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I imagine if anybody is enjoying this oil market it's the Houthi. It certainly works with their plan to attrit and exhaust the Saudis out of Yemen. That is, when they aren't dying of covid19. Some analysts are predicting that Yemen could see 93% of its population infected if nothing changes, and I don't imagine those people are going to have much in the way of medical aid.
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# ? Apr 20, 2020 23:37 |
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# ? May 26, 2024 14:10 |
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Yemen will lead the world in herd immunity.
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# ? Apr 21, 2020 10:17 |
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So far countries with very low obesity rates and very young aged populations don't get hit very hard. It's a horrible disease, but it's the overweight median age 35+ countries that are getting demolished. We will see though, it's definitely going to be bad through the ME
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# ? Apr 21, 2020 10:40 |
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Famine and war ensure a thin, young population. Finally found that silver lining!
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# ? Apr 21, 2020 11:41 |
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You can't stress healthcare services to the breaking point if they've already been turned into a smoking crater!
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# ? Apr 21, 2020 23:03 |
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This is just the perfect time for this poo poo. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1252932181447630848?s=20
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 14:25 |
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Jagged Jim posted:This is just the perfect time for this poo poo. I mean that's one way to increase oil prices...
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 14:32 |
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Closing the strait in the deal of the century!
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 14:47 |
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Jagged Jim posted:This is just the perfect time for this poo poo. Iran's flying gunboats are a real problem, all right.
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 14:50 |
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I do wonder with the total crash of oil prices and demand if Iran has lost a lot of the leverage they've had in preventing a war with the US. Like the threat has always been they would shut down the strait of Hormuz and oil prices would skyrocket, but with oil in literal negative prices does that even matter anymore?
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 15:25 |
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Closing the straits is not the only card Iran has in shooting war with the US. Has Iran shut down and quarantined? I know the virus was hitting them hard at the beginning, but don’t know if they went with the herd immunity option... With oil prices, general global economic slowdown, and sanctions it is difficult to see how getting bombed by the US is a good option to take as a way of alleviating those problems. Though I think the current administration is incapable of doing so, now would probably be the best time to throw them a bone and try to get Trumps version of a good deal.
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 15:47 |
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Charliegrs posted:I do wonder with the total crash of oil prices and demand if Iran has lost a lot of the leverage they've had in preventing a war with the US. Like the threat has always been they would shut down the strait of Hormuz and oil prices would skyrocket, but with oil in literal negative prices does that even matter anymore? I don't think closing down the Strait has been much of a deterrent to the US for some time. Back in 2008? Sure. But now the US has fracking up its sleeve in case the price of oil spikes again. I think the main deterrent to war that Iran offers is that its simply too big and organized and dangerous for the US to go to war with and not cause massive problems for everyone involved.
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 15:53 |
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Someone who speaks Arabic or is A ME poster can you please tell me what this quote means in native translation "The dog is the brother of the fox" an IRGC commander said this and I want to know if it has a deep meaning or if he was just being whimsicle WAR CRIME GIGOLO fucked around with this message at 22:06 on Apr 22, 2020 |
# ? Apr 22, 2020 21:59 |
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:Someone who speaks Arabic or is A ME poster can you please tell me what this quote means in native translation https://www.mypersiancorner.com/12-persian-idioms-and-proverbs-animals/ quote:The yellow dog is symbolic of a bad person and the jackal of someone even worse. This proverb is especially relevant in political matters. For instance, a politician didn’t fulfill his campaign promises, and now here comes another saying he’ll fix everything (but who are we kidding?). When two people are equally bad, don’t be fooled by thinking one may be slightly better. After all, the yellow dog is the brother of the jackal.
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 22:22 |
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Thank you so much for the much needed context
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# ? Apr 22, 2020 22:44 |
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shocking news out of Libya: https://www.france24.com/en/20200429-without-naming-libya-s-haftar-france-condemns-unilateral-action-in-libya quote:Haftar said on Monday his Libyan National Army (LNA) was accepting a "popular mandate" to rule over the country, apparently brushing aside the civilian authorities which nominally govern eastern Libya. what makes this shocking is the realization Haftar had not already said this. Turkish intervention has really swung the balance of power in Libya back towards the GNA and away from Haftar, who had been looking like he was on the cusp of finally conquering all of Libya. Maybe leaders in the UAE will learn a lesson from this, that proxy battles just result in you and your enemies just end up wasting lots of money and lives symmetrically opposing and balancing one another?
