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Telsa Cola
Aug 19, 2011

No... this is all wrong... this whole operation has just gone completely sidewaysface

Boris Galerkin posted:

I'm aware that it's "a thing" written in some obscure codes but I'm questioning if it's actually A Thing that people do. Like how it's also "a thing" written in some obscure codes that e.g. the US flag shouldn't be used as a thong bikini but yet those exist. I feel like people spouting off the "upside down = duress" thing are just smug assholes repeating some obscure fact they heard to sound smart.

It's a thing people do and it happens often/people do it enough that enough people understand it.

Also a big thing after elections.

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Crow Buddy
Oct 30, 2019

Guillotines?!? We don't need no stinking guillotines!

My 4 year old knew about the upside down flag thing when our dog died.

She is a smug rear end in a top hat though.

Quorum
Sep 24, 2014

REMIND ME AGAIN HOW THE LITTLE HORSE-SHAPED ONES MOVE?

Boris Galerkin posted:

I'm aware that it's "a thing" written in some obscure codes but I'm questioning if it's actually A Thing that people do. Like how it's also "a thing" written in some obscure codes that e.g. the US flag shouldn't be used as a thong bikini but yet those exist. I feel like people spouting off the "upside down = duress" thing are just smug assholes repeating some obscure fact they heard to sound smart.

It was historically a thing at sea, where flags were flown as signals in many contexts. It's not universal, though, in part because a lot of countries don't have flags that look different upside down to begin with.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

Boris Galerkin posted:

I'm aware that it's "a thing" written in some obscure codes but I'm questioning if it's actually A Thing that people do. Like how it's also "a thing" written in some obscure codes that e.g. the US flag shouldn't be used as a thong bikini but yet those exist. I feel like people spouting off the "upside down = duress" thing are just smug assholes repeating some obscure fact they heard to sound smart.

The code cite Kenlon linked is literally the "obscure codes" that you are thinking of. It's a thing people do.

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

Boris Galerkin posted:

I'm aware that it's "a thing" written in some obscure codes but I'm questioning if it's actually A Thing that people do. Like how it's also "a thing" written in some obscure codes that e.g. the US flag shouldn't be used as a thong bikini but yet those exist. I feel like people spouting off the "upside down = duress" thing are just smug assholes repeating some obscure fact they heard to sound smart.

Surely there are enough weird dudes on the internet to be mad at that you don't have to make people up and give them real estate in your head. If it helps, there is a big budget Hollywood movie from the 2000s, starring Mark Ruffalo, Robert Redford, and James Gandolfini called The Last Castle. It is about a corrupt military prison and the upside down flag thing is the big centerpiece at the climax of the movie.

Ulf
Jul 15, 2001

FOUR COLORS
ONE LOVE
Nap Ghost
https://www.edmundconway.com/typically-britain-tends-to-import-gas-from-europe-in-the-summer-2/

Interesting article on some of the mechanisms behind Europe being able to fill up its gas reserves this summer via UK infrastructure:

  • UK imports gas from Norway via its pipeline and burns it for electricity
  • UK exports excess electricity to Norway to smooth out demand (via an electric import cable and reverse hydro etc)
  • UK exports excess electricity to France to cover nuclear shortfalls (via another cable intended for electric import)
  • UK sends Qatari gas to Europe via offloading in its LNG terminals then pipelining it across the channel

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

This whole thread is worth a read -- Tim Mak is a real pro follow -- but I found this really interesting:

https://twitter.com/timkmak/status/1607017796403085312

Grip it and rip it
Apr 28, 2020

Boris Galerkin posted:

I'm aware that it's "a thing" written in some obscure codes but I'm questioning if it's actually A Thing that people do. Like how it's also "a thing" written in some obscure codes that e.g. the US flag shouldn't be used as a thong bikini but yet those exist. I feel like people spouting off the "upside down = duress" thing are just smug assholes repeating some obscure fact they heard to sound smart.

You are wrong. Hth. Its a pretty widely understood signal of distress.

tehinternet
Feb 14, 2005

Semantically, "you" is both singular and plural, though syntactically it is always plural. It always takes a verb form that originally marked the word as plural.

Also, there is no plural when the context is an argument with an individual rather than a group. Somfin shouldn't put words in my mouth.

Boris Galerkin posted:

I'm aware that it's "a thing" written in some obscure codes but I'm questioning if it's actually A Thing that people do. Like how it's also "a thing" written in some obscure codes that e.g. the US flag shouldn't be used as a thong bikini but yet those exist. I feel like people spouting off the "upside down = duress" thing are just smug assholes repeating some obscure fact they heard to sound smart.

