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I know you all love a good Simpsons meme so here's something i randomly stumbled across today
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Apr 8, 2020 11:59
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Barry Foster posted:That's ludicrously optimistic for the USA, surely I think those are the garbage projections that have never made much sense. They think Italy is only going to have another 3 thousand deaths (currently around 500/day) and the UK isn't going to plateau for a while without much to base it on other than guesswork.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:00
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JeremoudCorbynejad posted:I know you all love a good Simpsons meme so here's something i randomly stumbled across today That's a cracking effort, even got the eye in the woodgrain to line up with the original.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:01
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magic numbers from the beginning of the Chinese outbreak - 80% won't require serious intervention (full spectrum from asymptomatic to miserably sick but not in hospital), 15% will require serious medical intervention but not ventilation, 5% will require serious medical intervention including ventilation. we have probably already hit the ventilation bottleneck, after which the disease's fatality rate will effectively be at least 5%. we are rapidly approaching the saturation point of our medical infrastructure, as the fatality rate will approach from 5 - 20% - this kind of intervention scales better fortunately. in addition, saturation of our medical services will cause significant increases of fatalities from non-covid 19 sources - the overall death rates will spike dramatically. stay the gently caress home
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Apr 8, 2020 12:05
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Those figures seem to be based on the conclusion that Jesus himself comes down to earth and starts handing out miracle cures left, right and centre. Coincidentally, this seems to be the strategy quite a few US evangelicals are taking.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:06
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lol it came out that the plan was always for the government to let 250,000 - 500,000 die, they were just shocked that the public weren't happy about that. https://twitter.com/michaeljswalker/status/1247822000812363777
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Apr 8, 2020 12:11
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you will also see a lot of sources going "so and so locality is reporting X dead from covid 19, but their death rates are increased by Y over this time last year! and lots of them are for pneumonia!" while it's almost certain that there is structural underreporting all over the place, keep in mind that if someone got the flu this time last year they'd be able to access a ventilator if they needed it, or an emergency room, or an ambulance. they would have reported their symptoms sooner and would have been tested more thoroughly. there are many reasons a pandemic increases death rates.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:15
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Gonzo McFee posted:lol it came out that the plan was always for the government to let 250,000 - 500,000 die, they were just shocked that the public weren't happy about that. In that Reuters piece, this bit: "Between February 13 and March 30, Britain missed a total of eight conference calls or meetings about the coronavirus between EU heads of state or health ministers - meetings that Britain was still entitled to join. " reminds me a lot of posh, overpaid and very senior people at the large corporate I work for who refuse to read or attend briefings then insist they would totally have known/done something about X if only someone had told them but alas they were not told so cannot be blamed in any way for things going wrong.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:18
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What model are they using where we magically stop seeing any more deaths after the first week of May? This seems unrealistically optimistic. I mean seriously look at that curve, it hits May and then just immediately flatlines.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:21
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Jedi healing powers activate May 4th
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Apr 8, 2020 12:23
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Renaissance Robot posted:What model are they using where we magically stop seeing any more deaths after the first week of May? This seems unrealistically optimistic. Yeah, that curve feels like it should be more in line with daily death rates rather than total deaths.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:24
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That estimate requires 2500 deaths per day for the rest of April to be accurate. Sounds way off.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:26
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There was some vacuous piece of poo poo from the Tony Blair Institute* on Newsnight last night saying we all need to get back to work as soon as possible and we can do it using apps  Emily Maitliss did a fantastic job of not questioning anythign he said * yes, it's real https://institute.global/ ** ** I was going to link to it earlier but lol at that url
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Apr 8, 2020 12:27
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Tony Blair is a serious problem. At the Tony Blair Institute we are working tirelessly to find a cure, so that future generations never have to suffer from Tony Blair ever again
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Apr 8, 2020 12:29
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Institut für Scheissewissenschaft
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Apr 8, 2020 12:29
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Soylent Yellow posted:The only obvious thing I can see that would put me off is no dedicated graphics card. Depends what you want to do with it, but even a mediocre dedicated card is better than onboard graphics. Thing is it’s questionable how much bang for buck you get when you’re paying more to get dedicated graphics in a laptop. My personal view with laptops is to get a machine that’s powerful enough to do all the non gaming things you want, comfortable to use and portable. Take the cash you have saved by not paying more for dedicated graphics and go buy a PS4.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:32
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Obligatory fortnightly supermarket trip report: Goddamn are those arrows on the floor annoying. More people going the wrong way than were actually following them. Saw toilet paper in the wild for the first time in a month though.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:34
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Guavanaut posted:Institut für Scheissewissenschaft Vorsprung Durchfall Technik
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Apr 8, 2020 12:35
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RockyB posted:Obligatory fortnightly supermarket trip report: Goddamn are those arrows on the floor annoying. More people going the wrong way than were actually following them. My local Tesco Express has them, but it's not immediately clear whether it's just for up/down or if you're supposed to go round the shop in a set order. The sign at the front indicates you should start from the left and work to the right but there's no arrows on the back and front so everyone just gets confused.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:42
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Necrothatcher posted:Yeah, that curve feels like it should be more in line with daily death rates rather than total deaths. These projections are specifically only covering a 4 month period, so these are all assuming there's one bump, and just as an example have predicted a number of deaths in Spain far lower than has been reported. Basically it's a model, not fact. It'll indicate the real gently caress ups but don't look at the numbers too closely.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:44
