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RBA Starblade
Apr 28, 2008

Going Home.

Games Idiot Court Jester

With only a minor understanding of things over there beyond "you're hosed", how likely is it now that Scotland pushes for independence again, whether or not it's likely to succeed?

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Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you
Also, class consciousness is a lie, the false consciousness is real and the low information voter will happily let the leopard eat his face so long as it happens to a minority first. gently caress the lumpenproletariat.

unwantedplatypus
Sep 6, 2012

Pesmerga posted:

This is a bloodbath. I’ve not been able to sleep since the results came in. I’ve been feeling since January that any momentum that was gained by 2017 had completely faltered, and that we’d become too confident about Corbyn being basically PM in waiting. I think the reorientation of Labour as it dissects this loss is going to be vicious, and it will be caught between either dumping its current approach and political figures, or outright irrelevancy.

The country has followed the US it seems in a form of ‘liberal cities v “we’re left behind” localities’ with the same messaging effect. It’s true culture war stuff, and with people like Milne and Lavery banging the old 1970s drums, they didn’t win back the pro-Brexit localities because ‘why vote for labour fudge when you can have the real thing’ conservatives were more attractive, and they lost enough of the liberal city-types to the Lib Dems, even though that wouldn’t have been enough to save them anyway. The abstaining on the Immigration Bill idiocy was a watershed I think, for a lot of people. Put that together with our lovely loving media...

And to be honest, I don’t want to know what sort of godawful racist, xenophobic ‘controls on immigration mug’ policies labour will consider as a means to try to win back the localities.

Things are bad. However right now you are catastrophizing, please take care of yourself.

MrFlibble
Nov 28, 2007

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Fallen Rib

RBA Starblade posted:

With only a minor understanding of things over there beyond "you're hosed", how likely is it now that Scotland pushes for independence again, whether or not it's likely to succeed?

They'll push for it and Boris will laugh at them.

Prince Myshkin
Jun 17, 2018

Pesmerga posted:

Also, class consciousness is a lie, the false consciousness is real and the low information voter will happily let the leopard eat his face so long as it happens to a minority first. gently caress the lumpenproletariat.

The proletariat remains the class that must lead the revolution.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

unwantedplatypus posted:

Things are bad. However right now you are catastrophizing, please take care of yourself.

His wife's an EU citizen. You know, the people Boris Johnson literally said we're treating the U.K. atop much like their home. Not the best tack to take there, chief.

RBA Starblade
Apr 28, 2008

Going Home.

Games Idiot Court Jester

MrFlibble posted:

They'll push for it and Boris will laugh at them.

That's about what I thought thanks

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you

unwantedplatypus posted:

Things are bad. However right now you are catastrophizing, please take care of yourself.

How is that catastrophising exactly?

sitchensis
Mar 4, 2009

lol England is really gunning for that nationwide cosplay of Children of Men huh

Beefeater1980
Sep 12, 2008

My God, it's full of Horatios!






Ideal would be tall, media-friendly and left

reignonyourparade posted:

Actually pick them a week before the general election so the media has as little time to go to town as possible might be your only hope.

A bait and last minute switch to a popular candidate would be hilarious. Especially if you set the candidate up in advance with a media narrative of “One True Liberal Uniter” in opposition to your socialist stalking horse as a long con.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Beefeater1980 posted:

Ideal would be tall, media-friendly and left


A bait and last minute switch to a popular candidate would be hilarious. Especially if you set the candidate up in advance with a media narrative of “One True Liberal Uniter” in opposition to your socialist stalking horse as a long con.

Way too many folks ITT obsessed with finding the optimal strategy in a rigged game.

That Italian Guy
Jul 25, 2012

We need the equivalent of the shrimp = small pastry avatar, but for ambulances and their mysteries now.
Goddamit UK.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos
How does not needing the DUP for a majority change things with respect to NI? Does it make a unification referendum more or less likely?

Debbie Does Dagon
Jul 8, 2005



I'm really impressed that no one on the stream broke down. I've been crying all night

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Turns out the liberals were right,better things aren't possible. At least not until a generation or two dies off anyway.

side_burned
Nov 3, 2004

My mother is a fish.
I wonder how many Scots are kicking themselves for not leaving when they had chance. gently caress this gay earth.

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Absurd Alhazred posted:

How does not needing the DUP for a majority change things with respect to NI? Does it make a unification referendum more or less likely?

Please stop assuming the Conservatives are interested in democracy.

Ratjaculation
Aug 3, 2007

:parrot::parrot::parrot:



unwantedplatypus posted:

Things are bad. However right now you are catastrophizing, please take care of yourself.

