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kiimo posted:CEH and Sanders still good I think Jacobs is too. My comment was more about how much all of their stocks have crashed over the last couple years.
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Aug 11, 2021 20:41
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Yea 2 years ago having Mixon Jacobs and Sanders was ridiculous on paper.
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Aug 11, 2021 21:58
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fsif posted:So for simple office redraft leagues, what service do you guys typically use? We've been using ESPN for a while and I hate it, but sounds like most the popular alternatives (Yahoo, CBS) are maybe worse. If I have a choice I go with Sleeper. Might not be an issue if you regularly speak with all these people irl but if it's just online it's so much easier to talk to people about trades, quickly flag down your commish if you need, or just playful banter during the season. You just scroll through the main window and see everything happening. Feels like you're playing with real people instead of just bots. There's maybe a couple annoyances like how they handle IR and, at least for me, it runs like dogshit on my phone. freeman fucked around with this message at 22:15 on Aug 11, 2021 |
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Aug 11, 2021 22:11
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I’m also a little hesitant to grab Chase because I already have Mixon and Higgins. Owning the entire Bengal skill position set doesn’t sound great.
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Aug 12, 2021 01:15
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RCarr posted:I’m also a little hesitant to grab Chase because I already have Mixon and Higgins. Owning the entire Bengal skill position set doesn’t sound great. Obviously go Etienne to get those Jaguar shares
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Aug 12, 2021 01:54
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RCarr posted:Yea Evans is going with the second pick. I assume the first pick will be Harris but ya never know. If you have a flex, then I’d go either Etienne or even Pitts. I’d actually go Pitts and play him and Kittle. Then move off Kittle in the next year or so if Pitts does in fact become what everyone believes he will.
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Aug 12, 2021 13:46
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1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE and three flex slots (WR/RB/TE)
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Aug 12, 2021 15:21
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 Superflex Auction DataThanks to those of you who participated in our recent 10 team superflex auction:  Although this is just one piece of data, I can combine it with the market trends I have predicted and seen in my ~100 mostly-human mocks to come up with some really good strategy: In 1QB auctions, the bottom falls out of the WR market somewhere around WR18 in 2021. Every. Single Time. Here, the WR discounts start at the very top and the bottom appears to drop out around WR 5 (Diggs for $27 in a 3-WR league is insane). So, spend a huge chunk, I'm saying like 75% of your budget on your QBs and your RBs. Then recoup this cost with your $16 Keenan Allens and your $8 cooper Kupps. Again, literally every WR outside of the top tier should fetch a price well under 50% of what they usually go for. Wait on your favorites. Also it seems like mid-teen$ is enough to get a top 6 TE. I say "seems" because I don't have hundreds of single-QB auction data points to back it up. However, it happened here and it makes sense based on obvious closed-market economics principles. Also, if you find yourself overdrawn at QB, the RB2 market crashed here, as well. Obviously, that doesn't happen often at 1QB mocks, but Ekeler for $20, Dobbins for $15, Carson for $17, and many more are a strong indication you can spend a big chunk of your $150 on top QBs and a top RB, then value shop to fill out your running back stable for about $30-40.
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Aug 12, 2021 18:46
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In fact, that one draft worked so well in seeing economic theory actually play out into something I can form a strategy around. I want to try to fill out a 12-team superflex for this Sunday's stream. Please join if you can, this data will help goons destroy their auction SF leagues, as it's data that's not really gettable anywhere else: https://sleeper.app/draft/nfl/731598465959833600?ftue=commish Starts at 1 PM PST on Saturday 8/14. DATA!
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Aug 12, 2021 18:47
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Man, I still don't know how I feel about my team. I hate my receivers, but I'm so deep at QB/RB I think it'd end up solid.
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Aug 12, 2021 19:57
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PoM wins the league this year. If Tebowfan15 has a good year from Baker then he's second. Team5 and Nerds gonna be powerhouses too, but I got money on PoM and Tebowfan. Is that the bestball league mentioned so we can see how it goes later?
