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PederP posted:Some of you may know a Russian YouTuber who goes by the moniker "The Russian Dude". Apparently he successfully managed to find a permanent residence and work permit abroad, and is now known as "The Canadian Dude". He's really just a news aggregator, but I appreciate that he is a Russian reporting on this war openly with a clear pro-Ukrainian perspective. Not only can he actually pronounce the place names correctly, it's also great to see someone put (yet another) a face on the Russians who do not support this war, and he adds some insight into the aggregation. Thanks for this YouTuber recommend, will check him out. I am a bit worried about how he seems to over-exagerate in his video descriptions. In the one you posted he has "Millions of Russians contact Ukrainian Authorities and ask how they can properly surrender." Millions? 
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Dec 27, 2022 16:53
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Donkringel posted:Thanks for this YouTuber recommend, will check him out. He is very guilty of hyperbolic and click-baity titles / summaries. The actual videos are better, although as mentioned, he leans quite heavily towards pro-Ukrainian optimism. But I think he does a decent job at separating his commentary and speculation from the actual reports of events and articles.
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Dec 27, 2022 18:08
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Deltasquid posted:Unless I'm mixing him up with another Russian youtuber who moved abroad, I think this guy also got his mobilization papers served despite living in Canada for close to 5 years or so Same lad. ------------------ He's too happy for me to follow but i am aware of him.
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Dec 27, 2022 18:12
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Willo567 posted:https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1607568234873556992 Everyone already knew that by "open to talks", Putin just meant "Ukraine will give us half their country and agree to all of our other demands, and we will consider nothing less, end of discussion.", so both of these statements are essentially the same.
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Dec 27, 2022 20:50
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https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-bans-russian-oil-exports-countries-that-imposed-price-cap-decree-2022-12-27/ Putin has banned oil sales to countries complying with price cap sanctions, excluding those compliant countries that have been granted a special exception (India and China, I assume). The main target is crude, for 5 months starting with the 1st of February, and an unspecified time window for crude-related oil products.
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Dec 27, 2022 23:08
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how do you even do that? oil is a fungible commodity.
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Dec 28, 2022 00:20
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So a while back Russia went into full mobilization and conscripted hundreds of thousands of citizens into the Military to throw them at Ukraine. What I'm wondering is, why didn't Ukraine basically do the same thing? From what I understand (and I could be wrong about this) Ukraines military is still running on a volunteer basis. I know Ukraine has a lot of manpower currently, but Russia is going to be pouring hundred of thousands more soldiers into the country and even if they are very undertrained I imagine it will still be very difficult for Ukraine to deal with the shear numbers of them. So I don't understand why Ukraine doesn't start drafting a large force of their own to help counteract it. Maybe its nearly impossible to train new recruits when your country is at war because military training facilities can be bombed?
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Dec 28, 2022 00:25
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Ukraine mobilised at the beginning of the war. Which is why all Ukrainian men need a special permit to leave the country. Also they have conscription, it's not a voluntary service. So does Russia.
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Dec 28, 2022 00:28
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Charliegrs posted:So a while back Russia went into full mobilization and conscripted hundreds of thousands of citizens into the Military to throw them at Ukraine. What I'm wondering is, why didn't Ukraine basically do the same thing? From what I understand (and I could be wrong about this) Ukraines military is still running on a volunteer basis. I know Ukraine has a lot of manpower currently, but Russia is going to be pouring hundred of thousands more soldiers into the country and even if they are very undertrained I imagine it will still be very difficult for Ukraine to deal with the shear numbers of them. So I don't understand why Ukraine doesn't start drafting a large force of their own to help counteract it. Maybe its nearly impossible to train new recruits when your country is at war because military training facilities can be bombed? They did the same thing. Reservists were being conscripted from February 23, and general mobilisation was called on February 25.
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Dec 28, 2022 00:30
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Correct me if I am mistaken but wasn't it a partial mobilization?
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Dec 28, 2022 00:40
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Charliegrs posted:So a while back Russia went into full mobilization and conscripted hundreds of thousands of citizens into the Military to throw them at Ukraine. It was not a full mobilization in the economic, military, or conscription sense.
