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Mind_Taker
May 7, 2007



Biden's approval ratings still have room to drop: specifically, on February 1, 2022 when student loan payments are set to resume.

If nothing else Biden seems to be a stubborn man, so if he's set on resuming these payments I don't think he's going to change his mind no matter the public backlash.

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Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

CapMoron posted:

I also think there is a large dash of his rhetoric about how Covid was defeated in July to blame. Right around August when it was realized that it in fact is still here, and people still in fact need masks, is when that approval took a dive.

If you're pointing to August, I don't think you can ignore Afghanistan.

I think a lot of people were hoping that just having Democrats in the White House would finally be the magic step that would make Covid go away and it obviously was not. I don't know how much it came across as Biden bungling as much as fuel for more people to think that "well, the virus will never go away. Just do what it takes for me to have my conveniences back." I meet a lot of suburban Democrats and even they're just tired of trying and would rather just let anybody who doesn't get vaccinated fall off a cliff.

And both Afghanistan and the delta surge were great rallying points for GOP enthusiasm. A lot of people got to say "the government is incompetent. Experts are incompetent. Biden is an idiot. Vaccines don't work anyway. Burn it all down"

I'm not going to stop trying to volunteer and support good people, but I am getting very close to a "gently caress it, save your money and take care of yourself because the system's not going to get that much better," mentality. It sucks, but I'm not sure how else to react.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

rare Magic card l00k posted:

I'd be more worried about 2024 than 2022 at this point. I expect both houses to be Republican-controlled after 2022. 2024 has the potential to make the Republican edge in the Senate basically untouchable until the Democratic Party completely changes.

I think, especially with Sununu declining to run against Hassan, that the Dems will hold on to the Senate but likely lose the House.

Artonos posted:

Approval ratings are definitely outdated. How many people here approve of how Biden is handling things? Overall if I was polled I'd probably say I didn't approve of his job so far. But, I'll still hold my nose and pull the vote lever when it's time.

I'd actually kinda be interested to see a study of: Biden voters, disapprove, will vote again. I bet it's a pretty big chunk of people.

The warning shots were those focus groups in post-election Virginia in which participants who voted for Biden said they'd never vote for Trump but they happily voted for Youngkin.

And, as always, the greatest danger to Dems is not losing voters to the GOP but losing voters to apathy.

Mind_Taker posted:

Biden's approval ratings still have room to drop: specifically, on February 1, 2022 when student loan payments are set to resume.

If nothing else Biden seems to be a stubborn man, so if he's set on resuming these payments I don't think he's going to change his mind no matter the public backlash.

Nothing says the economy's improving than putting millions of people back into penury!

Space Cadet Omoly
Jan 15, 2014

~Groovy~


selec posted:

I would say anomie (or as Marxists might term it alienation) is the primary cause; tons of people simmer constantly in the same primordial grievance pits that occasionally pop out a shooter; the ideology excuses it, but the alienation is the foot on the gas pedal. We have a generation or two of (especially male) young people we are doing a terrible job of initiating into our society, and the response to having no place or use in a society can turn into destructive impulses.

Hey, you can gently caress the Hell off with that "especially male" bullshit. Women and non-binary people are just as alienated by modern society as men if not more so.

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH

rare Magic card l00k posted:

I'd be more worried about 2024 than 2022 at this point. I expect both houses to be Republican-controlled after 2022. 2024 has the potential to make the Republican edge in the Senate basically untouchable until the Democratic Party completely changes.

The Democrats will slowly change as more people stop caring about Trump. His impression of everybody's dead racist grandpa caused them caused them to tilt so hard into being Not That to the point where they're not satisfying anyone but donors: the actual policy measures are too moderate for the left, the messaging is far too radical for the middle. People who rarely vote follow messaging and the base follows policy, so they're doing the opposite of what they should be doing: further left policy backed with middling statesmanlike temperament. Instead they're passing corporate bailout bills while bitching that I just used the word 'statesman' because it's not inclusive.

