Joke Miriam posted:

What’s the most realistic prognosis for how far Ukraine goes in this offensive?

Sorry if this betrays a lack of confidence in a complete and total victory.

Haystack posted:

Ugh, Russia is going to have the worst, most unjustified "stabbed in the back" narrative going after the war. I can just tell.

Joke Miriam posted:

What’s the most realistic prognosis for how far Ukraine goes in this offensive?

Sorry if this betrays a lack of confidence in a complete and total victory.

Joke Miriam posted:

What’s the most realistic prognosis for how far Ukraine goes in this offensive?

Sorry if this betrays a lack of confidence in a complete and total victory.

HonorableTB posted:

Realistically, Melitopol would be a fantastic win and about the extent that would reasonably be achievable without air superiority and more weapons. That is, barring some extreme collapse of Russian lines like last fall.

TulliusCicero posted:

Wn does Ukraine get F16's flying?

I feel like that will be a major turn in the war

TulliusCicero posted:

Wn does Ukraine get F16's flying?

I feel like that will be a major turn in the war

burning swine posted:

this definitely changed today. You can use nitter.net as an alternative and/or install the browser plugin which just does a redirect when you visit a twitter url:
https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/nitter-redirect/mohaicophfnifehkkkdbcejkflmgfkof

TulliusCicero posted:

I love how the Russians just have Ork 40k equipment now. Are they going to paint it red next?

Sir John Falstaff posted:

Yeah, it's a helicopter rocket pod. Not really a new concept--technicals using rocket pods like that were pretty common in Syria, Libya, etc.





No idea how effective they are, though.

Deptfordx posted:

Those sort of dumbfire rockets are notoriously inaccurate when fired from a helicopter with actual targeting systems. Yolo'ing from the back of a vehicle like that your not getting any accuracy more precise than 'In that general direction'.

TulliusCicero posted:

I love how the Russians just have Ork 40k equipment now. Are they going to paint it red next?

TulliusCicero posted:

I love how the Russians just have Ork 40k equipment now. Are they going to paint it red next?

TulliusCicero posted:

These people are obsessed with pedophilia

Like holy poo poo I shudder at the sheer projection on display

HonorableTB posted:

https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1674776788856373250?t=3i9nxOTb7de2leN7Qarmjw&s=19

HonorableTB posted:

I can't figure out what the gently caress that silver looking thing is. It looks like a DIY turbojet lol

NihilCredo posted:

They feel more in tune with another faction:

Vaginaface posted:

Ukraine Waaagh: So where do you keep the red paint?

Phlegmish posted:

Is this based on anything or are they just calling Mike Pence a pedophile for no reason?

Phlegmish posted:

Is this based on anything or are they just calling Mike Pence a pedophile for no reason?

NihilCredo posted:

They feel more in tune with another faction:

3D Megadoodoo posted:

He's a prominent US politician. The chances of him being a nonce are about 100%.

IShallRiseAgain posted:

Come on, he's not a politician from the UK.

quote:

"A Ukrainian raid is said to have made it all the way down to Ocheretuvate. From there to Tokmak it's 20km. There is a main road between them. This road is parallel to the trenches and minefields and is a supply route for the Russians and presumably not mined."

quote:

Operational information as of 18.00 30.06.2023 regarding Russian invasion

Glory to Ukraine!

The four-hundred and ninety-second day of large-scale armed aggression of the Russian Federation against our state is ongoing.

Tonight, the Russian occupants launched another missile-aviation strike on the territory of Ukraine, using 4 zenitni guided missiles from zrk c-300 and 13 Iranian strike bpla "Shahed-136/131" on military and infrastructure facilities in the zaporizhzhia region. By the forces and means of the Defense Forces of Ukraine destroyed 10 of the 13 striking BPLA of the type "Shahed-136/131".

In total, during the day, the enemy launched 8 missiles and 34 air strikes, fired 40 fires from seismic fire jet systems at the positions of our troops and settlements. Unfortunately, there are killed and injured civilians, more than 20 civilian residential buildings and an educational complex have been damaged.

The probability of missile and air strikes throughout Ukraine remains high.

The opponent continues to focus the main efforts on the Lyman, Bakhmut and Maryinskomu directions, heavy fighting continues. During the day, there were 18 combat clashes.

In the Volyn and Polish directions there is an operational environment without significant changes. The sign of the formation of progressive groups was not detected.

Designated units of the Armed Forces of Belarus perform tasks in border areas with Ukraine. On the grounds of the Republic of Belarus, combat preparation and arrangement of units of the Russian Federation are underway before they are sent to the areas of warfare on the territory of Ukraine.

