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Big Hubris
Mar 8, 2011


Sundae posted:


I think that if someone wants to advocate for violence, they should go all the way and target the children and grandchildren of the rich, not the rich themselves. Go big or go home. Make the estate tax really live up to that "Death Tax" moniker. If you want to discuss this idea further, you can write to me at this cell address at Guantanamo...

Oligarchs don't care enough about their children to break the number addiction.

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im depressed lol
Mar 12, 2013

cunts are still running the show.

Sundae posted:

How's the view from up on that there high road, chumpy?

it sucks being a chump. :smith:

i really need to be informed by discussion regarding this issue, and participation in this discussion. simply lurking doesn't force me to articulate the why that I can use to justify "we need to do X before things get bad enough where violence is..." in attempts* to contextualize for family members/co-workers something e.g. people with whom you do not choose but are* kind of 'stuck' with.

for reference, during the freeway protests last year, i knew what they were doing was right. but i just couldn't formulate the words necessary to articulate this in a way that co-workers/family members would understand due to the power of media narratives like "what if an ambulance came by!?". i realized how... stupid i really was by just a lack of an ability to articulate motivations and goals of protestors.

e.g.: i could argue for single-payer healthcare and give plenty of reasons as to why privatization of healthcare is so wrong; are you going to look up prices for ambulance services when your grandmother is dying of stroke? re: some idiot co-worker spouting off about how GUMMINT IS THE ISSUE WITH HEALTHCARE IN THE FIRST, WE NEED COMPEITION!

i'm a dumb naive, idiot-baby and i'm working on... not being this about issues. i'm sure many lurkers are of a similar mindset. threads like this one of the few spaces left for discussion that i know of that isn't filled with astro-turfing campaigns and actually have people who will take the time to read whatever stupid nonsense my post consists of, and examine it critically without resorting* to ad-hom attacks because i'm not copy-pasting youtube titles in place of understanding or having a coherent ideology.

again, it sucks being a chump. :smith:

edit: *'d typos. and because this forum has at least a bottom-barrel for post quality i have motivation to go back and correct stupid typo's. i should really be proofreading before i post but... ah just post :justpost:

edit 2: VVVV yeah, that's a fairpoint and i should have said nothing or worded it vastly differently, instead of the weird virtue signalling my post implied

im depressed lol fucked around with this message at 01:17 on Oct 10, 2018

ChairMaster
Aug 22, 2009

by R. Guyovich
Well sorry dude, but we're not allowed to have an frank discussion regarding the matter so sometimes you're going to get called an idiot if you say something stupid and nobody's going to be able to explain it to you because it costs money to make a new account.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
also, stop pretending life is a debate club where you win over friends and family with logic and reason

if someone is opposing something of moral/ethical value to you *call them a piece of poo poo and cut them out of your life*

we will make INFINITY times more progress by directly confronting and ostracizing lovely people than we will pretending they can be reasoned with (they cannot, that is *you* being lost in a delusional reality).

im depressed lol
Mar 12, 2013

cunts are still running the show.
that's fair, as rational debate would imply that the myopic and greedy consumption of the future is somehow rational. when it's clearly irrational. so maybe lean towards exposing the insane irrationality?

incredible flesh
Oct 6, 2018

by Nyc_Tattoo
how do you people think the world will be saved? if you don't have a theory for how we'll escape extinction then you're either terminally depressed or contemptibly lacking in imagination. i want to hear them! mine is that we'll unlock the secrets of ultra-rapid forest regermination and/or topsoil regeneration allowing for massive afforestation to soak up our excess carbon and avoid dying out, although obviously billions will still die and i will likely be among them. i welcome my eventual death and so should you. now tell me how you think we'll escape the furnace, a storytelling session is the best kind of therapy

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

Trabisnikof posted:

Ignoring the moral/ethical question and only looking predictively, even SR15 says that violence, war, conflict, instability are all more likely under scenarios where our political and social institutions aren't strengthened and more of the global economy brought into strictly regulated and controlled systems.

