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Kirios
Jan 26, 2010




haveblue posted:

Alex Jones has exhausted the court's patience with noncompliance (again) and received a default judgement against him (again) and now owes (more) damages to the Sandy Hook families.

https://www.courant.com/breaking-news/hc-br-sandy-hook-lawsuit-alex-jones-hearing-20211115-ccie6kyugrcenm5pjrje7xswk4-story.html

Oh my God Alex just take the L and pay them. What the gently caress is wrong with you?!

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CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
Vitalsigns, the Biden tweet was in response to Trump claiming Biden would do those things, you really are making a big claim that isn't help up by that tweet. Knock it off.

Cranappleberry
Jan 27, 2009

Eric Cantonese posted:

The problem with the inflation story is you have quite a lot of centrist Democrats (and the suburbanites who love them) who also believe that the Covid relief checks are the cause of inflation. Larry Summers is making himself out to look like Cassandra and at least one other ex-Obama adviser is saying so too.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/fed-behind-curve-on-inflation-former-obama-economist-jason-furman.html

The real fact is that the tools of the Biden administration are very limited. The inflation that people are getting in a lather about are fuel and transportation supply shocks that are basic free market failures where scarcity and demand are driving prices up. History shows price controls don't work (because the private sector will just throw a tantrum and become even less productive) and I'm not even sure if subsidies would do much, especially in the short term. Even tapping into the strategic petroleum reserves could backfire in the long term and god knows what all this is doing to undermine the political will for pushing towards green energy.

This state of affairs is also giving older voters flashbacks to the mid-to-late 70s so they're really buying the "government caused inflation!" narrative. It casts the least amount of blame on them. "It's not my decisions or failures or greed that caused this inflation! It's the bums!"

I said it before but people look at any cost-of-living increase as inflation. Inflation from the printing of money did happen quite a bit over the past 2 years. But it wasn't from the government giving people checks. It was from giving away trillions to businesses, many of whom didn't actually need it, who then proceeded to do stock buybacks while laying off workers and also refused to raise pay or increase benefits. It was from the Fed giving out massive loans to those businesses as well.

Simultaneously, those businesses complained of their inability to do much and also about increased costs because they had to deal with restrictions due to COVID. They then raised prices of their products and services to make up for the increased costs. There are some very real logistics issues and materials shortages hurting the economy, as well as small businesses who were on the edge and/or lost their customer base entirely, but companies by and large didn't reinvest by purchasing more resources that allows them to do business. They put the money back into the stock market, which after a few serious shocks and volatility, zoomed straight to the moon.

When things stabilized they didn't offer more money and benefits to vital workers (like truckers or crane operators). They didn't change policy or negotiate with unions to run docks 24/7. They didn't purchase more vehicles. They put the money into the stock market.

Quite a bit of the cost-of-living increase people are facing price gouging and profit chasing. In the case of oil, it's OPEC and refining companies trying to make up for the losses of 2020 and, of course, price gouging. In the case of meat industry there is actually a glut of supply, they were given exceptions to covid restrictions (and many of their employees and legal slaves got seriously ill because of it) and they were even allowed to use disease meat. But transportation is problematic, they were having work force issues (gee I wonder why) AND they are massively, massively gouging consumers for increased profits because they have what amounts to a legal trust.

And the government could do something about the meat industry besides offer capital to those willing to attempt to compete

virtualboyCOLOR
Dec 22, 2004

Mellow Seas posted:

His approval ratings in the toilet because of poo poo he has no control over and would be no better if he had done everything on the D&D left-liberal dream list.



Furthermore if you were actually interested in "a bottom-to-top leftist political movement, building real support at all levels of politics and in all parts of the country" you would be actually trying to understand what's going on and explaining it to people rather than going all :sickos: about people hating Biden as if that means they're on your side. They're not.

How are u posted:

I think if in 2022 people can get back to living their lives, declare the pandemic over, and the inflation and supply chain stuff gets worked out, that Biden will bounce back up there. Meeting material needs, and all that jazz.

These may be a parody or Fancy Pelosi-like trolls but it’s posts like these that demonstrate why it is obvious that liberals and democrats do not argue in good faith. It’s clear they do not and should be called out for acting like polite republicans.

The lack of ability to self reflect on the failures of the Democratic Party and their support of the Democratic Party is a feature not a bug.


CommieGIR posted:

Vitalsigns, the Biden tweet was in response to Trump claiming Biden would do those things, you really are making a big claim that isn't help up by that tweet. Knock it off.

At best it was Biden signaling he would also mishandle the pandemic, which he absolutely did and continues to do.


vvvvv it is almost like capitalism is incredible bad for the average person and capitalist like the Republicans me Democrats are in full support of it despite the incredible harm it does. It stands to reason then that defending and supporting Dems is to be complacent with the lack of action to fix this mess by the Biden admin, senate, and house.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

virtualboyCOLOR fucked around with this message at 21:44 on Nov 15, 2021

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Cranappleberry posted:

I said it before but people look at any cost-of-living increase as inflation. Inflation from the printing of money did happen quite a bit over the past 2 years. But it wasn't from the government giving people checks. It was from giving away trillions to businesses, many of whom didn't actually need it, who then proceeded to do stock buybacks while laying off workers and also refused to raise pay or increase benefits. It was from the Fed giving out massive loans to those businesses as well.

...

Quite a bit of the cost-of-living increase people are facing price gouging and profit chasing.

Kraftwerk made a great post about this over the weekend which I'll quote in full here:

Kraftwerk posted:

Just a friendly reminder to everyone that things are looking extremely bad for Biden in the midterms and 2024 due the false narrative that he’s responsible for inflation. All GOP operatives are aggressively pushing a narrative that “reckless socialist governance” is driving up prices and leading to empty shelves.


