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Wait does that mean good? 3 point shift to Biden j. Other places? Or bad in that he’s not performing what the polls thought. What a confusing tweet
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Nov 4, 2020 02:23
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Goosed it. posted:Does this mean anything for interpreting other states? NH is super white and Clinton won it by a gnats rear end hair in 2016.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:23
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LeeMajors posted:I can't wrap my mind around this election even being close anywhere. Just the stupidest country on earth goddammit. Dems snuffed out their candidate who generated enthusiasm
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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Meatball posted:Someone post that twitter where it's just screaming. https://twitter.com/infinite_scream/status/1323764794596491265 https://twitter.com/infinite_scream/status/1323796176978718722
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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Sheriff Falc posted:If Ohio goes blue its 100% over. Wouldn't he still need Pennsylvania?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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88 million dollars to lose by 12 points just a miserable performance from the dems complete loving hacks
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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Goosed it. posted:Does this mean anything for interpreting other states? My interpretation is that most of the polls and projections were money and time flushed down the toilet.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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Levitate posted:Wait does that mean good? 3 point shift to Biden j. Other places? Or bad in that he’s not performing what the polls thought. What a confusing tweet It means bad — it means GEM thinks that Biden is underperforming his polls. The 3 point average shift is instead of the projected larger shift.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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My Twitter Account posted:I bought lots of beer but no candy and I am now regretting that decision If you're in Michigan I still have a metric fuckin sitting on my porch from Halloween
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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Endorph posted:'Cuban Democrats' are probably mostly the younger ones, I'd have to guess? I mean I'm not an expert so I *could* be wrong, but I have to imagine Sanders on the ticket would motivate older, richer ones even more. There was an awesome exit poll article about it that I posted before but I can't find it anywhere. I am not trying to imply that Bernie would have won Florida, just that Cubans aren't as much of a monolith as we like to pretend.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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Pakistani Brad Pitt posted:Dems snuffed out their candidate who generated enthusiasm I know. And I'm old enough not to be surprised. I was an adult when Bush was re-elected. Its all just so loving dumb and discouraging.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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So basically Gelliott Morris is the most useless motherfucker in modern election polling then?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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Sheriff Falc posted:57% Biden is the definition of "ok" at this point Just moved to 58% Biden. We are saved (We are not saved)
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Nov 4, 2020 02:24
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FizFashizzle posted:88 million dollars to lose by 12 points But she was a fighter pilot who will work with Trump 
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Nov 4, 2020 02:25
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Predictit is completely down for 30 mins which is hilariously bad.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:25
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Endorph posted:'Cuban Democrats' are probably mostly the younger ones, I'd have to guess? I mean I'm not an expert so I *could* be wrong, but I have to imagine Sanders on the ticket would motivate older, richer ones even more.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:25
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NC is tough we have alot liberal place but man you drive out in the country and its alot of maga hats and trump pence signs. The one thing I will say is a bit of long term Republicans voted dem cause of covid19 and race stuff.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:25
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lets go loving tarheels lets end this poo poo
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Nov 4, 2020 02:25
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Levitate posted:They can see where the votes have come in and what’s left. If the extremely blue and highly populated places are left and all the small red places have been counted you can project that Biden will win it Interesting, thanks! Still loving blows my mind that voting is non-compulsory and polling day is held on a weekday, no matter how many times I remember it. Stay safe US goons and don't gently caress this up 
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Nov 4, 2020 02:25
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nine-gear crow posted:So basically Gelliott Morris is the most useless motherfucker in modern election polling then? Yes and he's been the conquering hero of the pollyannas in the Polliwonks thread for weeks, so at least we have that schadenfreude.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:25
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John Wick of Dogs posted:Wouldn't he still need Pennsylvania? Depends on Arizona and Nebraska-2 or something IIRC. It would be incredibly surprising for Biden to win Ohio and lose Penn.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:26
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Sheriff Falc posted:Just moved to 58% Biden. We are saved Its 56 trump now
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Nov 4, 2020 02:26
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John Wick of Dogs posted:Wouldn't he still need Pennsylvania?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:27
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Telsa Cola posted:Its 56 trump now We are not saved.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:27
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Decision Desk HQ moves Michigan into the Trump zone
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Nov 4, 2020 02:27
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Telsa Cola posted:Its 56 trump now Is this the NYT needle of doom?
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Nov 4, 2020 02:27
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Petey posted:Yes and he's been the conquering hero of the pollyannas in the Polliwonks thread for weeks, so at least we have that schadenfreude. So at what point do we get Covok's 6'er expunged? 
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Nov 4, 2020 02:27
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FizFashizzle posted:88 million dollars to lose by 12 points The tried and true "run a vet that is a Democrat in name only" strategy looking a little worse for wear these days.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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I can't believe he's going to pull this off again. This stupid country.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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https://twitter.com/jonallendc/status/1323798287909081089
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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Goosed it. posted:Is this the NYT needle of doom? Yes for nc
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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Bar Ran Dun posted:Be careful, too many points in Endurance and half light there Covok. [INLAND EMPIRE: Legendary] Jeb...
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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 https://i.imgur.com/xpI8XYk.mp4
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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Biden is absolutely outperforming the ever living gently caress out of Hillary's numbers in Biden. Look at Tarant county. Biden closed a 10 point gap from 2016 and it's dead even with 344k votes for both Biden and Trump. Texas is going to go blue. Like none of the numbers from the blue southern part of the state are in either. Williamson county is flipped as well.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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aejix posted:Yeah but unless I'm very dumb (entirely possible) I don't see how they could call Virginia a slam dunk state for Biden when, according to their mouse over tooltip, nearly a quarter of the votes have been counted and Biden is trailing by over 20%? The lead isn’t enough to support a win for the rest of the precincts they need to report though. Say trump has a 20 vote lead but there are three precincts with 30 voters each left to report that historically vote D by 2-1 margin. Trump would have to over perform by a ridiculous margin to make up the disparity.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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I don't want 4 more years of the orange game-show host lying rapist.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1323797765579776005
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Nov 4, 2020 02:28
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The return of the needle was actually the harbinger of our final downfall.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:29
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Goosed it. posted:Is this the NYT needle of doom? I'm calling it. Decision Desk has beaten incumbent "The Needle."
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Nov 4, 2020 02:29
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Timeless Appeal posted:As long as Biden can get WI and MI and ONE other swing state he's fine. He can win with Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin but lose Arizona, NC, Georgie, Florida, and PA. I think of all the states you mentioned at best Biden is winning Michigan.
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Nov 4, 2020 02:29
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