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Dec 28, 2022 00:45
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It was more of a cope-alization, really. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Dec 28, 2022 00:47
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Crosby B. Alfred posted:Correct me if I am mistaken but wasn't it a partial mobilization? Are you asking about Ukraine or Russia? Former no, latter yes.
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Dec 28, 2022 00:49
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https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1607716230022168582 https://www.forbes.com/sites/craighooper/2022/12/26/ukraine-converts-219-billion-in-us-military-surplus-into-fearsome-force/?sh=7925b849370a quote:The list of American security assistance to Ukraine since the beginning of Russia's "unprovoked and brutal invasion" is impressive. What is more impressive is that $21.9 billion in U.S. military aid has been dominated by largely second-string gear, comprised of unpopular or lower-tech systems that were, in many cases, on the way to the scrapyard. Charlz Guybon fucked around with this message at 01:35 on Dec 28, 2022 |
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Dec 28, 2022 01:01
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Are you asking about Ukraine or Russia? Former no, latter yes. It is a bit confusing because there have been reports that conscription was cancelled while martial law and a travel ban has been continually extended since February. https://ukranews.com/en/news/888795-rada-cancels-conscription-during-martial-law https://itd-rada-gov-ua.translate.goog/billInfo/Bills/Card/40626?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp There have also been multiple news articles saying that the Ukrainian military is meeting its man power goals but lacking equipment.
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Dec 28, 2022 02:05
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Charlz Guybon posted:https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1607716230022168582 Remember: the last Authorization bill was $816.7 Billion. For 2.5 percent of our defense spending, we have provided everything from weapons to humanitarian aid, done incredible damage to one of our largest adversaries and kept people alive during a brutal invasion. With what was essentially a bunch of stuff two days before the 'best by' date. Even in the most myopic, terrible sense that doesn't factor in the humanitarian aid, supporting Ukraine has been one of the best investments against a 'near-peer' threat in the modern age. The fact that it has also been done for the closest thing you can find to an unambiguously good cause, defending a sovereign nation against an unjust attack, is another plus.
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Dec 28, 2022 02:25
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So is Ukraine going to be dropping JDAMs from F16s or what
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Dec 28, 2022 02:44
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I haven't seen this mentioned yet: Kazakhstan donates 41 generators to help Ukraine's energy emergency. (You have to scroll down a bit, it's part of the news round-up for today.) Together with the German help, this should add up to some sizable contritbutions to help keep the most important installations running, regardless of what Russia is doing.
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Dec 28, 2022 02:45
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awesome-express posted:So is Ukraine going to be dropping JDAMs from F16s or what Probably not in 2023. Maybe some day.
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Dec 28, 2022 02:47
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WarpedLichen posted:It is a bit confusing because there have been reports that conscription was cancelled while martial law and a travel ban has been continually extended since February. The cancellation refers to peacetime/normal conscription, and has nothing to do with the general mobilization, which was used to meet the manpower goals.
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Dec 28, 2022 02:54
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https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1607762078126718983 big "some of you will die, but that's a sacrifice I'm willing to make" energy not painting a great portrait of life in Russia gotta say (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Dec 28, 2022 05:52
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Speaking of the Russian church, the Ukrainian Constitutional Court has yesterday'ish (27th) announced a decision that the 2018 law that requires them to clearly identify their Ukrainian branch as being part of a Russia-based organization is constitutional, citing in part a ECHR decision that requiring religious organizations to not be named confusingly is reasonable. They should publish the full decision today'ish (28th). (Sources: https://ccu.gov.ua/novyna/konstytuciynyy-sud-ukrayiny-uhvalyv-rishennya-u-spravi-shchodo-povnoyi-nazvy-religiynyh is a press release from the court, https://www.pravda.com.ua/news/2022/12/27/7382561/ is an article).
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Dec 28, 2022 06:13
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The Ukrainian army also in the beginning of the war had lots of volunteers, more than was needed. So men weren't pressganged into service.
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Dec 28, 2022 07:21
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A problem with forced conscription into combat roles is that modern soldiers deal with and work around a lot of expensive and delicate equipment. Equipment that tends to break a lot around people who don't want to be there. They also demoralize the actual volunteer soldiers and reduce their fighting capacity. That's why many countries with conscription will let people select non-combat roles. You do after all need a lot of ancillary personnel for every actual fighting soldier anyway.