Nobody is gonna listen to me but:

1. I work in a company where our aggressive drive for growth has had me directly raising my margins from 7% to up to 35 percent in less than one year.

2. Many of the most visible aspects of American life:
Personal care products
Beverages
Snacks
Food etc

Are all controlled by gigantic conglomerates in duopoly or cartels who can raise and maintain prices for no other reason than because they say so.

Ignore me at your own peril but the lack of enforcement of anti-trust laws isn’t just a Biden problem. It’s an America problem that they GOP are happily capitalizing on as a crisis caused by socialist policy.

This is how they’re gonna crush the left for another generation and they’re sitting here and letting them do it. This happened to Jimmy Carter and it’s happening again and nothings being done to seize the narrative.

Literally the entire American goods and services economy is all controlled by multinational corporations who no longer have to engage in any competition. They've been aggressively buying out their competitors to grow their market share and in the process have engaged in wholesale price fixing and market manipulation. Once they buy out competing companies they push down salaries and squeeze profit from both ends. They get it by raising consumer prices and by depressing wages. You have nowhere to go except one other competitor who is doing the exact same thing.

You can’t vote with your wallet. This is an anti-trust violation.

My company is notorious for paying up to 35k per year less than smaller players we compete with in my markets. We work way harder, deal with far more stress and get paid less for it. Meanwhile our competitors are more relaxed and pay way more. Almost everyone in my industry is quitting with my company and getting better paid roles in smaller competing companies. The thing is in about 3-4 years they will be bough out by us or a larger competitor and then the market goes back to being squeezed again. Along with their wages.

This isn’t unique to me.

P&G, Kimberly Clark, PepsiCo, Coca Cola, the tech industry in Silicon Valley. They’re all doing it. It’s been happening for over 20 years and nobody is stopping it. You want someone to blame? It’s right there. President Biden didn’t do this. But his administration should have started enforcing anti trust laws.

If trump gets back into office, he might do it to go after his corporate enemies. Like Twitter or Facebook.

nine-gear crow
Aug 10, 2013

haveblue posted:

Alex Jones has exhausted the court's patience with noncompliance (again) and received a default judgement against him (again) and now owes (more) damages to the Sandy Hook families.

https://www.courant.com/breaking-news/hc-br-sandy-hook-lawsuit-alex-jones-hearing-20211115-ccie6kyugrcenm5pjrje7xswk4-story.html

I could see Alex Jones Lowtax’ing himself. Just spend as much of what remains of his money as fast as he humanly can to keep the families from getting it and then eat a shotgun as soon as the deadline to pay up approaches.

DragQueenofAngmar
Dec 29, 2009

You shall not pass!

How are u posted:

Well yes, it's crystal clear that lockouts like China would have been entirely 100% impossible legally, politically, socially, etc.

You have to be an incredibly authoritarian state to be able to do it like China, and tho there are plenty of authoritarian states in the world only China went as far as they did and for as long as they have.

What accounts for New Zealand and (to a lesser extent) Australia’s excellent results? I don’t think their governments can be described as significantly authoritarian- certainly not if the US doesn’t qualify.

Zero Covid is only a fantasy because so many countries refused to do what was necessary, and it’s not only governments with highly centralized control or minimal democracy that were able to enact the policies that worked.

Mystic Mongol
Jan 5, 2007

Your life's been thrown in disarray already--I wouldn't want you to feel pressured.


College Slice

Kirios posted:

Oh my God Alex just take the L and pay them. What the gently caress is wrong with you?!

He probably doesn't have the money. The chuds don't forgive failure... if he loses everything to liars and weaklings, no one's going to buy his red body paint weight loss supplements.

nine-gear crow posted:

I could see Alex Jones Lowtax’ing himself.

A verb, already? I can dig it.

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH
I know someone with an SBA loan that has a stupidly low interest rate that he intentionally took out the longest term possible for so he’ll be in his 60s or something when it’s paid off. And it’s allowing him to continue his plans to basically travel around the word be a petit bourgeois tycoon. He’s one of those guys who is brilliantly smart and graduated high school at 14, but then puts his brainpower toward how to get as much as possible while doing as little as possible. poo poo like that probably does more to drive up inflation than stimulus did.

Stimulus pays for itself by virtue of keeping markets going when people are too shy about their future to make a purchase. The rest of it is an effect of just in time manufacturing driving goods up and the idiotic neocon “we will all be service workers” economic planning of the 2000s collapsing when mothers decided to stop working.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

CommieGIR posted:

Vitalsigns, the Biden tweet was in response to Trump claiming Biden would do those things, you really are making a big claim that isn't help up by that tweet. Knock it off.

I disagree, I think his actual actions as president prove that I am right: he did think Trump went too far with recommending shutdowns to save lives because he refused to even consider doing it even when it was clearly necessary.

But I guess this is a mod threat to use buttons to win the debate so I'll stop. Glad we had that feedback thread lol.

E: seriously I think it's really inappropriate to make parting shots coupled with a threat to punish rebuttals. Either participate in the debate and debate or mod and say "stop debating this", this was brought up by multiple people in the feedback thread but I guess it's just being ignored

VitalSigns fucked around with this message at 21:53 on Nov 15, 2021

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

VitalSigns posted:

E: seriously I think it's really inappropriate to make parting shots coupled with a threat to punish rebuttals. Either participate in the debate and debate or mod and say "stop debating this", this was brought up by multiple people in the feedback thread but I guess it's just being ignored
CommieGIR wasn't participating in that debate, wtf are you even talking about.

