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mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin
Judging by the Florida games, bama gonna lose to Georgia in seccg then win the natty over them , again

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PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer

TheAlmightyFrog posted:

Kentucky is a favorite against LSU and I don't know what's real in this world any more. Gotta admit it feels pretty good.

You are in the beginning of the "Arkansas ... good???" storyline and it'll ramp into high gear when you beat LSU

single-mode fiber
Dec 30, 2012

downout posted:

The spreads this week on the pick-em have so many away favorite traps.

ND -1.5 vs @Virginia, Michigan -3 vs @Nebraska - sure!

Want to bet against UGA and Bama covering? Not really!

This one's actually Notre Dame at Virginia Tech, so it'll be a further tough road environment for at least the 1st defensive series of the game.

Taerkar
Dec 7, 2002

kind of into it, really

TheAlmightyFrog posted:

Kentucky is a favorite against LSU and I don't know what's real in this world any more. Gotta admit it feels pretty good.

LSU isn't good this year.

Grittybeard
Mar 29, 2010

Bad, very bad!

Taerkar posted:

LSU isn't good this year.

Been a whole lot of years where this part wouldn't have mattered though.

PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer
Let's play a game I'm calling Does LSU Make a Bowl Game This Year?

They are 3-2 right now. Remaining schedule

@ Kentucky
vs. Florida
@ Ole Miss
@ Bama
vs. Arkansas
vs. ULM
vs. Aggy

I vote no

Neil Armbong
Jan 16, 2004

If anybody wants to see, there's a Donkey Kong kill screen coming up.
Pillbug

PostNouveau posted:

OU opened -5 on Texas and the line quickly moved to -3.5

The only predictable thing about the Shootout is its unpredictability. With OU struggling in every game I've decided that the most surprising thing now would be for them to just kick the poo poo out us, so that's probably how it's gonna go

Def feels like an OU kicks the poo poo out of us year.

dirty shrimp money
Jan 8, 2001

pre:
Delta	Team			Record	Score
+2	1. Iowa			5-0	4.1421
-1	2. Michigan		5-0	3.3484
+3	3. Georgia		5-0	3.3320
-	4. Alabama		5-0	3.0805
+6	5. Penn State		5-0	2.7966
+19	6. Cincinnati		4-0	2.5870
+3	7. BYU			5-0	2.5322
+4	8. Oklahoma		5-0	2.4375
-7	9. Arkansas		4-1	2.4302
-1	10. Texas		4-1	2.3875
+11	11. Ohio State		4-1	2.2893
+5	12. Wake Forest		5-0	2.1637
+3	13. Michigan State	5-0	2.0990
+6	14. Oklahoma State	5-0	2.0458
+9	15. Western Michigan	4-1	2.0380
-9	16. Oregon		4-1	2.0076
-2	17. Baylor		4-1	2.0000
+5	18. Auburn		4-1	1.9509
+15	19. Coastal Carolina	5-0	1.8757
+10	20. UTSA		5-0	1.7731
+20	21. Pittsburgh		4-1	1.7402
-17	22. Notre Dame		4-1	1.7398
+5	23. Oregon State	4-1	1.7203
+19	24. Houston		4-1	1.7050
+1	25. Kentucky		5-0	1.6975
			
			
-4	121. Old Dominion	1-4	-1.4442
-9	122. Southern Miss	1-4	-1.5659
+2	123. Arizona		0-4	-1.5873
-	124. Florida Intl	1-4	-1.6496
+4	125. Ohio U		1-4	-1.8016
-6	126. Arkansas State	1-4	-1.8850
-1	127. Massachusetts	0-4	-1.9602
-1	128. New Mexico State	1-5	-2.0069
-1	129. UNLV		0-5	-2.1199
-	130. Connecticut	0-6	-3.4183

pre:
 
