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This could be the "CRUSH THE SABOTEURS" of our time, let's make this happen you slags
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 08:40 |
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# ? May 27, 2024 00:34 |
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Theoretically, a thousand sampled voters is plenty to approximate a result. But that presumes your sampling strategy isn't flawed and that your weightings reflect reality.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 08:56 |
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yaffle posted:Giant red Corbyn erupting from the earth under westminster to nationalise godzilla. I like that this is basically what the BBC did back in 2018 (without the Russian style hat), back then they acted like it was just coincidence, but they the media does it today they just go "Yeah we're saying he's a giant commie traitor, and there's nothing anyone's going to do about it".
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:04 |
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To add to what everyone else has said, a poll of 1000 is roughly a 3% margin of error for the population of the UK. (It's about 4% for the US IIRC) Beyond that is diminishing returns, you don't get much more usable data (assuming your sample is representative in the ways you need it to be) without going for a MUCH larger sample.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:10 |
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He's getting sacked https://twitter.com/poetinpyjama/status/1203697907943251968?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:15 |
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Boris going full racist https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1203922486968147969?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:24 |
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https://twitter.com/FrankSobotka14/status/1203948816153616384?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:29 |
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They're all centrists smh https://twitter.com/TNiskakangas/status/1203729511658995713?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:33 |
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"Now now, ethnics to the back please. Know your place."
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:34 |
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Jose posted:They're all centrists smh The gynocracy is here
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:38 |
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Monday morning motivation. gently caress centerists.quote:This general election is unique in ways that transcend Brexit. Over the decades that I have been observing British politics, never before have I witnessed a consensus so widespread and powerful regarding the country’s urgent needs and priorities. And never before has the Labour Party presented a manifesto, buttressed by the leadership’s will to implement it, that promises real change in accordance with that consensus. And yet, despite this rare alignment, never before have the influencers that speak on behalf of Britain’s educated middle classes turned so viciously against a Labour Party that has done so much to address their own agenda. Good old Yanis Varoufakis. https://www.yanisvaroufakis.eu/2019/12/08/labours-manifesto-is-fit-for-purpose-so-why-are-the-middle-classes-so-hostile-to-it/
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:41 |
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Pochoclo posted:Do real people actually use those advent calendar things lol? Sounds so weird Bobby Deluxe posted:My gran-in-law bought us big barrett advent calendars, and it's like russian roulette waiting for the blackjack to come up. Beefeater1980 posted:Knew him as a kid. Age 13-18 he was a hyper precocious hard leftie who used to do trips to every country with an anti-western authoritarian leader and send back postcards wildly praising the place. He came to hard right conservatism after Cambridge via a philosophy he called communitarianism, which as far as I could tell was basically looking at the disaffected working class and saying “what if they’re right about the problem being all these outsiders coming in and diluting our culture?”
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:42 |
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Lol cool https://twitter.com/axcomrade/status/1203749505021071360?s=09
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:45 |
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Bobby Deluxe posted:My gran-in-law bought us big barrett advent calendars, and it's like russian roulette waiting for the blackjack to come up. Sickos ruining christmas for everyone: https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/sick-celebrations-advent-calendar-accused-21010786 When I was young I remember having a really elaborate sort of origami house advent calendar. It was styled like a winter cottage and was 3-dimensional in its construction, you really had to poke around it to find the thing to open or move that day: things like opening the oven door or lifting the lid on a laundry basket to find a cat sleeping inside. I've not seen anything like it since, wish I knew who made it or where it came from.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:51 |
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Can we impeach Blair? Impeach is the one that you do with the iron poles right?