Speaking of wtf are you talking about,

virtualboyCOLOR posted:

These may be a parody or Fancy Pelosi-like trolls but it’s posts like these that demonstrate why it is obvious that liberals and democrats do not argue in good faith. It’s clear they do not and should be called out for acting like polite republicans.
I'm actually an extremely honest poster, honest to a fault, really, which people who pay attention to my posting know; if you think I'm trolling or misrepresenting myself then put me on ignore, please.

\/\/\/\/\/ Yeah I guess a natural corollary of requesting they ignore me is that I ignore them, so I'll do that.

Mellow Seas fucked around with this message at 22:01 on Nov 15, 2021

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH

Mellow Seas posted:

wtf are you even talking about.

Speaking of wtf are you talking about,

I recommend you ignore both the people you’re talking to than continue to engage hostilities with them. I did some time ago and I gotta tell you it makes D&D a lot easier on my blood pressure.

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

DragQueenofAngmar posted:

What accounts for New Zealand and (to a lesser extent) Australia’s excellent results? I don’t think their governments can be described as significantly authoritarian- certainly not if the US doesn’t qualify.

Zero Covid is only a fantasy because so many countries refused to do what was necessary, and it’s not only governments with highly centralized control or minimal democracy that were able to enact the policies that worked.

New Zealand was very quick on banning international travel and locking down when cases emerged. I think Australia was too.

And I might be mistaken, both of those countries are much smaller than the US.

New Zealand seems like they're just shrugging and giving up on Zero Covid.

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2292381-why-is-new-zealand-seemingly-giving-up-on-its-zero-covid-strategy/

Australia looks like it gave up too.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-58406526

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH
The oceanic countries probably also have done a much better job than the US of vaccinating the old.

Denmark has open businesses and no masks with a transmission rate that would be in the masks required tier of CDC guidance, but they’re seeing little impact on deaths. The the who advised reopening has said that their primary concern in determining whether to reopen was vaccine uptake in people over 50.

DragQueenofAngmar
Dec 29, 2009

You shall not pass!

Eric Cantonese posted:

New Zealand was very quick on banning international travel and locking down when cases emerged. I think Australia was too.

And I might be mistaken, both of those countries are much smaller than the US.

New Zealand seems like they're just shrugging and giving up on Zero Covid.

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2292381-why-is-new-zealand-seemingly-giving-up-on-its-zero-covid-strategy/

Australia looks like it gave up too.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-58406526

Well, that’s distressing. I guess there’s not much they can do given that almost no other countries are willing to do what is proven to work, but it’s really awful that if everyone had done this very simple thing from the start, we could have been past this ages ago.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

DragQueenofAngmar posted:

What accounts for New Zealand and (to a lesser extent) Australia’s excellent results?

Those two states have given up on zero covid, because the population did not want to continue it.


E: also, if China had enacted strict lockdowns appropriate to the threat of covid from the start when it was only in Wuhan perhaps the entire world may not have been in this pandemic for the last 2 years. I think it's fair to criticize their lax response.

How are u fucked around with this message at 22:22 on Nov 15, 2021

Delthalaz
Mar 5, 2003






Slippery Tilde

Eric Cantonese posted:

New Zealand was very quick on banning international travel and locking down when cases emerged. I think Australia was too.

And I might be mistaken, both of those countries are much smaller than the US.

Australia is shockingly large in terms of geographic size, it’s about as big as the US excluding Alaska!

Killer robot
Sep 6, 2010

I was having the most wonderful dream. I think you were in it!
Pillbug

Delthalaz posted:

Australia is shockingly large in terms of geographic size, it’s about as big as the US excluding Alaska!

Land doesn't get covid though. Maybe you're thinking about anthrax.

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

Delthalaz posted:

Australia is shockingly large in terms of geographic size, it’s about as big as the US excluding Alaska!

(in the Charlton Heston voice) I'm talking about the number of people! PEOPLE!

papa horny michael
Aug 18, 2009

by Pragmatica

How are u posted:

Those two states have given up on zero covid, because the population did not want to continue it.


E: also, if China had enacted strict lockdowns appropriate to the threat of covid from the start when it was only in Wuhan perhaps the entire world may not have been in this pandemic for the last 2 years. I think it's fair to criticize their lax response.

Didn't Trump rush to fly back all American citizens from China as soon as they began locking the country down? I don't remember any of those people being tested either.

LionArcher
Mar 29, 2010


Kirios posted:

People here don't want to hear this but the vast majority of Americans are done with the pandemic. People losing their lives be damned, Let's Go Brandon until we can do Sunday Brunch without masks!

this is 100% true. Look at general twitter, and plenty of the (I will die if I get covid you all suck for forcing us to stay inside) crowd from spring of 2020 are now going to bars and posting poo poo like "gay bars rock!" without masks on, because they got their shots. Covid is over, in terms of people caring.

meanwhile we're still at around a thousand deaths a day right?

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Eric Cantonese posted:

(in the Charlton Heston voice) I'm talking about the number of people! PEOPLE!

I'm flashing back to the 2012 VP debate where right wingers pounced on Biden's horrible gaffe of saying Syria was five times bigger than Libya.

(see lower left corner in this classic Michael Ramirez "wall of rage text" cartoon)

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

LionArcher posted:

this is 100% true. Look at general twitter, and plenty of the (I will die if I get covid you all suck for forcing us to stay inside) crowd from spring of 2020 are now going to bars and posting poo poo like "gay bars rock!" without masks on, because they got their shots. Covid is over, in terms of people caring.

meanwhile we're still at around a thousand deaths a day right?

