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(Thread IKs: skooma512)
 
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Ardennes
May 12, 2002
I mean what is the advantage of Chatgpt versus simply another online resource beyond some convenience? I don't think it is particularly good about raw facts/information versus even wikipedia and I don't think it is great about prose for longer than a paragraph before it falls apart. It seems like you could get most of your code information from other resources as well and you may actually figure out what is going on rather than cut and pasting and hoping that it works.

I mean it is probably acceptable for some very low rent tasks, but otherwise, it seems like a human with some effort could do much better.

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blatman
May 10, 2009

14 inc dont mez


Ardennes posted:

I mean what is the advantage of Chatgpt versus simply another online resource beyond some convenience? I don't think it is particularly good about raw facts/information versus even wikipedia and I don't think it is great about prose for longer than a paragraph before it falls apart. It seems like you could get most of your code information from other resources as well and you may actually figure out what is going on rather than cut and pasting and hoping that it works.

I mean it is probably acceptable for some very low rent tasks, but otherwise, it seems like a human with some effort could do much better.

it owns if ur job is sending emails and reading emails because its lets u cut the first half out almost entirely

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY

tristeham posted:

drat you're a loving idiot

blatman
May 10, 2009

14 inc dont mez


i had the chat gpt robut make me a resume + cover letter and when i was in the interview i was using the gpt on my phone to answer all the interviewers questions and not only did i get the job i now own the company

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Yeah, it seems like most of what chatgpt just could be done with some cut and pasting of existing documents, idgi.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005


a bunch of democrat governors allowed those p.e. ghouls who own nursing homes to write their emergency orders during covid & the ghouls put in indemnity clauses that exempted their liability for malfeasance that occurred even before covid.

and the for-profit care homes are the only ones who take Medicaid; the non-profit ones are those that charge like $10k/month.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

One for-profit chain in IL that had each of its care homes under a different LLC took out like $50 million in various PPP "loans" while it was busy killing grannies.

Willa Rogers has issued a correction as of 15:11 on Jun 3, 2023

StratGoatCom
Aug 6, 2019

Our security is guaranteed by being able to melt the eyeballs of any other forum's denizens at 15 minutes notice


Ardennes posted:

I mean what is the advantage of Chatgpt versus simply another online resource beyond some convenience? I don't think it is particularly good about raw facts/information versus even wikipedia and I don't think it is great about prose for longer than a paragraph before it falls apart. It seems like you could get most of your code information from other resources as well and you may actually figure out what is going on rather than cut and pasting and hoping that it works.

I mean it is probably acceptable for some very low rent tasks, but otherwise, it seems like a human with some effort could do much better.

It sounds plausible, people think it's an expert system instead of a sentence synthesizer.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

shrike82 posted:

the past 14 years (since GFC) have been a bonanza for almost any form of "normie" investing
S&P 500 is like up 13% annualized total return for the period

people in their 30s-40s who've had the ability to invest are in a good place

This is also true for people not in their 30s-40s; anyone who's had the ability to invest is in a good place if they weren't dumbasses about it. As the saying goes "It takes money to make money."

And the corollary to that is:

Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud
Apr 7, 2003


Too bad for you if you were one of the folks who didn’t have leftover money, though.

cat botherer
Jan 6, 2022

I am interested in most phases of data processing.

err posted:

Same energy

Pretty embarrassing cheating attempt for a 7th grader IMO, given that they copied it out by hand.

Twerk from Home
Jan 17, 2009

This avatar brought to you by the 'save our dead gay forums' foundation.

UKJeff posted:

Is that normal? $6000 roi on 8 rental properties? I figured it would be higher, that’s not much at all

What’s all the hype about, you’d get that much from an index fund with much less hassle and pay a lower tax rate to boot

I'm sure I've gotten beaten to the punch, but nobody will lend you a bunch of low-interest money to buy stocks.

Rental profit margins are really slim right after you buy the places with all that borrowed money, and increase over time because rents go up but mortgage costs are fixed.

sullat
Jan 9, 2012
Yeah also the underlying asset is unlikely to lose value, unlike stocks. And rental income is pretty much tax-free thanks to depreciation.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Twerk from Home posted:

I'm sure I've gotten beaten to the punch, but nobody will lend you a bunch of low-interest money to buy stocks.