Apparently it is something that people do given reports of people… doing it

And those flag bikinis don’t meet the legal standard of a flag (though I agree with what you mean here, that’s the fig leaf that chuds use to justify it).

OzyMandrill
Aug 12, 2013

Look upon my words
and despair

The Christmas timing is a massive deal, it's hard to explain quite what a massive gently caress-the-russian-orthodox-church statement it is.

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

My aunt is extremely Orthodox-religious but even she has been celebrating on December 25th for past few years. This year, of course, Christmas in January is basically only for priests (even of Ukrainian Patriarchate).

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010
It was a laughable concept already, but the "Russian World" is basically destroyed at this point.

Valiantman
Jun 25, 2011

Ways to circumvent the Compact #6: Find a dreaming god and affect his dreams so that they become reality. Hey, it's not like it's you who's affecting the world. Blame the other guy for irresponsibly falling asleep.

OzyMandrill posted:

The Christmas timing is a massive deal, it's hard to explain quite what a massive gently caress-the-russian-orthodox-church statement it is.

Well, you can just imagine if you yourself had decided to celebrate it two weeks early. It is a massive sign of separation from an old tradition. Calendar switches have historically been contributing causes for a lot of bad blood between people and churches.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009
In related news, the Orthodox Church of Ukraine and the Greek Catholic Church of Ukraine announced yesterday'ish about forming a working group about church calendar reform; it's not a quick thing since they have to make proposals, have them voted, etc.; they are aiming for 2025 which is the 1700s anniversary of Council of Nicaea.

(https://ugcc.ua/data/pid-chas-zustr...alendarya-1713/)

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Shut the gently caress up about the flag.

Kenlon posted:

It's an actual thing. From 4 US Code Sec 8:

"(a) The flag should never be displayed with the union down, except as a signal of dire distress in instances of extreme danger to life or property."

Grape
Nov 16, 2017

Happily shilling for China!

Moon Slayer posted:

This whole thread is worth a read -- Tim Mak is a real pro follow -- but I found this really interesting:

https://twitter.com/timkmak/status/1607017796403085312

This is less strange than it might normally appear, some of the Eastern Orthodox churches do the 25th of Dec, the Greeks for instance.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Grape posted:

This is less strange than it might normally appear, some of the Eastern Orthodox churches do the 25th of Dec, the Greeks for instance.

This is an extremely stark break with tradition, which was more than established enough in Ukraine to not bring oddball minority churches into this.

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



This has to do with the (non-)adoption of the Gregorian calendar, right? Interesting that something like this has turned into a symbolic issue.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Phlegmish posted:

This has to do with the (non-)adoption of the Gregorian calendar, right? Interesting that something like this has turned into a symbolic issue.

Yeah, it’s just that.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

The various articles about this do make the point that a lot of people are deliberately celebrating Christmas today at Russia.

Sekenr
Dec 12, 2013




Grip it and rip it posted:

You are wrong. Hth. Its a pretty widely understood signal of distress.

This makes no sense. Polish flag in distress is a flag of Indonesia. Not to mention variety of other flags that just don't work like that

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

The X-man cometh
Nov 1, 2009

Sekenr posted:

This makes no sense. Polish flag in distress is a flag of Indonesia. Not to mention variety of other flags that just don't work like that

French, Italian, and Irish flags upside down are identical to rightside up flags

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

cinci zoo sniper posted:

Shut the gently caress up about the flag.

I think this needs to be thread title for this to stop. loving vexillologists, always derailing threads!

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Moon Slayer posted:

The various articles about this do make the point that a lot of people are deliberately celebrating Christmas today at Russia.

It's a fine enough excuse for young people to throw a party, but as far as a religious occurrence is concerned, for the overwhelming majority of Russians it's the Orthodox Christmas.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




December 22-25 round-up

Deep dives:

:nms: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/video/russia-ukraine-bucha-massacre-takeaways.html

quote:

But an eight-month visual investigation by The New York Times concluded that the perpetrators of the massacre along Yablunska Street were Russian paratroopers from the 234th Air Assault Regiment led by Lt. Col. Artyom Gorodilov.

The evidence shows that the killings were part of a deliberate and systematic effort to ruthlessly secure a route to the capital, Kyiv. Soldiers interrogated and executed unarmed men of fighting age, and killed people who unwittingly crossed their paths — whether it was children fleeing with their families, locals hoping to find groceries or people simply trying to get back home on their bicycles.