So the future of the world is either those creating the emissions stop, or eventually everyone else forces them. The middle part of the story, in what form does revolution come and when, can still be undecided even if the outcomes are not. Either the revolution comes sooner and less violently or later with more bloodshed, but it is coming.

A lot of the bad stuff with climate change is already baked in like this. The same more or less goes for overall consumption even without violence. Either we stop emitting so much or the eventual and ever increasing drag on economic growth will slow emissions for us. It's probably going to be a whole lot more painful and ultimately bloody and violent to do it through a non-stop stream of global recessions, but hey.

edit-

incredible flesh posted:

how do you people think the world will be saved? if you don't have a theory for how we'll escape extinction then you're either terminally depressed or contemptibly lacking in imagination. i want to hear them!

The world isn't going to be saved because climate change isn't going to cause a total collapse of global civilization or the end of the human race. It's just going to suck for a long time for a whole lot of people, including a lot of first world people who think this is someone else's problem. And four hundred years from now the future version of OOCC on the brainweb is going to write off any problems of the day because he'll only be capable of looking at the end points of a graph between 2018 and 2418 and saying "see! things are better now than they were then! things always get better!" while ignoring all the terrible poo poo that happens in the middle.

Paradoxish fucked around with this message at 02:44 on Oct 10, 2018

incredible flesh
Oct 6, 2018

by Nyc_Tattoo
our salvation will come when the lord wills it to come and not a moment before

Owlofcreamcheese
May 22, 2005
Probation
Can't post for 9 years!
Buglord

Paradoxish posted:

The world isn't going to be saved because climate change isn't going to cause a total collapse of global civilization or the end of the human race. It's just going to suck for a long time for a whole lot of people, including a lot of first world people who think this is someone else's problem. And four hundred years from now the future version of OOCC on the brainweb is going to write off any problems of the day because he'll only be capable of looking at the end points of a graph between 2018 and 2418 and saying "see! things are better now than they were then! things always get better!" while ignoring all the terrible poo poo that happens in the middle.

Stuff is never going to be all good or all bad or all one thing. Right now 19% of people live in the first world and 80% of humans live on less than 10% a day (and those circles largely but not perfectly overlap). That is way better than it used to be, but way lower than it could have been.

In 400 years it's not going to magically be that everything is good or bad and everyone is poor or rich or anything simple like that. Lots of stuff will happen and what we can work for is figuring out if we can make the future so 32% of the world lives in first world conditions and live on 20 dollars a day vs 7% living in first world conditions and 93% living under 8 dollars a day or whatever. It's never going to be some super clear binary. Bad stuff is going to happen and good stuff will happen in a big mess. Just like now is, and the past was and it always will be.

You fix global warming and numbers might slide way up, don't fix it and numbers slide way down, but it's not like it will ever be some final reckoning where everything is just one thing.

Owlofcreamcheese fucked around with this message at 16:14 on Oct 10, 2018

uncop
Oct 23, 2010

Paradoxish posted:

The world isn't going to be saved because climate change isn't going to cause a total collapse of global civilization or the end of the human race. It's just going to suck for a long time for a whole lot of people, including a lot of first world people who think this is someone else's problem. And four hundred years from now the future version of OOCC on the brainweb is going to write off any problems of the day because he'll only be capable of looking at the end points of a graph between 2018 and 2418 and saying "see! things are better now than they were then! things always get better!" while ignoring all the terrible poo poo that happens in the middle.

This is quite an understatement! Unless climate change is stopped early, it's going to suck for a long time for societies that are lucky, and for others it will be a genocide of historically completely unparalleled proportions. Genocide, because the causes of the food shortage will be inherently political (the economy is not a hand of God, we know it's coming and how to prevent it in technical terms), the effects will be distributed very unequally between regions, we roughly know which are going to be cleansed ethnically and otherwise as the heat is turned up, they aren't the ones where most of the heavily responsible people live, and nations are absolutely going to go "there's only so much food we can buy, and since we are going to survive, who is going to die?" Sort of like Generalplan Ost was in large part an accounting calculation: Effectively "The land only grows so much food, there's barely any surplus after the locals have eaten, and we are going to feed so-and-so many millions of Germans on this, so we have to make that amount of space".

