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FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1298673598685761540?s=21

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baw
Nov 5, 2008

RESIDENT: LAISSEZ FAIR-SNEZHNEVSKY INSTITUTE FOR FORENSIC PSYCHIATRY

George H.W. oval office posted:

I was just at Sea Rim State Park a few weeks ago and got devoured by mosquitoes. I’m glad they are going to drown now.

i remember driving to galveston once and we stopped somewhere near the bay so i could piss and as soon as i took out my pecker it was covered in mosquitos and i decided to just hold it in

ekuNNN
Nov 27, 2004

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
livestream of a bunch of webcams
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aFQ692oV2A

shirts and skins
Jun 25, 2007

Good morning!
I will never understand the people who fly in hurricane hunters. God love em but it's one of the last jobs I'd ever sign up for.

This is a good long read about one of those trips turning to absolute poo poo:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/articles/hunting-hugo-part-1

pancake rabbit
Feb 21, 2011




wooboy look at that eye shrinking

https://twitter.com/ericblake12/status/1298678305965703169?s=21

Bouillon Rube
Aug 6, 2009



drat that’s right in front of my parents house

Galveston is actually a cool town if you avoid all the touristy poo poo/beaches and just wander around

TeenageArchipelago
Jul 23, 2013


shirts and skins posted:

I will never understand the people who fly in hurricane hunters. God love em but it's one of the last jobs I'd ever sign up for.

This is a good long read about one of those trips turning to absolute poo poo:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/articles/hunting-hugo-part-1

if it's over the ocean it's probably fine, you can just park the plane underwater for a bit while you wait for things to calm down. over land you're screwed though lmao

Ash1138
Sep 29, 2001

Get up, chief. We're just gettin' started.

shirts and skins posted:

I will never understand the people who fly in hurricane hunters. God love em but it's one of the last jobs I'd ever sign up for.

This is a good long read about one of those trips turning to absolute poo poo:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/articles/hunting-hugo-part-1
they were doing that poo poo at an altitude of 1,500 feet? yikes

PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer

Rock My Socks! posted:

Galveston is actually a cool town if you avoid all the touristy poo poo/beaches and just wander around

Don't listen to this man's lies

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

PostNouveau posted:

Don't listen to this man's lies

I’m guessing they must be a mosquito or something.

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos
Wrong thread

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Yeah no storm of that level has ever hit that part of the Gulf

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1298666125073383425?s=21

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

might hit during an eyewall replacement cycle so it’s weaker, that’s what Katrina did and was probably the only reason that “high rises may collapse” part of the nws warning didn’t come to pass

Planet X
Dec 10, 2003

GOOD MORNING
Yeah but its still got time. How long does an eyewall replacement cycle take anyway on a hurricane this big?

M_Gargantua
Oct 16, 2006

STOMP'N ON INTO THE POWERLINES

Exciting Lemon

Vox Nihili posted:

Forecast vs record surge



maybe its just confirmation bias but i remember like this how all the really bad ones start to outpace the forecast like this

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Planet X posted:

Yeah but its still got time. How long does an eyewall replacement cycle take anyway on a hurricane this big?
i don’t think it has time to complete one

George H.W. Cunt
Oct 6, 2010





wtf is an eyewall replacement? is it molting?

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Thesaurus posted:

so what's in the impact area? How populated? People saying refineries or whatever. Is that good or bad?

the bad news: it'll reduce oil production
the good news: the current contents of those production and storage facilities will all wind up in the gulf and/or the unrelenting nonsurvivable storm surge

Giga Gaia
May 2, 2006

360 kickflip to... Meteo?!