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:51 |
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https://twitter.com/Tom_Gann/status/1203823761721565184?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:51 |
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https://twitter.com/sarahmanavis/status/1203771620181118983?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:54 |
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OK, I am loving seething right now. That friend I was talking to who works with people with disabilities? He has been turned yellow by the Lib Dems and Guardian shite. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/08/tactical-voting-guide-2019-keep-tories-out-remain-voter-general-election quote:40 Wantage I've posted why this isn't loving true at all in the last few pages. The 'growing challenge' is just over half the size of labour and growing at a tenth the speed. But he seems to have been swayed by that article and the last council elections, where we flipped to Lib Dem & NOC for South & the Vale. What makes me angry enough to be awake before 11am is that he's a very intelligent guy (probably moreso than me in most areas), and he's still been swayed by the Libs plastering dodgy bar charts everywhere. Christ knows what the rest of town is thinking. I'm not angry at him, I'm angry at the loving Libs. I'm currently battling for his soul on WhatsApp. Gibbo where are you when I need you most
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 09:56 |
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"I… I had a miscarriage." "Actually, no you didn't. I had the child removed and sent to a random family somewhere. I wasn't told who or where, so that I have maximum deniability. No, you won't be told either. You'll be given Universal Credit for your trouble, assuming you're not found fit for work." I'm actually a little shocked by how grim what I've just written is. I guess I just hate Boris that much.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:00 |
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:02 |
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Bobby Deluxe posted:
Tactical voting is one of the dumbest concepts - I can't imagine people throughout history have fought for the right to tactically vote for a party they don't really want but think might win because their neighbour might be thinking the same thing. Prisoner's Dilemma for centrist dads. e: Tories don't vote tactically so why should the left justcola fucked around with this message at 10:18 on Dec 9, 2019 |
# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:07 |
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im permabanned poster tacticalvoter58. i first started reading the guardian when i was about 12. by 14 i got really obsessed with the concept of “centrism” and tried to channel it constantly, until my thought process got really bizarre and i would repeat things like “skills wallets” and “chuka has some interesting points” in my head for hours, and i would get really paranoid, start seeing things in the corners of my eyes etc, basically prodromal schizophrenia. im now on antipsychotics. i always wondered what the kind of “centrism” style of guardian journalists was all about; i think it’s the unconscious leaking in to the conscious, what jungian theory considered to be the cause of schizophrenic and schizotypal syptoms. i would advise all people who “get” the guardian to be careful because that likely means you have a predisposition to a mental illness. peace.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:16 |
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Sorry to distract from election chat, need some advice. We’ve had a request from the local college for a guy with autism and severe anxiety to visit us, mainly because our office is within spitting distance of the campus building he attends. I’ve volunteered to take care of things because I happened to see the ‘agenda’ and the only thing on it was “walk round and meet everyone” so I thought I better step in, but it’s really not an area I have any expertise in. I know there’s lots of people in here with experience with this kind of thing so just looking for any general advice. He’s expressed an interest in learning how software is made, seeing how computers work and can be repaired, and learning how people work together in a team. On my agenda I’ve got: • Meet the scrum master and talk through the different stages of development from “I’ve got a great idea” to “this is now available to the user” with the different team functions laid out. • Meet our head of infrastructure, get the side off a couple of PCs, point out the main bits and have a go at replacing some pieces. I’ve got a unit that needs the motherboard swapping so he can do that, and take the unit from not working to working by himself. • Meet the head of our support team to talk about the problems his team has to fix, and how different people in the team complete different roles. I’m briefed to run through these things personally if he doesn’t want to meet any more new people, and I spent yesterday typing up as much as I could with diagrams etc so if he wants to do the whole thing without talking to anyone at all that is also on the cards. My biggest concern is that apparently when he’s stressed he goes totally non-verbal and I don’t know how to deal with that. I’ve already asked that if people see us walking round the office, please don’t come and introduce yourselves. Does anyone have any advice or feedback?
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:23 |
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That survation poll has really thrown me lads and I'm dangerously close to despair. Someone please provide a reassuring counterpoint...
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:25 |
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ThomasPaine posted:That survation poll has really thrown me lads and I'm dangerously close to despair. Someone please provide a reassuring counterpoint... Hi me three weeks ago. We’ve been absolutely hosed by the media. A nice counterpoint may be that continuing to build local links, seek change beyond the ballot box, have a new Labour leader without some of the baggage (although lol at the media not finding something) and a bunch of olds dying off may mean actually having a chance in a few years. Brexit has become the culture war of the U.K. and my time canvassing has been depressing as hell, with exactly the results I was worrying about at the beginning of this year. I’ve given up for now and am investing my time with raising money and doing rounds of collections for local food banks instead.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:32 |
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Sanford posted:Sorry to distract from election chat, need some advice. We’ve had a request from the local college for a guy with autism and severe anxiety to visit us, mainly because our office is within spitting distance of the campus building he attends. I’ve volunteered to take care of things because I happened to see the ‘agenda’ and the only thing on it was “walk round and meet everyone” so I thought I better step in, but it’s really not an area I have any expertise in. I know there’s lots of people in here with experience with this kind of thing so just looking for any general advice. He’s expressed an interest in learning how software is made, seeing how computers work and can be repaired, and learning how people work together in a team. On my agenda I’ve got: On first look, I’m not sure I’d task them with replacing a motherboard, it may be that due to the anxiety the expectation of completing a task might be too much, and it could backfire, even if they knows what they’re doing. I’d maybe phrase it like “have a poke around in there”, gauge their existing knowledge from that, and then casually drop “oh you could change the mobo if you like, that’d save me a job” if they’re not showing any anxious signs after a bit of time (which, not knowing them, will be harder to pick up quickly enough). (After re-reading your post I’m pretty sure that’s what you’ve already got in mind actually)