Harold Fjord
Jan 3, 2004

Space Cadet Omoly posted:

Hey, you can gently caress the Hell off with that "especially male" bullshit. Women and non-binary people are just as alienated by modern society as men if not more so.

That's not really what the post said. Toxic masculinity is a factor.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Space Cadet Omoly posted:

Hey, you can gently caress the Hell off with that "especially male" bullshit. Women and non-binary people are just as alienated by modern society as men if not more so.

I think they weren't saying that it's only them who suffer from this, or even suffer from it the most, but rather that historically speaking, having a big mass of disaffected young men is the #1 predictor of violent social unrest and reactionary violence

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Craptacular! posted:

The Democrats will slowly change as more people stop caring about Trump. His impression of everybody's dead racist grandpa caused them caused them to tilt so hard into being Not That to the point where they're not satisfying anyone but donors: the actual policy measures are too moderate for the left, the messaging is far too radical for the middle. People who rarely vote follow messaging and the base follows policy, so they're doing the opposite of what they should be doing: further left policy backed with middling statesmanlike temperament. Instead they're passing corporate bailout bills while bitching that I just used the word 'statesman' because it's not inclusive.

A while back when we were discussing Virginia, I pointed out that the longstanding trope of "fiscally conservative & socially liberal" could possibly be turned on its head in the near future.

(Not that there's anything "fiscally sound" about dumping a huge portion of the one-shot spending bill into tax cuts for richies.)

Canned Sunshine
Nov 20, 2005

CAUTION: POST QUALITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION



Space Cadet Omoly posted:

Hey, you can gently caress the Hell off with that "especially male" bullshit. Women and non-binary people are just as alienated by modern society as men if not more so.

You might want to take a breather from the forums. If you look at the whole context with the past posts, it was focused on white young men, and this was just a follow-up. It wasn't going into the greater picture of alienation in the US, which obviously does skewer towards greater alienation of women, minorities, non-binary people, etc.

Lib and let die
Aug 26, 2004

Craptacular! posted:

The Democrats will slowly change as more people stop caring about Trump. His impression of everybody's dead racist grandpa caused them caused them to tilt so hard into being Not That to the point where they're not satisfying anyone but donors: the actual policy measures are too moderate for the left, the messaging is far too radical for the middle. People who rarely vote follow messaging and the base follows policy, so they're doing the opposite of what they should be doing: further left policy backed with middling statesmanlike temperament. Instead they're passing corporate bailout bills while bitching that I just used the word 'statesman' because it's not inclusive.

Trump, who has famously disappeared from the airwaves of CNN, MSNBC, the broadcasts of TYT and The Majority Report...






I'm sure he'll fade from public consciousness any day now. I, for one, am hopeful for the Democrats' big swing left any. day. now.

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH

Lib and let die posted:

Trump, who has famously disappeared from the airwaves of CNN, MSNBC, the broadcasts of TYT and The Majority Report...

Everybody moved on from Nixon, it will take time. They're not going to get him out of their system (arguably they should not) until the January 6 investigation is wrapped up, even if it just ends up being Muller Report II.

Lib and let die
Aug 26, 2004

Craptacular! posted:

Everybody moved on from Nixon, it will take time. They're not going to get him out of their system (arguably they should not) until the January 6 investigation is wrapped up, even if it just ends up being Muller Report II.

How much time do you think we have before inland states have to set up coastal state climate refugee concentration camps overflow facilities?

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Lib and let die posted:

Trump, who has famously disappeared from the airwaves of CNN, MSNBC, the broadcasts of TYT and The Majority Report...

I think investigating January 6 is important and that is necessarily going to keep Trump (and people like Bannon, Meadows, etc.) in the news. Would you rather we just all forget about it?


Lib and let die posted:

How much time do you think we have before inland states have to set up coastal state climate refugee concentration camps overflow facilities?
Weird direction to go in responding to that post - and while we'll probably start relocating people within a decade (especially in Miami) pretty much all coastal states except maybe Rhode Island and Delaware have their own inland areas...

Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 20:18 on Nov 12, 2021

pthighs
Jun 21, 2013

Pillbug
As long as people keep clicking on the links they will continue plastering pictures of him all over news sites, relevant or not.

Sanguinia
Jan 1, 2012

~Everybody wants to be a cat~
~Because a cat's the only cat~
~Who knows where its at~

"Isreal literally owned congress until The Squad got elected," as a Trump talking point is confusing me for like, a dozen reasons

Lib and let die
Aug 26, 2004

Mellow Seas posted:

I think investigating January 6 is important and that is necessarily going to keep Trump (and people like Bannon, Meadows, etc.) in the news. Would you rather we just all forget about it?

Weird direction to go in responding to that post - and while we're probably start relocating people within a decade (especially in Miami) pretty much all coastal states except maybe Rhode Island and Delaware have their own inland areas...

We don't have the luxury to "give people time" to move past Trump in the face of multiple emergent global crises. I'm sorry that interferes with the metaphorical ruined orgasm of Mueller She Wrote II: Hoveround "Insurrection" Boogaloo.

Instead of focusing on Trump, these outlets could be focused on any number of the Democrats' objective failure to stem the times of the pandemic or to take meaningful harm-reduction action towards climate change (because we're already past the point of harm prevention) or put money in peoples' pockets so they can continue to afford to live, but instead they're laser-focused on the looming specter of Trump.

I'm imagining a scenario like in Armageddon where a worldwide broadcast goes out just as the global broadcast infrastructure fails, and it's just Rachel Maddow warning you against the incoming threat of Trump and his allies as the waters begin to rise around the homes of millions upon millions of people living in coastal states who were means-tested out of refugee qualification by a party of democrats afraid of upsetting moderate republicans that were never going to support them anyway

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Sanguinia posted:

"Isreal literally owned congress until The Squad got elected," as a Trump talking point is confusing me for like, a dozen reasons

The fact that he singled out AOC was especially bizarre, considering the fact that AOC had just folded to Pelosi over funding the Iron Dome, changing her vote from "no" to "present."

Abner Assington
Mar 13, 2005

For I am a sinner in the hands of an angry god. Bloody Mary, full of vodka, blessed are you among cocktails. Pray for me now, at the hour of my death, which I hope is soon.

Amen.

Epic High Five posted:

I'll try to dig up the article on it I read years back through the challenge that is searching for anything about Marx with vague keywords. I don't think it was a pro-slavery situation, more of the much more common "what you propose is too extreme, sir!" type and anyway, I'd bet good money the real reason he felt personally attacked was all of Marx's other suppositions and proposals re: people of means
Oh, fair enough. Wasn't calling you out or anything—just curious since that was the first I'd heard of it.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Abner Assington posted:

Oh, fair enough. Wasn't calling you out or anything—just curious since that was the first I'd heard of it.

No offense taken, I probably should've hunted it down before posting it but couldn't resist taking a shot at the NYT with one of the funnier anecdotes about the man I know

Enver Zogha
Nov 12, 2008

The modern revisionists and reactionaries call us Stalinists, thinking that they insult us and, in fact, that is what they have in mind. But, on the contrary, they glorify us with this epithet; it is an honor for us to be Stalinists.

Majorian posted:

The fact that he singled out AOC was especially bizarre, considering the fact that AOC had just folded to Pelosi over funding the Iron Dome, changing her vote from "no" to "present."
Yeah but you're trying to look at this in a rational manner, whereas the actual reason she's singled out is because tons of conservatives fixate on her as the ultimate symbol of "haha socialists are stupid and/or support everything that is bad" or whatever. So by going "lol AOC am I right" Trump is just appealing to the base.

It'd be like saying circa 2009 "it's weird this conservative is going on about the 'extreme communist Barack Hussein Obama' whereas a cursory study of his views and policies will show he isn't a communist."