You've already sold your grammar to Trump

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Absurd Alhazred posted:

How does not needing the DUP for a majority change things with respect to NI? Does it make a unification referendum more or less likely?

Its means Brits can go back to the comfortable default position of just ignoring those weirdos in Ulster.

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



ColonelMuttonchops posted:

I read in another thread that Corbyn is at like -40 for unpopularity. If thats right, how the gently caress did that happen, is that just the result of years of news media making GBS threads on him?

If thats literally all there was to it, how're you going to deal with the same thing happening to the next Labour leader? Just not giving the news enough time to thoroughly poo poo on them?

It is, and nobody knows. Brown got the same treatment, Miliband got the same treatment (With a healthy side order of anti-semitism lol), Corbyn got the same treatment. Thing is it didn't seem to stick much in 2017 so, why now? Was it legitimately Corbyn, was it the smears against Corbyn, the manifesto, did we get hosed by Brexit and absent that would have, if not stormed it, at least done decently?

I want to say it was the latter. I want to believe this happened because of a situation that Labour had no good way out of. Going Leave was obvious suicide. I don't see how going Remain would have done significantly better, we got hosed over by the Brexit Party vote more than anything we could have made up from the LDs. Trying to thread the needle with a promise of a sensible deal and second referendum was the only thing I think was viable. But it didn't work, and I don't know if that's because the needle wasn't threaded or because it couldn't be threaded and it was indeed a bad strategy. Anyway my point is that I want to believe that the Labour platform was one that could win an election and we just got unlucky with a unique situation, that the ground will be very different next time around.

Brown losing we can account for - it came after a long period of Labour majority and the 2008 crash. But him, Miliband, and now Corbyn, all losing, on different platforms and different circumstances, it... it makes me doubt how viable a left platform is. I hope I'm just depressed and doomsaying tonight and you'll all forgive me if I am, but is a centrist melt with a centrist platform really the best we can do? How can we get the poison out, and see whether a left platform even is viable when it's presented honestly and fairly, when we can't get our hands on the levers of power to enact reforms?

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you
Skinner lost his seat.

justcola
May 22, 2004

La-Li-Lu-Le-Lo

Bit loving poo poo. It was good to hope though - we have to keep wanting and believing things can change. I'm just not convinced democracy or some XR type poo poo works, nor do I want to wait 5 years or just hang around waiting for a voting bloc to die.

Venomous
Nov 7, 2011





Pesmerga posted:

Skinner lost his seat.

WHAT

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

forkboy84 posted:

Its means Brits can go back to the comfortable default position of just ignoring those weirdos in Ulster.

So are they more or less likely to make decisions about the Irish border which might trigger a referendum and/or more bombings than when they had DUP in?

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you

Yeah, it’s gone Blue.

I wish that having seen this coming since the beginning of the year would have acted as some kind of insulation against this, but nope, I’m feeling devastated.

Edit: working with people who were working on Northern Ireland den a security respective, NI is hosed, and potentially Ireland too, with reunification being one of the few things that may prevent that to an extent.

Celexi
Nov 25, 2006

Slava Ukraini!
It will be hard to have a viable left platform while the system is split into 2 parties more or less, first past the post makes it so you can't really have an alternative or have something like in representative democracies that various small parties end up forming government as they get the majority.

Apraxin
Feb 22, 2006

General-Admiral
Meanwhile, of course:
https://twitter.com/bbcelection/status/1205342375620620288

marktheando
Nov 4, 2006

people in northern Ireland are moving more towards reunification, especially young people, and this can only increase as brexit totally fucks them

IllusionistTrixie
Feb 6, 2003

Darth Walrus posted:

His wife's an EU citizen. You know, the people Boris Johnson literally said we're treating the U.K. atop much like their home. Not the best tack to take there, chief.

I'm in the same situation, and I've been living in low level fear since the brexit results. Honestly unsure how to keep pushing on at thits point.

unwantedplatypus
Sep 6, 2012

Pesmerga posted:

How is that catastrophising exactly?

The fears w/r/t to Boris Johnson are, unfortunately, quite reasonable; but saying that this will definitely lead to the return of neoliberalism in the labour party is not something anyone can know. Saying that this means the UK will always be Tory is also unsupported.

marktheando
Nov 4, 2006

gently caress murray

Darth Walrus
Feb 13, 2012

Ms Adequate posted:

It is, and nobody knows. Brown got the same treatment, Miliband got the same treatment (With a healthy side order of anti-semitism lol), Corbyn got the same treatment. Thing is it didn't seem to stick much in 2017 so, why now? Was it legitimately Corbyn, was it the smears against Corbyn, the manifesto, did we get hosed by Brexit and absent that would have, if not stormed it, at least done decently?