George H.W. oval office posted:

wtf is an eyewall replacement? is it molting?

when your eyewall is stripped you can order a new one. dhl delivers pretty fast

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


George H.W. oval office posted:

wtf is an eyewall replacement? is it molting?

big hurricanes can generate storms within the hurricane which get gradually sucked into the eye, when the storms and the eye are too close they interfere and the eyewall weakens until the storms are fully integrated into the center of the hurricane and the eyewall returns to full strength

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eyewall_replacement_cycle

Rev. Bleech_
Oct 19, 2004

~OKAY, WE'LL DRINK TO OUR LEGS!~

The Glumslinger posted:

Lol calling at 17 foot storm surge an unheard of height

"ONCE PREDICTED AT 17 FEET, WILL NOW REACH UNHEARD OF HEIGHTS" jesus people

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

George H.W. oval office posted:

wtf is an eyewall replacement? is it molting?

kind of! the eyewall is where the strongest winds are. when a strong gets ridiculously strong there’s so much energy and outer eyewall also forms and slowly starts merging in to the middle which will cause the original inner eyewall to dissipate. the new eyewall is usually stronger in the end. cat 5 storms will sometimes oscillate between 4/5 because of this. Katrina went from a 5 to a 3 right at landfall due to one of these cycles.

Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

It's just beginning to reach the strength at which an eyewall replacement cycle might happen. But it might hit land before that can even start, meaning it could strengthen further into category 5 before landfall.

Zarin
Nov 11, 2008

I SEE YOU
Oh dear, my buddy is only 35 miles inland from the Galveston barrier island thing on Google Maps, and only 12 miles inland from the west edge of Galveston Bay/Trinity Bay :ohdear:

I'm watching that cam posted earlier; it's showing Pleasure Pier Rides at the moment, and nothing looks too spicy yet.

Bouillon Rube
Aug 6, 2009


Thesaurus posted:

so what's in the impact area? How populated? People saying refineries or whatever. Is that good or bad?

I think Lake Charles is the largest actual city at risk, and has about 200k in the metro area

Luneshot
Mar 10, 2014

https://twitter.com/TheAstroNick/status/1298691764706926592

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



also Beaumont, TX which has about 120K residents

TeenageArchipelago
Jul 23, 2013



Honestly mostly amazed at how the wind is blowing so fast they don't need to run the engines, they just leave the props vibrating in the wind. drat I love science

Zeno-25
Dec 5, 2009

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Rhetoric-o-Tron
Jan 5, 2009

by Pragmatica
944.7mb.

uhhh.

Stairmaster
Jun 8, 2012

So there's no possibility of the storm making last minute course adjustments right.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Stairmaster posted:

So there's no possibility of the storm making last minute course adjustments right.
Oh it absolutely can.

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1298693663359471617?s=21

Cat 5 here we come?

Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice
I met a guy in my undergrad meteorology class who wanted to be the scientist on a hurricane plane. I wonder if he ever got to do it.

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

Stereotype posted:

I met a guy in my undergrad meteorology class who wanted to be the scientist on a hurricane plane. I wonder if he ever got to do it.

was he commissioned in NOAA Corp? dumb trivia but there’s actually 8 uniformed services of the federal government and one of them runs the NOAA planes and ships.

in GiP there’s a goon that is a flight engineer (iirc) for the NOAA P-3s he posts about hurricane missions occasionally in the GiP current events thread. he did the same job on P-3s in the USN I think?

baw
Nov 5, 2008

RESIDENT: LAISSEZ FAIR-SNEZHNEVSKY INSTITUTE FOR FORENSIC PSYCHIATRY

TeenageArchipelago posted:

Honestly mostly amazed at how the wind is blowing so fast they don't need to run the engines, they just leave the props vibrating in the wind. drat I love science

not sure if you're joking or not but that's just the framerate

Stereotype
Apr 24, 2010

College Slice

hobbesmaster posted:

was he commissioned in NOAA Corp? dumb trivia but there’s actually 8 uniformed services of the federal government and one of them runs the NOAA planes and ships.

in GiP there’s a goon that is a flight engineer (iirc) for the NOAA P-3s he posts about hurricane missions occasionally in the GiP current events thread. he did the same job on P-3s in the USN I think?

I can't really remember, it was over a decade ago, but he was also a military guy so maybe. It was at the University of Wisconsin Madison

VectorSigma
Jan 20, 2004

Transform
and
Freak Out



https://i.imgur.com/WpOI9rV.mp4

hobbesmaster
Jan 28, 2008

it looks like it’s still tracking west of projections?

rip Beaumont

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"
Watch Laura make landfall, then make a sharp button hook over Alabama and Georgia right into the tropical storm "nursery" area that's right off Georgia and the Carolinas before regaining strength and raking the East Coast before plowing into NYC.

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FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



That image is on an angle

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