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Dec 28, 2022 08:10
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"Third, the UAF mobilised its cadets and the teaching staff of its military academies to force-generate additional infantry battalions. In this way a new group of forces was formed within the opening week of the conflict, supported by the two brigades of artillery held in Kyiv and one mechanised brigade." - RUSI Preliminary Lessons in Conventional Warfighting from Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: February–July 2022 Ukraine using their cadets and teaching staff as infantry during the early days probably put an upper limit to the usable intake from the general mobilization as well.
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Dec 28, 2022 08:29
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Donkringel posted:Thanks for this YouTuber recommend, will check him out. His latest video has "Entire Division of Russians SURRENDER". I've watched it and, they surrender.. their positions. Then most of them got back on the reformed frontline.\ e: VICE posted amazing video from a battle for Bakhmut.  - graphic content, some blurred bodies, and aftermath of fights.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lpe1OgCbCY alex314 fucked around with this message at 10:39 on Dec 28, 2022 |
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Dec 28, 2022 10:32
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About that recent oligarchs dying from window cancer, he was definitely hiding out: the hotel he was staying at was okay, but it wasn't a fancy hotel that would be accustomed to Russian oligarchs, nor was it in a well-known area. https://twitter.com/faineg/status/1607986127746568192?t=PRM-FCFwIz2AZR_r7_gzlg&s=19
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Dec 28, 2022 13:17
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E nvm didn't see mod note
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Dec 28, 2022 13:27
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Dunno, sounds a little too speculative to say he was "definitely" hiding only based on a circumstancial claim from ??? on social media Not that half of an entourage of four dying in a hotel two days apart isn't suspicious.
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Dec 28, 2022 13:34
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Anybody developing window-itis related to Russia is automatically suspicious.
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Dec 28, 2022 13:39
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bird food bathtub posted:Anybody developing window-itis related to Russia is automatically suspicious. Welcome, you must be new to the internet?  Gruesome and unexplained deaths of Russian businessmen and directors of various institutions certainly raise an eyebrow, although it's unlikely that all of them were assassinations. For example, it's hard to understand why Putin would have murdered the head of an important navy shipyard when that complicates his quest of building Russian navy to challenge USA in the Arctic and Pacific. Here's a long tweet thread about it. I don't know about the credentials of all their analyses, but the doctrine part is certainly true and Russia has been on that track for a while. https://twitter.com/IndoPacEyes/status/1606822619042676737 https://unroll-twitter-thread.com/ quote:🇷🇺⚓️ #RUSSIAN "#BLUEWATER" #NAVY DREAM SINKING Head of major 🇷🇺 shipyard dies suddenly at age 66, no cause given, 🇷🇺 state media #TASS today What this means: 🧵 #Ukraine #RussiaUkraine #UkraineWar #UkraineWarNews #Russia #UkraineRussiaWar #Ship #Navy #China #XiJinping #NATO
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Dec 28, 2022 14:03
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Nenonen posted:Gruesome and unexplained deaths of Russian businessmen and directors of various institutions certainly raise an eyebrow, although it's unlikely that all of them were assassinations. For example, it's hard to understand why Putin would have murdered the head of an important navy shipyard when that complicates his quest of building Russian navy to challenge USA in the Arctic and Pacific.  There are plenty of other people in Russia with the means to put a hit on their rivals and bribe/blackmail the subsequent investigation into a dead end.What better time for ambitious underlings to jockey for position than when the big boss is busy?
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Dec 28, 2022 14:22
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Jasper Tin Neck posted:
Also if that previously mentioned thing, Putin completely disinheriting Medvedev because he once didn't do exactly as was told with Libya and Gaddafi is true, then there is no way of knowing whats going on in the internal politics. Maybe that shipyard owner started to ask too many questions about the bookkeeping, or overplayed his hand for a promotion thinking that he is close enough to Putin to be untouchable.
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Dec 28, 2022 16:03
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Jasper Tin Neck posted:
This is true. One could become victim to a competitor, run afoul of another kleptocrat, or someone could be sending a message to Putin himself.