Rental profit margins are really slim right after you buy the places with all that borrowed money, and increase over time because rents go up but mortgage costs are fixed.

The problem is that you're also tied into a specific asset, and you need to get a high rate of return to make it worth it.

I was looking around some properties in San Jose on a lark, and a lot of them are selling now way below their "Z" price and for around where it was in 2017-18 despite a huge amount of inflation since then. That said, it was a least, a house, the condos have done even worse, and they are loaded with a bunch of HOA fees that take away most of the benefit of owning the property.

You got to be careful even if it seems like a great deal.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 16:04 on Jun 3, 2023

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY
Lmao if you haven't become a landlord yet. It is a form of communism.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

blatman posted:

it owns if ur job is sending emails and reading emails because its lets u cut the first half out almost entirely

It’s this. But as I was saying, if you’ve ever received a form letter or one dictated to a secretary, it was ever thus.

Bar Ran Dun
Jan 22, 2006




Frosted Flake posted:

It’s this. But as I was saying, if you’ve ever received a form letter or one dictated to a secretary, it was ever thus.

most businesses practices like that have been disappearing as non admin employees absorb admin tasks. so the secretary would have had a spread sheet with standardized language for regular emails to each client, like sending invoices out. but she retires and they don’t replace her. The employee now doing the task just doesn’t even know the work could be automated simply and types each of those suckers out every time. there are a lot of little boring things like that have been falling out of practice. for the file records are another big one that nearly nobody does anymore.

it’s almost like all labor is skilled labor.

Nocturtle
Mar 17, 2007

Willa Rogers posted:

a bunch of democrat governors allowed those p.e. ghouls who own nursing homes to write their emergency orders during covid & the ghouls put in indemnity clauses that exempted their liability for malfeasance that occurred even before covid.

and the for-profit care homes are the only ones who take Medicaid; the non-profit ones are those that charge like $10k/month.

My rudimentary understanding on this issue is that you do not want to be in a nursing home funded at the level that Medicaid pays out, the reason being that the quality of care will be very poor. To have a chance at a good quality of life you really need to be in the type of home that costs more than >$10000 per month, as unaffordable as that is. Is this correct?

Makes sense that you generally don't want to be in a for-profit elder care setting at all if you can avoid it. Esp during a pandemic or even just a bad flu year.

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



Ardennes posted:

So as far as Chatgpt 4 goes, how many people have actually used it for complicated code, and what are the results?

I know for historical writing, it is laughable garbage, but that is a different requirement.

there was a decent post on hn iirc that summed it up well, saying that it's like managing a junior programmer. you can get it to scaffold code but there's still a ton of editing you need to do. mostly it's good for writing generic algorithms so you don't have to think about it or potentially gently caress it up. it has zero sense of context otherwise really since it can't think abstractly.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
The more I look at home sales, the more I wonder how robust the housing market actually is on the West Coast. I am starting to see a lot of places sitting on the market and prices consistently dropping in several major markets. I wonder if a crash is actually silently happening, but there just aren't enough sales completed for the aggregate data to show that much change.

triple sulk posted:

there was a decent post on hn iirc that summed it up well, saying that it's like managing a junior programmer. you can get it to scaffold code but there's still a ton of editing you need to do. mostly it's good for writing generic algorithms so you don't have to think about it or potentially gently caress it up. it has zero sense of context otherwise really since it can't think abstractly.

It seems more time saving than anything since someone actually does need to go back in there, check it, and then make the appropriate changes.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 16:37 on Jun 3, 2023

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Nocturtle posted:

My rudimentary understanding on this issue is that you do not want to be in a nursing home funded at the level that Medicaid pays out, the reason being that the quality of care will be very poor. To have a chance at a good quality of life you really need to be in the type of home that costs more than >$10000 per month, as unaffordable as that is. Is this correct?

Makes sense that you generally don't want to be in a for-profit elder care setting at all if you can avoid it. Esp during a pandemic or even just a bad flu year.

