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https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1517224789177516034 That is a staggering number, I hope it's an overestimate
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Apr 21, 2022 20:35
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1517224789177516034 loving NATO forcing Russians to bury civvies
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Apr 21, 2022 20:44
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Shooting Blanks posted:The biggest challenge to this I would make is that the USSR was a great power within living memory - especially among the political leadership of most countries. Collective memory lasts a long time and there are multiple international organizations built in part or in whole to maintain the balance of power with the USSR/Russia. We agree entirely on these facts. My impression of how the term "Great Power" is used refers to a set of beliefs about the state's abilities in the eyes of political actors/the public at large. The ambiguity about the true strength of their military kept up their status, until they actually had to prove it. Even if one suspected the Russian (conventional) military wasn't as potent as propaganda portrayed it, the actual decrepitude was still pretty surprising.
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Apr 21, 2022 20:52
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The Imp of Nipples posted:Do the Chinese actually have any 'recent', real combat experience? A number of western nations have been engaged in the ME and Africa the past generation. Has China have anything to learn from any actual engagements? Forget even combat experience. If there's anything we've learned in the last 2 months, it's that logistics is apparently 80% of the game. Does China's military even have the ability to sustain an expeditionary force trying to take Taiwan?
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Apr 21, 2022 20:53
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The latest US aid package that includes the 155's also includes a new Switchblade-like suicide drone called "Phoenix Ghost". Apparently it was developed by the USAF in the last couple of months in response to Ukrainian needs.
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Apr 21, 2022 20:56
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1517224789177516034 Given we have at least one documented call where Russian troops said their command told them to shoot civvies on site.....yeah....
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Apr 21, 2022 20:57
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psydude posted:Forget even combat experience. If there's anything we've learned in the last 2 months, it's that logistics is apparently 80% of the game. Does China's military even have the ability to sustain an expeditionary force trying to take Taiwan? They have the civilian industrial base for it, but doing it under fire is a completely different animal. The general wisdom is they are rapidly maturing a domestic capability on par with some NATO nations not named the United States.
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Apr 21, 2022 21:01
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https://mobile.twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1517187794527043585 Seems the FSB isn't the only group out there that can hit foreign targets.
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Apr 21, 2022 21:01
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Shooting Blanks posted:Is that to gain practical experience? My take on it was that China is trying to expand its sphere of influence by building infrastructure projects in other countries - how valuable those projects are to said host countries being a topic of debate. But one of the big caveats is that China often does most/all of the construction, security, and often the labor and operations once those facilities are complete. Yeah, this is correct. Both China and Russia have been trying to expand their influence in Africa diplomatically, economically, and militarily. Russia is doing this partly through the PMC Wagner. China is, like you said, burdening countries with unsustainable infrastructure projects that saddle the host country with debt, all the while the host country leader gets massive kickbacks directly from China.
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Apr 21, 2022 21:03
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Cimber posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1517187794527043585 Once is happenstance, twice is misfortune, three times is
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Apr 21, 2022 21:03
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Cimber posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1517187794527043585 gently caress yes
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Apr 21, 2022 21:04
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No, you guys, this is part of the plan! I can't figure exactly how, but it is!!
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Apr 21, 2022 21:15
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Naked Bear posted:No, you guys, this is part of the plan! I can't figure exactly how, but it is!! Glorious Russia has decided to stop using toxic chemicals
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Apr 21, 2022 21:17
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Honestly I'm more willing to chalk it up to just sheer Russian incompetence at this point.
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Apr 21, 2022 21:22
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psydude posted:Honestly I'm more willing to chalk it up to just sheer Russian incompetence at this point. Fair point. How often do these sorts of things catch fire that we don't hear about? How big of a deal is this actually?
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Apr 21, 2022 21:24
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A single chemical plant catching fire is indicative of precisely nothing. That said, it's definitely not good timing.
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Apr 21, 2022 21:28
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Cimber posted:Fair point. How often do these sorts of things catch fire that we don't hear about? How big of a deal is this actually? Often enough that they tried to use it as an excuse for a capital ship sinking, apparently.
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Apr 21, 2022 21:36
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https://youtu.be/c24PlSKEwOs Bye bye air defense research. 
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Apr 21, 2022 21:52
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Would any of their space tech have been lost in there?
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Apr 21, 2022 21:54
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Joke Miriam posted:Would any of their space tech have been lost in there? That’s a good question. I’m not sure of all the stuff that went on there.
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Apr 21, 2022 21:56
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Joke Miriam posted:Would any of their space tech have been lost in there? I have to imagine Russia has a fairly robust, redundant system for offsite data storage lol
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Apr 21, 2022 22:00
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Tiny Timbs posted:I have to imagine Russia has a fairly robust, redundant system for offsite data storage Igor with drawers full of unlabeled MicroSD cards.
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Apr 21, 2022 22:03
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BIG HEADLINE posted:Igor with drawers
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Apr 21, 2022 22:11
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500 unlabelled thumb drives stored right next to the nasty malware ones
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Apr 21, 2022 22:17
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Comrade Blyatlov posted:500 unlabelled thumb drives stored right next to the nasty malware ones Whoopsie
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Apr 21, 2022 22:24
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Comrade Blyatlov posted:500 unlabelled thumb drives stored right next to the nasty malware ones There's a scene in the new Batman with a USB drive where Batman & Gordon find it attached to a thumb from a murder victim and Gordon plugs it into a networked GCPD computer he is logged into and is shocked when it takes malicious action with his email account. I'd have said it was clunky storytelling but would imagine it's still an effective technique in use nowadays. I was thinking of all the Darknet Diaries episodes where the goal of an onsite tester is often to plug a USB drive into a networked computer to run a program and that counts as success.
