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Coredump posted:I think Trump will get Georgia by 50,000 votes if the napkin math I'm doing is correct. As far as I can tell Fulton is the last county to report and there's only 15,000 some votes left to tally. The split between Biden and Trump right now stands at 66,380. https://twitter.com/ajc/status/1324112940157542401
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Nov 4, 2020 23:46
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hey everyone. just woke up and saw that MI has been called for biden. do we have any other updates? and is biden still looking good to win?
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Nov 4, 2020 23:47
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The biggest counter to "Dems stole the election" is "then why wouldn't we have stolen the Senate too?"
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Nov 4, 2020 23:47
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Mr Interweb posted:hey everyone. just woke up and saw that MI has been called for biden. do we have any other updates? and is biden still looking good to win? We're waiting on NV results that are coming out tonight. If NV holds for Biden, along with AZ, then Biden hits 270. Failing that, PA is still on track to end up swinging to Biden.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:48
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Zotix posted:Any update on this? Looks to be from this morning. Don't think that's the case now. Most ballots left are from D Maricopa.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:48
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BigBallChunkyTime posted:I hereby claim the moon, because why the hell not. https://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2013/03/25/meet-the-man-who-owns-the-moon
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Nov 4, 2020 23:49
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Zotix posted:Any update on this? Most of the outstanding votes in AZ are in urban Phoenix/Maricopa County. Is there a reason to believe these will suddenly break red?
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Nov 4, 2020 23:50
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BonoMan posted:Looks to be from this morning. Don't think that's the case now. Most ballots left are from D Maricopa. That's right. Maricopa usually goes Republican and this was based on that, but the actual results this year have had Maricopa go lightly blue
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Nov 4, 2020 23:51
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Glumwheels posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/1324116138763128842 Wall his rear end up in there Cask of Amontillado style, we can build a new bunker later.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:51
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I have important news https://twitter.com/dave_schilling/status/1324114742378573824?s=21
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Nov 4, 2020 23:51
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Is there a source for the ballots that are left in Arizona being from Maricopa?
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Nov 4, 2020 23:52
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Zotix posted:Any update on this? Well if some unverified randos say it..
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Nov 4, 2020 23:52
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Dick Jones posted:Most of the outstanding votes in AZ are in urban Phoenix/Maricopa County. Is there a reason to believe these will suddenly break red? Here's Nate Silver's take on AZ (take it for what you will) quote:Arizona. We may need to do a longer post on Arizona later. What’s left to count is mostly mail votes that were returned late in the process — on Monday or Tuesday. There’s some ambiguity about how many ballots this actually is; Edison Research seems to think around 450,000. If so, Trump would need to win those votes by 21 points to overtake Biden’s current 93,000-vote lead. They’re disrupted fairly evenly throughout the state.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:52
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Bizarro Watt posted:Is there a source for the ballots that are left in Arizona being from Maricopa? CNN has been reporting it all day. 400k in Maricopa and 200k in a neighboring blue county.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:53
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Rea posted:We're waiting on NV results that are coming out tonight. If NV holds for Biden, along with AZ, then Biden hits 270. You talking about Pennsylvania? Trump has a 5% lead over Biden in that state, its coming down to Nevada or Bust here.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:53
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I would be so happy to be wrong.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:53
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Rea posted:PA by EOD? Huh? We were told full results wouldn't be until Thursday or Friday. EOD might be the "arrived by election" cutoff, the one that would take overt ratfuckery to undo. Trump team is hoping that's not enough and they can stop the ones postmarked ones from being counted because they know the writing is on the wall, it's just a question if the mail-in up to election day plus their attempts to stop mail sorting were enough.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:53
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BigBallChunkyTime posted:CNN has been reporting it all day. 400k in Maricopa and 200k in a neighboring blue county. They don't so much seem blue as statistically much less read than the rest of Arizona. Trump won it by 50K votes in 2016 but it's said to have gotten bluer since then.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:54
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Parrotine posted:You talking about Pennsylvania? Trump has a 5% lead over Biden in that state, its coming down to Nevada or Bust here. PA has like a million mail-in ballots to count and they are expecting those to lean D