But most of the deaths are unvaccinated people who are not likely to be doing anything preventative like vaccines or masks, which is the bigger issue, not people who are complying with medical best practices.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

The Mattybee posted:

I already explained this to you, VitalSigns. "Didn't lock down" is not the same as "Critical of President Trump for LOCKING DOWN TOO MUCH". Just because you really want me to have said something I didn't say, doesn't mean I did say that.

I do not think the tweet is good, I do not think it says what you keep insisting it says.

It seems to me that you keep not actually addressing what I'm saying, but I suppose that's what I get for arguing with the person who has 70+ probations in this thread for being deliberately an rear end in a top hat, arguing in bad faith, putting words in opponents' mouths, and just generally being incapable of acting like a decent person, and yet was still allowed back in even though he's given zero evidence that he can do anything other than be an inflammatory, self-centered dick.

Can we not bring up people's user history when debating? Thanks. We all have skeletons in our rap sheet closet.

Angry_Ed
Mar 30, 2010




Grimey Drawer

papa horny michael posted:

Didn't Trump rush to fly back all American citizens from China as soon as they began locking the country down? I don't remember any of those people being tested either.

Also there was something involving a cruise ship I think.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Mellow Seas posted:

CommieGIR wasn't participating in that debate, wtf are you even talking about.

Yeah CommieGIR pm'd me to say that "knock it off" wasn't mod-hat-on, they were just telling me to shut the gently caress up as a poster because they think I'm dumb and wrong*. Which is fair. I am often both.

Since I bitched about it in public and I shouldn't have I think I owe them an apology in public too: sorry CommieGIR

*my words not his, his pm was very polite

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
Yeah, it just got too slap fighty. I don't think anybody is going to find middle ground on that topic.

papa horny michael
Aug 18, 2009

by Pragmatica

Angry_Ed posted:

Also there was something involving a cruise ship I think.

That's right! There was video and pictures at the time amongst the news reporting of people walking off from ships to their lives, with no intermediaries checking anything. Amazing stuff.

Killer robot
Sep 6, 2010

I was having the most wonderful dream. I think you were in it!
Pillbug

papa horny michael posted:

Didn't Trump rush to fly back all American citizens from China as soon as they began locking the country down? I don't remember any of those people being tested either.

While blocking Chinese nationals and basically no one else if I recall. On top of that, most early covid cases in the US seem to have come from Europe anyway. Basically Trump did the same idiot racist thing as people who responded to the initial pandemic news by no longer going to Chinese restaurants specifically.

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

the_steve posted:

lol
The silly Left, can't even overcome one measly multibillion dollar media empire with a vested interest in making sure that the Left never gets anywhere near the levers of power. Must just be sour grapes that they can't just work around a 24/7 media cycle that saturates the daily lives of tens of millions of people and will smother any story it doesn't want to gain traction :jerkbag:

Obviously, if the Left had wanted to get word out and connect with people, it should have done something like get people going door to door with petitions and flyers and other grassroots efforts. Oh wait, they did. But hey, gently caress them for not being able to undo in an hour conversation with somebody the efforts of months upon months of "If you vote for anybody except Joe Biden you will have personally ushered in a thousand years of darkness and murdered everyone you ever loved while the very concept of democracy is scrubbed from the collective human consciousness."

Petitions? Flyers? How about getting involved in the community and being the ally of the workers all the drat time, not just every four years? How about treating leftism as a movement, not a political campaign? Every leftist movement in all of history everywhere in the world has had to deal with a hostile media, unfriendly political leaders, and the absolute opposition of powerful entrenched interests. Even in the US, the left has faced far more oppression in the past than it does right now. Instead of whining about poo poo that isn't going to change, it's better to look at what other leftist movements have done to overcome those challenges, because it's pretty clear that the American left has pretty much completely forgotten the history of leftism.

The basics of successful leftism is that you don't become influential in the government and use it to win over the workers - you become influential with the workers and use it to win the government. Community involvement and activism, using collective organizing and charitable activities to forge a strong movement locally, is how you build a movement of the workers. It doesn't matter how much the media says you're communist traitors or whatever, it's not gonna shake the folks who send their kids to your community Free Breakfast program every morning and avoid massive charges for simple medical care at your free community clinics.

LionArcher
Mar 29, 2010


CommieGIR posted:

But most of the deaths are unvaccinated people who are not likely to be doing anything preventative like vaccines or masks, which is the bigger issue, not people who are complying with medical best practices.

Sure, but it's still a huge strain on hospitals, most isn't all, and that's not talking about long covid. And besides all that, "best practices" would still be socially distancing, wearing masks and not going back to restaurants/functions/weddings/fun travel like it's the good old days.

Not to mention the rate of booster shots compared to two shots is not keeping up, so a lot of those "vaccinated" folks come regular old winter will effectively not be fully vaccinated. There's a chance we don't double back to 2,000 deaths a day by new years/mid January. but I'm not going to bet on that one.

Kraftwerk
Aug 13, 2011
i do not have 10,000 bircoins, please stop asking

the_steve posted:

lol
The silly Left, can't even overcome one measly multibillion dollar media empire with a vested interest in making sure that the Left never gets anywhere near the levers of power. Must just be sour grapes that they can't just work around a 24/7 media cycle that saturates the daily lives of tens of millions of people and will smother any story it doesn't want to gain traction :jerkbag:

Obviously, if the Left had wanted to get word out and connect with people, it should have done something like get people going door to door with petitions and flyers and other grassroots efforts. Oh wait, they did. But hey, gently caress them for not being able to undo in an hour conversation with somebody the efforts of months upon months of "If you vote for anybody except Joe Biden you will have personally ushered in a thousand years of darkness and murdered everyone you ever loved while the very concept of democracy is scrubbed from the collective human consciousness."

