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psydude posted:Speaking of, how do we think things are going for ol' Snowden right about now? I completely forgot that guy was still in Russia. last i saw his transformation into a corncob was nearly complete
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Mar 1, 2022 10:59
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psydude posted:Speaking of, how do we think things are going for ol' Snowden right about now? I completely forgot that guy was still in Russia. https://twitter.com/Snowden/status/1498049577131208705 Last tweet seems to be in high spirits, not doing the usual sarcasm about the west and how nice russia is tho
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Mar 1, 2022 11:00
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SlowBloke posted:https://twitter.com/Snowden/status/1498049577131208705 Think he misses Hawaii right now?
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Mar 1, 2022 11:11
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E. Explosion from yesterday.
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Mar 1, 2022 11:13
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Vincent Van Goatse posted:Think he misses Hawaii right now? I think he made well clear where his allegiances are, even if for morally correct motives, he is now pretty much a puppet much like Seagal to trot around to make Russia look like not an authoritarian cleptocracy to westeners. If he is not aware of being a propaganda item, he is an idiot.
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Mar 1, 2022 11:17
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pantslesswithwolves posted:https://twitter.com/borzou/status/1498393087952961541 Texas twang: “not bad ukraine. You made Russia use 10% of its power”
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Mar 1, 2022 11:25
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Sorry to link to Reddit, but have some feel-good footage of a Russian helicopter taking a hit and nose-diving into water. https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/t43smn/two_russian_helicopters_downed_near_kyiv/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
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Mar 1, 2022 11:42
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SlowBloke posted:I think he made well clear where his allegiances are, even if for morally correct motives, he is now pretty much a puppet much like Seagal to trot around to make Russia look like not an authoritarian cleptocracy to westeners. If he is not aware of being a propaganda item, he is an idiot. I'm not following the guy, so I don't know what previous statement he's referring to but I read that tweet as "There are severe restrictions on what I can say, but I've been an enormous idiot about Russia."
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Mar 1, 2022 12:58
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psydude posted:Sorry to link to Reddit, but have some feel-good footage of a Russian helicopter taking a hit and nose-diving into water. Saw it on twitter earlier but it's unclear when or where it happened. Sound really is justified though https://twitter.com/Conflicts/status/1498595129686474755?t=COR_rjCtTqLoI0w8W6saQg&s=19
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Mar 1, 2022 13:05
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I thought that was an ocean for a second. The Dneiper is pretty drat big. With all the death and destruction it feels selfish to feel bad about this, but I really wish I'd been able to go my trip to Kiev back in March of 2020.
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Mar 1, 2022 13:08
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Hannibal Rex posted:I'm not following the guy, so I don't know what previous statement he's referring to but I read that tweet as "There are severe restrictions on what I can say, but I've been an enormous idiot about Russia." His previous tweets before the conflict were the usual “useful idiot” noise that didn’t said much of importance, people knows he is in Russia and has secondary channels with his propaganda handlers so he gets extra messages than usual RN. Apparently he doesn’t like the spotlight anymore
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Mar 1, 2022 13:16
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FYI - if you leave "automatically parse URLs' checked, your post will add [url] to twitter and they will get embedded. Putting spoiler tags around them does nothing. You have to make sure they do not have the [url] tag. For example: https://twitter.com/dril/status/922321981 https://twitter.com/dril/status/922321981
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Mar 1, 2022 13:32
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Lol Snowden is going to commit suicide by shooting himself in the back of the head three times with uranium tipped bullets
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Mar 1, 2022 13:35
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SlowBloke posted:If he is not aware of being a propaganda item, he is an idiot. It was always this.
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Mar 1, 2022 13:44
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https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1498638623125774339
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Mar 1, 2022 13:53
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Snowden’s interview with Jon Oliver really broke him. “Nobody remembers who you are, dude. Nothing changed.”
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Mar 1, 2022 13:55
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SlowBloke posted:I think he made well clear where his allegiances are, even if for morally correct motives, he is now pretty much a puppet much like Seagal to trot around to make Russia look like not an authoritarian cleptocracy to westeners. If he is not aware of being a propaganda item, he is an idiot. https://gizmodo.com/edward-snowden-is-a-loving-idiot-1789039598
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Mar 1, 2022 14:11
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Citation needed?
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Mar 1, 2022 14:12
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Uhhhh.... This would be the proverbial "it" correct? Ukraine being a full EU member would drastically change the boundaries of this war, right?
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Mar 1, 2022 14:13
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I've seen quite some unsubstantiated claims from that Twitter account. Take it with a bucketful of salt
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Mar 1, 2022 14:15
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ASAPI posted:Uhhhh.... This would be the proverbial "it" correct? I'm 100% certain that even if the EU really is willing to grant Ukraine membership, it will be contingent on the war being over.