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Apr 21, 2022 22:30
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Hyrax Attack! posted:There's a scene in the new Batman with a USB drive where Batman & Gordon find it attached to a thumb from a murder victim and Gordon plugs it into a networked GCPD computer he is logged into and is shocked when it takes malicious action with his email account. I'd have said it was clunky storytelling but would imagine it's still an effective technique in use nowadays. I was thinking of all the Darknet Diaries episodes where the goal of an onsite tester is often to plug a USB drive into a networked computer to run a program and that counts as success. There's a scene in "Servant Of The People" where not-Zelenskyy is mailed a USB drive with a threatening note and promptly plugs it into his laptop.  Hollywood needs to catch up on basic security- an untrusted USB drive is like finding a hypodermic syringe with a brown liquid in it. You absolutely want to find out what it is, but you don't just stick it in your arm and slap the plunger.
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Apr 21, 2022 22:51
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So a little more info… apparently they also did all the ballistic missiles here. https://youtu.be/T-K0Jm83GmY https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/04/21/6-dead-in-fire-at-russian-aerospace-defense-research-institute-state-media-a77446
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Apr 21, 2022 22:55
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Uncle Enzo posted:There's a scene in "Servant Of The People" where not-Zelenskyy is mailed a USB drive with a threatening note and promptly plugs it into his laptop. The problem here is similar to the problem with guns in Hollywood (note: I am not making a statement about Baldwin) - realism takes a backseat to writing, because doing things correctly is often more boring than simply letting [action] be a plot device. Shows and films that are heavily focused on one or another will often hire experts to lend some credibility and realism to it - I'm thinking explicitly about Mr. Robot (technology) and John Wick (guns) as examples. To put this into context, if you have a show that isn't heavily focused on technology and someone finds an untrusted USB - does it serve the narrative to both make a secured/airgapped laptop available to investigate, which then requires exposition, additional writing, and additional screen time, or does it make sense to just have The Hero plug it in and find The Clue?
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Apr 21, 2022 22:57
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Uncle Enzo posted:Hollywood needs to catch up on basic security- an untrusted USB drive is like finding a hypodermic syringe with a brown liquid in it. You absolutely want to find out what it is, but you don't just stick it in your arm and slap the plunger. Seems realistic to me, my company does poisoned usb awareness by chucking rubber duckies on peoples desks and even after a few years of this people still get nabbed by the siren call of the unlabeled, unmarked usb that magically appears on your desk.
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Apr 21, 2022 22:57
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Cimber posted:Fair point. How often do these sorts of things catch fire that we don't hear about? How big of a deal is this actually? I mean, ask Texas?
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Apr 21, 2022 22:57
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Stultus Maximus posted:I mean, ask Texas? So once every other weekish.
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Apr 22, 2022 00:02
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Not sure if this was posted or not, but goddamn is it spicy. https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-21 The Kremlin’s declaration of victory in Mariupol is unlikely to enable the deployment of significant combat power to reinforce offensive operations in eastern Ukraine in the coming days or weeks. Russian forces involved in the battle of Mariupol are likely heavily damaged and Ukrainian forces succeeded in tying down and degrading a substantial Russian force. Russian forces continued offensive operations in eastern Ukraine but made only marginal gains. Ukrainian forces continued to halt Russian attacks around Izyum.
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Apr 22, 2022 00:28
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Cimber posted:Seems the FSB isn't the only group out there that can hit foreign targets. psydude posted:Honestly I'm more willing to chalk it up to just sheer Russian incompetence at this point. regular brain: ukrainian security services are executing sabotage attacks within russia's borders expanding brain: buildings in russia just spontaneously catch fire all the time because of poor construction and/or incompetent staff tossing lit butts into wastebins galaxy brain: disgruntled FSB agents have returned to their traditional area expertise, attacking domestic targets, to cripple their own war effort because they think putin has lost it
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Apr 22, 2022 00:59
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CMYK BLYAT! posted:galaxy brain: disgruntled FSB agents have returned to their traditional area expertise, attacking domestic targets, to cripple their own war effort because they think putin has lost it https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_apartment_bombings e: nvm, you're probably already referring to this 
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Apr 22, 2022 01:23
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hell, even if you don't wanna go full conspiracy you could still look at something like the dubrovka siege or beslan and come to the reasonable conclusion that the FSB personnel assigned to protect these important strategic sites somehow managed to set them on fire despite the best of intentions
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Apr 22, 2022 01:32
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CMYK BLYAT! posted:hell, even if you don't wanna go full conspiracy you could still look at something like the dubrovka siege or beslan and come to the reasonable conclusion that the FSB personnel assigned to protect these important strategic sites somehow managed to set them on fire despite the best of intentions I'd rather besiege a bottle of Żubrówka personally.
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Apr 22, 2022 01:38
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Cimber posted:. Russia has been absolutely pounding the poo poo out of those lines for three days now without much to show for it. Is this just fires prepatory to an assault? Or, is this what they’ve got?
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Apr 22, 2022 01:40
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Oxygenpoisoning posted:
Lmao, is that the Magnificent Seven theme song? https://youtu.be/8XDB7GMnbUQ
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Apr 22, 2022 01:41
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The Royal Nonesuch posted:Lmao, is that the Magnificent Seven theme song? Nah, it's from Siverado.
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Apr 22, 2022 01:43
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