The opponent maintains a military presence in the Siver and Slobozhansky directions. Committed mortar and artillery shelling over 10 settlements. Among them are the red vines of the chernihiv region; baranivka and freedom of sumy region; udy, gatishche, ogirceve and dvoríčans Сеke kharkiv region.

In the Kupyan direction, the opponent committed unsuccessful offensive actions in the direction of Novoselivsky Luhansk region. Hit the aviation strike in the area of kislivki kharkiv region. Artillery and mortar shelling of the opponent suffered by Putnikove, Figolivka, Dvorichna, Masutyutivka, Kupiansk and Kyslivka in Kharkiv region.

In the Lyman direction, the opponent struck aviation in the areas of Bilogorivka Luhansk region and Spirny and Rozdolivka in Donetsk region. More than 10 settlements suffered artillery shelling, including Belogorivka Luhansk region and Torsk, Dibrova, Verkhnyokamyananske, Rozdolivka, Brestove Donetsk region.

In the Bakhmut direction, the opponent committed unsuccessful offensive actions in the areas of Bogdanivka and Chrome Donetsk region. Made an air strike near New York on Donetsk region. About 15 settlements were affected by hostile artillery shelling, including Chasyv Yar, Konstantinivka, Klishiyivka, Bila Gora, Diliyivka, southern Donetsk region.

In the Avdiivka direction, supported by aviation, the enemy carried out unsuccessful offensive actions in the areas of Avdiivka and Pervomaysky. Carried out artillery shelling over 15 settlements. Among them are ocheretine, ceramic, avdiivka, northern, water, nevels льke Donetsk region.

In the Marjinsky direction, our defenders repelled all attacks of the opponent in the area of Marjinka. At the same time, the enemy carried out an air strike in the area of this city. Carried out artillery shelling about 10 settlements, namely Krasnogorívka, Maryinka, Georgievka and Victory of Donetsk region.

In the Shakhtars давkomu direction, the enemy inflicted aviation strikes in the areas of Blagodatne and Zolota Niva of Donetsk region. Fired about 15 settlements, in particular, paraskoviyivku, blagodatne, vogledar, novoukrainka, shakhtars Зke donetsk region.
In the Zaporozhye and Kherson directions, the opponent focuses the main efforts on preventing the promotion of our troops. Made an aviation strike in the area of antonívki of kherson region.

Carried out artillery shelling over 40 settlements. Among them Novodarívka, Levadne, Gulyajpole, Zaliznične, Gulyaypils нихke, Mala Tokmachka, Novodanilívka, Walnuts, Novoandrívka of Zaporizhzhia region and Dudchany, Antonivka, Kherson, Stepanivka, Dniprovka of Kherson region.
Russian occupation troops continue to kill each other on the battlefield. Yes, in the Sergiyivka settlement of Kherson region, after regular rotation in positions, from June 15 to present, in one of the units 5 of the army of the eastern military district, up to 10 enemy soldiers were blown up on the mines set in the previous rotation.

Meanwhile, Russian occupants continue to loot and exploit civilian medical infrastructure of temporarily occupied settlements to provide medical care to their wounded servicemen. In the settlement of novopskov luhans біk region Russian soldiers loaded furniture from the maternity hospital on military cars and taken to an unknown direction, and the very territory of the maternity hospital zagarbniki are equipped under the field hospital.

The Defense Forces a day delivered 10 strikes on the enemy's personnel focus areas and 1 on the enemy air missile complex.

Rocket and artillery units during the day hit 6 areas of focus, enemy weapons and military equipment, 3 ammunition depots, 24 artillery at firing positions and the occupants REB station.

Stand by our armed forces! We will win together!

Glory to Ukraine!

HonorableTB posted:

something to keep your eyes on...potential breakthrough actions in the Tokmak direction?

HonorableTB posted:

Oscar Wilde Bunch posted:

I think things like that are one of the great unknowns when it comes to the 'how's it going to proceed'. I imagine if they get some spear of the assault back behind the lines and get access to the undefended/mined supply lines that there's a chance that peninsula could fall quickly.

tiaz posted:

I suppose it'll be more intense afterwards but I feel like they've been trial ballooning Dolchstoßlegende for some time. still,

HonorableTB posted:

SPERMCUBE.ORG posted:

All he had to do was sack the capital of the people employing him like a real mercenary would. Is that so hard? And he chickened out! Look at this Prig's small balls. That's what all the other mercenaries are saying.

HonorableTB posted:

HonorableTB posted:

those would all make pretty sick BattleBots names too.