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CoolCab posted:you will also see a lot of sources going "so and so locality is reporting X dead from covid 19, but their death rates are increased by Y over this time last year! and lots of them are for pneumonia!" Also increased ambulance waiting times and lower staffing levels are going to kill <x> people with heart attacks, strokes, accidents and all the other things a health service would normally be dealing with. That's not even mentioning all the people going "Hey now I've got the time, let's rewire the house!" and similar silliness.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:44
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JeremoudCorbynejad posted:I know you all love a good Simpsons meme so here's something i randomly stumbled across today This is art  --- In all the excitement of another PM about to snuff it, nearly forgot what day this was;  
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Apr 8, 2020 12:45
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They should set up conveyor belts and you get strapped into a seat with a basket to do one lap of the store and given one of those grabber things for to reach for the items. Be like a sort of generation game challenge
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Apr 8, 2020 12:45
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Pesky Splinter posted:In all the excitement of another PM about to snuff it, nearly forgot what day this was;
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Apr 8, 2020 12:45
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apparently the only way to get a prescription when you are in lockdown on the other side of a city is to physically post a letter to your gp surgery that itself contains a stamped envelope addressed to a pharmacy near your current address for them to post out your prescription to. I tried registering as a temporary resident in a gp practice nearby but living 6 miles away counts as "the same town" so that's apparently not allowed. if only there was an interconnected network of computers to send this kind of data across
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Apr 8, 2020 12:50
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Cerv posted:fwiw our management are working on a projection that Sept 2020 entry cohort will be generating 40% less in tuition fee income than planned This last part shouldn't matter and we wouldn't let this be a reasonable excuse for any other business or institution - if the unis are struggling they need to be putting pressure on government. This is how I see a lot of this working tbh - consumers/workers put pressure on organisations and those organisations push the pressure up the chain, with the ideal being the government eventually being forced to levy a massive temporaroy (or not) tax on mega-corps. Well, that or a breakdown of capitalist society into successful anarchism but I don't think the population is ideologically primed for that.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:52
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HJB posted:Doing another little look round for Starmer stuff, because why not, here's the Heil's 'takedown' of him in 2009:
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Apr 8, 2020 12:53
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<-----
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Apr 8, 2020 12:54
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crispix posted:There was some vacuous piece of poo poo from the Tony Blair Institute* on Newsnight last night saying we all need to get back to work as soon as possible and we can do it using apps Tony Blair fully embracing the Arbeit macht frei of neoliberalism is terrifying. Just a pure evil ghoul. https://twitter.com/KevinBasham/status/1247623428800208897
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Apr 8, 2020 12:55
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Necrothatcher posted:<----- yes, after pissing on her grave your membership of the Squat Squad will come in handy in the next step
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Apr 8, 2020 12:55
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My doctors surgery closed along with its in built pharmacy, and they moved my prescription to a partnered pharmacy three villages away along a road that goes through my village. I'm not complaining, it gives me a sanctioned reason to ride my motorbike on country roads.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:56
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I have no kidding been running my daily exercise on my bike past the news crews at St Thomas Hospital in the hope of being vox popped. No luck yet.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:56
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Gonzo McFee posted:Tony Blair fully embracing the Arbeit macht frei of neoliberalism is terrifying. Just a pure evil ghoul. https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/status/1247603974452260865?s=20 Yeah it was that one guy with his pot.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:57
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Azza Bamboo posted:My doctors surgery closed along with its in built pharmacy, and they moved my prescription to a partnered pharmacy three villages away along a road that goes through my village. I'm still not used to driving around on empty roads. It's actually really good fun. I can see why all the boy racers are going nuts.
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Apr 8, 2020 12:57
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crispix posted:Emily Maitliss did a fantastic job of not questioning anythign he said it was only a day or so ago but never 4get https://twitter.com/maitlis/status/1247172802744115200
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Apr 8, 2020 12:58
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Angepain posted:apparently the only way to get a prescription when you are in lockdown on the other side of a city is to physically post a letter to your gp surgery that itself contains a stamped envelope addressed to a pharmacy near your current address for them to post out your prescription to. I tried registering as a temporary resident in a gp practice nearby but living 6 miles away counts as "the same town" so that's apparently not allowed. if only there was an interconnected network of computers to send this kind of data across It would be so much less effort for them to use EPS.
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Apr 8, 2020 13:00
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https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/apr/08/jewish-chronicle-and-jewish-news-to-be-liquidated-and-staff-laid-offquote:The Jewish Chronicle and Jewish News are being liquidated and their staff made redundant, according to sources at the outlets, after their parent company ran out of money as the coronavirus pandemic devastates the media industry.
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Apr 8, 2020 13:02
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If the UK does end up with far higher death rates than the US, I'd suggest that the reasons are that the UK has a population density nearly ten times that of the US, and their houses are triple the size on average. And also that all the numbers are bollocks because politicians are loving with them and testing isn't being done, so we don't actually know the death toll or the numbers of infected.
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Apr 8, 2020 13:02
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crispix posted:There was some vacuous piece of poo poo from the Tony Blair Institute* Hahahahahaha 
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Apr 8, 2020 13:03
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goddamnedtwisto posted:Also increased ambulance waiting times and lower staffing levels are going to kill <x> people with heart attacks, strokes, accidents and all the other things a health service would normally be dealing with. That's not even mentioning all the people going "Hey now I've got the time, let's rewire the house!" and similar silliness. I am faced with the dilemma of "I don't want to wire in a RCD protected point in the bathroom for the dehumidifier while there's no hospital space" vs "I don't want to use the dehumidifier in the bathroom on a lovely extension lead with no protection while there's no hospital space" but I'm solving that with "open the window instead" for the moment. Knowing my luck this will lead to a black mold related incident instead. Pesky Splinter posted:In all the excitement of another PM about to snuff it, nearly forgot what day this was; Pesky Splinter posted:This is art josh04 posted:https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/apr/08/jewish-chronicle-and-jewish-news-to-be-liquidated-and-staff-laid-off
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Apr 8, 2020 13:04
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