Herstory Begins Now posted:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/putin-russia-ukraine-war-advisers-11671815184

https://archive.ph/I94xy

long wsj piece about basically Putin's personal involvement in decisionmaking wrt the war and general state of mind

:nms: https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-erasing-mariupol-499dceae43ed77f2ebfe750ea99b9ad9

quote:

But the AP investigation into life in occupied Mariupol also underlines what its residents already know all too well: No matter what the Russians do, they are building upon a city of death. More than 10,000 new graves now scar Mariupol, the AP found, and the death toll might run three times higher than an early estimate of at least 25,000. The former Ukrainian city has also hollowed out, with Russian plans to demolish well over 50,000 homes, the AP calculated.

Regular news:

WaPo did a nice piece on logistics of weapons assistance to Ukraine. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/23/ukraine-weapons-biden/

They also did a piece on the assimilation of Ukrainian children attempted by Russia. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/12/24/ukraine-stolen-children-maria-lvova-belova/

FT did an interview with Olena Zelenska. https://www.ft.com/content/010bae4d-1af7-4c4a-80b1-67e48905addb

Blasts reported from Kursk airfield. https://www.unian.ua/russianworld/v-kursku-zayavili-pro-bavovnu-na-aerodromi-progrimilo-kilka-vibuhiv-video-12089376.html

Ukrainian government is Russian a poll for the preferred Christmas date on its digital governance app, Diia. https://www.facebook.com/100018225866290/posts/pfbid0Q9GGT1td3FAvs1tXijUqyBR3euhzMNvhSWx3BqNG3RkeMhv5JcpfbCGkexeBffMcl/?mibextid=UUgoR4

According to Mediazona investigation, there are roughly 2k people who have earned “disability earned on the frontline” status in Russia. An important caveat here is that the process is still questionably followed, and takes months. https://zona.media/article/2022/12/22/wounds

They're also complaining that Russia has censored an internal service that allowed citizens to monitor the government's spending. https://zona.media/news/2022/12/22/otklyuchil

NYT has a story on a food kiosk presently operating in Bakhmut. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/world/europe/ukraine-bakhmut-food-stand.html

A German intelligence official is being tried on allegations of spying for Russia. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/world/europe/germany-russian-spy-arrest.html

Politico sources suggest that Ukrainian Patriot operators could be trained in the US. https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/22/military-training-ukrainians-patriot-united-states-00075284

Short-range artillery fire on Kherson seems to be intensifying. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/23/world/europe/russia-shelling-ukraine-kherson.html

According to Ukrainian intelligence, there's no meaningful risk for a Belarus front to open. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/23/world/europe/belarus-ukraine-invasion-threat.html

Russia is testing waters for paying off some of the planes it stole. https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/russia-explores-buying-some-of-the-400-stolen-airplanes/

Spending omnibus with $45bn for Ukraine passed by US Senate. https://www.ft.com/content/0a7c53bf-bff3-4af1-9eba-e2b28fe339bc Part of this would go into G7's $32bn financial support package for Ukraine. https://www.bundesfinanzministerium.de/Content/EN/Downloads/G7-G20/2022-12-22-g7-statement-ukraine.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=4

WaPo did a piece on behind-the-scenes deliberations between Zelenskyy and Biden. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/21/zelensky-biden-weapons-ukraine-patriots/

US is also expanding its authority on prosecuting war crimes. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/us/politics/congress-war-crimes.html

US claims that North Korea has been supplying Wagner since November. A simultaneous claim alleges that Wagner has 50k fighters in Ukraine – 10k mercenaries and 40k prisoners. https://www.reuters.com/world/us-says-russias-wagner-group-bought-north-korean-weapons-ukraine-war-2022-12-22/

https://twitter.com/WarrenDavidson/status/1606404474918117376

Russian are saying that Zaporizhzhia frontline fortifications line has been completed. https://t.me/vrogov/6740

Earlier in the year, we had some back and forth in the thread on what EU membership process could do regarding corruption problems in Ukraine. As I expected, EC is helicoptering incompatible decisions (a half-baked constitutional court reform passed a few days ago, in this case) basically from the next day: https://suspilne.media/344432-ek-rozrahovue-so-ukraina-vrahue-rekomendacii-venecianki-do-zakonu-pro-ksu/

Medvedev did block someone on Twitter for pointing out that his sone could legally be drafted in the 21-30 age bracket. https://t.me/sotaproject/51289

Prigozhin decided to post some cringe, that he's on the frontline (allegedly anyways) as well. https://t.me/concordgroup_official/177

It looks like the Starlink hunting machine might be just detecting Wi-Fi hotspots? Very funny if so. https://t.me/wehearfromyanina/1159

Also, seems like the French LRU M270 are in Ukraine already. https://t.me/csources/168964

Other summaries:

https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-dec-22-23
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-dec-21-22
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-dec-20-21
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-dec-23-24
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-dec-22-23
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-dec-21-22
https://zona.media/chronicle/305
https://zona.media/chronicle/304
https://zona.media/chronicle/303
https://zona.media/chronicle/302
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-24
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-23
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-22
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-21

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

A few rumours about progress in Kreminna are starting to appear. Very unconfirmed at the moment, but we might have some good news in the next few days

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1607149177699700737

https://twitter.com/ItsArtoir/status/1607134405751083010

https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3/status/1607148440911507456

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

Reports of explosions at Engels airbase for a second time. Kinda incredible that they'd be able to hit such a sensitive target twice, implies that the Russians are incapable of stopping them.