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# ? Apr 29, 2020 18:34 |
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https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/04/pompeo-iran-nuclear-deal-global-sanctions.html
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# ? Apr 29, 2020 23:39 |
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i guess after the corona stuff the official whitehouse line is gaslighting everyone all the time
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# ? Apr 30, 2020 00:32 |
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Ironically they probably had the international sway to pull that off 4 years ago or something, but after multiple years of trump? yeah right
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# ? Apr 30, 2020 01:42 |
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Herstory Begins Now posted:So far countries with very low obesity rates and very young aged populations don't get hit very hard. It's a horrible disease, but it's the overweight median age 35+ countries that are getting demolished. We will see though, it's definitely going to be bad through the ME Yeah. Diabetes statistics for the ME are pretty bad to say the last.
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# ? Apr 30, 2020 01:48 |
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Well folks, cargo ships have been flying to and from libya for a couple days, Jim Jeffrey, US special envoy for Syria: "We know that, certainly the Russians are working with Assad to transfer militia fighters, possibly third country, possibly Syrian, to Libya, as well as equipment."
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# ? May 8, 2020 05:37 |
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Video about three Irish guys that went to Rojava. A lot of it is in Irish but there are subtitles and they switch back to english a few times https://vimeo.com/416282414
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# ? May 8, 2020 20:38 |
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TASS, Russia’s largest state-run news agency, wrote in one editorial that, “Russia suspects that Assad is not only unable to lead the country anymore, but also that the head of the Syrian regime is dragging Moscow towards the Afghani scenario.” This is like evoking the Vietnam War for an American audience, a reference to the Kremlin’s botched campaign through the 1980s that helped bankrupt the Soviet Union and finally break it apart.
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# ? May 10, 2020 22:57 |
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:TASS, Russia’s largest state-run news agency, wrote in one editorial that, “Russia suspects that Assad is not only unable to lead the country anymore, but also that the head of the Syrian regime is dragging Moscow towards the Afghani scenario.” This is like evoking the Vietnam War for an American audience, a reference to the Kremlin’s botched campaign through the 1980s that helped bankrupt the Soviet Union and finally break it apart. not why the soviet union broke apart. but the sick fucks who funded the monsters in afghanistan would certainly like to believe that had something to do with it, but it's like believing reagan saying "tear down this wall" had anything to do with it.
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# ? May 11, 2020 00:34 |
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Zedhe Khoja posted:not why the soviet union broke apart. but the sick fucks who funded the monsters in afghanistan would certainly like to believe that had something to do with it, but it's like believing reagan saying "tear down this wall" had anything to do with it. It's a snowball effect, but afghanistan was a piece of that snowball effect. The big thing is the fact that russian media is starting to turn against Assad. And by the way, destroying the troops confidence in the government was a bad bad thing. Botshan-Kharchenko: You must understand, Mr. Buurdon, that these attacks against our troops as they withdraw must stop. Bearden: And if they don't? Botshan-Kharchenko: Then perhaps we will halt our withdrawal. Then what will you do? Bearden: It is not what I will do, Counselor; it is what the Afghans will do. And I think they will simply keep on fighting and killing your soldiers until you finally just go home. Botshan-Kharchenko: But you have some control over such matters. Bearden: No one has control over such matters, Counselor, except the Soviet Union. Botshan-Kharchenko: Mr. Buurdon, you must still understand that there will be consequences if these attacks continue. Bearden: I am sure there will be, Counselor. WAR CRIME GIGOLO fucked around with this message at 00:40 on May 11, 2020 |
# ? May 11, 2020 00:37 |
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:It's a snowball effect, but afghanistan was a piece of that snowball effect. The big thing is the fact that russian media is starting to turn against Assad. Is that preparing groundwork for government action? And what happens if Assad loses Russian support?
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# ? May 11, 2020 00:42 |
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Absurd Alhazred posted:Is that preparing groundwork for government action? And what happens if Assad loses Russian support? A new Alawite is propped up who's more willing to work on an international solution that pays russia back for their efforts. just depends. Putin's going to be ruling indefinitely so we will see a syria solution that greatly favors russia and possibly turkey.
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# ? May 11, 2020 00:49 |
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:A new Alawite is propped up who's more willing to work on an international solution that pays russia back for their efforts. just depends. Putin's going to be ruling indefinitely so we will see a syria solution that greatly favors russia and possibly turkey. So you think Bashar personally will be removed but they'll still be supporting the same faction?