Lol play me the world's smallest violin. These are just another batch of loving excuses... Do you have any idea how many times leftist revolutionary groups in Europe got absolutely clobbered before they got anywhere? You want to know what hopeless looks like? Try Russia in the 1800s, or even just after the 1905 revolution. The entire history of the socialist movement is written in blood and betrayal (often by middle class centrists who achieved their mutual goals with the left and promptly sold them out to the conservatives).

Almost a century ago left wing groups used to get jailed, executed or exiled on a routine basis simply for meeting up or handing out flyers. You can do all of these things in America with far greater ease than you ever could with organizations like the Okrana breathing down your neck and literally creating leftists organizations for you to join so they can then monitor and control you while you think you're fighting the good fight.

It's also a fact that people no longer trust said multibillion dollar media empire. Hence the rise in alternative facts and parallel media ecosystems where people dogmatically adhere to their own made up fantasy worlds. Do you not realize that the OG socialists had to contend with literally millions of peasants who in their heart of hearts believed in the divinity of absolute monarchs and had strong religious convictions? Like you don't have to constantly travel around under an assumed alias, in disguise, from safehouse to safehouse to hide from the secret police. That's what people used to do and they still fought. So when I hear "But the big bad media convinced everyone" I just hear excuses.

The real issue here is the left doesn't have an audience outside liberal urban/suburban circles and has been failing to connect with the working class since the 1970s. You don't have the ear of the working class... The GOP do. The left are like socially awkward teenagers trying to court some crush they like from afar without really knowing anything about her or how to talk to her. They stutter out something that at best garners sympathy but ultimately someone else with more confidence and a better understanding of how to talk to people was able to get that person while the teen wound up alone.

This is not a new problem. It is historically precedented. Socialists used to go to the same coffee shop as bourgeoise liberals. They hung out in the same circles, went to the same schools and were a minority of a minority of a population that predominantly consisted of agrarian farmers and urban workers. Today it's the same. A bunch of people who went to school with the MBAs and other college educated people who support the status quo and live like HENRYs and PMCs supporting the system, paying mortgages and dealing with the economy as it currently exists. One faction picked the right field to work in and paid most of their bills, the other found lovely employment and became radicalized. Unfortunately there's a lot more people who are either benefitting from generational wealth or have a really nice life where some form of food, shelter, entertainment and sex is available to them so they don't want to rock the boat too much by changing society in a serious way....

This is why the inflation talk is gaining so much traction against Biden. People at their core are ultimately selfish and self interested. They don't want their cost of living to go up. They wanna keep enjoying their lives such as they are, and only want to make modest changes and improvements. But the moment you try to take that away from them or you are made to APPEAR that way, your political future is cooked. Nobody is going to accept short term pain for long term gain. Not unless it's so blindingly obvious to them that it will benefit them in real ways. Everything the left is fighting for is too strange and abstract for the sleeping urban liberals who basically already have a pretty comfortable lifestyle to look forward to that they don't want anyone touching....

So that leaves us with the working class. Historically conservative societies were toppled by apolitical outrage from poorer classes who began to go hungry, cold and unhealthy. It was no coincidence that some of history's greatest revolutions often occurred spontaneously during poor harvests, great famines or tumultuous political events that heavily discredited the prestige and authority of a particular government. It's during these moments that socialist groups usually gain the upper hand if they seize the political moment and are able to convert the raw desire for change, revenge and outrage into some sort of political answer/platform.

The GOP have successfully done this for years because they are able to talk to America's working class in words and emotional overtures that they can understand. The left failed to do that around the time they stopped being a working class/social safetynet advocacy organization and became a collection of academics, students and well-todo liberals. Today's left embodies everything that America's working class hates from a cultural perspective... That doesn't mean you lost the working class, it just means you need to learn how to talk to them again and snatch them from the GOP as they have snatched them from the left when the Southern Strategy was launched... That's all you need to do... If it ever happens I would not be surprised if the suburban liberal contingent that voted for Biden suddenly become dedicated card carrying republicans again.

TL;DR: The state of the electorate today is a reversion to the historical mean where rural and working class people are now conservatives and culturally regressive while the urban liberals are agitating for change and unable to gain any traction outside of major cities. This isn't new, it isn't remarkable in any way. It will just require savvy messaging, outreach beyond just election seasons and constant organizing and work to find the message that connects with the working class....

I guarantee that an enormous chunk of the current "locked-in" GOP vote consists of poor rural and working class people with a deep distrust of government and government institutions who have support networks built from family and community rather than government and society at large. I think if half this thread ever actually met those people they'd immediately write them off as CHUDs based on surface level interaction. But dig a little deeper and you'll find dilapidated towns and communities that the world has alienated. They're people who have nobody to count on but themselves for the last 30-40 years and they're all suffering from problems like healthcare, poverty and alienation. The GOP have found a way to insert themselves in their psyche via cultural outrage and now the left just needs to win them back by figuring out how these people view the world and framing the material condition improvements in a way that jives with their world view. That's the secret sauce and it was a challenge the socialists of Russia and Europe faced in the 1800s-1900s and overcame to some degree.

Some day the US government is going to gently caress up in a bad way that neither party will be well equipped to cope with... For example, the GOP start some kind of skirmish with China and then lose a couple aircraft carriers and get forced out of the South China sea. It doesn't have to be that particular example but something like that will happen and it'll shake national confidence to such a degree that it'll be piss easy for leftists to agitate for another kind of government.