Enver Zogha fucked around with this message at 20:49 on Nov 12, 2021

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Majorian posted:

The fact that he singled out AOC was especially bizarre, considering the fact that AOC had just folded to Pelosi over funding the Iron Dome, changing her vote from "no" to "present."

He singled her out because she's the most famous and polarizing. I'd be mildly surprised if he could even remember Tlaib, Omar, Pressley or Bush's names off the top of his head.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Enver Zogha posted:

Yeah but you're trying to look at this in a rational manner, whereas the actual reason she's singled out is because tons of conservatives fixate on her as the ultimate symbol of "haha socialists are stupid and/or support everything that is bad" or whatever. So by going "lol AOC am I right" Trump is just appealing to the base.

It'd be like saying circa 2009 "it's weird this conservative is going on about the 'extreme communist Barack Hussein Obama' whereas a cursory study of his views and policies will show he isn't a communist."

Mellow Seas posted:

He singled her out because she's the most famous and polarizing. I'd be mildly surprised if he could even remember Tlaib, Omar, Pressley or Bush's names off the top of his head.

Oh I know why he did it, it's just...extra maddening for the reason I mentioned, I suppose.

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.
AOC is a combination of conventionally attractive and ideologically noncompliant that drives Republican men mad. It would be hilarious if our country wasn't in so much trouble.

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Eric Cantonese posted:

AOC is a combination of conventionally attractive and ideologically noncompliant that drives Republican men mad. It would be hilarious if our country wasn't in so much trouble.

It's also a shame that their attacks on her have worked so well; her overall favorability is in the toilet, with high name recognition, and it seems ridiculous in retrospect that we ever thought of her as someone who could get involved in Presidential politics, because her brand is pretty well tarnished. The attacks from the right couldn't be countered with how many in her own party were unwilling to defend her, or attacking her themselves.

And since 2020 she's had some people attacking her from the left, too! She really can't win. I know there have been whispers about her retiring from politics; I absolutely wouldn't blame her, especially after she got abandoned by what was supposed to be her coalition with the BIF vote.

Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 21:06 on Nov 12, 2021

Angry_Ed
Mar 30, 2010




Grimey Drawer

Mellow Seas posted:

It's also a shame that their attacks on her have worked so well; her overall favorability is in the toilet, with high name recognition, and it seems ridiculous in retrospect that we ever thought of her as someone who could get involved in Presidential politics, because her brand is pretty well tarnished. The attacks from the right couldn't be countered with how many in her own party were unwilling to defend her, or attacking her themselves.

Isn't the only favorability that matters for her currently is the one in her District? How good or bad is that compared to national favorability?

Also yeah don't know why some people were convinced AOC would be president some day before she even got elected. I think she'll be fine in her political career if she chooses to continue or advance, but you're right there's a lot of damage done currently.

Terminal autist
May 17, 2018

by vyelkin

Mellow Seas posted:

It's also a shame that their attacks on her have worked so well; her overall favorability is in the toilet, with high name recognition, and it seems ridiculous in retrospect that we ever thought of her as someone who could get involved in Presidential politics, because her brand is pretty well tarnished. The attacks from the right couldn't be countered with how many in her own party were unwilling to defend her, or attacking her themselves.

And since 2020 she's had some people attacking her from the left, too! She really can't win.

Shes pretty unpopular on the (twitter)left now as well

AmiYumi
Oct 10, 2005

I FORGOT TO HAIL KING TORG

Mellow Seas posted:

It's also a shame that their attacks on her have worked so well; her overall favorability is in the toilet, with high name recognition, and it seems ridiculous in retrospect that we ever thought of her as someone who could get involved in Presidential politics, because her brand is pretty well tarnished. The attacks from the right couldn't be countered with how many in her own party were unwilling to defend her, or attacking her themselves.
A healthy political party could have easily cultivated her as a symbol of the next generation, outreach to the younger generations to get them to vote, and after a few years a once-in-a-lifetime landslide presidential victory.