I want to say it was the latter. I want to believe this happened because of a situation that Labour had no good way out of. Going Leave was obvious suicide. I don't see how going Remain would have done significantly better, we got hosed over by the Brexit Party vote more than anything we could have made up from the LDs. Trying to thread the needle with a promise of a sensible deal and second referendum was the only thing I think was viable. But it didn't work, and I don't know if that's because the needle wasn't threaded or because it couldn't be threaded and it was indeed a bad strategy. Anyway my point is that I want to believe that the Labour platform was one that could win an election and we just got unlucky with a unique situation, that the ground will be very different next time around.

Brown losing we can account for - it came after a long period of Labour majority and the 2008 crash. But him, Miliband, and now Corbyn, all losing, on different platforms and different circumstances, it... it makes me doubt how viable a left platform is. I hope I'm just depressed and doomsaying tonight and you'll all forgive me if I am, but is a centrist melt with a centrist platform really the best we can do? How can we get the poison out, and see whether a left platform even is viable when it's presented honestly and fairly, when we can't get our hands on the levers of power to enact reforms?

The centrist melts got hammered too. They're only ever a transitional stage to full fascism.

Storysmith
Dec 31, 2006

Spiffster posted:

I know it sucks folks but please hang in there. We are all in this together and you have friends all over this dead forum that wish you the best from all over the globe. Just as we will try next year in the US, I know the UK will pull out of this bullshit. Your efforts were not in vain as it only strengthens your will for a better tomorrow and better ideas for what will work next time.

You are all amazing and a better tomorrow will come.

Miriame Kava, a prison abolitionist and activist in the US has a refrain I’ve been repeating to myself since I first heard it, “Let this radicalize you rather than lead you to despair.”

Keep this in mind. I know it hurts to see this happen, but take a breather, and then dig in your heels, get out into your communities and try to create the world you want to live in. Because the arc of the moral universe only bends toward justice when you push on it.

Ms Adequate
Oct 30, 2011

Baby even when I'm dead and gone
You will always be my only one, my only one
When the night is calling
No matter who I become
You will always be my only one, my only one, my only one
When the night is calling



Absurd Alhazred posted:

How does not needing the DUP for a majority change things with respect to NI? Does it make a unification referendum more or less likely?

More, as the DUP in government were never going to support a move like that but also had the influence to prevent an alternative happening (Which was May's whole issue). Having a border of any sort down the Irish Sea is going to send the DUP and other Unionists into absolute apopleptics, and that alone won't make them ardent Republicans or anything, but the GFA is going to be stressed and possibly break down and all the talk I'm hearing is growing support for, at the least, talking about reunification.

Wolfechu
May 2, 2009

All the world's a stage I'm going through


Pesmerga posted:

Yeah, it’s gone Blue.

I wish that having seen this coming since the beginning of the year would have acted as some kind of insulation against this, but nope, I’m feeling devastated.

Edit: working with people who were working on Northern Ireland den a security respective, NI is hosed, and potentially Ireland too, with reunification being one of the few things that may prevent that to an extent.

That's how bad it is. Dennis Skinner has been MP for Bolsover longer than I've been alive.

Karloff
Mar 21, 2013

I, and many others, are gonna be hosed with what these dickheads are going to do to the NHS. A grim morning.

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you

unwantedplatypus posted:

The fears w/r/t to Boris Johnson are, unfortunately, quite reasonable; but saying that this will definitely lead to the return of neoliberalism in the labour party is not something anyone can know. Saying that this means the UK will always be Tory is also unsupported.

It doesn’t matter if maybe in, what, ten years? if people might turn to labour, because we’ve picked barbarism rather than socialism pretty conclusively this time, and a lot of people are going to suffer as a result. And you know that the knuckle-draggers that love brexit, Johnson and hate immigrants are just going to blame themselves and reconsider their world view. Meanwhile, Labour is already tearing itself apart this morning, and that’s going to get worse too.

marktheando
Nov 4, 2006

that's tragic about skinner

punk rebel ecks
Dec 11, 2010

A shitty post? This calls for a dance of deduction.
So why are Britain's voting for the Tory's? Why not Labour?

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Kokoro Wish
Jul 23, 2007

Post? What post? Oh wow.
I had nothing to do with THAT.
Man, as much I was on board for thinking it was wise to play the referendum, second vote card, I definitely feel like capitulating on the Brexit result at all cost them dearly. I always said that this referendum was not non-binding at all, but I thought giving people a second say was smart. No, Labour should probably have stuck to the result and worked their own Brexit plan, none of the waffle. The people had already spoken as far as alot in the traditional Labour heartlands were concerned and their position served them not at all.

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