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:35 |
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ThomasPaine posted:That survation poll has really thrown me lads and I'm dangerously close to despair. Someone please provide a reassuring counterpoint... https://twitter.com/hazelhurst/status/1203404788307824640
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:35 |
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Sanford posted:Sorry to distract from election chat, need some advice. We’ve had a request from the local college for a guy with autism and severe anxiety to visit us, mainly because our office is within spitting distance of the campus building he attends. I’ve volunteered to take care of things because I happened to see the ‘agenda’ and the only thing on it was “walk round and meet everyone” so I thought I better step in, but it’s really not an area I have any expertise in. I know there’s lots of people in here with experience with this kind of thing so just looking for any general advice. He’s expressed an interest in learning how software is made, seeing how computers work and can be repaired, and learning how people work together in a team. On my agenda I’ve got:
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:38 |
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https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/1203971255218712576?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:39 |
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Pesmerga posted:Hi me three weeks ago. We’ve been absolutely hosed by the media. A nice counterpoint may be that continuing to build local links, seek change beyond the ballot box, have a new Labour leader without some of the baggage (although lol at the media not finding something) and a bunch of olds dying off may mean actually having a chance in a few years. Brexit has become the culture war of the U.K. and my time canvassing has been depressing as hell, with exactly the results I was worrying about at the beginning of this year. I’ve given up for now and am investing my time with raising money and doing rounds of collections for local food banks instead. I think that's the exact opposite of what ThomasPaine wanted. e: It's not exactly a major data point, but I had a very promising weekend in Uxbridge talking to voters. They warned us we were going into a heavily Tory neighbourhood, but found support for Boris there was pretty drat low (even the Tories are only grudgingly voting for him). By the end of five boards we had a whole bunch of 'L's in our boxes next to previously undecided and LD voters. Plus I had a cup of tea with this old Jewish lady who is one generation removed from the holocaust and managed to reassure her that the anti-semitism thing is largely a media invention - which was easy when I realised out she'd marched with Corbyn against the Nazis in Wood Green in the 1970s. Necrothatcher fucked around with this message at 10:49 on Dec 9, 2019 |
# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:39 |
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ThomasPaine posted:That survation poll has really thrown me lads and I'm dangerously close to despair. Someone please provide a reassuring counterpoint... This whole twitter thread https://twitter.com/centrist_phone/status/1203719522693369857?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:44 |
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Necrothatcher posted:I think that's the exact opposite of what ThomasPaine wanted. E: ????? I'm trying to parse this and I think it says 'the editor of the new statesman is more working class than a left wing student because he has a job' and if so I just can't lol ????? https://twitter.com/francesweetman/status/1203971576015835136?s=19 ThomasPaine fucked around with this message at 10:48 on Dec 9, 2019 |
# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:45 |
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Necrothatcher posted:I think that's the exact opposite of what ThomasPaine wanted. This is Pesmerga's posting gimmick and they've been doing it for a few years now.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:48 |
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Necrothatcher posted:I think that's the exact opposite of what he wanted. I’m finding something optimism and to get me out of hope at the ballot box, so I’m channeling my effort into something that will at least provide some help to those that need it. At this point I think despair at the state of British politics is almost necessary, because it reinforces how badly the forces of capital are aligned against us, and why we need to look for other solutions than worrying about the next election. Because even if we get a larger number of seats than the Conservatives, this environment isn’t going to just disappear. Meanwhile, Boris is banging the ‘how dare EU citizens treat the U.K. as part of their own country’ drum, and the hostile environment is about to get a hell of a lot more hostile. My wife was shouted at in the street again last week for daring to speak to our daughter in Portuguese. I’ve seen someone who has always been outgoing and extroverted becoming nervous and introverted in public because she’s worried that people will hear her accent and attack her for it. Our media has created this environment, and until it changes, the UK is going to be absolutely toxic.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:48 |
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That survation poll is also showing some craziness in London that, to be honest, doesn't seem likely. https://twitter.com/jpfiott/status/1203907444570759168
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:48 |
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One thing that can remove a lot of anxiety is to make a cooldown space available. This is somewhere he can go, be alone, put headphones on and let the stress seep out if it gets too much. On the news of centrist friend, he is very much in the 'Tories are absolute hell and I want to vote left' camp, but thinks the Libs are the best tactical option. I hope I've left him with enough ammo to sway it - that the Libs risk a tory coalition, the polls are against them here, Labour's nuanced brexit position, copy/pasting from the manifesto etc. Unfortunately I think he's too far gone into centrist melt territory where regardless of the right or wrong of it, he sees that corbyn seems unpopular and the Libs seem to be the best tactical option. He's also claiming that Lab are stepping aside here for the Libs, which is probably untrue but in effect feels about right. I'm pretty sure this constituency is going to go from a potential con/labour marginal to a con / lib dem marginal.
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:49 |
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https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/1203924185216626689
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:52 |
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Bobby Deluxe posted:One thing that can remove a lot of anxiety is to make a cooldown space available. This is somewhere he can go, be alone, put headphones on and let the stress seep out if it gets too much. Which constituency?
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:52 |
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ThomasPaine posted:That survation poll has really thrown me lads and I'm dangerously close to despair. Someone please provide a reassuring counterpoint... https://twitter.com/HichamYezza/status/1203975511153823745?s=19
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:52 |
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# ? May 27, 2024 00:34 |
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ThomasPaine posted:That survation poll has really thrown me lads and I'm dangerously close to despair. Someone please provide a reassuring counterpoint... Look how shook The Sun is: Also I don't think actively eating brainworms is going to help your mental state. Maybe take a Weetman break until after the election
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# ? Dec 9, 2019 10:52 |