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Antifa Turkeesian posted:I just want to tell you good luck. We're all counting on you.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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Geshtal posted:Reminder: Biden is leading in Minnesota and slightly behind in Wisconsin. Not one early vote has been counted in either yet. Michigan is all today and rural vote in, not anything from the cities. Pennsylvania is also very close with a Trump lead, and two million early votes yet to be counted. Trump would have to overwhelmingly win these early (likely democratic votes) to keep a lead and win. Throw these states into Biden's column and it is over. Trump loses. I think his only path to victory now is to somehow stop the count of these votes. It's a narrow, underwhelming win for Biden, the senate is looking really shaky for Democrats now and we might still have gridlock for four (two?) years there. Pollsters and democratic expectations are the biggest losers tonight. Go to bed everyone, breath deeply. The fight may very well end in the courts over the remainder of the week rather than the ballot box. Yeah, at this point, it seems like it's gonna be Biden by a nose (which is a testament to how lovely a candidate he is). However, I wouldn't be surprised if Trump tries to sue (that's his go-to move when things don't go his way, after all), and with a 6-3 court, there's a very real chance he could get results overturned with some sort of bullshit "this explicitly is not to be used for precedent" ruling a la Bush v. Gore. Either way, we're probably going to see some violence as a result, so I hope people are safe.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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3rdEyeDeuteranopia posted:https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323854833057779712 My Trumper contacts are absolutely livid / spinning the conspiracy narrative around George Soros bursting the waterline in the Atlanta office to give dems cover to steal Georgia. I take this as a very good sign.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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I fear the needle.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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https://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1323853080593604610 Biden might be doing alright? Good news starting to come in
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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I sure wish NH would legalize weed
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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Hawaii is in the bag.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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BrianWilly posted:So Biden just lost Ohio. Explain to me, like I'm a literal child, what he needs now in order to win? For the DNC not to nominate a dementia riddled, rapist, centrist poo poo head?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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davecrazy posted:Daily Kos: I don't know what they are seeing, but Biden is still up 54.3% to 43.9% with 82.6% reporting in NE2.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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BrianWilly posted:So Biden just lost Ohio. Explain to me, like I'm a literal child, what he needs now in order to win? Michigan and Wisconsin or Michigan and Minnesota, or any two of those and Pennsylvania.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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Youth Decay posted:Again, I'm not sure why it's considered a swing state. MN has voted for Democrats every election since 1976, the longest of any state. You say that but the MN state senate is getting slaughtered.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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It's after midnight, and I think the current map should give me an opportunity to drift off to sleep (uneasy as it may be). Here's hoping the country isn't on fire when I wake up in a few hours.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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i think at this point biden is pretty likely to win having taken arizona, however the results tonight bode really loving bad for 2022 and especially 2024
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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3rdEyeDeuteranopia posted:https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323854833057779712 Bahahahahahah the fuckkkk???
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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Darko posted:True, depends on what Macomb does because it could add 50,000 D or 10,000 D, depending on their mail ins, and it's super racist. Then it just goes ALL of the UP and what's left in Mid Michigan vs. the 200,000 or whatever net gain in Wayne. It's going to be weird, Macomb is what really shifted Clinton since Detroit turnout was so low, and it was like 20,000 votes. I grew up in Macomb county and lived there until I was 30. The working class whites are definitely Trump voters but there's probably an even split in my opinion. Oakland/Washtenaw/Wayne going heavy Biden will carry it IMO.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:14
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Tom Brokaw is old as gently caress
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Nov 4, 2020 06:14
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Starsfan posted:https://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1323853080593604610 why am I seeing this all over the place when there is a swingy 2016 county/precinct at the top there that went 100% JOBIDEN 100% THE NEW FLESH
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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I actually kind of like the scenario where Biden wins only because of AZ and it's all because McCain is loving Trump from his grave. I would have liked a Biden landslide more, but that doesn't look realistic.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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Does NOBODY remember the Alabama senate needle?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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If Georgia goes blue, do we have to stop making fun of 28-3?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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Well poo poo. Ernest is pulling head of Greenfield for the Iowa Senate seat. Likely 49/51 Red Senate unless mail-ins can change the trajectory.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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MJeff posted:I fear the needle. “I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.”
