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Best wishes for your bairn zalakwe.
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Dec 8, 2019 01:39
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I want to believe
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Dec 8, 2019 01:39
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This election is going to be massively unpredictable. We have the Brexit party only standing in certain seats, Momentum/Labour have been targeting activists and resources far more into marginals, the weather's going to be poo poo, and voter registration is sky high. It's not over, at least until the exit poll drops...
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Dec 8, 2019 01:45
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Hope your kid's OK Zalakwe. In other news, another famous comrade: https://twitter.com/BenJolly9/status/1202721830420860928?s=20
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Dec 8, 2019 01:45
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jabby posted:It's not over, at least until the exit poll drops... And EVEN THEN...
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Dec 8, 2019 01:48
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jabby posted:It's not over, at least until the exit poll drops... Even then, 1992!
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Dec 8, 2019 01:48
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Zalakwe posted:I'm anxious because my wee one is in hospital. Sorry about your daughter and hope she will be ok. Re fake Corbyn on twitter - how do you get a blue tick if you're a fake?
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Dec 8, 2019 01:50
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Thanks folks. I'm going to try to go to bed because sitting dwelling on it isn't helping.
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Dec 8, 2019 01:51
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Jaeluni Asjil posted:Re fake Corbyn on twitter - how do you get a blue tick if you're a fake? You get a blue tick for other reasons and then you change your username.
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Dec 8, 2019 01:53
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Jaeluni Asjil posted:Sorry about your daughter and hope she will be ok. They had the blue tick from before, then changed their account name IMO if you have a blue tick, a name change should go through a manual validation process
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Dec 8, 2019 01:54
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Pochoclo posted:They had the blue tick from before, then changed their account name This is, by the way, what helped the tories pretend to be a legitimate fact-checking operation during the first debate This has been happening for ages in varyingly serious contexts but they don't seem to give a gently caress about fixing it, or any other of the ways their site is terrible
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Dec 8, 2019 02:00
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I was trying to find that picture of Corbyn holding up a tesco bag full of cans but I gave up. But, but ... she was 16. As a 55 year old this is perfectly acceptable. Preemptively pouring one out for that guy's blue tick. Also Johnson is more than 20 years younger than Corbyn, yet somehow looks older. That's karma!
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Dec 8, 2019 02:01
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Angepain posted:This has been happening for ages in varyingly serious contexts but they don't seem to give a gently caress about fixing it, or any other of the ways their site is terrible If only lowtax had answered my email offering help with the forums software catastrophe, we'd have no need for twitter by now the comment or commentariat autofeeder would take care of twitter mining
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Dec 8, 2019 02:02
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RockyB posted:
Corbyn is not a near-octogenarian. But yeah Jòris is hosed
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Dec 8, 2019 02:06
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Huh, Jezza is only 70. For some reason I had him down at late 70s. Maybe that's because Bernie Sanders is 78. Or, y'know, the whole magic jam granddad thing.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:22
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Zalakwe posted:I'm anxious because my wee one is in hospital. Best of luck to your wee bairn, sounds like she's in the best possible hands though 
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Dec 8, 2019 02:24
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Angepain posted:there was a bar just off Glasgow Central station that for a long time advertised "sexy food" in its window. I never had the guts to go in and discover what exactly "sexy food" involved. a panini with a little bikini on, perhaps Paninis
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Dec 8, 2019 02:25
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I'm still thinking about 'binini' and chuckling to myself and I'm not even drunk.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:28
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jabby posted:This election is going to be massively unpredictable. We have the Brexit party only standing in certain seats, Momentum/Labour have been targeting activists and resources far more into marginals, the weather's going to be poo poo, and voter registration is sky high. what actually makes the exit poll so traditionally accurate? like all polls I have never been asked who I voted for afterwards and neither has anyone I know.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:32
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ThomasPaine posted:what actually makes the exit poll so traditionally accurate? like all polls I have never been asked who I voted for afterwards and neither has anyone I know. every other poll is aspirational, exit polls are observational. you aren't polling what people think they may vote you're polling a fixed event.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:34
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ThomasPaine posted:what actually makes the exit poll so traditionally accurate? like all polls I have never been asked who I voted for afterwards and neither has anyone I know. It's a big sample across a big sample of constituencies done right after the vote so people remember how they voted. e: plus what Coolcab said.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:34
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Yeah other polls ask a number of people stuff including how likely they are to vote, and then apply "weightings" to adjust the numbers based on how likely they actually are to vote based on some combination of their responses, their age, etc. etc. Exit polling you don't need to do that, you just need to ask enough people, and you know they've actually voted. Can still get it wrong mind.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:35
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Bundy posted:It's a big sample across a big sample of constituencies done right after the vote so people remember how they voted. I like the implication of some voters being so undecided they can't even remember who they voted for the minute they get more than a few feet away from the polling station.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:36
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Perhaps a hamster posted:I like the implication of some voters being so undecided they can't even remember who they voted for the minute they get more than a few feet away from the polling station.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:40
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Ah yeah, it's obvious when I stop to think for a moment.Perhaps a hamster posted:I like the implication of some voters being so undecided they can't even remember who they voted for the minute they get more than a few feet away from the polling station. One of the reasons I'm leery of compulsive voting and even those 'it doesn't matter who for just make sure you vote!' pleas is that I can quite easily see people associating the act with moral virtue rather than who exactly they vote for, and as a result going along despite doing no research and just crossing whatever drat box their pen hits first. ThomasPaine fucked around with this message at 02:44 on Dec 8, 2019 |
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Dec 8, 2019 02:41
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ThomasPaine posted:Ah yeah, it's obvious when I stop to think for a moment. In fairness, whilst ITT we would take a different view, the foundation of modern liberal democracies does mean participating is seen as a Good thing by itself.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:48
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Personally I think the polls are still underestimating the youth turnout and have adjusted their weightings too little or not at all. My big brain prediction is that the pollsters think 2017 was a fluke, but we’ll actually see even more youth turnout than in 2017 and less elderly turnout as the pendulum finally loving swings from the young to the old being ‘politically homeless’.
