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Ringo Roadagain posted:I just want to apologize to everyone who has been in the rona threads since the beginning in late Jan/early feb and who I probably insulted or something for lolling at this 
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Apr 1, 2020 07:56
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KaptainKrunk posted:I think NYC will see peak deaths in mid-late April but the rest of the country should will pick up the slack and help maintain those numbers through probably the end of may or early June When you say peak, do you think it will peak via herd immunity or do you think SIP will have dissipated it enough such it's no longer spreading? Because I think once SIP orders are done, there won't have been enough people infected such that infected masses from florida or w/e places that are still going on will still transfer it back and it'll take off again like wildfire.
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Apr 1, 2020 07:56
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:1 day of new data and already this model doesn't seem believable That peak will move to May and then we'll all be screaming for mercy at the end of April. But it won't be over. It's never over.
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Apr 1, 2020 07:57
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I was sad for a while, then anxious for a while, but now I'm just bored.
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Apr 1, 2020 07:57
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kids are never going back to school, and will torture idiots who had kids but hate them forever
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Apr 1, 2020 07:58
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Solarin posted:gently caress it west coast, lets all join canada West coast has way more people, so it's more like Canada joining us.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:01
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Salt Fish posted:I was sad for a while, then anxious for a while, but now I'm just bored. Talking with friends and family can be helpful in relieving boredom. https://twitter.com/petti_crocker/status/1244747734957121541
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Apr 1, 2020 08:01
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https://www.hus.fi/potilaalle/Sivut/Koronavirus%20lukuina.aspx number not go up in my district which is isolated from the rest of the country for two weeks at least.. are we going to make it? 
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Apr 1, 2020 08:01
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was there any reason the curve starts to flatten in that model or...
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Apr 1, 2020 08:02
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models won't show excess deaths from unavailable healthcare resources too, which be be another big killer in the next month
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Apr 1, 2020 08:03
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"if we do everything perfectly and nobody else gets infected from this moment on we are only looking at 200k deaths" lol ok
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Apr 1, 2020 08:03
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what if instead of joining or reforming states we destroyed them
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Apr 1, 2020 08:03
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Salt Fish posted:I was sad for a while, then anxious for a while, but now I'm just bored. same, I'll probably go back to being sad in 12 hours, ad nauseam.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:03
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BeefThief posted:was there any reason the curve starts to flatten in that model or... The projection on that model assumes a shelter in place style social distancing with a high rate of compliance. It's the one they were touting at the presser today that yielded "only" 100 - 240,000 deaths.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:04
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 I think this one is a loss edit, but I’m not sure. They’re so abstract these days.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:04
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Xaris posted:When you say peak, do you think it will peak via herd immunity or do you think SIP will have dissipated it enough such it's no longer spreading? Because I think once SIP orders are done, there won't have been enough people infected such that infected masses from florida or w/e places that are still going on will still transfer it back and it'll take off again like wildfire. I mean peak deaths per day. The NYC hospital system is basically at or over capacity right now, the ventilators aren't coming, and cases will probably increase for at least another week. April is going to be insane because the economic distress is really going to hit home and start to unravel the house of cards and capitalists are going to put a ton of pressure on Trump and governors to silence Fauci and reopen things, for the media to move onto something else, and for hospitals to stop reporting deaths
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Apr 1, 2020 08:04
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:1 day of new data and already this model doesn't seem believable covid death projections gonna end up being the opposite of this poo poo 
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Apr 1, 2020 08:04
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Everybody will probably just shrug on to further humiliation in exchange for streaming entertainment credits
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Apr 1, 2020 08:05
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Platystemon posted:
redo it to where he can't see her or be near her while she dies
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Apr 1, 2020 08:05
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Nonsense posted:kids are never going back to school, and will torture idiots who had kids but hate them forever jealous of kids these days, they can play games all day & can threaten their parents with death by going out and getting coronavirus. they hold all the cards
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Apr 1, 2020 08:05
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uncleTomOfFinland posted:https://www.hus.fi/potilaalle/Sivut/Koronavirus%20lukuina.aspx also swedish prevention efforts are so dogshit that the government wants to lock down the western border properly, not even work traffic allowed anymore
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Apr 1, 2020 08:10
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:The projection on that model assumes a shelter in place style social distancing with a high rate of compliance. It's the one they were touting at the presser today that yielded "only" 100 - 240,000 deaths. Is it not the case that most of the people who are going to die by mid-april are already infected today? Pretty sure without a national shelter in place and some enforcement this is going to drag out through June and kill like 5 million people in the US
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Apr 1, 2020 08:10
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I am beginning to be unnerved by no data out of Washington State for the last three days. Their excuse is that the system they have put in place for processing negative test data is so overtaxed that it's crashing, but FFS I gotta see that positive curve.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:11
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trump is curing the disease this thread is slowing down 
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Apr 1, 2020 08:11
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if Italy is anything to go by it seems like cases peak 3 weeks after a fairly strict SIP 3 and deaths continue to climb for at least a month (so far) after as the doctors and nurses become infected. So the model is probably bunk in the sense that while the general curve is accurate, it's probably only true for NYC and a select few other cities, and is still likely undershooting.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:12
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I read the last 5 pages very high (amazing CBD cookies that takes you away) and have had a great time.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:12
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https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1245019150545760256 chuds gonna kill themselves.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:12
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Homeless Friend posted:jealous of kids these days, they can play games all day & can threaten their parents with death by going out and getting coronavirus. they hold all the cards I never taught my kid to cook. Checkmate, my kid.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:13
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Apr 1, 2020 08:14
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Nonsense posted:kids are never going back to school, and will torture idiots who had kids but hate them forever I know a stay at home parent/chud upset that they can't drink as much with their kids home from school and helping teach the 3rd grade arithmetic is too challenging.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:15
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Inceltown posted:https://twitter.com/RightWingWatch/status/1245019150545760256 shuttling the worthy off this mortal coil, one of god's true soldiers
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Apr 1, 2020 08:17
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Radirot posted:I know a stay at home parent/chud upset that they can't drink as much with their kids home from school and helping teach the 3rd grade arithmetic is too challenging. Part of the laws coming in here in Australia are that you can't buy more than two categories of booze in one trip. So beer + wine + spirits is two trips. People are losing their poo poo at this.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:18
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oh, new thread before I forget: AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!
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Apr 1, 2020 08:18
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Radirot posted:I know a stay at home parent/chud upset that they can't drink as much with their kids home from school and helping teach the 3rd grade arithmetic is too challenging. Quit doxxing me. It's rough enough already.
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Apr 1, 2020 08:18
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i hope this weird sore throat goes away tomorrow lol
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Apr 1, 2020 08:18
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juche avocado posted:i hope this weird sore throat goes away tomorrow 
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Apr 1, 2020 08:19
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https://twitter.com/INCIndia/status/1245244507471384577?s=20 Well this sounds like a total mess
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Apr 1, 2020 08:20
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juche avocado posted:i hope this weird sore throat goes away tomorrow I briefly had something like that for 3 days (no fever or anything) and it really made me just think deeply about death in a very real way lol
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Apr 1, 2020 08:20
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Fix posted:I am beginning to be unnerved by no data out of Washington State for the last three days. Their excuse is that the system they have put in place for processing negative test data is so overtaxed that it's crashing, but FFS I gotta see that positive curve. *just WA things*
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Apr 1, 2020 08:20
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Trump is 100% ordering everyone back to work starting May 1 and will likely threaten state governments to end SIP orders once the stock market loses another 20% this month "just wear a mask bro like haha don't even breathe dude"
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Apr 1, 2020 08:21
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