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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berserker posted:Bahahahahahah the fuckkkk??? The needle giveth, and the needle taketh away
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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DEEP STATE PLOT posted:i think at this point biden is pretty likely to win having taken arizona, however the results tonight bode really loving bad for 2022 and especially 2024 Not only that, Mark Kelly is looking good, and I'm basically calling the ballot measures now: AZ legalized  and is gonna tax the rich.Blue state baby.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:16
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E. Revenant posted:Well poo poo. Ernest is pulling head of Greenfield for the Iowa Senate seat. Likely 49/51 Red Senate unless mail-ins can change the trajectory. How are you getting 49/51 instead of 48/52? Collins and Tillis are both likely to win at this point, Jones lost, so along with Kelly and Hickenlooper, who am I forgetting?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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Crows Turn Off posted:It means Harris breaks the tie (if Biden wins). Realistically speaking, a 50/50 Senate means that Joe Manchin is the true deciding vote on almost everything.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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Insta-calling MN when Hillary won it by 1.5 sounds important?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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fadam posted:Why does it take so long to count mail ballots? Even if they can’t start until late today, why all the way to Friday? In PA, we were disallowed from pre-canvassing mail-ins until today (9 AM if memory serves). That means that our county-level boards of elections had to wait to verify that the mail-in is, in fact valid, and to open it. So, at 9 AM today, they started that process for ~2.5 million ballots. My county only got through a third of mail-ins, probably for this reason. But, yeah, opening 2.5 million envelopes is a big undertaking, and they've gotta do that twice for each ballot. They have, officially, counted ~416k ballots of 2.5 million for this reason. Several counties have also said they weren't going to bother with doing anything today because of manpower reasons. Beaver Co, which is half of PA-17, has 150k that haven't been touched, and that's more votes than have been reported in that race, in total.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323855158174978049 Nate Silver is also gloating a bit on this.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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Oh thank the lord Stoney beat out Gray in the Richmond VA Mayor's race. Rodgers got 24% for 3rd place so I feel slightly less bad about voting with my head and not my heart. And the far right scumbag MIKE DICKINSON GOT BLOWN THE gently caress OUT for his city council race a distant 3rd place! Sanity prevails.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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MJeff posted:If Georgia goes blue, do we have to stop making fun of 28-3? Nope. Never let us Georgians forget. We won't, but we need the reminder.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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LegendaryFrog posted:My Trumper contacts are absolutely livid / spinning the conspiracy narrative around George Soros bursting the waterline in the Atlanta office to give dems cover to steal Georgia. please post them the tears sustain me
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Nov 4, 2020 06:18
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Promoted Pawn posted:Realistically speaking, a 50/50 Senate means that Joe Manchin is the true deciding vote on almost everything. So basically my version of hell.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:18
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Almost Smart posted:It's after midnight, and I think the current map should give me an opportunity to drift off to sleep (uneasy as it may be). Here's hoping the country isn't on fire when I wake up in a few hours. It will be. But from climate change not the other stuff don't worry.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:18
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TraderStav posted:I grew up in Macomb county and lived there until I was 30. The working class whites are definitely Trump voters but there's probably an even split in my opinion. Oakland/Washtenaw/Wayne going heavy Biden will carry it IMO. Macomb has shifted a little since. It used to be slightly blue. Then Detroit had its resurgence and the younger, less red/racist people moved downtown or out, and the ones that were still scared of the city stayed out there and got more insular. There's a huge shift so that Macomb is like 60 percent red now in the last couple of elections.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:18
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Hey everyone! Get a big cup of water and chug it right now!
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Nov 4, 2020 06:18
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DynamicSloth posted:DO NOT look upon the needle, it will deceive you. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iBdxN2oy8xM best song on Mindcrime imo Don't eeeever trust, ever trust the needle, it lies
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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Minnesota's in the bag for Biden
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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E. Revenant posted:Well poo poo. Ernest is pulling head of Greenfield for the Iowa Senate seat. Likely 49/51 Red Senate unless mail-ins can change the trajectory. Ossoff may gain some votes with the Fulton/ Dekalb votes. Not likely enough to win VS Perdue probably. But if we think Biden has a chance at winning with the outstanding Atlanta area vote, we might be able to lump Ossoff in there too.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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LegendaryFrog posted:My Trumper contacts are absolutely livid / spinning the conspiracy narrative around George Soros bursting the waterline in the Atlanta office to give dems cover to steal Georgia. I read this post out loud to my 19 year old daughter and she giggled relentlessly.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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