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I thought Boris Johnson was supposed to be an asset for the tories? Except they’ve got two weeks of that bozo ruining things for them
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Nov 27, 2019 23:29
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haakman posted:purely anecdotal but what the gently caress? Norwich is never going to vote Tory - I call nonsense. 
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Nov 27, 2019 23:29
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Cerebral Bore posted:Maybe when you see a projection that contains multiple extremely improbable swings it's smarter to conclude that the polling is garbage rather than just blindly trust in the proclamations of modern day entrail readers? It's called multi-level regression post stratification. How can you not trust it?
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Nov 27, 2019 23:29
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seizure later posted:so, so many of you need to have a full time therapist.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:29
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Judge Tesla posted:Good luck finding one under the American run NHS. I mean being honest you've a far better chance of finding one going private than through the NHS. NHS mental health services are loving bad. But then the issue of going private is less ability to find a shrink & more being able to afford them. Of course the solution to this isn't privatising the NHS, it's funding the health service better.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:31
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Yeah I'm talking about the city (hex below). All the rich wankers live in North. It also stretches somewhat into rural areas. As before - no loving way Norwich is going Tory even with students loving off.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:31
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If the bbc doesn’t get boris on then that’s it, they’ve lost the trust of more than 20% of the uk population for a generation
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Nov 27, 2019 23:32
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okay so this is the live model site. https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2019/ 2 weeks out so expect this to come in towards a hung parliament. seriously, there are error bars of 10 points.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:34
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kustomkarkommando posted:no paywalls "Six Labour marginals that have never voted Conservative would turn blue, as would at least nine seats that have been Labour since the Second World War." Yeah this part sounds like bullshit to me. These shambolic cunts who everyone hates are gonna replicate Labour's performance in Canterbury 6 times over? What exactly would inspire that? 
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Nov 27, 2019 23:34
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I can believe my dumpster town Walsall fully going Tory, this place is pretty much a hard Brexit stronghold, Boris farting around here a few months ago confirms it more than anything.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:35
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haakman posted:Yeah I'm talking about the city (hex below). All the rich wankers live in North. It also stretches somewhat into rural areas. The hex below is South Northfolk - the other Norwich one is still Labour peeking underneath that box there Also the dubious Bolsover call is this  Tories gaining next to nothing and winning by virtue of Brexit Party splitting the Labour vote
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Nov 27, 2019 23:38
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Judge Tesla posted:I can believe my dumpster town Walsall fully going Tory, this place is pretty much a hard Brexit stronghold, Boris farting around here a few months ago confirms it more than anything. Midlands is uniquely in the position of being absolutely reamed by thatcher, but then for some reason blaming it on immigrants and then finally deciding that leaving the EU is the way to solve both these problems. I can assure you with 100% certainty there will be tens of thousands of job losses around here when we leave, manufacturing here is on a very thin tightrope as it is and becoming noncompetitive with Europe suddenly pushes a lot of people off that rope very quickly.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:39
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kustomkarkommando posted:The hex below is South Northfolk - the other Norwich one is still Labour peeking underneath that box there lib dems winning in this seat (by guaranteeing a conservative leaver wins)
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Nov 27, 2019 23:40
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hope is a lie but remember this? https://twitter.com/centrist_phone/status/1199748263030804480 here's their followup https://twitter.com/centrist_phone/status/1199806232254656519 they lost seats and votes even after their big antisemitism push. Chuff McNothing fucked around with this message at 23:42 on Nov 27, 2019 |
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Nov 27, 2019 23:40
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The Tories getting 360 seats is completely ridiculous lol Like I can maybe accept them saying "yeah we'll maintain our minority government" but no loving way they get a big majority like that
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Nov 27, 2019 23:41
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RockyB posted:Comrades, comrades, all will be fine. The Octopus is with us Not only will Paul pick Corbyn, he will pick Corbyn with his sex tentacle  
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Nov 27, 2019 23:42
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I remember someone posted a infographic showing the tories genuinely believing they'd get 70% of the votes cast in london, baring in mind this is something that hasn't happened since like 1850, and is never going to happen again due to leave/remain/tories being racist
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Nov 27, 2019 23:43
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is it praxis to have a crush on Angela Rayner? 