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Mar 1, 2022 14:16
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It’ll probably also take forever.
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Mar 1, 2022 14:16
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ok now i just don't know what the gently caress is going on with this story, saw it refuted earlier but now  https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/28/ukrainian-pilots-arrive-in-poland-to-pick-up-donated-fighter-jets-00012560 Politico posted:Ukrainian pilots arrive in Poland to pick up donated fighter jets
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Mar 1, 2022 14:17
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Haven't been able to find any confirmation for a "yes" vote for special admission into full membership status in the EU yet, not on the parlaments webpage or anything else. Currently the livestream shows a polish member haranguing Germany. Only vote on the docket is about a resolution concerning the war. A little strange this. In the meantime while we wait, have a RFE/RL interview with the crying soldiers' mom https://twitter.com/RFERL/status/1498641628478726149?t=Jwv-92K-f46nuoY4EQNuTw&s=19 E. I mean it goes without saying that gaining membership is normally a half/double decade long process wich a rather extensive amount of reforms and tests. The official start of the admission process bureaucracy is usually a very big, well publicised, thing. Again, it's a little strange. ThisIsJohnWayne fucked around with this message at 14:32 on Mar 1, 2022 |
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Mar 1, 2022 14:20
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-Anders posted:I've seen quite some unsubstantiated claims from that Twitter account. Take it with a bucketful of salt I believe it means what it's saying quite literally. They've accepted the application and are putting a process into motion. Not that membership is a given, or happening right now. That's farther than they used to be.
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Mar 1, 2022 14:22
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ThisIsJohnWayne posted:Haven't been able to find any confirmation for a "yes" vote for special admission into full membership status in the EU yet, not on the parlaments webpage or anything else. Currently the livestream shows a polish member haranguing Germany. Only vote on the docket is about a resolution concerning the war. While I do want the russians to get their poo poo pushed in, I feel bad for the conscripts and kids like him who just got thrown into something they were totally unaware of. When I joined the army I was fully aware that I would deploy to a place where we invaded illegally and the people there didn't like us, at least I knew that. These kids are just that, sucks.
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Mar 1, 2022 14:26
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Pine Cone Jones posted:While I do want the russians to get their poo poo pushed in, I feel bad for the conscripts and kids like him who just got thrown into something they were totally unaware of. When I joined the army I was fully aware that I would deploy to a place where we invaded illegally and the people there didn't like us, at least I knew that. These kids are just that, sucks. Being a Russian PoW in Ukraine just seems like a deferred death, given that Russia probably isn't going to think twice about raining thermobaric rockets down upon areas where they're being held.
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Mar 1, 2022 14:29
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psydude posted:Being a Russian PoW in Ukraine just seems like a deferred death, given that Russia probably isn't going to think twice about raining thermobaric rockets down upon areas where they're being held. Beyond that, whenever they get sent back (or picked up by their own forces), I don’t think the Russians will have any leniency on those who they think surrendered.
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Mar 1, 2022 14:33
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Can some of you watch this video and give me your thoughts? I find it highly likely that he's correct. He posits that we're going to see a spike in gas and food prices, and that there will be second- and third-order consequences to shortages around the world because of the Russo-Ukranian war. That there will be scarcity of certain food items, higher prices, shortages of fertilizer due to lower production of LNG (fertilizer being a byproduct of that) leading to lower crop yields. He says that some of these things are already built in and are already happening, and he says that larger effects are likely, but not guaranteed. I have my own biases on prepping, and I tend to have a pessimistic view on things, maybe due to my anxiety. Prepping helps allay my fears of not being able to support my family in a disaster, man made or natural. So given these biases that I have, I'm wondering if any of you guys think this guy is unreasonable, or fear-mongering. He's pretty much the least fear mongering, least clickbaity, least chuddy prepping channel on YouTube. But maybe I am allowing my biases to blind me. Here's his video. I'd love to hear everyone's thoughts https://youtu.be/SCdkemFFvVk
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Mar 1, 2022 15:00
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Pine Cone Jones posted:While I do want the russians to get their poo poo pushed in, I feel bad for the conscripts and kids like him who just got thrown into something they were totally unaware of. When I joined the army I was fully aware that I would deploy to a place where we invaded illegally and the people there didn't like us, at least I knew that. These kids are just that, sucks. It increasingly seems the Russian attack strategy hinged on the idea that a zerg rush of barely trained kids in APCs and tanks would scare the Ukrainian defense enough to surrender. Then the Russian military could airlift elite units of paratroopers to arrest the government while the kids mill about outside and take tiktoks saying "lol just overthrew the Ukrainian government." The fact that the kids were welcomed with NLAWs and Javelins while the paratroopers were blown up in the, sky or turned into Swiss cheese on the ground seems to have taken them completely by surprise. Now they seem to have switched to Plan B: "gently caress you, if I can't have it, you can't have it either."