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Nov 4, 2020 23:54
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Parrotine posted:You talking about Pennsylvania? Trump has a 5% lead over Biden in that state, its coming down to Nevada or Bust here. The majority of the remaining votes are supposed to be for Biden though
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Nov 4, 2020 23:54
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I'm not too optimistic about AZ. The earliest vote was always going to lean the most blue, while the mail in ballots that arrived closer to election day have tilted towards the Democrats a lot less.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:55
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Parrotine posted:You talking about Pennsylvania? Trump has a 5% lead over Biden in that state, its coming down to Nevada or Bust here. And Trump's lead at the start of today was over 10%. He's consistently losing significant chunks of it to Dem mail-in ballots being counted.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:55
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Dick Jones posted:Most of the outstanding votes in AZ are in urban Phoenix/Maricopa County. Is there a reason to believe these will suddenly break red? i've seen data Orbital being thought of highly by the people who crunch the numbers in AZ, but who the hell knows after the last couple of days
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Nov 4, 2020 23:55
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The issue with AZ is that the ballots are weighted towards GOP registrations, but so were the ballots that Biden is winning with so far, so we don’t really know how blue or red they will be, but we also don’t have reason to believe they will be any redder than what’s already reported.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:56
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GM-e46xdcUo
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Nov 4, 2020 23:56
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brugroffil posted:#1 is owning the libs/elite, seems accurate I can relate to that at least. Grew up affluent in an NYC suburb and I hated pretty much everyone around me and loved offending libs
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Nov 4, 2020 23:57
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Also Trump needs like 70% of those ballots to win AZ and the D/R registration split doesn’t account for the large amount of nonaligned ballots. We will know more in 4 hours but for now I’d much rather be Biden than Trump in AZ.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:57
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Apraxin posted:https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324108863059099648 Wait speaking of orbital data how do astronauts vote
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Nov 4, 2020 23:58
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Rea posted:We're waiting on NV results that are coming out tonight. If NV holds for Biden, along with AZ, then Biden hits 270. thanks, friendo. some of this AZ talk is a bit worrying. i thought it was a lock for biden up until this morning?
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Nov 4, 2020 23:58
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https://twitter.com/TheOnion/status/1324121001546964993
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Nov 4, 2020 23:58
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A GIANT PARSNIP posted:The issue with AZ is that the ballots are weighted towards GOP registrations, but so were the ballots that Biden is winning with so far, so we don’t really know how blue or red they will be, but we also don’t have reason to believe they will be any redder than what’s already reported. wait, does this suggest it was actually red crossover that won Biden AZ? because if so progressivism is dead it's already dead but this just beats up the corpse a bit
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Nov 4, 2020 23:58
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I have a confession to make. Please don’t report me to the authorities. I stole the election; all of it.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:58
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poo poo. Is Biden going to lose? poo poo poo poo poo poo. AZ and PA are tight. He's not going to get GA. This could be it :\
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Nov 4, 2020 23:58
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Is the popular vote going to be closer this year? (might be too early to tell)
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Nov 4, 2020 23:59
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Gaius Marius posted:Wait speaking of orbital data how do astronauts vote With the sound of victory in their ears, if Senator-elect Kelly is any example.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:59
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CelestialScribe posted:poo poo. Is Biden going to lose? i should log off
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Nov 4, 2020 23:59
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CelestialScribe posted:poo poo. Is Biden going to lose? Take a nap. For your own sake.
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Nov 4, 2020 23:59
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Rinkles posted:Is the popular vote going to be closer this year? (might be too early to tell) Biden wins electoral college. Trump wins popular vote and everyone goes apeshit.
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Nov 5, 2020 00:00
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not the resolute desk! https://twitter.com/notcapnamerica/status/1324116065828458496
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Nov 5, 2020 00:00
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AZ is going to be alright.
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Nov 5, 2020 00:00
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