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Aug 12, 2021 20:04
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Spermy Smurf posted:PoM wins the league this year. If Tebowfan15 has a good year from Baker then he's second. Team5 and Nerds gonna be powerhouses too, but I got money on PoM and Tebowfan. It was just a mock Superflex to figure out trends because there is so little information out there. If it were a best ball league, I'd have drafted very different.
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Aug 12, 2021 20:17
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Spermy Smurf posted:PoM wins the league this year. If Tebowfan15 has a good year from Baker then he's second. Team5 and Nerds gonna be powerhouses too, but I got money on PoM and Tebowfan. I want to link the best ball league, but Sleeper only allows best ball on it's app (even though it let me draft on pc, wtf). I cannot figure out how to share this drat league. Edit: It was in settings https://sleeper.app/i/V56aDYYWqMRZ
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Aug 12, 2021 21:44
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Is Kelce worth 1.04 in PPR redraft? I'm hoping for Kamara and I'm leery on Barkley and Henry. I assume McCaffrey and Cook will be taken.
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Aug 12, 2021 22:40
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The Zack posted:Is Kelce worth 1.04 in PPR redraft? I'm hoping for Kamara and I'm leery on Barkley and Henry. I assume McCaffrey and Cook will be taken. Any chance you can trade down a couple spots?
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Aug 12, 2021 23:30
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The Zack posted:Is Kelce worth 1.04 in PPR redraft? I'm hoping for Kamara and I'm leery on Barkley and Henry. I assume McCaffrey and Cook will be taken. It’s a reach for sure. Waller and Kittle typically go around the 2/3 turn, so taking an RB isn’t even giving up a positional advantage in this case unless you for some reason think Henry is going to bust. If that’s the case I’d probably prefer Adams over Kelce if you’re in a league that starts 3 WRs or more than one flex.
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Aug 13, 2021 01:08
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The Zack posted:Is Kelce worth 1.04 in PPR redraft? I'm hoping for Kamara and I'm leery on Barkley and Henry. I assume McCaffrey and Cook will be taken. Man you’d be swinging for the fences but it could pay off. He carried my team last year I’m staying far away from Saquon. Elliott and Aaron Jones should be there too. I’m going to get an RB in the first round cause the drop off in the mid second round is steep
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Aug 13, 2021 01:49
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freeman posted:Any chance you can trade down a couple spots? Not sure how trading redraft picks works. Unless you mean getting the commish to swap my position with someone else's. dkj posted:It’s a reach for sure. Waller and Kittle typically go around the 2/3 turn, so taking an RB isn’t even giving up a positional advantage in this case unless you for some reason think Henry is going to bust. If that’s the case I’d probably prefer Adams over Kelce if you’re in a league that starts 3 WRs or more than one flex. That's a great point. It's 2 RB 2 WR 1 TE 1FLX, so RB is important. Keith Atherton posted:Man you’d be swinging for the fences but it could pay off. He carried my team last year Our league winner won in no small part because of Kelce. And late 2nd round, the best I can hope for at RB are CEH, Carson or Montgomery. Thanks for the input. I'll probably take Henry if the other 3 RBs are taken.
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Aug 13, 2021 05:23
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The Zack posted:Not sure how trading redraft picks works. Unless you mean getting the commish to swap my position with someone else's. You trade your 1.04 and say a 3.04 for someone’s 1.07 and 2.03 or whatever.
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Aug 13, 2021 06:35
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RCarr posted:You trade your 1.04 and say a 3.04 for someone’s 1.07 and 2.03 or whatever.
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Aug 13, 2021 12:46
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AAAAA! Real Muenster posted:I have never seen a redraft league that allows pick trading. You need to be in better redraft leagues then.
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Aug 13, 2021 14:15
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RCarr posted:1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE and three flex slots (WR/RB/TE) I’d go Etienne or Pitts with that starter requirements.