Delta	Team			Rec	Score
-12	26. Ole Miss		3-1	1.6565
+6	27. SMU			5-0	1.6316
+8	28. NC State		4-1	1.6270
+8	29. Arizona State	4-1	1.6080
-12	30. Boston College	4-1	1.4361
+9	31. San Diego State	4-0	1.3945
+22	32. Air Force		4-1	1.3859
+13	33. Wyoming		4-0	1.3516
+4	34. Liberty		4-1	1.3506
+20	35. Iowa State		3-2	1.3284
+24	36. Clemson		3-2	1.3088
+7	37. Virginia Tech	3-1	1.2747
-25	38. Maryland		4-1	1.2468
+10	39. Texas Tech		4-1	1.1394
+22	40. South Carolina	3-2	1.1036
-33	41. Rutgers		3-2	1.0681
+19	42. North Carolina	3-2	1.0590
+16	43. Tennessee		3-2	1.0542
+14	44. Appalachian State	4-1	1.0524
+27	45. Nebraska		3-3	1.0305
+23	46. Stanford		3-2	0.9800
-18	47. Army		4-1	0.9116
+26	48. Mississippi State	3-2	0.8817
+17	49. Louisiana		4-1	0.8233		
Delta	Team			Rec	Score
-19	50. LSU			3-2	0.8053
-3	51. South Alabama	3-1	0.8031
+29	52. Toledo		3-2	0.8017
-26	53. UCLA		3-2	0.7942
-35	54. Texas A&M		3-2	0.7905
+21	55. USC			3-2	0.7393
+15	56. Minnesota		3-2	0.7305
+10	57. Nevada		3-1	0.7291
-23	58. Syracuse		3-2	0.7052
-20	59. Louisville		3-2	0.7045
-28	60. Purdue		3-2	0.6167
-16	61. Kansas State	3-2	0.6022
+11	62. Virginia		3-2	0.5582
+22	63. Florida Atlantic	3-2	0.5548
-43	64. Fresno State	4-2	0.4973
+18	65. UTEP		4-1	0.4802
+20	66. Temple		3-2	0.4628
-20	67. UCF			2-2	0.3377
-26	68. Florida		3-2	0.3312
-19	69. Duke		3-2	0.2841
-14	70. TCU			2-2	0.2528
+7	71. Utah		2-2	0.1860
-9	72. Eastern Michigan	3-2	0.1831
+20	73. East Carolina	3-2	0.1576
+22	74. Kent State		2-3	0.1430
Delta	Team			Rec	Score
-24	75. Georgia Tech	2-3	0.0872
-19	76. West Virginia	2-3	0.0499
+23	77. Hawaii		3-3	0.0439
-10	78. Charlotte		3-2	0.0331
-27	79. UAB			3-2	-0.0218
-16	80. Louisiana-Monroe	2-2	-0.1266
-11	81. Memphis		3-2	-0.1617
-3	82. Miami (FL)		2-3	-0.1646
+15	83. Northern Illinois	3-2	-0.2116
-19	84. Missouri		2-3	-0.2202
-8	85. Washington		2-3	-0.2210
+18	86. Middle Tennessee	2-3	-0.2245
+12	87. Georgia Southern	2-3	-0.2351
+13	88. Illinois		2-4	-0.2685
-7	89. Utah State		3-2	-0.2797
-37	90. Boise State		2-3	-0.2836
-7	91. Indiana		2-3	-0.2927
+11	92. San Jose State	3-2	-0.3298
+15	93. Washington State	2-3	-0.3591
-19	94. Northwestern	2-3	-0.3891
-15	95. Troy		2-3	-0.4223
-6	96. Louisiana Tech	2-3	-0.4356
-10	97. Buffalo		2-3	-0.5430
-9	98. Central Michigan	2-3	-0.5619
-5	99. Wisconsin		1-3	-0.5655
Delta	Team			Rec	Score
+10	100. Miami (OH)		2-3	-0.6099
-10	101. Bowling Green	2-3	-0.6289
-7	102. Western Kentucky	1-3	-0.6599
-15	103. Marshall		2-3	-0.7045
+10	104. Rice		2-3	-0.7347
+16	105. Ball State		2-3	-0.8277
+3	106. Colorado State	1-3	-0.8652
-15	107. New Mexico		2-3	-0.8798
+15	108. Navy		1-3	-0.9083
-7	109. California		1-4	-0.9978
-13	110. Kansas		1-4	-1.0000
-6	111. Colorado		1-4	-1.0152
+3	112. North Texas	1-3	-1.0301
+9	113. Florida State	1-4	-1.0772
-3	114. Texas State	1-3	-1.1031
+4	115. Vanderbilt		2-3	-1.1191
-10	116. Tulsa		1-4	-1.1306
-1	117. South Florida	1-4	-1.2264
-6	118. Georgia State	1-4	-1.3267
-12	119. Tulane		1-4	-1.3652
-2	120. Akron		1-4	-1.4149

dirty shrimp money fucked around with this message at 14:03 on Oct 5, 2021

Democratic Pirate
Feb 17, 2010

Texas is going to have a resurgent second half of the season culminating in beating a broken (by Alabama) Georgia team in a NY6 bowl, which thereby lets them claim a retroactive win over Arkansas

downout
Jul 6, 2009

single-mode fiber posted:

This one's actually Notre Dame at Virginia Tech, so it'll be a further tough road environment for at least the 1st defensive series of the game.

Ya, I misread that, but that doesn't change much. Sure VT has a defense that statistically appears to be substantially better than virginia. But ooof, that offense is in the complete opposite direction from virginia. Like almost wisconsin bad.

edit: Considering VT's defense as closer to quality to cincinnati, the offense might be a bit better than wisconsin, and it's a VT home game makes that line looks like quite a coin flip.

downout fucked around with this message at 15:33 on Oct 4, 2021

Joey Freshwater
Jun 20, 2004

Always playing with my meat
Grimey Drawer

PostNouveau posted:

Let's play a game I'm calling Does LSU Make a Bowl Game This Year?