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Nov 27, 2019 23:45
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I believe we will win.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:45
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Lads as someone across the pond who is rooting for you guys to not get tory hosed, how's it looking? Edit:or the Tori's using your arseholees like a c**t.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:49
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Jose posted:Check out the prolapse photo posted in the GBS cursed images thread and you never will again. It's substantially worse than those I've sent people where is your power now
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Nov 27, 2019 23:49
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Vlex posted:is it praxis to have a crush on Angela Rayner? she's a top notch politician poo poo poster so yes
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Nov 27, 2019 23:49
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baka kaba posted:where is your power now well the goon prolapse photos include multiple angles and multiple angles of sounding + they're goon
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Nov 27, 2019 23:50
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I don't think the main take away that if the Tories lead shrinks to below 7% they can't form a government is bad news really considering the recent movements?
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Nov 27, 2019 23:50
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From anecdotes I do worry that "get Brexit done" is working well as a message with the Boomers, especially in the North. That it's a lie and they haven't considered what happens afterwards utterly passes them by, much like it did in 2016. loving idiots. Keep fighting the good fight people.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:53
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All the fabled MRP technique does is turn polling data into seats won/lost. If you feed it the wrong polling data, you will get the wrong result. This is only the predicted outcome if Labour polled 32% and the Tories 43% on December 12th. Even the last couple of polls putting Labour 7 points behind would considerably improve this picture.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:53
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Jose posted:well the goon prolapse photos include multiple angles and multiple angles of sounding + they're goon Surely only one angle of sounding is possible i.e. down the pipe?  Ms A, we need your expertise
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Nov 27, 2019 23:53
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Eric Idle is living off royalties from that song. oval office by default Cleese is living off royalties for whatever films he shat out post python. He is racist oval office seperated from reality Terry Jones has dementia, and is good regardless I've met palin so he is good by default. Not much political info other than he doesn't like Brexit. Terry Gilliam called Cleese an idiot for his recent statements about london, so presumably good.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:54
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Braggart posted:Surely only one angle of sounding is possible i.e. down the pipe? there is a photo from that angle and other angles too
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Nov 27, 2019 23:55
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Jose posted:there is a photo from that angle and other angles too Hmm, you should cut out the middleman and sound with a colonoscopy camera I think.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:56
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 that the hated Tory will not gain seats at this election.I don't claim to know for sure whether a grim poll will depress turnout or motivate the youth to the polls, but voter engagement and registration seems to be record breaking so I'm going with "here we...here we...here we fuckin go"
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Nov 27, 2019 23:56
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kustomkarkommando posted:The hex below is South Northfolk - the other Norwich one is still Labour peeking underneath that box there oooòoh my bad - they've chopped off the rest of Norfolk on that image.
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Nov 27, 2019 23:56
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Lol at the predicted results in the leaders seats. Swinson - Lean Lib Dem Johnson - Likely Conservative Corbyn - Safe Labour
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Nov 27, 2019 23:58
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Failed Imagineer posted:
from current seats or previous election seats lol
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Nov 27, 2019 23:59
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hung parliament with boris losing his seat would be extremely funny
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Nov 27, 2019 23:59
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Failed Imagineer posted:
 Watching newsnight for the first time ... well, ever. Ash is storming it. "You say that people want to get back to normal. For our generation, normal is poo poo". E: Let's be generous and say 318. Before the DePfeffel fired all those people. RockyB fucked around with this message at 00:04 on Nov 28, 2019 |
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Nov 28, 2019 00:01
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Failed Imagineer posted:
is that net gain or just a single seat Need to get the fine print down
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Nov 28, 2019 00:03
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Jose posted:well the goon prolapse photos include multiple angles and multiple angles of sounding + they're goon reminds me of when the goatman outtakes were released
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Nov 28, 2019 00:03
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Good luck, may Labour win.
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Nov 28, 2019 00:04
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kustomkarkommando posted:is that net gain or just a single seat Net gain from 2017, adjust your .XLSX's accordingly
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Nov 28, 2019 00:04
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