The US doesn’t have any healthy political parties.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

Mellow Seas posted:

And since 2020 she's had some people attacking her from the left, too! She really can't win. I know there have been whispers about her retiring from politics; I absolutely wouldn't blame her, especially after she got abandoned by what was supposed to be her coalition with the BIF vote.

For real, right? I wouldn't blame her, either. She's still hugely influential, but my god is it a thankless job trying to make the world a better place. The petty criticism of Twitter warriors has got to be grating as hell when you're trying to do actual real world work.

kzin602
May 14, 2007




Grimey Drawer

Enver Zogha posted:

Yeah but you're trying to look at this in a rational manner, whereas the actual reason she's singled out is because tons of conservatives fixate on her as the ultimate symbol of "haha socialists are stupid and/or support everything that is bad" or whatever. So by going "lol AOC am I right" Trump is just appealing to the base.

It'd be like saying circa 2009 "it's weird this conservative is going on about the 'extreme communist Barack Hussein Obama' whereas a cursory study of his views and policies will show he isn't a communist."

It's because they want to gently caress her and unlike MTG, she does not pander to them, this is confusing because in their worldview the sole reason a woman chooses to be attractive is for the benefit of men like them.

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Angry_Ed posted:

Isn't the only favorability that matters for her currently is the one in her District? How good or bad is that compared to national favorability?
I'm not even going to look it up, but I'm sure she's very, very popular in her district. I'm sure she could keep that seat (or even a different seat in NYC, if that one were ever eliminated) for as long as she wants, but it seems unlikely she's ever going to become a leader of the party, even within the House.

AmiYumi posted:

A healthy political party could have easily cultivated her as a symbol of the next generation, outreach to the younger generations to get them to vote, and after a few years a once-in-a-lifetime landslide presidential victory.
I mean, I guess; the problem is that "political parties" aren't monolithic. It was clear that Pelosi was trying to give her some support early on but wasn't willing to do so over the objections of the party's Old White Men, and AOC faced her own public pressure to distance herself from Pelosi.

And landslide presidential victories ain't a thing anymore, even before you account for the challenges she would face as a woman and a Latina.

e: post below

VideoGameVet posted:

She remains overwhelmingly popular in her district.
Yeah, definitely, like I said she could stay forever but it's just a matter of whether she wants to spend years and years as a famous but relatively non-powerful congressperson who gets poo poo on constantly from four of five quintiles of the political spectrum.

Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 21:18 on Nov 12, 2021

VideoGameVet
May 14, 2005

It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion. It is by the juice of Java that pedaling acquires speed, the teeth acquire stains, stains become a warning. It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion.

Mellow Seas posted:

It's also a shame that their attacks on her have worked so well; her overall favorability is in the toilet, with high name recognition, and it seems ridiculous in retrospect that we ever thought of her as someone who could get involved in Presidential politics, because her brand is pretty well tarnished. The attacks from the right couldn't be countered with how many in her own party were unwilling to defend her, or attacking her themselves.

And since 2020 she's had some people attacking her from the left, too! She really can't win. I know there have been whispers about her retiring from politics; I absolutely wouldn't blame her, especially after she got abandoned by what was supposed to be her coalition with the BIF vote.

She remains overwhelmingly popular in her district.

Randalor
Sep 4, 2011



So why are the left making GBS threads on AOC now anyways? Is it just because she's stuck in a situation where both parties hate everything she stands for and the messaging machines of both parties have been focused on tearing her down for... uh... as long as she's been in politics, if not longer?

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

Randalor posted:

So why are the left making GBS threads on AOC now anyways? Is it just because she's stuck in a situation where both parties hate everything she stands for and the messaging machines of both parties have been focused on tearing her down for... uh... as long as she's been in politics, if not longer?

Vocal Twitter leftists (a toxic, terrible place to be) feel that she's betrayed the cause / is not sufficiently marxist / doesn't go far enough, etc etc. There's always somebody to your left, ready to tell you how much you've hosed up, while also not doing any work themselves.