They are 3-2 right now. Remaining schedule

@ Kentucky
vs. Florida
@ Ole Miss
@ Bama
vs. Arkansas
vs. ULM
vs. Aggy

I vote no

Woof yeah that could get ugly. Probably the only guaranteed win on there is ULM. They could easily go 4-8.

Scarf
Jun 24, 2005

On sight
Yo can someone make a gif out of this robot doing the running man?

https://twitter.com/SportsCenter/status/1445035414017003521?s=19

Komet
Apr 4, 2003

I don't know in what world Nebraska is only a 3 point underdog to Michigan.

Seaniqua
Mar 12, 2004

"We'll see how the first year goes. But people better get us now, because we're going to keep getting better and better."
My advice is to continue never betting on Nebraska games

kayakyakr
Feb 16, 2004

Kayak is true
Texas Tech jumping out to a 17-0 lead and then holding on for a 23-20 win means that a bowl game (and another Wells season) is in sight.

Frankly, going to have to win the next two vs TCU and Kansas, because every other game will be a fairly significant upset.

KKKLIP ART
Sep 3, 2004

PostNouveau posted:

Let's play a game I'm calling Does LSU Make a Bowl Game This Year?

They are 3-2 right now. Remaining schedule

@ Kentucky
vs. Florida
@ Ole Miss
@ Bama
vs. Arkansas
vs. ULM
vs. Aggy

I vote no

I think they win against ULM and saggy, drop the rest and get a waiver for a bowl this year at 5 wins.

Spacemonkey57
Dec 1, 2004

Komet posted:

I don't know in what world Nebraska is only a 3 point underdog to Michigan.

Yeah typically when I see a too good to be true line like that one I’d bet The other way but I don’t think I can will myself to bet on Nebraska there.

It did work last week because I didn’t think there was any way in hell Georgia would thump Arkansas like that but when somebody here posted that the bulk of the money at MGM was on Arkansas I held my nose and bet on UGA.

wa27
Jan 15, 2007

There is a weird lowkey hype about Nebraska right now despite the fact that we have only won three games against three lovely teams. Previously our fans would get excited after a win over a ranked team, but the last time we did that was 2016 so I guess we have to start counting "moral victories" now.

YOLOsubmarine
Oct 19, 2004

When asked which Pokemon he evolved into, Kamara pauses.

"Motherfucking, what's that big dragon shit? That orange motherfucker. Charizard."

PostNouveau posted:

Let's play a game I'm calling Does LSU Make a Bowl Game This Year?

They are 3-2 right now. Remaining schedule

@ Kentucky
vs. Florida
@ Ole Miss
@ Bama
vs. Arkansas
vs. ULM
vs. Aggy

I vote no

Yea, they will. They’ll end up at 6 or 7. I couldn’t tell you which of these teams they beat, but this just has the feel of one of those Les Miles teams that looks like poo poo but still wins some games they probably shouldn’t based on talent and luck. It’s a better team than last year and that team somehow went 5-5.

Thermos H Christ
Sep 6, 2007

WINNINGEST BEVO

PostNouveau posted:

OU opened -5 on Texas and the line quickly moved to -3.5

The only predictable thing about the Shootout is its unpredictability. With OU struggling in every game I've decided that the most surprising thing now would be for them to just kick the poo poo out us, so that's probably how it's gonna go

A team that wins the conference every year finding a way to beat the rival they usually beat would be much less surprising than Texas running up the score on a helpless OU. When was the last time that happened?

boop the snoot
Jun 3, 2016
LSU can beat Florida.

Judgy Fucker
Mar 24, 2006

Thermos H Christ posted:

A team that wins the conference every year finding a way to beat the rival they usually beat would be much less surprising than Texas running up the score on a helpless OU. When was the last time that happened?

Texas won by 16 in 2013, though "running up the score" probably dates back to 2005. Didn't Texas do something that year?

http://www.winsipedia.com/oklahoma/vs/texas

Neil Armbong
Jan 16, 2004

If anybody wants to see, there's a Donkey Kong kill screen coming up.
Pillbug

Thermos H Christ posted:

A team that wins the conference every year finding a way to beat the rival they usually beat would be much less surprising than Texas running up the score on a helpless OU. When was the last time that happened?

Wasn't the last win 2013 under Strong? Idk if that was a blowout tho.

PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer

Thermos H Christ posted:

A team that wins the conference every year finding a way to beat the rival they usually beat would be much less surprising than Texas running up the score on a helpless OU. When was the last time that happened?

