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For what it's worth, Arizona polled further to the right than PA so 538's "Path to Victory" snake chart didn't even include it. That's why it's possible for Biden to win without PA. as long as he sweeps everything else that polled to the left of PA/Arizona. (Florida and NC polled to the right of AZ). https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo
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Nov 4, 2020 05:29
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Lindsey Graham won?
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Nov 4, 2020 05:29
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Halloween Jack posted:It's very much a thing, unfortunately. In this universe? Edit: bush? Like the 9/11 bush dickhead? Who likes that idiot lol spunkshui fucked around with this message at 05:32 on Nov 4, 2020 |
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Nov 4, 2020 05:30
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albedoa posted:This is something you can stop doing. Agreed, I will simply take the good news as it comes 
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Nov 4, 2020 05:30
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Is there anywhere that is actually clear about how much of these totals are election day, how much is early voting, what the expected totals of each are, etc.? It's frustrating to see numbers being slung around and having no idea what they actually mean.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:30
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Was Fox the first to call Arizona for Biden? Didn't expect to see that.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:31
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davecrazy posted:Lindsey Graham won? Yeah but he still has to be Lindsey Graham.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:31
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davecrazy posted:Lindsey Graham won? South Carolinians are largely self-hating morons. Signed, A South Carolinian.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:31
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Ms Adequate posted:I'm not really bullish about PA but yeah the places that are 70, 80, 100% counted are the red counties, whilst Philly and suburbs and Pittsburgh are like 12%, 18%, 25% counted. And early/mail/abentee ballots are counted something like 17% last I heard. PA.gov still has mail-ins at 2.2 mil to be counted with a 3:1 Dem:GOP spread. This is why I'm remaining positive about PA swinging Biden.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:31
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Wait what's the senate at now
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Nov 4, 2020 05:32
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surf rock posted:Was Fox the first to call Arizona for Biden? Fox is complete bullshit and a rot on our democracy. But their election and decision desk are spot on and they are calling it fair.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:32
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davecrazy posted:Lindsey Graham won? Cuz of Dianne Feinstein
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Nov 4, 2020 05:32
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Lord Harbor posted:Is there anywhere that is actually clear about how much of these totals are election day, how much is early voting, what the expected totals of each are, etc.? It's frustrating to see numbers being slung around and having no idea what they actually mean. I don't think so. A good rule of thumb is that if there are states that haven't been called yet despite having what seems to be a clear result (North Carolina), those states have a significant number of ballots left to be counted that could swing the vote.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:32
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spunkshui posted:In this universe?
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Nov 4, 2020 05:33
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Geshtal posted:Are we posting maps now? Was going to post this, through all the doomposting the map still looks good for Biden. I'm going to go ahead and predict blue Minnesota, if it didn't flip in 2016 it won't now. Nevada is going to take for-loving-ever to turn in results but I also think Biden pulls ahead there. Iowa and Montana gonna get a Trump call, probably Texas and Ohio too. From there Biden pretty much just has to win PA...that should be fun. e: Andy Dufresne posted:For what it's worth, Arizona polled further to the right than PA so 538's "Path to Victory" snake chart didn't even include it. That's why it's possible for Biden to win without PA. as long as he sweeps everything else that polled to the left of PA/Arizona. (Florida and NC polled to the right of AZ).
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Nov 4, 2020 05:33
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Cabbit posted:Just checked Buzzfeed and, lol: Well while we're talking fantasy, this is the one scenario where I could see GOP voters actively campaigning to get rid of the Electoral College.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:33
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Cabbit posted:Just checked Buzzfeed and, lol: Iowa is not going to hold. Idaho is wrong, that's got to just be Boise. Along with AZ, Biden must get either both WI/MI or PA plus one of those two.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:34
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Voyager I posted:It's looking like Biden will probably win after the mail-in gets counted, but it's disappointing that it's going to be that close to begin with. no he doesn't. its clearly trump now. its over
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Nov 4, 2020 05:34
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Halloween Jack posted:Reagan Democrats are a thing, and Bush nostalgia is a depressingly common sentiment I mean, it was funny when he almost died on a pretzel. But seriously I have no idea what you guys are talking about at all. Iraq war is def not popular at this point.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:34
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My rational brain tells me that we'll have a biden win by the end of the week, but reading this thread tells me to settle in for the thousand year Trumpensreich. I'm hoping that the next mai tai brings out the rational brain more. Mai tais - good coping mechanisms.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:35
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Fox calls Arizona for Biden Florida for Trump
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Nov 4, 2020 05:35
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Even if Biden does win, this is very bad news for the Democrats going forward https://twitter.com/nguyenthevote/status/1323835185264267264?s=20
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Nov 4, 2020 05:35
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What's NE district 2 looking like? It may be fuckin' important...