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Mar 1, 2022 15:08
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For the average developed country, the increased food prices likely will be annoying, but manageable. What it's going to do, though, is cause widespread famine in the developing world, which will further fuel instability (particularly when combined with the accelerating effects of climate change). In the developed world, it will likely push countries and states that are heavily reliant on sales tax or VAT to lower those in order to offset price increases, which may lead to austerity measures or further deficit spending. The rise in fuel prices is currently linked to instability in the commodities market. It will be hard to see how they may change in the long run until the markets settle down. The EU is incredibly exposed to this at the moment, and they will likely be forced to sacrifice tax revenue by reducing fuel and utilities taxes, or somehow greatly accelerate their renewables transitions. The Biden administration will probably be forced to start approving more drilling permits/leases due to mounting political pressure. It wouldn't really do much to alleviate problems in the short/middle term, but it will probably calm markets a bit. psydude fucked around with this message at 15:26 on Mar 1, 2022 |
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Mar 1, 2022 15:09
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psydude posted:For the average developed country, the increased food prices likely will be annoying, but manageable. What it's going to do, though, is cause widespread famine in the developing world, which will further fuel instability (particularly when combined with the accelerating effects of climate change). In the developed world, it will likely push countries and states that are heavily reliant on sales tax or VAT to lower those in order to offset price increases, which may lead to austerity measures or further deficit spending. Here's some analysis from The Soufan Center on exactly that (the energy market) https://thesoufancenter.org/intelbrief-2022-march-1/ IntelBrief: Ukraine Invasion Clouds the Global Energy Picture quote:Bottom Line up Front
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Mar 1, 2022 15:20
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Vincent Van Goatse posted:Think he misses Hawaii right now? Probably missing his weeb anime pillow. Like I swear to god I remember that coming up when he fled, that he actually had one.
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Mar 1, 2022 15:42
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Bored As gently caress posted:Can some of you watch this video and give me your thoughts? Generally the concepts make sense but he's way overblowing the second order stuff, especially on a global scale. Europe is in for some shocks but North America, Asia, and Australia should be relatively insulated against the secondary shocks. Furthermore the food inflation is effectively priced in already, while we can probably expect to see costs rise it won't be sharp.
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Mar 1, 2022 15:46
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My takeaway from this is that ensuring your population is prosperous enough to withstand geopolitical market shocks is an essential national defense concern and if we don't go full socialism now the ruskies win.
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Mar 1, 2022 15:51
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Bored As gently caress posted:
I watched it. Yes, he presents his material in a calm and well thought-out matter and the dude isn't ringing any major Chud alarm bells, but at the end of the day, prepping is His Thing and he's still extrapolating things out to their worst case scenario. The urge to go RAHHHH must prep for everything! is understandable during times of uncertainty, but don't let it become a source of anxiety in and of itself. Unless you have a rural homestead with a storm basement stocked to the rafters (something that probably even 99.9% of the weirdest Doomsday Preppers don't have), there's no way you can be 100% prepared for everything at all times. All you can really do is be proud of making a concerted effort to keep your family safe in weird times and have faith in what you've already done or are currently doing. This isn't the time for big, sweeping gestures (i.e. buying a bunch of poo poo because I Think I Need It Now) but to keep calm but alert and keep pushing on. I do think that we could be in for some weird weeks ahead, but not as bad as what this guy is saying, but I'm going to continue to try living my life as normally as possible while trusting that everything I've done is enough. This goes for everyone and not just you, but I'd highly recommend taking a doomscrolling break every now and then. If you don't have one within petting distance, YouTube is full of videos of cute animals.
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Mar 1, 2022 16:01
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https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1498679555816574995?t=vXGxhuDDs3l1JbxRI_pKyw&s=19 https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1498679703628136458?t=bkKWPKRm7hY9_Jl8F4UmQA&s=19
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Mar 1, 2022 16:26
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Based on some statements Russia just made, it sounds like tonight they're going to level Kiev.
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Mar 1, 2022 16:29
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Gran of salt, yatta yatta yatta but even if a third of it is true  https://twitter.com/sbreakintl/status/1498619303717142529?s=20&t=6wf-_O77W2LxAD0gFVLT-A
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Mar 1, 2022 16:33
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Any idea what theyre hitting that tower with? I'n donbass they started wailing on a ATC tower at an airfield with tanks back in 2014. But wouldnt a missile have collapsed that building?
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Mar 1, 2022 16:34
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