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1607164922458263552

Somaen
Nov 19, 2007

by vyelkin

Chalks posted:

Reports of explosions at Engels airbase for a second time. Kinda incredible that they'd be able to hit such a sensitive target twice, implies that the Russians are incapable of stopping them.

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1607164922458263552

Three people died according to the insider that's sourcing the ministry of defense https://theins.ru/news/258153

Ho ho ho motherfuckers :getin:

looks like this time the UAV was shot down by AA after they put a bunch of it there due to the successful first raid

Somaen fucked around with this message at 09:54 on Dec 26, 2022

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
Curious that people died at the target and that AA only managed to engage it at the very last moment of its flight (????)

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

I think that three people dying is somewhat contrary to the claim that it was successfully shot down.

Somaen
Nov 19, 2007

by vyelkin
One of the witnesses from the article claims that the explosion was not as strong as the attack at the start of the month, so taking into account the fog of war (in the middle of Russia a thousand Kms from the front at that) and the ministry of defence lying, it was either a successful hit or the AA took it down and the debris killed a bunch of people in the process

Edit: one journalist noting that on the 5th of December the russian defence ministry reported exactly the same - UAV shot down, three killed, four injured. The damaged planes were politely left out

Somaen fucked around with this message at 11:32 on Dec 26, 2022

Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

fatherboxx posted:

I think that three people dying is somewhat contrary to the claim that it was successfully shot down.

It's not if it was shot down with gun aa. One thing that's long been noted in naval aa is that if you were about to be hit with a missile but manage to shoot it down, you are still likely going to be hit with a whole bunch of flaming fragments.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

So, those three killed were actually pilots?
https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1607290086806425601

https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1607301617229131778

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

Total cost of training for military pilot in Russia ranges from 3 to 8 million USD so that drone likely paid for itself.

kemikalkadet
Sep 16, 2012

:woof:

Dwesa posted:

So, those three killed were actually pilots?


Killing 3 people in an area where pilots are waiting isn’t the same as killing 3 pilots. It’s possible and probable that there were other people in the same spot besides pilots.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
It's almost certain none of them were pilots but rather mechanics, and other service personnel, guards etc.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa
I wouldn't call anything certain. Once we have satellite images of the damage, maybe, but the actual casualties can't be confirmed other than what Russian authorities tell us, and they can't be trusted.

Blut
Sep 11, 2009

if someone is in the bottom 10%~ of a guillotine
The thread moves too fast for me to keep up consistently but I just wanted to say thanks for those news round-up effort posts cinci zoo sniper. They're a great reader's digest way of keeping up to date on things fairly quickly and easily.

If you had a blog and posted them to it I think it would probably get a fairly decent amount of traction in time, sites like Oryx have shown how much interest is out there on the internet for lots of civilians tracking/keeping up to date with this conflict. If you were at all interested in that mind you.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
Russian MoD line is that they hit a pilot waiting area killing 3 and wounding several more. If that's what MoD is saying now the reality is going to be worse than that, who knows how much worse that will be until there's sat images and angry telegram posts about it or leaks to journalists.

At the moment it sure sounds a lot more like a successful strike than a successful intercept, if there even was an intercept. By far the simplest explanation of a pilot waiting area blowing up is that that was the target and it was succesfully hit. The alternative that a Ukrainian drone just happened to crash into a pilot waiting area that was full of people is incredibly unlikely.

and yeah seconding that cinci's roundups are very, very good

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cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Blut posted:

The thread moves too fast for me to keep up consistently but I just wanted to say thanks for those news round-up effort posts cinci zoo sniper. They're a great reader's digest way of keeping up to date on things fairly quickly and easily.

If you had a blog and posted them to it I think it would probably get a fairly decent amount of traction in time, sites like Oryx have shown how much interest is out there on the internet for lots of civilians tracking/keeping up to date with this conflict. If you were at all interested in that mind you.

I'm doing them out of a calculus that this way the thread is less likely to go on a protracted, tedious tangent when there's a regular stream of news. As such, I'm far from enjoying feeling the pressure to spend my time on them consistently, as the primary feedback loop of “cannibalistic derails are less likely to happen” is not that exciting.

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