2005 was probably the last real whuppin' we put on them. 2013 was a 16-point win, but not nearly as close as that score makes it look.

Taerkar
Dec 7, 2002

kind of into it, really

Grittybeard posted:

Been a whole lot of years where this part wouldn't have mattered though.

Oh I very much know that.

PostNouveau posted:

Let's play a game I'm calling Does LSU Make a Bowl Game This Year?

They are 3-2 right now. Remaining schedule

@ Kentucky
vs. Florida
@ Ole Miss
@ Bama
vs. Arkansas
vs. ULM
vs. Aggy

I vote no

I don't feel comfortable picking out two wins from that list, let alone three. But if I had to...

ULM, Ole Miss, and Florida, and that last one is purely spite driven.

G-Hawk
Dec 15, 2003

Texas is gonna kick the poo poo out of Oklahoma and have a playoff contender?? hype cycle for about a week then lose to okie st.

Probably

Athanatos
Jun 7, 2006

Est. 2000

Scarf posted:

Yo can someone make a gif out of this robot doing the running man?



If you want something changed let me know

Judgy Fucker
Mar 24, 2006

G-Hawk posted:

Texas is gonna kick the poo poo out of Oklahoma and have a playoff contender?? hype cycle for about a week then lose to okie st.

Probably

Not saying this is likely to happen, but it is the most likely scenario to come to fruition of "all possible worlds".

Lol line has moved again toward Texas, at -3

Asleep Style
Oct 20, 2010

Athanatos posted:



If you want something changed let me know

the engineering school is super proud of it but I am ashamed of the fascist robot

The Notorious ZSB
Apr 19, 2004

I SAID WE'RE NOT GONNA BE FUCKING SUCK THIS YEAR!!!

VT at night against ND should be a great environment. At least until the offense kicks itself in it's own dick and makes it painful to watch for VT fans. At least the defense is kinda fun again. I think given the ND offense's lack of explosion this year, it could be a tight fun game. I dunno Fu has gotten me conditioned to expect the worst from the team generally.

Too bad its on the ACCN and approximately half the people that want to see it will.

Go Vols Bitch. Great to see fun football around Rocky Top.

D.N. Nation
Feb 1, 2012

Neil Armbong posted:

Wasn't the last win 2013 under Strong? Idk if that was a blowout tho.

2013 was Mack's last year. At that point in the season, Texas looked like garbage and had already fired Manny Diaz. The Shootout win came out of nowhere.

Also came out of nowhere in 2015, Strong's win over OU. Texas was 1-4. Distinct memories of that day as while making gumbo, I turned from the end of that game to the beginning of Georgia/Tennessee to watch Nick Chubb's knee be obliterated on live television.

Shats Basoon
Jun 13, 2013

wa27 posted:

There is a weird lowkey hype about Nebraska right now despite the fact that we have only won three games against three lovely teams. Previously our fans would get excited after a win over a ranked team, but the last time we did that was 2016 so I guess we have to start counting "moral victories" now.

Michigan's wins aren't really that impressive right now. A couple of MAC wins, Washington and Wisconsin. Wisconsin will look better at the end of the season after they run through the West but other than that its a lot of meh, Then throw in the night game away from home. 5-0 is 5-0 and they got more talent than Nebraska but I wouldn't expect a blowout tbh.

Shats Basoon fucked around with this message at 18:50 on Oct 4, 2021

Mike_V
Jul 31, 2004

3/18/2023: Day of the Dorks
I wonder if Mizzou's defense will ever actually know what the play call is the rest of the year, or if they'll just look around befuddled

Dango Bango
Jul 26, 2007

How good is Michigan's DL? I've only had them on in the background so I haven't really been able to watch a game of theirs yet. If their DL is anywhere near decent, Nebraska is in trouble. Our OL is terrible.

The Notorious ZSB
Apr 19, 2004

I SAID WE'RE NOT GONNA BE FUCKING SUCK THIS YEAR!!!

Michigan is actually well and cohesively coached. They will beat nebraska bad.

Henchman of Santa
Aug 21, 2010

Dango Bango posted:

How good is Michigan's DL? I've only had them on in the background so I haven't really been able to watch a game of theirs yet. If their DL is anywhere near decent, Nebraska is in trouble. Our OL is terrible.

Pretty sure their front seven is their biggest strength.

Dango Bango
Jul 26, 2007

lol we're hosed then

Komet
Apr 4, 2003

Penn State is a 2.5 point underdog to Iowa and the O/U is 12 points

Henchman of Santa
Aug 21, 2010

Komet posted:

Penn State is a 2.5 point underdog to Iowa and the O/U is 12 points

12? I’m seeing 41.5 (definitely too high).

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Komet
Apr 4, 2003

That's the joke

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