Kraftwerk fucked around with this message at 23:20 on Nov 15, 2021

-Blackadder-
Jan 2, 2007

Game....Blouses.

Eric Cantonese posted:

This state of affairs is also giving older voters flashbacks to the mid-to-late 70s so they're really buying the "government caused inflation!" narrative. It casts the least amount of blame on them. "It's not my decisions or failures or greed that caused this inflation! It's the bums!"

It's definitely frustratingly unfortunate how events lined up with the history of Dem presidents and their policy. Carter is the last "pre-austerity" Democratic president known for the inflation of the 70's, followed by Clinton who pioneered centrist Dem austerity, which became a mainstay through Obama all the way up to Biden's admin. Coincidentally during this period (Clinton through Obama) inflation was essentially a non-issue. Then with Biden we basically said "actually MMT says gently caress you" in reply to the typical disingenuous whining about spending from the Right and Centrists Dems, and while we weren't wrong about that specifically, it also happened to be a period that coincided with the Pandemic supply shock ballooning inflation.

But boy have fun trying to explain that nuance to the people who've hung their careers, reputations, and ego's on "more spending = inflation go brrrr." Note that Republican administrations spending isn't taken into account because again, perception > reality and honestly just lol if you don't already know why. So on the face of it, if you don't look too hard (which, this being politics, is basically most people) the last half century of American politics as it relates to the spending/inflation debate is a closed loop that perfectly proves the Centrist Dems/R's point. Who would pass up such fantastically fortuitous circumstances to be that smug?

-Blackadder- fucked around with this message at 23:33 on Nov 15, 2021

theCalamity
Oct 23, 2010

Cry Havoc and let slip the Hogs of War
Isn’t the other reconciliation bill or BIF or BBB or whatever gently caress other bill supposed to be voted on today?

F_Shit_Fitzgerald
Feb 2, 2017



Kraftwerk posted:

Lol play me the world's smallest violin. These are just another batch of loving excuses... Do you have any idea how many times leftist revolutionary groups in Europe got absolutely clobbered before they got anywhere? You want to know what hopeless looks like? Try Russia in the 1800s, or even just after the 1905 revolution. The entire history of the socialist movement is written in blood and betrayal (often by middle class centrists who achieved their mutual goals with the left and promptly sold them out to the conservatives).

Almost a century ago left wing groups used to get jailed, executed or exiled on a routine basis simply for meeting up or handing out flyers. You can do all of these things in America with far greater ease than you ever could with organizations like the Okrana breathing down your neck and literally creating leftists organizations for you to join so they can then monitor and control you while you think you're fighting the good fight.

It's also a fact that people no longer trust said multibillion dollar media empire. Hence the rise in alternative facts and parallel media ecosystems where people dogmatically adhere to their own made up fantasy worlds. Do you not realize that the OG socialists had to contend with literally millions of peasants who in their heart of hearts believed in the divinity of absolute monarchs and had strong religious convictions? Like you don't have to constantly travel around under an assumed alias, in disguise, from safehouse to safehouse to hide from the secret police. That's what people used to do and they still fought. So when I hear "But the big bad media convinced everyone" I just hear excuses.

The real issue here is the left doesn't have an audience outside liberal urban/suburban circles and has been failing to connect with the working class since the 1970s. You don't have the ear of the working class... The GOP do. The left are like socially awkward teenagers trying to court some crush they like from afar without really knowing anything about her or how to talk to her. They stutter out something that at best garners sympathy but ultimately someone else with more confidence and a better understanding of how to talk to people was able to get that person while the teen wound up alone.

This is not a new problem. It is historically precedented. Socialists used to go to the same coffee shop as bourgeoise liberals. They hung out in the same circles, went to the same schools and were a minority of a minority of a population that predominantly consisted of agrarian farmers and urban workers. Today it's the same. A bunch of people who went to school with the MBAs and other college educated people who support the status quo and live like HENRYs and PMCs supporting the system, paying mortgages and dealing with the economy as it currently exists. One faction picked the right field to work in and paid most of their bills, the other found lovely employment and became radicalized. Unfortunately there's a lot more people who are either benefitting from generational wealth or have a really nice life where some form of food, shelter, entertainment and sex is available to them so they don't want to rock the boat too much by changing society in a serious way....

This is why the inflation talk is gaining so much traction against Biden. People at their core are ultimately selfish and self interested. They don't want their cost of living to go up. They wanna keep enjoying their lives such as they are, and only want to make modest changes and improvements. But the moment you try to take that away from them or you are made to APPEAR that way, your political future is cooked. Nobody is going to accept short term pain for long term gain. Not unless it's so blindingly obvious to them that it will benefit them in real ways. Everything the left is fighting for is too strange and abstract for the sleeping urban liberals who basically already have a pretty comfortable lifestyle to look forward to that they don't want anyone touching....

So that leaves us with the working class. Historically conservative societies were toppled by apolitical outrage from poorer classes who began to go hungry, cold and unhealthy. It was no coincidence that some of history's greatest revolutions often occurred spontaneously during poor harvests, great famines or tumultuous political events that heavily discredited the prestige and authority of a particular government. It's during these moments that socialist groups usually gain the upper hand if they seize the political moment and are able to convert the raw desire for change, revenge and outrage into some sort of political answer/platform.