Of course, people have successfully collectively decided that genocides (arguably, if they can be ranked) worse than the Holocaust never happened, and there would definitely be psychological pressure to create a societal narrative where your country wasn't built at the expense of an unimaginable amount of people that your people (intentionally or effectively) chose to die for them on a racial/sectarian/national basis, so your prediction about 2418 isn't so unbelievable really.

uncop fucked around with this message at 17:57 on Oct 10, 2018

Libluini
May 18, 2012

I gravitated towards the Greens, eventually even joining the party itself.

The Linke is a party I grudgingly accept exists, but I've learned enough about DDR-history I can't bring myself to trust a party that was once the SED, a party leading the corrupt state apparatus ...
Grimey Drawer

incredible flesh posted:

our salvation will come when the lord wills it to come and not a moment before

True that, hopefully we can invest enough in developing AI to make our Lord (or Lady, I'm not choosy) a reality. SkyNet mowing down dumbass humans everywhere couldn't make things worse, anyhow.

I call this plan the Cynicism Singularity Plan or CSP for short.

Roadie
Jun 30, 2013

Libluini posted:

True that, hopefully we can invest enough in developing AI to make our Lord (or Lady, I'm not choosy) a reality. SkyNet mowing down dumbass humans everywhere couldn't make things worse, anyhow.

I call this plan the Cynicism Singularity Plan or CSP for short.

What do you do when it turns out the AI overlord loves rolling coal, though?

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Roadie posted:

What do you do when it turns out the AI overlord loves rolling coal, though?
The AI Overlord would not roll coal because even now it's cost-efficiency is beginning to be overshadowed by renewable energy. Thus it would love to roll solar. :v:

Roadie
Jun 30, 2013

Grouchio posted:

The AI Overlord would not roll coal because even now it's cost-efficiency is beginning to be overshadowed by renewable energy. Thus it would love to roll solar. :v:

You seem to have this weird assumption that AIs must be logical.

Megaman's Jockstrap
Jul 16, 2000

What a horrible thread to have a post.
Only as good as you program and train it...for example I gave an AI a bunch of Garfield porn from DeviantArt and was delighted when it spit out a lasagna-based energy solution, sadly haven't been able to get it working at scale yet but I'm hoping a few more gigs of really hard stuff featuring Nermal does the trick

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
i'm kindof amazed we don't have more robotic solar farm stuff going yet

like instead of making panels they should just make giant rolls that farming machinery can layout dozens of acres a day of

Trainee PornStar
Jul 20, 2006

I'm just an inbetweener

StabbinHobo posted:

i'm kindof amazed we don't have more robotic solar farm stuff going yet

like instead of making panels they should just make giant rolls that farming machinery can layout dozens of acres a day of

That's thinking anyone is going to make the effort though... FYGM is in full effect :(

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

StabbinHobo posted:

i'm kindof amazed we don't have more robotic solar farm stuff going yet

like instead of making panels they should just make giant rolls that farming machinery can layout dozens of acres a day of
Here's a useful chart of cost efficiency to remember:


1) something cool is discovered in a lab. It’s ungodly expensive to produce a tiny amount. (Example: Eniac computer)
2) engineering researchers pick up the tech, trying to figure out cool things to do with it. Government grants fund the ungodly cost to produce and some breakthroughs are discovered that might make it cheaper to produce. (Example ibm 650)
3) some startups are founded and market to the very high end market. The very rich, very sick or the military. (Example univac 1108)
4) startups are successful, and due to competition and research the price begins to cone down. Now the high end luxury market or multinational corporate customers. comes into play. Example ibm 360
5) as competition grows and research continues, the middle class can now afford the tech (Example Apple II)
6) commoditization. Tech has finally advanced to the point where anyone can get some for mere pennies. (Example Raspberry pi)


The tech (Vertical Farming) is currently at level 4. Your robot farm idea is probably in-between levels 1-2.