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

Randalor posted:

So why are the left making GBS threads on AOC now anyways? Is it just because she's stuck in a situation where both parties hate everything she stands for and the messaging machines of both parties have been focused on tearing her down for... uh... as long as she's been in politics, if not longer?

She's stuck around long enough to have to make votes that are problematic given her progressive credentials (like her vote with respect to Iron Dome funding, which is understandable for a New York politician but not so cool from a general ideological standpoint). She also hasn't gone to war with the party centrists as fiercely as a lot of people would like. Her profile and the way she makes statements also has given her a bit of celebrity status that makes many progressives queasy (like going to the Met Gala or being a judge on Rupaul's Drag Race).

It is a tricky situation. The only way to win is to triumph and somehow deliver good legislation or other positive changes. Even then, there's the question I think many people (including on here) are wrestling with of whether incrementalism and electoral politics will every be worth all the work.

Killer robot
Sep 6, 2010

I was having the most wonderful dream. I think you were in it!
Pillbug

Randalor posted:

So why are the left making GBS threads on AOC now anyways? Is it just because she's stuck in a situation where both parties hate everything she stands for and the messaging machines of both parties have been focused on tearing her down for... uh... as long as she's been in politics, if not longer?

For many, she committed the unforgivable sin of working within a party and a system to sway public discourse and achieve what legislative goals she could. If she wasn't going to seize power and lead the revolution, the only acceptable course of action would have been to become a ranting pariah with no voice outside of an irrelevant floor vote. Anything in between is proof that she's a worthless lib or CIA plant.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

kzin602 posted:

It's because they want to gently caress her and unlike MTG, she does not pander to them, this is confusing because in their worldview the sole reason a woman chooses to be attractive is for the benefit of men like them.

:chloe:

Boy, those republicans sure are dumb the way they broadbrush women, huh?

eta: The right attacks her for the same reasons dumbass centrist Dems do, bc she's the furthest left allowed in electoral politics, and it's not enough to just politically neuter her activism & views (MAKE HER CRY!), they all have to pretend she's a big old commie.

Willa Rogers fucked around with this message at 21:57 on Nov 12, 2021

Mystic Mongol
Jan 5, 2007

Your life's been thrown in disarray already--I wouldn't want you to feel pressured.


College Slice

Randalor posted:

So why are the left making GBS threads on AOC now anyways? Is it just because she's stuck in a situation where both parties hate everything she stands for and the messaging machines of both parties have been focused on tearing her down for... uh... as long as she's been in politics, if not longer?

She talks a good game but she folds regularly. She wouldn't vote against selling weapons to a genocidal regime because taking a stand would be a bridge too far. She's not willing to use her position as the most talked-about progressive voice in the country to push against Pelosi, and in fact is giving her credibility to a woman who is using it to stop substantive change for another god drat generation, at least. And then we'll all die to climate wars.

Now you can argue that there's nothing she could achieve, that it's better for her not to piss of the other members of the caucus tilting at windmills. Maybe she shouldn't put forward legislation proposals that would make the more conservative dems look bad for voting against or ignoring. This is the, "Better things aren't possible," argument. But the core criticism of AOC is the same as the one for Biden... she got elected promising to push hard for progressive ideals, and her substantial record is weak.

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Willa Rogers posted:

:chloe:

Boy, those republicans sure are dumb the way they broadbrush women, huh?

I've really noticed how you have no problem with people painting "liberals" with a broad brush but get super prickly whenever anybody criticizes the character of actual right-wingers.

Gucci Loafers
May 20, 2006

Ask yourself, do you really want to talk to pair of really nice gaudy shoes?


She has pushed against Pelosi plenty of times and voted against the freaking infrastructure bill!

She's pushing hard for progressive ideals but that's never, ever going be enough for leftist but for whatever reason keep applying that standard.

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Charliegrs
Aug 10, 2009
CNN is saying that the justice department has submitted an indictment for Steve Bannon. So can this be challenged?

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