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Aug 13, 2021 14:16
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The Zack posted:And late 2nd round, the best I can hope for at RB are CEH, Carson or Montgomery. Okay, sounds like you answered your own question. When is your draft? Let us know how your round 2/3 shakes out
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Aug 13, 2021 14:58
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Sep. 5. I did a mock and got Kamara, CEH and Lamb. I'd share, but it was on ESPN and it was mostly auto drafters. The Zack fucked around with this message at 15:52 on Aug 13, 2021 |
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Aug 13, 2021 15:50
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AAAAA! Real Muenster posted:I have never seen a redraft league that allows pick trading. I’m so sorry for you
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Aug 13, 2021 17:06
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The Zack posted:Is Kelce worth 1.04 in PPR redraft? I'm hoping for Kamara and I'm leery on Barkley and Henry. I assume McCaffrey and Cook will be taken.
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Aug 13, 2021 17:52
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Yea I’d take Henry in a second there.
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Aug 13, 2021 17:53
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I wouldn't hesitate with Henry or Zeke at 1.04.
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Aug 13, 2021 17:57
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My hesitation on Henry is his mileage. The more I look, the more it seems that shouldn't be a problem this year. I've never had any shares of him, so he's been off my radar.
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Aug 13, 2021 18:37
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dy. posted:I get that Henry is less valuable in PPR but why on earth are you leery on him? He is a human tank who doesn't get injured and is arguably the best back in the league in a good offense that uses him heavily. Now you've jinxed it.
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Aug 13, 2021 18:57
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The Zack posted:My hesitation on Henry is his mileage. The more I look, the more it seems that shouldn't be a problem this year. I've never had any shares of him, so he's been off my radar. You can’t know one way or the other until it’s way too late anyway.
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Aug 13, 2021 20:51
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Snakemock in 5 https://sleeper.app/draft/nfl/731999087548805120?ftue=commish 12 team ppr
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Aug 13, 2021 21:04
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Drunk Nerds posted:Snakemock in 5
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Aug 13, 2021 21:16
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dy. posted:I get that Henry is less valuable in PPR but why on earth are you leery on him? He is a human tank who doesn't get injured and is arguably the best back in the league in a good offense that uses him heavily.
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Aug 14, 2021 01:09
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Adding to that if you have a top 3 pick and you spend it on a floor play you’re doing it wrong.
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Aug 14, 2021 01:41
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Never done a guillotine league and I'm up now and basically have until tomorrow to decide (slow draft). Pick 14/18, ppr, 1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE/2WRT. Barkley and Harris still there but wouldn't feel confident with either in week 1. Other top guys available: player - bye Ridley 6 Hopkins 12 Mixon 10 Gibson 9 CEH 12 Jefferson 7 Learning towards Ridley but I hear you're supposed to want guys with late byes. Anyone else jump out? Or should I just go Barkley and hope I get past the first couple weeks lol. freeman fucked around with this message at 02:45 on Aug 14, 2021 |
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Aug 14, 2021 02:37
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Got my one and only serious league in-person draft tomorrow. I've done zero prep due to being swamped at work. No way this could go wrong. It's a 2QB/2RB/3WR league too, should be easy!
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Aug 14, 2021 03:04
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Zero_Grade posted:Got my one and only serious league in-person draft tomorrow. I've done zero prep due to being swamped at work. No way this could go wrong. 2QB means take QBs asap
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Aug 14, 2021 03:06
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Fate Accomplice posted:
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Aug 14, 2021 04:00
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buffalo all day posted:Adding to that if you have a top 3 pick and you spend it on a floor play you’re doing it wrong. But he is 1.04, and presumably CMC, Cook, and Kamara will be gone unless there is a crazy person managing one of the first 3 teams. 1.04 is a very rough spot this year, it feels like you're overdrafting whomever you take
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Aug 14, 2021 05:00
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