That being said I could see Vertical farming reach level 5 in several years as demand and cost-efficiency grows. Same with solar power.

Roadie
Jun 30, 2013

StabbinHobo posted:

i'm kindof amazed we don't have more robotic solar farm stuff going yet

like instead of making panels they should just make giant rolls that farming machinery can layout dozens of acres a day of

"why has nobody implemented this thing I just thought of that I decided should obviously be easy after giving it ten seconds' thought"

Literally nobody has mastered durable flexible electronics yet despite it being what literally every phone company in the world is working.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Trainee PornStar posted:

That's thinking anyone is going to make the effort though... FYGM is in full effect :(
this is just sadbrains nonsense (and thats coming from me!), tens of billions a year are being invested in solar plant capacity (not the output, just the plants themselves!)

Grouchio posted:

<a very long fart noise transcribed into a vbulletin post>
the gently caress you on about

Roadie posted:

"why has nobody implemented this thing I just thought of that I decided should obviously be easy after giving it ten seconds' thought"

Literally nobody has mastered durable flexible electronics yet despite it being what literally every phone company in the world is working.
I in no way thought of flexible/roll-able solar panels because *I already own one*, which is incredible given your claim that this somehow has something to do with cell phones and is not developed yet.

this to me is the most hopeless thing of all about climate change... what a weird bunch of stupid assholes we are as a species.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Solar bids are getting insanely cheap, we're talking below $1/W to install in entire system cost and contracts are already signed for prices in the 2-3 cents per kwh.

Add in storage and there are outstanding bids for PPAs in the 2-4 cents a kwh range.

These are all in the US, prices are of course cheaper in countries with cheaper labor costs etc.

The electricity sector will be the most straightforward of all the major emitters to transition. Renewables already compete, the technology all exists already, and helpfully the institution and sources of emission are among the most centralized.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
like i would rather pay farmers to lay out panels than to grow corn for ethanol

imagine just switching half of corn subsidies over to solar farms

Banana Man
Oct 2, 2015

mm time 2 gargle piss and shit
We gotta start switching corn to potatoes

Telephones
Apr 28, 2013
avocados will disappear

davebo
Nov 15, 2006

Parallel lines do meet, but they do it incognito
College Slice

Telephones posted:

avocados will disappear

In my belly!

VideoGameVet
May 14, 2005

It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion. It is by the juice of Java that pedaling acquires speed, the teeth acquire stains, stains become a warning. It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion.

Telephones posted:

avocados will disappear

NOOOOO!!!!

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
Hooray!

100 Million Barrels: The World Hit a Daily Oil and Liquids Record

quote:

The world is pumping out more oil and other petroleum liquids than ever before.

Global supply rose to 100.3 million barrels a day in the third quarter, the International Energy Agency said Friday in its monthly oil market report. Output, which includes crude oil, natural gas liquids, biofuels and refinery processing gains, was 2.3 million barrels above the same period last year and 1.3 million barrels a day higher than the second quarter.

Rime
Nov 2, 2011

by Games Forum
The Seneca Cliff looms ever closer.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2018/october/oil-market-report-twin-peaks.html

quote:

In fact, production has surged, led by the US shale revolution, and supported by big increases in Brazil, Canada and elsewhere.

tar sands are not oil

Happy_Misanthrope
Aug 3, 2007

"I wanted to kill you, go to your funeral, and anyone who showed up to mourn you, I wanted to kill them too."
Last year David Wallace-Wells wrote a cover piece for New York mag - The Uninhabitable Earth - and it garnered quite a bit of pushback. Primarily it was seen as hyperbole and damaging to the climate movement, and this critique came from prominent public climate scientists, such as Mann.

