests. Esfahan seems to be the center of it for now. https://mobile.twitter.com/Raman_Ghavami/status/1024205424336293888
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Jul 31, 2018 18:05
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Iran is bad you guys, think of the children. https://twitter.com/netanyahu/status/1023660890179203075
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Jul 31, 2018 22:36
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black mirror: What if people made food only in order to look good on social media? Simply horrifying. 2018: yo its your boy bibi netenyahu comin' at ya with this hot english language fable of fatameh's quintessential persian misery. if you like this content smash on that like button and retweet peace *dabs*
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Jul 31, 2018 22:44
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Fatehmeh... that's a hell of an act!! What do you call it?
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Jul 31, 2018 22:45
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This is unconfirmed, but the regime may have launched an attack on northern Latakia. Earlier Russia was saying a full assault on Idlib isn't realistic, presumably to placate Turkey, but whether this particular rumor ends up being true or not, I have a feeling the line of control near Latakia will at least be moving somewhat in the regime's favor due to the continued UAV attacks on Russia's base in Tartus.
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Jul 31, 2018 23:21
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0ovFgP0o0E
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Jul 31, 2018 23:45
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oh my god I remembered where I heard this cadence before. I'm dying.
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Aug 1, 2018 00:56
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https://twitter.com/AlexEmmons/status/1024613136274477057?s=19 These royals are so stupid. What a clusterfuck this would have been.
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Aug 1, 2018 17:20
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https://twitter.com/AlexKhrebet/status/1024621823143694338 With this I guess the major military ops in the south have basically come to a close.
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Aug 1, 2018 18:14
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