The GOP have successfully done this for years because they are able to talk to America's working class in words and emotional overtures that they can understand. The left failed to do that around the time they stopped being a working class/social safetynet advocacy organization and became a collection of academics, students and well-todo liberals. Today's left embodies everything that America's working class hates from a cultural perspective... That doesn't mean you lost the working class, it just means you need to learn how to talk to them again and snatch them from the GOP as they have snatched them from the left when the Southern Strategy was launched... That's all you need to do... If it ever happens I would not be surprised if the suburban liberal contingent that voted for Biden suddenly become dedicated card carrying republicans again.

TL;DR: The state of the electorate today is a reversion to the historical mean where rural and working class people are now conservatives and culturally regressive while the urban liberals are agitating for change and unable to gain any traction outside of major cities. This isn't new, it isn't remarkable in any way. It will just require savvy messaging, outreach beyond just election seasons and constant organizing and work to find the message that connects with the working class....

I guarantee that an enormous chunk of the current "locked-in" GOP vote consists of poor rural and working class people with a deep distrust of government and government institutions who have support networks built from family and community rather than government and society at large. I think if half this thread ever actually met those people they'd immediately write them off as CHUDs based on surface level interaction. But dig a little deeper and you'll find dilapidated towns and communities that the world has alienated. They're people who have nobody to count on but themselves for the last 30-40 years and they're all suffering from problems like healthcare, poverty and alienation. The GOP have found a way to insert themselves in their psyche via cultural outrage and now the left just needs to win them back by figuring out how these people view the world and framing the material condition improvements in a way that jives with their world view. That's the secret sauce and it was a challenge the socialists of Russia and Europe faced in the 1800s-1900s and overcame to some degree.

Some day the US government is going to gently caress up in a bad way that neither party will be well equipped to cope with... For example, the GOP start some kind of skirmish with China and then lose a couple aircraft carriers and get forced out of the South China sea. It doesn't have to be that particular example but something like that will happen and it'll shake national confidence to such a degree that it'll be piss easy for leftists to agitate for another kind of government.

Some of this I agree with, some of it I don't. For example, I would reframe the issue as less "the left failed" to "the system is set up so that we have a monopolistic two-party system that not only is not representative of a vast majority of Americans but is apathetic to their plight". The GOP's talent is not talking to the working class so much as successfully building false consciousness through religiosity/culture war bullshit.

That's not to say that I'm not critical of the left. We tend to use terms that immediately turn people off - partly because they're leftist jargon that only we understand and partly because the propaganda against terms like "anarchy" and "socialism" have been so successful. Simple messaging revolving around people's lives not getting better and the government just not giving a poo poo.

It's clear, at least to me, that neither party is going to help. They're both creatures of and by the system itself. We're nothing but sacrificial pawns to them. That's why building parallel power structures with organizations like the DSA (I've been getting more active with my chapter, which is pretty active) is a key to building leftist power.

LionArcher
Mar 29, 2010


Kraftwerk posted:

Lol play me the world's smallest violin. These are just another batch of loving excuses... Do you have any idea how many times leftist revolutionary groups in Europe got absolutely clobbered before they got anywhere? You want to know what hopeless looks like? Try Russia in the 1800s, or even just after the 1905 revolution. The entire history of the socialist movement is written in blood and betrayal (often by middle class centrists who achieved their mutual goals with the left and promptly sold them out to the conservatives).

Almost a century ago left wing groups used to get jailed, executed or exiled on a routine basis simply for meeting up or handing out flyers. You can do all of these things in America with far greater ease than you ever could with organizations like the Okrana breathing down your neck and literally creating leftists organizations for you to join so they can then monitor and control you while you think you're fighting the good fight.

It's also a fact that people no longer trust said multibillion dollar media empire. Hence the rise in alternative facts and parallel media ecosystems where people dogmatically adhere to their own made up fantasy worlds. Do you not realize that the OG socialists had to contend with literally millions of peasants who in their heart of hearts believed in the divinity of absolute monarchs and had strong religious convictions? Like you don't have to constantly travel around under an assumed alias, in disguise, from safehouse to safehouse to hide from the secret police. That's what people used to do and they still fought. So when I hear "But the big bad media convinced everyone" I just hear excuses.

The real issue here is the left doesn't have an audience outside liberal urban/suburban circles and has been failing to connect with the working class since the 1970s. You don't have the ear of the working class... The GOP do. The left are like socially awkward teenagers trying to court some crush they like from afar without really knowing anything about her or how to talk to her. They stutter out something that at best garners sympathy but ultimately someone else with more confidence and a better understanding of how to talk to people was able to get that person while the teen wound up alone.

This is not a new problem. It is historically precedented. Socialists used to go to the same coffee shop as bourgeoise liberals. They hung out in the same circles, went to the same schools and were a minority of a minority of a population that predominantly consisted of agrarian farmers and urban workers. Today it's the same. A bunch of people who went to school with the MBAs and other college educated people who support the status quo and live like HENRYs and PMCs supporting the system, paying mortgages and dealing with the economy as it currently exists. One faction picked the right field to work in and paid most of their bills, the other found lovely employment and became radicalized. Unfortunately there's a lot more people who are either benefitting from generational wealth or have a really nice life where some form of food, shelter, entertainment and sex is available to them so they don't want to rock the boat too much by changing society in a serious way....

This is why the inflation talk is gaining so much traction against Biden. People at their core are ultimately selfish and self interested. They don't want their cost of living to go up. They wanna keep enjoying their lives such as they are, and only want to make modest changes and improvements. But the moment you try to take that away from them or you are made to APPEAR that way, your political future is cooked. Nobody is going to accept short term pain for long term gain. Not unless it's so blindingly obvious to them that it will benefit them in real ways. Everything the left is fighting for is too strange and abstract for the sleeping urban liberals who basically already have a pretty comfortable lifestyle to look forward to that they don't want anyone touching....