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Dec 28, 2022 16:05
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alex314 posted:His latest video has "Entire Division of Russians SURRENDER". I've watched it and, they surrender.. their positions. Then most of them got back on the reformed frontline.\ Cool video. The interactions with the civilians makes it seem even more absurd. This made me chuckle though: "Nothing wake you up in the morning better than freshly brewed coffee, and firing mortars at bastards."
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Dec 28, 2022 16:24
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awesome-express posted:So is Ukraine going to be dropping JDAMs from F16s or what If Ukraine was getting F-16s, and my opinion it is pretty much inevitable, they aren't going to advertise it until the very last moment for various reasons. I imagine the major hold ups are logistics and training for the ground crews still. You have to figure out how to get the airframes into Ukraine safely and without tipping off Russia. Then you have to figure out how to get all of the support kit into the country as well. It is a massive undertaking. You also have the issue of all Russia airframes use TS-1 for fuel where an F-16 uses JP-8 which is another logistical issue. The two are close enough that there is likely a solution for it but it is just something else to have to consider. In the short term JDAMs are basically plug and play so Ukraine likely has a solution in place to use them with the MiG-29s and Su-25s they currently have. They are probably going to keep flying those until the wings come off and by then the F-16 issues should be solved. I would think that Ukraine would be more interested in medium/long range strike drones and missiles in the immediate. They need the ability to strike at air defense assets as well as the various avenues Russia is launching missile/drone attacks at them. You can do that better with a lower value asset with the amount of risk involved. Affixing something akin to a HARM to an MQ-1 Predator would be pretty good for the situation they are in currently for SEAD/DEAD although MANPADs are still a concern. F-16s are sexy and could give a lot of benefits it isn't as game changing now as it would have been 6-8 months ago. Giving them something like a couple dozen Tomahawk missiles would be currently as they could destroy Russian logistical and tactical targets deep within Russia which would cripple their ability to do much of anything within Ukraine for weeks at best and heavily cripple their ability to send much of a reaction. This would be done with little to not risk to any Ukrainians as well.
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Dec 28, 2022 17:37
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Dumb question, what's the Russian idiom that's always translated with "direction", and is it new? I never noticed it before the maps in this war started going this happened in the city1 direction and that happened in the city2 direction. But I admittedly read basically no Russian. Is there something to it beyond just being the Russian way of saying "in the x region"?
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Dec 28, 2022 18:12
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Djarum posted:If Ukraine was getting F-16s, and my opinion it is pretty much inevitable, they aren't going to advertise it until the very last moment for various reasons. Why would F-16s be treated differently from every single other major weapon system? The US has been pretty transparent with major weapon assistance, when it comes to reporting divestitures and expenses to congress and the American people.
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Dec 28, 2022 18:13
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Yeah, I don't know if it feasible to sneak in F16s of any number without Russia working it out on their own. The Russians probably train and wargame fighting against F16's in any event. What's the element of suprise meant to achieve? Allow F16 attacks where Mig29's/SU27s can't strike now? Attempt to down a Bear loitering hundreds (>thousand?) of km behind the lines? Speaking of numbers, UAF was able to hold off RuAF airforces with ground based anti air and a fraction of the aircraft that the RuAF had. Would it be any different the other way around? I can see F16s trickling in and replacing attrition-ed Mig29/SU25s as allowing UAF to keep pushing back on RuAF but it would take hundreds of F16s to dramatically push the airspace to UAF control better than the control the RuAF currently has. Additionally, the RuAF seems to have mostly husbanded their fighter aircraft throughout this conflict so far, maybe in anticipation/contingency of exactly this scenario (or simply that their fighters are just not geared towards meaningful direct impact on ground operations).
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Dec 28, 2022 18:36
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aphid_licker posted:Dumb question, what's the Russian idiom that's always translated with "direction", and is it new? I never noticed it before the maps in this war started going this happened in the city1 direction and that happened in the city2 direction. But I admittedly read basically no Russian. Is there something to it beyond just being the Russian way of saying "in the x region"? Not a native speaker, but I'm pretty sure it's literally "in the direction of X," ie "going towards X."
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Dec 28, 2022 18:45
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