Yeah; the for-profits accept Medicaid bc there's money in nos. & they stint on staffing ratios & staffing pay.

Medicare pays for 3 weeks of "rehab" (aka "skilled nursing") stay after a hospitalization, if needed, and the for-profits are all over that as well (they're usually the same places as the nursing homes), but they prolly get higher reimbursements than that from Medicaid.

Woke Mind Virus
Aug 22, 2005

Ardennes posted:

So as far as Chatgpt 4 goes, how many people have actually used it for complicated code, and what are the results?

I know for historical writing, it is laughable garbage, but that is a different requirement.

It seems useful to me for starting some hobby project from scratch. At work I can't even come up with a useful question most of the time because it would require copy pasting some of our code into the prompt which would probably get me in trouble.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

Bar Ran Dun posted:

most businesses practices like that have been disappearing as non admin employees absorb admin tasks. so the secretary would have had a spread sheet with standardized language for regular emails to each client, like sending invoices out. but she retires and they don’t replace her. The employee now doing the task just doesn’t even know the work could be automated simply and types each of those suckers out every time. there are a lot of little boring things like that have been falling out of practice. for the file records are another big one that nearly nobody does anymore.

it’s almost like all labor is skilled labor.

That’s a really good point that I wouldn’t have thought of.

Animal-Mother
Feb 14, 2012

RABBIT RABBIT
RABBIT RABBIT
I hope I'm never old in America.

JAY ZERO SUM GAME
Oct 18, 2005

Walter.
I know you know how to do this.
Get up.


it's cool how the main financial motivator in my life is to have a big enough war chest to not have to die slowly in a managed care facility

savre all your money now! invest! prepare! ...or else

cat botherer
Jan 6, 2022

I am interested in most phases of data processing.

Animal-Mother posted:

I hope I'm never old in America.
Good news!

Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud
Apr 7, 2003


The rural healthcare apocalypse continues apace, and the news is painting this as fine, you can just go to the city for healthcare.

https://www.post-gazette.com/busine...es/202306040105

quote:

Researchers say take rural patients to urban doctors for better outcomes


HARRISBURG — Better access to health care in rural Pennsylvania might not be a matter of sending more doctors outside cities and suburbs.

Instead, doctors and patients alike may benefit from going to where health care already exists, a new report suggests.

Research from the University of Chicago argued that investing in urban health care centers and providing transportation from rural areas to those places could help patients. In cities and suburbs, doctors can specialize to offer higher-quality care and gain experience they couldn’t get in rural areas.

“Incentives for doctors to move to rural areas, such as student loan forgiveness programs, are not as effective as investments in cities or travel subsidies because of the quality of care,” a press release from Chicago’s Harris School of Public Policy noted.

Using Medicare claims data — authors Jonathan Dingel, Joshua Gottlieb, Maya Lozinski, and Pauline Mourot found — that about 20% of medical care is provided to patients outside their home region. While general practice physicians are more evenly distributed in urban and rural areas alike, specialists tend to cluster in metro areas.

In Pennsylvania, as in other states, rural residents get more medical care outside their home region. In the Altoona metro, 45% of the medical care that people receive is provided outside their area. For Philadelphia, non-local care is only 12%.

“Scattering doctors across space would actually have a cost, which is you would lose the benefits of being close to each other,” said Ms. Mourot, a doctoral student at the University of Chicago. “The fact that you don’t have doctors close to where you live doesn’t necessarily mean you don’t get the care; it means you might have to travel farther to get the care.”

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



Ardennes posted:

The more I look at home sales, the more I wonder how robust the housing market actually is on the West Coast. I am starting to see a lot of places sitting on the market and prices consistently dropping in several major markets. I wonder if a crash is actually silently happening, but there just aren't enough sales completed for the aggregate data to show that much change.

It seems more time saving than anything since someone actually does need to go back in there, check it, and then make the appropriate changes.

i tried it out a bit and some things were helpful but ultimately i realized i still had to write actual code. it's hard to quantify the ways in which it saves time. if i had to say, it's probably with getting concrete examples of language or API usage (the latter being a mixed bag since it's still often wrong and calling libraries or APIs that don't exist), just because docs are often not good and it's hard to decipher usage of said things

cat botherer
Jan 6, 2022

I am interested in most phases of data processing.

Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud posted:

The rural healthcare apocalypse continues apace, and the news is painting this as fine, you can just go to the city for healthcare.

https://www.post-gazette.com/busine...es/202306040105
45% percent of care for Altoona is done out of town? Yikes, it's a decent size place, not some isolated hollow.

Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud
Apr 7, 2003


cat botherer posted:

45% percent of care for Altoona is done out of town? Yikes, it's a decent size place, not some isolated hollow.

My wife's grandma is in Johnstown and she has to be driven here this month to have some melanoma removed from her nose. poo poo is getting dire even in places like that, or Altoona.

Rip Testes
Jan 29, 2004

I never forget a face, but in your case I'll be glad to make an exception.

Ardennes posted:

I mean what is the advantage of Chatgpt versus simply another online resource beyond some convenience? I don't think it is particularly good about raw facts/information versus even wikipedia and I don't think it is great about prose for longer than a paragraph before it falls apart. It seems like you could get most of your code information from other resources as well and you may actually figure out what is going on rather than cut and pasting and hoping that it works.

I mean it is probably acceptable for some very low rent tasks, but otherwise, it seems like a human with some effort could do much better.

When your baseline capability is zero basic NLP tasks can be bashed at the fraction of the cost otherwise. I've had to pass several thousand docs through the API for feature extraction, NER, tagging and text summarization and the sample results definitely have utility, but not the QA level of a human performing the task. That said, processing the docs is like a $10 spot versus paying someone a couple of weeks or more to just read through all that text. If you wanted to try and program something up yourself there could be dependencies in your office around security, compute resourcing, etc and all the bureaucratic meetings with the cost of time that goes into it plus whatever ongoing maintenance of the resulting architecture. Simple tasks can add up for orgs in certain situations. Or you can roll with an LLM's API if permitted given your task and data sensitivity.

I wouldn't really rely on ChatGPT for thoroughly generative tasks. That said if you need help dumbing down a concept to a lay audience and writing is not your bag it will give you something to work with provided you understand the output relative to your ask. I've had it help when translating between programming languages to get me pointed in the right direction, but getting working code out of the gate is a totally mixed bag unless you're asking a purely documentary function in which case ChatGPT is irrelevant. I see recommended vids touting ChatGPT building a video game or whatever and I have a hard time believing that. That's truly hype or prompt engineering is a real field.

You can fine tune the garbage generated, and work with what's left, but that depends on being able to recognize the garbage in the first place and a lot of users won't.

PoundSand
Jul 30, 2021

Also proficient with kites

F_Shit_Fitzgerald posted:

Yeah, I've heard the "Well, they have all my data anyway; who cares?" argument several times before on other websites. The thought that maybe, just maybe, companies shouldn't surveil us 24/7/365 never crosses these people's minds. To be fair to them, though, we all long ago traded privacy to corporations for convenience.

I mean if you have a phone and/or use social media and/or use gmail and/or etc etc etc the cats out of the bag. I do generally avoid smart products when I can have an alternative but getting companies to not spy on you is going to take top down legislative action (so not going to happen) not something you can realistically avoid with individual consumer choices in the modern age.

Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud
Apr 7, 2003


PoundSand posted:

I mean if you have a phone and/or use social media and/or use gmail and/or etc etc etc the cats out of the bag.

You don't even need to use Facebook to have a Facebook profile, you just need to know people who do.

Hubbert
Mar 25, 2007

At a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

the full book review article is an INCREDIBLE read

https://prospect.org/culture/books/2023-06-02-days-of-plunder-morgenson-rosner-ballou-review/

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012
https://twitter.com/Arnold_Ventures/status/1664341044769464340?t=7gayh301NRdpnoGCvyW67Q&s=19

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Ardennes posted:

I mean what is the advantage of Chatgpt versus simply another online resource beyond some convenience? I don't think it is particularly good about raw facts/information versus even wikipedia and I don't think it is great about prose for longer than a paragraph before it falls apart. It seems like you could get most of your code information from other resources as well and you may actually figure out what is going on rather than cut and pasting and hoping that it works.