So...here we are. And Wells has wrote a new piece, detailing how the IPCC report is actually the best-case scenario. Gotta give props to David for not starting it off with "What's that about being overly pessimistic now, you fucks?", impressive restraint that I wouldn't have.

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
Beautiful.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Happy_Misanthrope posted:

Last year David Wallace-Wells wrote a cover piece for New York mag - The Uninhabitable Earth - and it garnered quite a bit of pushback. Primarily it was seen as hyperbole and damaging to the climate movement, and this critique came from prominent public climate scientists, such as Mann.

So...here we are. And Wells has wrote a new piece, detailing how the IPCC report is actually the best-case scenario. Gotta give props to David for not starting it off with "What's that about being overly pessimistic now, you fucks?", impressive restraint that I wouldn't have.

the reaction to that was a perfect example of the tut-tut/well-actually crowd being such utter sabotage level shits

speaking of, haven't seen thug in months

VideoGameVet
May 14, 2005

It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion. It is by the juice of Java that pedaling acquires speed, the teeth acquire stains, stains become a warning. It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion.
I find the choice of music for this video of a new high-altitude drone (for sensing etc.) highly ironic.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eBxWUZUXCKQ

Lampsacus
Oct 21, 2008

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pJ1HRGA8g10
Pretty direct programme by the BBC. Some signal forwarding, some token opposition dude. I like Simon Beard's optimism.

Wakko
Jun 9, 2002
Faboo!
Now that the IPCC is starting to talk frankly, it seems like there's a flood of mainstream reporting on what the reality of the end of this century looks like. The bulletin of atomic scientists published a piece calling the latest report optimistic, and now we're seeing large publications starting to get down to brass tacks. I can't imagine seeing this in the news a year ago:

quote:

So Heinberg suggests that if we’re serious about avoiding climate catastrophe, we need to look at shrinking overall economic activity, de-emphasizing GDP in favour of “quality of life indicators”, and reigning in population growth while instituting a guaranteed jobs program or a universal basic income.

“We’re headed for a crash sooner or later,” he observes. “Wouldn’t it be better to make the post-growth transition on our terms, rather than in crisis mode? Why not use the inevitability of the end of growth to our advantage by planning to reduce both mindless consumerism and carbon emissions, while increasing equity and quality of life?”

The UN's Devastating Climate Change Report Was Too Optimistic

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
I'm so depressed about all of this (and more or less everything going on in the world today) and it seems to me that depression is a rational response to this so it feels to me that it is right for me to be depressed.

Also when articles end like this:

quote:

At stake is the prosperity—and survival—of generations to come. And there’s no time to lose. So if politicians aren’t paying attention, it’s up to citizens to make their voices heard louder than ever.
Yeah, I'm sure that will really kick in any day now. Surely the new IPCC report is still the talk of the town!

Trainee PornStar
Jul 20, 2006

I'm just an inbetweener

Mozi posted:

I'm so depressed about all of this (and more or less everything going on in the world today) and it seems to me that depression is a rational response to this so it feels to me that it is right for me to be depressed.

Also when articles end like this:

Yeah, I'm sure that will really kick in any day now. Surely the new IPCC report is still the talk of the town!

Depression is probably a rational response but it won't help you, go & see the Doc mate, explain the deal to him/her.

I just got put on medication for other reasons & it's already helping.

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
Yeah, I know I should probably talk to somebody about it. It's just... I don't want to, because I should be depressed, because everything is depressing.

I know this is all really sad-sack-y but I did kind of at least need to get this much off my chest somewhere.

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
There's the risk of whoever you try to talk to will just depress you more by being a denialist/optimist.

On my end I was upset for a day or two, kinda sorta unintentionally cut off some toxic elements from my life in my antipathy, and now I'm back down to my normal levels of cynicism :v:

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Shifty Nipples
Apr 8, 2007

I'm on antidepressants, I've done therapy but I'm still massively depressed. Not suicidal though so I guess that counts for something. Is there a thread for wallowing in existential dread?

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