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Dec 8, 2019 02:50
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ThomasPaine posted:just crossing whatever drat box their pen hits first. this is already an observed effect even without compulsory voting, whoever happens to be listed on the ballot first consistently gets a small but measurable boost. it's why we randomize order iirc
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Dec 8, 2019 02:50
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OwlFancier posted:I will say I've gotten to enjoy several different varieties of estate design doing lettering, which dovetails nicely with a mild interest in urban planning coming off city builders. I feel your pain. All of my bags were in those kooky interlocking courts and gardens arrayed around central fields with cuts and snickels shooting around in a kind of suburban mandala. A lot of the designs round there are quite pleasant, but I now feel horribly sorry for the posties. The first bag I would have been sunk without a bunch of kids on bikes who kept popping up to point me towards the right number. They'd clocked me haplessly wandering around trying to work out why I'd suddenly gone from 72 Snaketwist Gardens to 3 Theseus Court and showed a bit of socialist compassion in action. I thought I had a decent sense of direction! By the end of the second bag though I'd somehow tuned in to the minds of the planners and was cruising through with only occasional 'gently caress's sake where's the letterbox? why is this the backs now?!?!' incidents. Think I might start organising my entire life around numerical chaos theory actually. Shogi fucked around with this message at 02:54 on Dec 8, 2019 |
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Dec 8, 2019 02:52
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Always trust the kids. The kids know
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Dec 8, 2019 03:01
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Wishing you and your little one all the best Zalakwe
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Dec 8, 2019 03:05
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But be sure not to cross the kids, as they also know the roads to send you down that lock you into the unending Labyrinth of Indistinguishable Suburbia, from which one can never escape
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Dec 8, 2019 03:05
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TACD posted:My big brain prediction is that the pollsters think 2017 was a fluke, but we’ll actually see even more youth turnout than in 2017 and less elderly turnout as the pendulum finally loving swings from the young to the old being ‘politically homeless’. Wouldn't it be nice if one day the worst of the oldies did actually find themselves politically homeless 'cause their horrible conservative racist opinions were considered so outdated there'd be no party representing them in the modern society? Wouldn't it be nice.
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Dec 8, 2019 03:08
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Angepain posted:https://twitter.com/HarryJosieGiles/status/1203409303736111104 By having different spaces for trans and afab women, all they're ensuring is that the funding for the trans only spaces starts at half that of the afab space, and conveniently disappears as the local councils handwring about having to prioritise. Braggart posted:Which crisps go best with beans up yer backside, thread? HopperUK posted:I'm still thinking about 'binini' and chuckling to myself and I'm not even drunk. 
Bobby Deluxe fucked around with this message at 03:11 on Dec 8, 2019 |
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Dec 8, 2019 03:08
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Solidarity Zalakwe, hope your bairn is ok
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Dec 8, 2019 03:25
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https://twitter.com/NinpoUK/status/1203502261231607808
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Dec 8, 2019 03:31
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More wee bairn love from me of course. Wait no gently caress not like that, I'm not Boris. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/07/millennials-manners-defence-mechanism-against-hostile-world quote:Not that stereotyping millennials as antisocial and selfish works. That recent cheering surge of last-minute electoral registering was said to mainly come from millennials. Moreover, in the Extinction Rebellion era, older people would have a drat nerve accusing the young of being disengaged. Goddamn that is some strong boomer energy in the comment section. I guess the yoof are all off with their twatters and instagrumbles rather than commenting on the Graun. So, who's watching what where on results night? I'm thinking Sky this time around, because they have Bercow and gently caress anything with Kuss'n'berg involved. ITV are offering the Johnson Brother, c4 are going for the dodgy comedy option.
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Dec 8, 2019 03:53
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RockyB posted:More wee bairn love from me of course. Wait no gently caress not like that, I'm not Boris. We're doing a podcast livestream, details will be forthcoming
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Dec 8, 2019 04:53
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the guy who was racist at the manchester derby has been doxxed and would it shock you to know he has a squaddies against corbyn meme on his facebook page
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Dec 8, 2019 04:55
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love that channel 4 asked this man about corbyn's antisemitism https://twitter.com/yaakovkatz/status/1203500441503449089
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Dec 8, 2019 05:02
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