I mean it is probably acceptable for some very low rent tasks, but otherwise, it seems like a human with some effort could do much better.

ChatGPT has three big advantages IMO:

1. It can remember context. So while you have a conversation with it, it can build upon what you (or it) said previously to give you more correct/detailed/nuanced answers. So for example you can say "how can I do X?" and it gives a response, then you say "okay, but what about Y?" and it says "if you want to do that, you can do it slightly differently, but you should also keep in mind that in order to do Y while also doing X, you need to..."
2. It has access to a much larger body of knowledge than any human or even a group of humans.
3. It's instant. Whereas with a site like Stackoverflow you have to ask a question and then wait for someone to answer (sometimes for days), with ChatGPT you can immediately get over whatever hurdle is in your way, which can be important for certain tasks.

Don't get me wrong, it's not perfect by any means, but the experience I had with it last week showed me how can be a major leg up for anyone who knows how to use it, and also knows how to recognize potentially erroneous or misleading answers.

Slow News Day has issued a correction as of 17:45 on Jun 3, 2023

blatman
May 10, 2009

14 inc dont mez


Slow News Day posted:

ChatGPT has three big advantages IMO:

1. It can remember context. So while you have a conversation with it, it can build upon what you (or it) said previously to give you more correct/detailed/nuanced answers. So for example you can say "how can I do X?" and it gives a response, then you say "okay, but what about Y?" and it says "if you want to do that, you can do it slightly differently, but you should also keep in mind that in order to do Y while also doing X, you need to..."
2. It has access to a much larger body of knowledge than any human or even a group of humans.
3. It's instant. Whereas with a site like Stackoverflow you have to ask a question and then wait for someone to answer (sometimes for days), with ChatGPT you can immediately get over whatever hurdle is in your way, which can be important for certain tasks.

Don't get me wrong, it's not perfect by any means, but the experience I had with it last week showed me how can be a major leg up for anyone who knows how to use it, and also knows how to recognize potentially erroneous or misleading answers.

i know the spirit of your post already acknowledged this but its worth reiterating that the major disadvantage is that wrong answers look a heck of a lot like right answers

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy

I couldn't actually stomach the PetSmart stuff. I hate seeing animals in distress. I couldn't even finish a book about Napoleon in Russia because of all the dying horses.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
That is the thing it is fast (relative speaking) and can give…some type of answer, the question sorting what it gives you and then making sure it is the right answer.

I got to say in any non-fiction prose it gives out is usually completely useless or comes out with completely off the wall arguments because it has no way to contextualize what it saying. Also, in a lot of fields, it seems it’s base of knowledge is really limited or fragmentary.

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triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



Slow News Day posted:

ChatGPT has three big advantages IMO:

1. It can remember context. So while you have a conversation with it, it can build upon what you (or it) said previously to give you more correct/detailed/nuanced answers. So for example you can say "how can I do X?" and it gives a response, then you say "okay, but what about Y?" and it says "if you want to do that, you can do it slightly differently, but you should also keep in mind that in order to do Y while also doing X, you need to..."
2. It has access to a much larger body of knowledge than any human or even a group of humans.
3. It's instant. Whereas with a site like Stackoverflow you have to ask a question and then wait for someone to answer (sometimes for days), with ChatGPT you can immediately get over whatever hurdle is in your way, which can be important for certain tasks.

Don't get me wrong, it's not perfect by any means, but the experience I had with it last week showed me how can be a major leg up for anyone who knows how to use it, and also knows how to recognize potentially erroneous or misleading answers.

it struggles with context in code

1. i ask for code based on a given scenario
2. it gives me some with a library/api that doesn't exist or cannot be used in the way it's trying to (server-side node applications versus client-side react)
3. i tell it to not use that library and it gives me other code
4. i then ask for further changes and it goes back to using the original library/api in point 2
5. i tell it to never use that library/api again
6. it still uses it on future changes

this could be with 3.5 or 4. it's not very good past a certain point

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