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Nov 4, 2020 05:35
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spunkshui posted:I mean, it was funny when he almost died on a pretzel. 
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Nov 4, 2020 05:35
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Tim Whatley posted:Wait what's the senate at now Dems lost Alabama but picked up Arizona and Colorado. Still a long way to go.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:36
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Tim Whatley posted:Wait what's the senate at now Someone posted this earlier: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/1/d/e/2PACX-1vTmC96gJ1XDs73BZtKdgBTBX8DS1oDR6-X15PjG6oyKMLmHvh9AHm_SYRLdudG8bX5l-BLoBdBAwqcj/pubhtml
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Nov 4, 2020 05:36
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Gripweed posted:Even if Biden does win, this is very bad news for the Democrats going forward Everything that has been happening with Latinos tonight is blowing my mind.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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https://twitter.com/PreetBharara/status/1323837880804978689?s=20
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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Mr. Wiggles posted:My rational brain tells me that we'll have a biden win by the end of the week, but reading this thread tells me to settle in for the thousand year Trumpensreich. I'm hoping that the next mai tai brings out the rational brain more. i think you mean your irrational brain
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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Gripweed posted:Even if Biden does win, this is very bad news for the Democrats going forward Who would’ve thought calling Mexicans ‘rapists’ and separating refugee families would’ve led to a Hispanic political realignment. gently caress me.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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Cabbit posted:https://twitter.com/WardDPatrick/status/1323842773087330305 Maybe he will eke out a victory after all.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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Mr. Wiggles posted:My rational brain tells me that we'll have a biden win by the end of the week, but reading this thread tells me to settle in for the thousand year Trumpensreich. I'm hoping that the next mai tai brings out the rational brain more. Yeah this is where I am. I’d add that my rational brain also knows the thread Id is often panicked and wrong. Except sherry instead of Mai Tais.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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Gripweed posted:Even if Biden does win, this is very bad news for the Democrats going forward Isn't this just exit polls? 2020 exit polls are not comparable to 2016 exit polls.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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drat if maybe a drat near octagenerian segregationist didn’t get out the vote then maybe you guys should radicalize?
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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Number_6 posted:What's NE district 2 looking like? It may be fuckin' important... Biden leads 53.4% to 44.8% with 57% reporting (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/nebraska-president-results?icid=election_usmap - scroll down)
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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How sure are we that Biden won AZ? Is it just Fox saying so?
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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https://twitter.com/jblumgart/status/1323842460334854144 this is before absentees, I believe
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Nov 4, 2020 05:37
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BirdOfPlay posted:PA.gov still has mail-ins at 2.2 mil to be counted with a 3:1 Dem:GOP spread. This is why I'm remaining positive about PA swinging Biden. Oh drat I knew it was a good number but I didn't know it was healthily north of 2 mil, that does make me feel a little better about PA. AZ comforts me a good amount, it definitely keeps paths open, and getting Kelly into the Senate as well would be  and if heralds a longer-standing Arizona flip then things in the future get a little easier.
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Nov 4, 2020 05:38
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I will buy a Kyler Murray jersey (or Fitz or Hopkins I dunno) if Biden wins. 
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Nov 4, 2020 05:38
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Bar Ran Dun posted:Yeah this is where I am. I’d add that my rational brain also knows the thread Id is often panicked and wrong. Except sherry instead of Mai Tais. You bougie motherfucker
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Nov 4, 2020 05:38
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