So that leaves us with the working class. Historically conservative societies were toppled by apolitical outrage from poorer classes who began to go hungry, cold and unhealthy. It was no coincidence that some of history's greatest revolutions often occurred spontaneously during poor harvests, great famines or tumultuous political events that heavily discredited the prestige and authority of a particular government. It's during these moments that socialist groups usually gain the upper hand if they seize the political moment and are able to convert the raw desire for change, revenge and outrage into some sort of political answer/platform.

The GOP have successfully done this for years because they are able to talk to America's working class in words and emotional overtures that they can understand. The left failed to do that around the time they stopped being a working class/social safetynet advocacy organization and became a collection of academics, students and well-todo liberals. Today's left embodies everything that America's working class hates from a cultural perspective... That doesn't mean you lost the working class, it just means you need to learn how to talk to them again and snatch them from the GOP as they have snatched them from the left when the Southern Strategy was launched... That's all you need to do... If it ever happens I would not be surprised if the suburban liberal contingent that voted for Biden suddenly become dedicated card carrying republicans again.

I don't agree with everything here, but in general this feels right to me. A lot of the "left" on twitter stuff folks I've been around are extremely out of touch with "common" folks. take the extreme left takes on some of the feminism gender stuff. It's very easy for the "left" to be dismissive of others as "transphobic/ homophobic backwards idiots" but some of these hot button topics being raised by the bad guys (conservative types) is a classic case of the left winning the battle but completely losing the war.

For whatever reason (I was very high) I watched a series of videos this weekend going over super edits of TikTok talking about gender issues/not all men/ Down with the patriarchy videos. Now I understand with context that this is a not so slippery slope but more like a doorway to alt right/Joe Rogan JP videos, and it's garbage. But on the flip side, being high as I was, the point the hosts were making about how nuts some fo the TikTok talking about their pronouns being it/its/ none human threatening people if you don't use their pronouns ect. did ring true to me, in terms of how the average person is going to see these videos and take it. and I get it, a lot of this is very young people going through puberty and miserable and trying to work it out..

On its face, I have no problem calling somebody what they want to be called, but the level of entitlement about "this being their issue" shows how out of touch it feels to a lot of folks. And I'm not talking about trans folk. I know there's plenty on these boards, and if you tell me your pronouns, I have no problem using them. The point though the videos were making, is a people don't give a poo poo/are just trying to get through their days. So in that sense, the other side (alt right lying) saying that they're going to lower gas prices, your taxes, and stop these weirdos with all the face piercings weird plastic surgery make up to make them look like cats from going into your daughters restroom" is a gross fear tactic, but it works.


Like, I'm more leftest than almost any of my friend group. I'm the hardest on UBI, environmental, the whole nine yards. But I noticed what happened with a lot of my white friends over BLM protests. They went, they were down, they did the BLM posts, and they read white fragility. (A terrible, con artist book).

And then they got burned out, because they felt like the message was, "they are bad". and they don't want to feel bad. They haven't slid into being republicans, but they're grumpy about "feeling like the bad guys". And if that's my small sample size of mostly open minded millennials (ranging in age from late 30's to mid 20's), I can't imagine how most of the middle class/working class folks feel.

And I think that's why the whistle of CRT came in. It's the backlash to BLM daring to peacefully protest. Of course it's based in racism, but it's a tactic that is working.

I have several male friends (30's, successful, not married) joking about how they're only going to date conservative woman going forward, because more liberal women are "exhausting" and every other conversation is a fight. I don't agree, but I will say a lot of my peers in relationships, when it comes to conflict, about looking for problems, versus looking for solutions. I think everybody taking two intro to physic classes hasn't helped that either, with every friend group having an armchair psychologist diagnosing their best friends boyfriend/girlfriend as a narcissist/psychopath when maybe it was just a bad fight they were just being a jerk.

Now the thread can just dunk on me that maybe I have lovely friends, or that because I watched a transphobic YouTube channel video I'm also terrible, but the point I"m trying to make is that folks online constantly time and time again overestimate how much sentiment has changed towards the "progressive way of thinking" versus where the population actually is.

And I say that as someone who thinks D&D is in general way too neoliberal when it comes to things like Covid and the environment. We're in the middle of modern Rome falling, and that's fascinating to live in. I don't think any one or done policies will fix any of this. UBI would be nice because everyone could enjoy staying home doing hobbies/playing video games reading until climate change swallows us all up/we get horrible oppressed by fascists who will probably take over in the next 5-15 years.

LionArcher fucked around with this message at 23:41 on Nov 15, 2021

TheIncredulousHulk
Sep 3, 2012

theCalamity posted:

Isn’t the other reconciliation bill or BIF or BBB or whatever gently caress other bill supposed to be voted on today?

It was the BBB and yes. Instead they're doing a big ceremony for the lovely highway bill and pretending it's historic

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Steve Bannon wants to take down the BIDEN OCCUPIED GOVERNMENT

Big talk from a guy who was crashing on a communist couch

InsertPotPun
Apr 16, 2018

Pissy Bitch stan

WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:

Steve Bannon wants to take down the BIDEN OCCUPIED GOVERNMENT

Big talk from a guy who was crashing on a communist couch
*shrug* what's going to stop him?
he'll be doing his bin laden thing long after we're all dead

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FLIPADELPHIA
Apr 27, 2007

Heavy Shit
Grimey Drawer

Zotix posted:

How long do you guys think the Rittenhouse jury is going to deliberate for?

30 minutes. They only need 1 minute but t least one juror will say "maybe we shouldn't be too quick about it"

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