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# ? May 11, 2020 00:51 |
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Absurd Alhazred posted:So you think Bashar personally will be removed but they'll still be supporting the same faction? Why not? the faction represents the officer corp of the SAA and SyAAF, which is the faction you need loyal to reshape the country
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# ? May 11, 2020 00:52 |
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:Why not? the faction represents the officer corp of the SAA and SyAAF, which is the faction you need loyal to reshape the country You seem to be extremely optimistic about their ability to seamlessly throw their current leader under the bus and remain a sustainable, unified faction.
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# ? May 11, 2020 01:02 |
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Absurd Alhazred posted:You seem to be extremely optimistic about their ability to seamlessly throw their current leader under the bus and remain a sustainable, unified faction. Not really, the russian airforce could cripple regime controlled Syria in a pretty fantastic afternoon, and who would be against them? Russia probably doens't enjoy being a sanctioned pariah state. so why not spin the narrative and kill assad, jump headlong into a peace process and win back some international renown?
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# ? May 11, 2020 01:08 |
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The way these things are normally done is you go talk to some opportunistic relative or opportunistic general, help them pull the trigger, and then work together to spin it as 'look the guy was great in war time, but he got carried away with the torture camps ans the civilian killing and towards the end he was out of control and had lost touch.' Who knows what will happen, but that kind of thing very definitely isn't unprecedented and I doubt it's a secret to anyone that Assad is personally an immensely toxic character in this and by having literally anyone else in charge of the syrian government you'd guarantee substantially more stability.
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# ? May 11, 2020 01:14 |
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:Not really, the russian airforce could cripple regime controlled Syria in a pretty fantastic afternoon, and who would be against them? Russia probably doens't enjoy being a sanctioned pariah state. so why not spin the narrative and kill assad, jump headlong into a peace process and win back some international renown? He said "seamlessly". There is quite a record of regimes having the top guy murked and then oddly the new picked guy having pretty limited support. Vietnam, anyone?
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# ? May 11, 2020 06:16 |
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It will be Al-Hassan.
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# ? May 11, 2020 06:31 |
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Rust Martialis posted:He said "seamlessly". There is quite a record of regimes having the top guy murked and then oddly the new picked guy having pretty limited support. Vietnam, anyone? Comparing this to vietnam seems in congruent. without Russian support the SAA and Syaaf woulnd't be returning to their wives and children. Russia can also bring industry to the place whereas the rest of the world won't unless theres a new regime running around that has international recognition. Syria is a smoldering heap in all but 1 corner. Syria has a sovereign entity occupying 15% of the country and another autonomous region operating another 15%. So 30% of the country is occupied by not the government. That's kind of a problem, especially for Russia who has been in this conflict 4 years now. Theres no end in sight even with rebels slaughtered as long as Assad is on top. The international community will never fund a single thin in Syria (Russia included) in the current state of the country. Aleppo is a blank slate for whoever can rebuild the loving place. Russia needs a client state that can actually do something and support itself while giving most of the money to Russian multi-national corps. Let's say russia left right now. They lost billions, lost lives, lost lost lost lost. and for what? Syria has some of the best beaches in the world, but there's no tourists because its unsafe, Syria has pretty decent natural resources aswell, outlined here: https://www.azomining.com/Article.aspx?ArticleID=202 quote:Investment WAR CRIME GIGOLO fucked around with this message at 07:08 on May 11, 2020 |
# ? May 11, 2020 07:02 |
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Iran looks bent on breaking some sort of world record for missile gently caress-ups. This time an anti-ship missile has struck a friendly vessel that was towing a practise target, killing 19 and sinking the ship. Oh well, that's one way to produce data on weapon effectiveness. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-52612511
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# ? May 11, 2020 09:29 |
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Look it's an anti-ship missile and the result was a sunk ship. Clearly this was a success.
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# ? May 11, 2020 10:06 |
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Of all the lovely ways to die in the military, training accidents are the worst.
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# ? May 11, 2020 13:49 |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cVz8PqxJOwA I'm sure this will go over well. MBS showing the people how concerned he is for them in this time of crisis.
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# ? May 11, 2020 19:05 |
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# ? May 26, 2024 14:10 |
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Nenonen posted:Iran looks bent on breaking some sort of world record for missile gently caress-ups. This time an anti-ship missile has struck a friendly vessel that was towing a practise target, killing 19 and sinking the ship. Oh well, that's one way to produce data on weapon effectiveness. That's integrated anti-decoy functionality right there.
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# ? May 11, 2020 19:17 |